Erny Orellana

OF DSL LAD Mega

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Mega	160	.254/.390/.423	4	6	40	—	.153/.270/.241
2026	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	181	.257/.365/.467	4	6	39	—	.151/.242/.264
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBLAD	291	.207/.280/.303	3	5	66	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBLAD	79	.207/.281/.309	1	1	71	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBLAD	169	.211/.285/.320	3	3	75	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%91

K%87

Z-Con%87

ISO86

Speed84

wOBA54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMalcom Nuñez (age 20) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 20) · Jose Meza (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .277 / .300

PA152

HR2

K%25

BB%8

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	90	15	5	0	1	13	21	6	3	1	167	312	256	567	89	206	19	12	276	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	130	33	10	0	4	24	34	5	6	2	254	390	423	813	169	312	21	15	367	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	152	39	14	3	4	22	24	4	6	1	257	365	467	832	211	276	13	12	363	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	94	9	3	0	0	9	26	6	3	1	96	220	128	348	32	134	24	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	137	21	6	0	2	17	43	5	6	2	153	270	241	511	88	192	27	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	159	24	8	2	2	15	29	4	6	1	151	242	264	506	113	164	16	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	94	9	3	0	0	9	26	6	3	1	96	220	128	348	32	132	24	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	90	15	5	0	1	13	21	6	3	1	167	312	256	567	89	206	19	12	276	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	137	21	6	0	2	17	43	5	6	2	153	270	241	511	88	204	27	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	130	33	10	0	4	24	34	5	6	2	254	390	423	813	169	312	21	15	367	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	159	24	8	2	2	15	29	4	6	1	151	242	264	506	113	168	16	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	152	39	14	3	4	22	24	4	6	1	257	365	467	832	211	276	13	12	363	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	93	9	3	0	0	9	26	6	3	1	97	220	129	349	32	134	24	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	137	21	6	0	2	17	43	5	6	2	153	270	241	511	88	192	27	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	160	24	8	2	2	15	29	4	6	1	150	242	263	504	113	164	16	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	109	93	9	3	0	0	9	26	6	3	1	97	220	129	349	32	134	24	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	160	137	21	6	0	2	17	43	5	6	2	153	270	241	511	88	192	27	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	181	160	24	8	2	2	15	29	4	6	1	150	242	263	504	113	164	16	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	291	263	54	11	2	3	22	73	4	5	1	207	280	303	583	96	271	25	8	266	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	231	208	44	9	2	3	18	57	3	4	1	212	285	317	601	105	273	25	8	273	71	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	349	314	67	14	2	5	27	85	5	6	2	215	289	328	616	112	275	24	8	279	75	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	428	385	84	17	3	7	34	104	6	8	3	219	292	336	628	117	277	24	8	284	78	-11	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	481	433	96	20	3	9	38	116	7	9	3	221	294	343	637	122	279	24	8	287	81	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	511	458	103	21	4	10	41	122	7	10	3	223	296	347	643	124	279	24	8	290	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	528	474	105	21	4	10	42	127	7	10	3	222	296	347	643	125	279	24	8	290	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAD	60%	534	479	107	22	4	10	43	129	7	10	3	221	295	344	639	123	278	24	8	288	81	-12	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	79	72	14	3	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	207	281	309	590	102	266	24	8	268	71	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	169	152	32	6	1	3	13	41	2	3	1	211	285	320	605	109	268	24	8	274	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	232	209	44	9	1	4	18	56	3	4	1	214	288	329	617	115	270	24	8	279	78	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	267	240	52	10	2	5	21	64	4	5	2	217	290	336	626	119	272	24	8	283	81	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	286	257	57	11	2	6	23	69	4	5	2	218	292	340	633	122	272	24	8	285	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	297	267	58	11	2	6	24	71	4	5	2	218	292	341	632	122	272	24	8	285	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAD	60%	318	286	62	12	2	6	25	77	4	6	2	217	291	338	629	121	272	24	8	284	81	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1648	1483	319	62	10	31	130	397	22	29	10	215	288	333	621	118	271	24	8	282	73	-40	+2	+0	-10	+36	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	24	4	12	51	157	9	11	4	214	287	330	617	116	270	24	8	282	73	-16	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3664	3278	689	147	25	60	296	876	59	74	23	210	287	325	613	115	266	24	8	276	73	-81	+4	+0	-19	+70	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	122	26	4	11	53	155	10	13	4	210	287	325	612	115	264	24	8	276	73	-16	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,801	31	33	220	290	339	-11	+0	-0.4	-0.1
/162	664	12	12	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Erny Orellana (OGILVIE)	20	40	40	50	55	205/277/300	95	271	2	2	25%	8%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Malcom Nuñez 2021 · A	20	44→47	42→45	50→45	45	218/278/324	106	272	10	6	24%	7%	71	-0.8	233/296/353	120	301	14	6	26%	7%	84	+0.2	231/300/352	121	297	15	4	26%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	39	37→45	50→40	43	185/269/261	75	247	3	9	25%	6%	55	-2.0	201/250/286	85	299	6	4	33%	4%	51	-2.2	211/248/304	94	307	7	2	33%	3%	51	-1.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	59	-1.6	212/271/300	88	287	7	7	27%	6%	63	-1.4	190/257/269	79	268	7	6	30%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Tim Kennelly 2007 · A	20	44→52	40	48→40	45	213/275/311	98	279	7	7	25%	7%	67	-1.1	222/279/315	93	303	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.9	239/299/330	91	299	5	4	20%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	45	38→45	50	46	212/286/299	87	263	3	13	20%	6%	69	-0.9	206/258/299	93	276	6	9	26%	5%	57	-1.8	193/236/284	91	271	8	8	31%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Albert Laboy 2007 · A	20	40→38	38→40	48→45	41	193/236/269	76	242	5	10	22%	5%	42	-2.9	218/264/308	90	260	9	7	19%	5%	61	-1.5	215/263/301	86	251	10	6	18%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jason Taylor 2008 · A	20	46→40	36→50	49→55	48	212/284/280	68	287	2	9	26%	8%	63	-1.4	214/289/333	119	270	12	19	24%	8%	77	-0.3	205/280/327	122	253	13	22	23%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→36	41→45	53→50	41	221/279/318	97	292	8	13	26%	6%	70	-0.9	201/256/267	66	276	3	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	183/239/233	50	254	1	10	26%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2009 · A	20	44→42	40→50	51→50	45	213/277/306	93	262	7	12	21%	6%	67	-1.1	210/253/334	124	295	12	6	32%	4%	63	-1.3	218/269/348	130	279	14	10	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8

Erny Orellana

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps