Zack Tukis

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	APHI	28	6	51	7.82	4.86	20.5%	20.2%	—	K 15.2% · BB 23.8% · FIP 5.60
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	64	0	67	6.30	6.30	15.4%	20.0%	-1.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	28	0	29	5.97	5.88	16.9%	17.7%	-0.4
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBPHI	43	0	45	5.78	5.73	17.7%	17.0%	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control20Command20

CompsCarlos Polanco (age 23) · Jeff Soptic (age 24) · Brett Lockwood (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.30

FIP6.30

K%15.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-4.6%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	28	6	51	258	53	52	3	21%	1.8	15.2%	23.8%	-8.6%	1.4%	7.82	5.60	—
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	28	6	51	258	53	52	3	21%	1.8	15.2%	23.8%	-8.6%	1.4%	7.82	5.60	—
2025	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	28	6	51	258	53	52	3	21%	1.8	20.5%	20.2%	0.4%	1.2%	7.82	4.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	64	0	67	283	44	57	8	0%	1.0	15.4%	20.0%	-4.6%	2.9%	6.30	6.30	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	65	0	68	287	48	51	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	17.7%	-0.8%	2.9%	5.97	5.88	-1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	65	0	68	287	51	49	8	0%	1.0	17.7%	17.0%	0.7%	2.9%	5.78	5.73	-0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	64	0	67	283	51	47	8	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.7%	1.2%	2.9%	5.71	5.70	-0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	62	0	65	274	49	46	8	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.7%	1.3%	3.1%	5.72	5.75	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	28	0	29	122	21	22	4	0%	1.0	16.9%	17.7%	-0.8%	2.9%	5.97	5.88	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	43	0	45	190	34	32	6	0%	1.0	17.7%	17.0%	0.7%	2.9%	5.78	5.73	-0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	50	0	52	220	39	37	6	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.7%	1.2%	2.9%	5.71	5.70	-0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	52	0	55	232	42	39	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	16.7%	1.3%	3.1%	5.72	5.75	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	762	135	129	23	0%	1.0	17.7%	16.9%	0.8%	3.0%	5.77	5.37	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	143	25	0%	1.1	17.7%	16.9%	0.8%	3.0%	5.77	5.37	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		28	6	51	258	39	61	4	21%	1.8	15.2%	23.8%	-8.6%	1.4%	7.82	5.60	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	24	200	1018	155	242	14	21%	1.8	15.2%	23.8%	-8.6%	1.4%	7.82	5.60	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Tukis (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.30	15.4%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.77	17.5%	0.3%	203	-0.53	—	—	—
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	85
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	82
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	81
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	80
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	79
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	79
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	79
Robbie Peto R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	24	SU	5.39	15.6%	19.4%	2.1%	.242	5.75	15.3%	1.9%	80	+0.36	5.39	232	79
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	78
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	78
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	78
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	78
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	77
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	77
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	76
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	76
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	76
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	76
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	17.2%	17.6%	1.14	5.90
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*