Randy Soto — OGILVIE

Randy SotoC DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION106 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%7

BABIP246

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	134	36	11	0	0	44	26	14	1	2	269	490	351	840	82	327	13	23	401	157	+13	-1	—	—	+4	1.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	168	33	8	1	0	40	33	4	2	0	196	363	256	619	60	243	15	19	303	91	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	151	32	9	0	0	27	38	14	1	2	212	380	272	652	60	265	20	14	298	88	-3	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	184	26	6	1	0	24	49	4	2	0	141	255	185	439	43	189	23	11	211	29	-18	+0	—	—	+5	-1.3
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	151	32	9	0	0	27	38	14	1	2	212	380	272	652	60	278	20	14	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	134	36	11	0	0	44	26	14	1	2	269	490	351	840	82	327	13	23	401	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	184	26	6	1	0	24	49	4	2	0	141	255	185	439	43	191	23	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	168	33	8	1	0	40	33	4	2	0	196	363	256	619	60	243	15	19	303	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	151	32	9	0	0	27	38	14	1	2	212	380	272	652	60	265	20	14	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	183	26	6	1	0	24	49	4	2	0	142	255	186	441	44	189	23	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	151	32	9	0	0	27	38	14	1	2	212	380	272	652	60	265	20	14	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	183	26	6	1	0	24	49	4	2	0	142	255	186	441	44	189	23	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	TOR	—	106	90	11	2	0	1	12	27	4	0	0	122	255	178	432	56	161	25	11	201	22	-10	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	TOR	—	106	83	14	3	0	1	19	19	4	0	0	169	349	241	590	72	206	18	18	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	TOR	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		245	21	7	254	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	TOR	—	120	103	13	2	0	1	13	30	4	0	0	126	250	175	425	49	167	25	11	207	26	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	261	227	44	9	1	3	27	62	5	3	1	194	293	282	575	88	252	24	10	268	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	380	331	67	13	2	5	39	88	7	5	1	202	300	299	599	97	256	23	10	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	464	405	84	17	2	8	47	106	9	6	2	207	304	319	622	111	259	23	10	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	452	95	19	2	9	53	118	10	7	2	210	307	321	628	111	261	23	10	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	452	96	19	2	10	53	118	10	7	2	212	309	330	638	117	262	23	10	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	520	452	96	19	2	10	53	117	10	7	2	212	309	330	638	117	262	22	10	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	520	452	96	19	2	10	53	117	10	7	2	212	309	330	638	117	261	22	10	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	520	451	96	19	2	10	54	118	10	7	2	213	311	330	641	118	261	23	10	293	85	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	520	451	95	19	2	10	54	118	10	7	2	211	309	328	637	118	261	23	10	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	520	450	94	18	2	10	55	119	10	6	2	209	309	324	633	116	260	23	11	290	83	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	520	450	93	18	2	9	55	121	10	6	2	207	307	316	622	109	258	23	11	288	81	-12	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	504	437	89	17	2	9	53	119	9	6	2	204	303	314	616	110	256	24	11	283	78	-13	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	489	426	85	16	2	8	51	117	9	5	2	200	298	303	601	103	253	24	10	278	74	-15	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	460	401	78	14	2	7	48	112	8	5	2	195	293	292	585	97	249	24	10	271	70	-17	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	90	79	15	3	0	1	9	21	2	1	0	190	289	266	555	76	253	23	10	255	67	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	184	159	33	6	1	3	19	43	4	2	1	208	308	314	622	107	258	23	10	265	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	252	219	45	9	1	4	26	58	5	3	1	205	304	311	615	105	260	23	10	272	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	256	54	11	1	5	30	67	6	4	1	211	308	320	629	109	262	23	10	276	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	256	55	11	1	6	30	67	6	4	1	215	312	336	648	121	263	23	10	278	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	314	273	57	11	1	6	32	71	6	4	1	209	305	322	628	114	263	23	10	279	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	325	283	61	12	2	6	33	73	6	4	1	216	311	336	646	120	263	22	10	280	