Dariel Garcia

SS ACL Rockies

Age 20 S/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCOL	190	.268/.395/.357	1	24	41	—	.169/.274/.223
2026	19	ROKCOL	122	.241/.317/.324	1	10	13	—	.159/.208/.221
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCOL	232	.193/.261/.263	2	5	50	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCOL	65	.209/.277/.304	1	2	57	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCOL	154	.214/.283/.321	2	4	62	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed90

ISO32

Z-Con%23

wRC+16

BB%14

wOBA12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsNasim Nuñez (age 20) · Jeremy Arocho (age 19) · Brainer Bonaci (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .259 / .261

PA103

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	200	162	39	9	1	1	25	47	5	11	7	241	359	327	687	86	325	24	12	309	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	157	42	11	0	1	28	43	5	24	5	268	395	357	751	89	363	23	15	350	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	122	108	26	4	1	1	12	41	0	10	1	241	317	324	641	83	379	34	10	289	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	200	169	27	5	1	0	18	54	5	11	7	160	260	201	462	41	215	27	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	190	166	28	6	0	1	19	51	5	24	5	169	274	223	497	54	238	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	122	113	18	2	1	1	7	59	0	10	1	159	208	221	430	62	316	48	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	200	169	27	5	1	0	18	54	5	11	7	160	260	201	462	41	229	27	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	200	162	39	9	1	1	25	47	5	11	7	241	359	327	687	86	325	24	12	309	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	190	166	28	6	0	1	19	51	5	24	5	169	274	223	497	54	237	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	190	157	42	11	0	1	28	43	5	24	5	268	395	357	751	89	363	23	15	350	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	122	113	18	2	1	1	7	59	0	10	1	159	208	221	430	62	321	48	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	122	108	26	4	1	1	12	41	0	10	1	241	317	324	641	83	379	34	10	289	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	200	175	27	5	1	0	18	54	5	11	7	154	260	194	455	40	215	27	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	190	164	28	6	0	1	19	51	5	24	5	171	274	226	499	55	238	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	122	114	18	2	1	1	7	59	0	10	1	158	208	219	428	61	316	48	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	200	175	27	5	1	0	18	54	5	11	7	154	260	194	455	40	215	27	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	190	164	28	6	0	1	19	51	5	24	5	171	274	226	499	55	238	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	122	114	18	2	1	1	7	59	0	10	1	158	208	219	428	61	316	48	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	0%	232	211	40	7	1	2	17	69	2	5	1	193	261	263	524	71	275	30	7	241	50	-14	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	189	171	34	6	1	2	14	55	2	5	1	199	268	282	550	84	278	29	7	252	57	-10	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	COL	48%	317	286	59	11	2	4	24	91	4	8	2	204	273	297	570	94	279	29	8	260	62	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	COL	54%	405	366	76	14	2	6	31	115	5	10	2	208	277	309	587	102	281	28	8	266	66	-16	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	COL	55%	464	420	89	16	3	8	36	130	5	11	2	211	281	318	599	107	282	28	8	272	70	-17	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	56%	498	451	96	17	3	9	39	138	5	12	3	213	283	325	608	112	283	28	8	275	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	517	466	100	18	3	10	40	143	6	13	3	213	283	326	609	112	283	28	8	275	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	525	473	101	18	3	10	41	146	6	12	3	212	283	323	606	111	282	28	8	274	72	-18	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	525	474	100	18	3	9	41	147	5	12	3	211	281	319	599	108	282	28	8	272	70	-19	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	COL	58%	519	469	99	18	3	9	40	147	5	11	3	208	278	313	591	105	280	28	8	268	68	-20	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	65	59	13	2	1	1	5	19	1	2	0	209	277	304	581	95	291	29	8	264	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	COL	48%	154	139	29	5	1	2	12	44	2	4	1	214	283	321	603	106	293	29	8	273	62	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	COL	54%	220	199	44	8	2	4	17	62	2	5	1	219	287	334	621	115	295	28	8	280	66	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	COL	55%	257	232	51	9	2	5	20	72	3	6	1	222	291	344	635	121	297	28	8	286	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	56%	279	252	57	10	2	6	22	77	3	7	1	225	294	351	645	126	297	28	8	290	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	291	263	58	10	2	6	23	81	3	7	2	225	294	352	646	127	297	28	8	290	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	290	262	58	10	2	6	23	81	3	7	2	224	293	349	642	125	296	28	8	288	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	288	261	58	10	2	6	22	81	3	6	2	222	291	344	635	122	296	28	8	285	70	-10	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	COL	58%	301	272	60	11	2	6	23	85	3	6	2	219	288	337	625	118	294	28	8	282	68	-12	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2145	1939	428	75	16	42	167	602	23	50	12	221	290	341	631	120	296	28	8	284	64	-79	+5	-1	+23	+46	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	130	23	5	13	51	182	7	15	4	221	291	344	635	122	295	28	8	284	64	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4574	4117	845	152	26	70	358	1307	54	141	35	205	278	306	583	101	280	29	8	263	64	-153	+10	-2	+44	+88	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	121	22	4	10	51	186	8	20	5	207	280	309	589	103	282	29	8	263	64	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,247	37	53	210	277	315	+24	+18	0.8	1.0
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dariel Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	60	55	191/259/261	70	275	1	2	30%	7%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→51	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	277	2	20	30%	9%	49	-2.4	215/301/265	50	313	2	38	28%	11%	66	-1.1	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→47	37→40	51→50	48	188/276/257	69	287	4	13	33%	10%	55	-1.9	205/266/280	75	274	6	8	25%	8%	56	-1.9	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	217/271/293	76	299	5	21	28%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/264	57	287	2	13	26%	7%	53	-2.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Darwin Perez 2009 · A	20	44→53	36→40	54→50	46	203/275/276	73	292	3	10	29%	9%	59	-1.7	231/292/302	71	324	3	12	27%	8%	70	-0.8	238/302/305	67	328	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.6
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→38	36→30	51→55	46	198/270/268	70	289	2	14	30%	8%	55	-2.0	200/280/266	66	332	4	12	36%	10%	58	-1.7	182/272/238	56	306	3	15	37%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	41→40	35→40	55→60	51	191/273/258	66	249	1	16	22%	9%	54	-2.0	191/269/267	76	262	2	18	25%	8%	54	-2.0	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41→42	36→40	53→55	41	194/256/262	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	211/260/281	70	297	3	17	28%	5%	53	-2.1	221/265/291	71	306	2	19	27%	4%	54	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	51→65	50	176/248/238	62	212	2	18	18%	8%	40	-3.1	199/280/263	64	250	2	26	19%	9%	57	-1.8	195/284/251	56	248	1	34	20%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Adenson Chourio 2006 · A	20	41	35→30	49→60	42	192/256/248	56	284	2	18	31%	7%	45	-2.7	213/287/256	43	263	1	30	18%	8%	59	-1.7	223/301/251	28	270	0	39	16%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Odalys Peguero 2023 · A	20	42	36→30	54→55	50	194/280/259	64	281	3	17	29%	10%	57	-1.8	180/261/247	67	268	2	17	30%	9%	47	-2.5	155/243/214	59	230	2	21	30%	10%	32	-1.7
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	37	34→30	48→55	50	173/257/224	51	239	2	16	26%	10%	41	-3.0	185/260/242	57	252	2	15	25%	9%	45	-2.7	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1

Dariel Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps