Argenis Valdez — OGILVIE

Argenis ValdezOF DSL Orioles Black

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 160 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 109 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .265 / .281

PA109

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	86	14	5	0	0	12	25	2	4	3	163	280	221	501	58	226	25	12	242	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	141	34	9	2	1	20	28	3	9	2	241	345	355	700	113	289	17	12	313	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	115	32	7	2	2	13	25	1	7	2	278	357	426	783	148	341	19	10	348	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	89	9	3	0	0	9	31	2	4	3	101	200	135	335	34	146	31	9	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	148	23	5	1	1	14	35	3	9	2	155	242	223	465	68	186	21	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	119	20	4	1	1	9	31	1	7	2	168	233	244	476	76	215	24	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	89	9	3	0	0	9	31	2	4	3	101	200	135	335	34	153	31	9	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	86	14	5	0	0	12	25	2	4	3	163	280	221	501	58	226	25	12	242	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	148	23	5	1	1	14	35	3	9	2	155	242	223	465	68	193	21	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	141	34	9	2	1	20	28	3	9	2	241	345	355	700	113	289	17	12	313	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	119	20	4	1	1	9	31	1	7	2	168	233	244	476	76	218	24	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	115	32	7	2	2	13	25	1	7	2	278	357	426	783	148	341	19	10	348	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	89	9	3	0	0	9	31	2	4	3	101	200	135	335	34	146	31	9	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	150	23	5	1	1	14	35	3	9	2	153	242	220	462	67	186	21	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	119	20	4	1	1	9	31	1	7	2	168	233	244	476	76	215	24	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	101	89	9	3	0	0	9	31	2	4	3	101	200	135	335	34	146	31	9	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	169	150	23	5	1	1	14	35	3	9	2	153	242	220	462	67	186	21	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	130	119	20	4	1	1	9	31	1	7	2	168	233	244	476	76	215	24	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	240	219	45	9	2	2	17	63	2	4	1	203	267	284	551	81	273	26	7	251	56	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	194	176	37	7	2	2	14	50	2	4	1	208	273	299	572	91	275	26	7	260	62	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	67	61	13	2	1	1	5	17	1	1	0	211	276	305	581	94	279	25	7	264	62	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	67	61	13	2	1	1	5	17	1	1	0	213	284	328	611	115	279	25	7	264	37	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	126	19	10	10	49	165	10	10	0	213	285	329	614	117	278	25	8	264	37	-29	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	703	631	110	23	5	5	54	175	9	26	8	174	249	250	500	76	230	25	8	224	37	-14	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	102	21	5	5	50	162	8	24	7	175	250	254	503	79	230	25	8	224	37	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Argenis Valdez (OGILVIE)	20	40	25	50	45	201/265/281	80	273	1	2	26%	7%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	41	35→30	46→50	44	194/262/257	63	252	3	10	23%	6%	50	-2.3	210/261/295	85	275	6	7	25%	5%	57	-1.8	221/250/302	81	284	6	0	24%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	42	38→30	48→50	45	202/263/281	80	273	4	9	27%	7%	55	-2.0	195/253/273	78	287	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	143/203/205	62	209	0	9	29%	6%	14	-1.2
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	40	37→30	49→55	45	189/274/253	64	275	5	17	31%	8%	55	-2.0	200/259/279	79	339	6	8	40%	6%	53	-2.1	178/227/247	69	320	8	2	44%	5%	31	-1.0
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	42	37→30	48→60	49	198/268/270	72	254	4	13	22%	8%	55	-2.0	197/293/251	54	252	2	24	20%	11%	61	-1.5	183/298/219	36	231	1	34	18%	13%	54	-0.8
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Adanson Cruz 2021 · A	20	45	37→40	52→50	45	211/283/292	81	298	4	9	28%	8%	65	-1.2	178/244/250	72	372	5	6	49%	7%	41	-3.0	148/219/207	58	306	4	6	49%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	37	198/261/249	51	290	2	14	30%	5%	47	-2.5	216/266/279	63	314	2	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Luis Sanchez 2007 · A	20	41	36→30	50→40	41	195/253/261	66	275	4	7	29%	6%	47	-2.6	196/263/250	54	280	2	4	28%	8%	48	-2.5	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Dubal Baez 2013 · A	20	42	34→30	49→60	49	195/288/242	46	255	1	15	22%	8%	57	-1.8	210/282/261	51	278	1	20	23%	7%	58	-1.7	211/284/245	34	277	0	31	22%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Miguel Briceno 2023 · A	20	41	36→40	49→50	46	196/250/269	73	247	3	9	21%	7%	47	-2.5	217/260/286	69	274	3	11	21%	5%	54	-2.0	212/258/283	71	262	6	12	21%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Cristian Cano 2014 · A	20	44	35→30	44→50	51	206/290/264	59	266	3	9	22%	9%	62	-1.4	197/257/273	76	286	4	7	31%	6%	51	-2.3	145/194/222	77	219	4	2	34%	4%	15	-1.0
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Walter Rasquin 2016 · A	20	46	36→30	48→50	48	216/284/284	68	270	3	11	20%	7%	64	-1.3	228/278/308	80	298	5	11	24%	6%	66	-1.1	173/216/233	60	229	5	10	26%	4%	22	-1.7
✕Alberto Hernandez 2024 · A	20	41	38→30	48→55	48	195/267/282	88	248	5	12	23%	8%	57	-1.8	191/253/261	70	261	4	11	26%	7%	47	-2.6	180/240/244	65	243	4	12	26%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Manuel Beltre 2024 · A	20	40→43	38→40	49→50	47	194/274/271	78	257	5	10	25%	8%	58	-1.7	202/270/282	80	269	6	15	26%	7%	59	-1.7	196/263/273	77	259	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Juan Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	43	37→40	46→55	43	204/253/280	76	262	4	8	23%	6%	51	-2.3	218/257/298	80	258	4	14	17%	5%	56	-1.9	230/260/311	81	257	4	22	12%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Hansel Otamendi 2022 · A	20	44	36→30	51→50	48	207/276/278	71	269	3	11	23%	8%	59	-1.6	192/256/258	66	299	3	7	34%	7%	47	-2.5	111/196/131	20	184	0	3	36%	9%	-3	-1.3