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	330	287	61	12	2	6	34	75	6	4	1	213	309	331	640	118	262	23	10	280	85	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	338	294	62	12	1	7	35	77	6	4	1	211	307	330	637	119	262	23	10	279	84	-6	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	338	293	61	12	1	6	36	78	6	4	1	208	307	317	625	109	261	23	11	277	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	338	293	61	12	1	6	36	79	6	4	1	208	307	317	625	109	260	23	11	274	81	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	328	284	58	11	1	6	35	77	6	4	1	204	305	313	618	109	257	23	11	270	78	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	318	276	54	10	1	5	33	76	6	3	1	196	295	293	589	98	254	24	10	265	74	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	299	261	51	9	1	5	31	73	5	3	1	195	293	295	588	100	250	24	10	259	70	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4042	3513	728	141	15	72	419	935	76	48	13	207	305	317	623	110	260	23	10	273	78	-96	+4	-10	+72	+88	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	117	23	2	12	67	150	12	8	2	207	304	319	622	112	259	23	10	273	78	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7139	6185	1268	251	28	118	747	1640	145	87	28	205	305	312	617	107	258	23	10	284	78	-162	+6	-15	+120	+146	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	116	23	3	11	68	149	13	8	3	206	306	316	622	110	258	23	10	284	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,222	73	52	208	302	318	+75	+36	8.9	7.5
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+5.7	1.4	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Randy Soto (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	40	60	183/284/248	65	245	1	2	24%	10%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	56	-1.9	209/289/266	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	61	-1.5	208/283/260	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	69	-0.9	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2011 · A	19	43	35→40	44→55	51	199/277/259	60	259	2	14	22%	9%	55	-1.9	216/291/303	87	272	5	17	21%	9%	71	-0.8	224/296/314	90	281	6	17	21%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Gian Arias 2011 · A	19	42	36→30	45→50	49	199/276/262	63	264	4	8	24%	9%	56	-1.9	205/289/285	80	276	6	11	25%	10%	67	-1.1	177/290/248	71	232	7	16	24%	12%	57	-0.6
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	40	35→30	47→50	50	183/282/245	62	276	2	11	31%	11%	55	-1.9	196/292/263	67	281	2	10	27%	11%	63	-1.3	176/302/251	74	254	0	11	26%	13%	63	-0.5
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	42	38→40	48→45	51	198/287/276	78	260	5	6	24%	10%	64	-1.3	216/293/291	75	279	5	7	22%	9%	69	-0.9	211/293/279	67	267	5	6	21%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Julian Morillo 2011 · A	19	45	34→30	44→50	51	208/281/254	46	251	1	9	17%	8%	56	-1.9	201/255/268	67	267	3	7	24%	6%	49	-2.4	189/234/258	69	256	2	5	25%	4%	35	-0.8
✕David Gonzalez 2013 · A	19	44	34→30	43→45	53	203/277/257	54	247	2	8	18%	9%	55	-1.9	211/268/267	56	265	2	9	20%	7%	53	-2.1	209/260/259	50	261	1	8	19%	6%	46	-1.5
✕Gustavo Omana 2006 · A	20	43	36→30	44→45	41	204/256/271	67	272	2	4	25%	5%	49	-2.4	221/271/283	62	268	3	4	18%	5%	58	-1.7	231/280/279	48	271	3	2	15%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jeral Toledo 2023 · A	20	39	36→30	45	51	184/280/254	70	255	3	10	26%	10%	57	-1.8	198/275/277	79	283	4	11	28%	9%	59	-1.6	190/268/264	75	271	4	10	29%	9%	52	-0.7
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	43	36→40	46→60	46	204/266/271	67	269	3	12	24%	7%	53	-2.1	207/269/269	62	277	3	22	25%	7%	54	-2.0	225/283/303	79	291	5	45	23%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	57	-1.8	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	267/298/376	109	332	10	18	22%	3%	90	+0.3
✕Cesar Soto 2010 · A	19	39	34→30	43→45	48	182/276/228	46	263	2	7	29%	9%	50	-2.3	196/276/245	49	273	2	5	26%	9%	53	-2.1	180/267/192	13	244	0	0	24%	10%	34	-1.2
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	65	-1.2	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	63	-1.3	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Herbert Lara 2007 · A	19	48	35→30	41→50	50	223/290/283	60	274	2	5	18%	8%	65	-1.2	226/286/286	60	263	3	10	14%	6%	65	-1.2	222/280/279	57	251	4	11	13%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A	19	48	36→30	44→60	46	226/292/291	64	293	3	10	23%	7%	68	-1.0	226/299/284	58	282	1	19	19%	8%	69	-0.9	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	55	-1.9	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	62	-1.4	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps