Randy Soto — OGILVIE

Randy SotoC DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 142 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .319 / .295

PA142

HR1

K%23

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$9M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$50M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	152	33	9	0	0	26	40	14	1	2	217	380	276	657	59	289	21	13	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	134	36	11	0	0	44	26	14	1	2	269	490	351	840	82	327	13	23	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	184	26	6	1	0	24	50	4	2	0	141	255	185	439	43	193	23	11	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	168	33	8	1	0	40	33	4	2	0	196	363	256	619	60	243	15	19	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	40	29	7	1	0	0	7	4	4	0	0	241	450	276	726	34	280	10	18	324	106	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
YTD	19	ROK	TOR	—	40	25	7	1	0	0	11	3	4	0	0	280	550	320	870	40	318	8	28	433	190	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.6
ROS	19	ROK	TOR	0%	142	122	26	5	1	1	15	32	4	2	1	213	319	295	614	82	267	23	11	272	67	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	255	53	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TOR	—	40	30	7	1	0	0	7	4	4	0	0	233	450	267	717	33	269	10	18	324	106	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
TOT	19	ROK	TOR	—	182	151	33	6	1	1	22	36	8	2	1	219	348	291	639	73	278	20	12	284	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	261	225	47	9	1	2	28	58	6	3	1	209	313	284	597	76	270	22	11	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	380	328	72	14	2	5	40	84	9	5	2	220	321	320	641	101	273	22	11	292	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	464	402	88	17	2	7	49	102	10	6	2	219	319	323	642	104	275	22	11	298	86	-7	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.5
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	520	450	101	19	3	9	54	113	11	7	2	224	322	340	662	116	276	22	10	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	520	449	101	19	3	9	55	113	11	7	2	225	324	341	665	116	277	22	11	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2032	25	MLB	TOR	60%	520	449	102	19	3	10	55	112	11	7	2	227	326	350	676	122	277	22	11	306	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2033	26	MLB	TOR	62%	520	449	102	19	3	10	55	112	11	7	2	227	326	350	676	122	277	22	11	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2034	27	MLB	TOR	63%	520	448	102	19	3	10	56	113	11	7	2	228	328	350	679	123	277	22	11	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2035	28	MLB	TOR	65%	520	448	101	19	2	10	56	113	11	7	2	225	326	344	670	118	276	22	11	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.0
2036	29	MLB	TOR	65%	520	448	99	19	2	9	56	114	11	6	2	221	322	333	655	112	275	22	11	303	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2037	30	MLB	TOR	65%	520	448	99	19	2	9	56	116	11	6	2	221	322	333	655	112	274	22	11	301	88	-7	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.6
2038	31	MLB	TOR	65%	504	433	94	18	2	8	55	114	11	6	2	217	321	323	644	106	272	23	11	297	85	-8	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2039	32	MLB	TOR	65%	489	423	90	16	2	8	53	112	10	5	2	213	315	317	632	104	268	23	11	291	81	-11	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.9
2040	33	MLB	TOR	65%	460	398	83	15	2	7	49	108	10	5	2	209	311	309	620	101	264	23	11	285	76	-13	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.5
2041	34	MLB	TOR	60%	405	351	70	12	2	5	43	98	8	4	1	199	301	288	589	88	259	24	11	276	70	-14	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.0
2042	35	MLB	TOR	56%	343	297	56	9	1	4	36	85	7	3	1	189	291	266	557	77	252	25	10	267	63	-15	+0	-6	+6	+10	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	TOR	34%	90	79	16	3	0	1	9	20	2	1	0	203	300	278	578	76	272	22	10	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB	TOR	48%	184	159	35	7	1	2	19	41	4	2	1	220	319	314	633	94	274	22	10	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	22	MLB	TOR	54%	252	218	48	9	1	4	26	55	6	3	1	220	320	326	646	106	276	22	10	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	23	MLB	TOR	57%	294	255	58	11	2	5	31	64	6	4	1	227	325	345	670	118	278	22	11	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	24	MLB	TOR	57%	294	255	58	11	2	5	31	64	6	4	1	227	325	345	670	118	279	22	11	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	25	MLB	TOR	60%	314	271	63	12	2	6	33	68	7	4	1	232	331	358	689	125	279	22	11	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2033	26	MLB	TOR	62%	325	281	64	12	2	6	34	70	7	4	1	228	326	349	675	121	278	22	10	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2034	27	MLB	TOR	63%	330	285	65	12	2	6	35	72	7	4	1	228	327	347	675	119	278	22	11	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2035	28	MLB	TOR	65%	338	292	65	12	2	6	36	74	7	4	1	223	322	339	661	116	278	22	11	290	80	-8	+0	-0	+6	+10	0.8
2036	29	MLB	TOR	65%	338	291	65	12	2	6	37	74	7	4	1	223	325	340	666	117	277	22	11	288	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.7
2037	30	MLB	TOR	65%	338	291	65	12	2	6	37	75	7	4	1	223	325	340	666	117	276	22	11	286	77	-9	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.6
2038	31	MLB	TOR	65%	328	283	60	11	1	5	35	74	7	4	1	212	314	311	625	99	273	23	11	282	74	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2039	32	MLB	TOR	65%	318	274	59	11	1	5	34	73	7	4	1	215	317	318	635	102	270	23	11	276	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2040	33	MLB	TOR	65%	299	259	54	10	1	4	32	70	6	3	1	208	310	301	611	93	266	23	11	270	65	-12	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2041	34	MLB	TOR	60%	245	212	42	7	1	3	26	59	5	2	1	198	300	283	583	85	260	24	11	262	59	-11	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
2042	35	MLB	TOR	56%	192	166	32	5	1	2	20	48	4	2	1	193	295	271	566	78	254	25	10	253	52	-10	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4479	3872	849	157	23	72	475	1001	95	53	15	219	320	327	647	108	275	22	11	282	74	-132	+5	-16	+80	+127	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	123	23	3	10	69	145	14	8	2	219	319	324	643	105	276	22	11	282	74	-19	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	8015	6904	1492	282	37	123	861	1789	181	96	32	216	319	321	640	105	272	22	11	294	83	-151	+6	-25	+143	+227	20.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	121	23	3	10	70	145	15	8	3	216	320	321	641	105	271	22	11	294	83	-12	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	194	134	36	11	0	0	44	26	14	1	2	269	490	351	840	82	327	13	23	401	165	+14	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	213	168	33	8	1	0	40	33	4	2	0	196	363	256	619	60	243	15	19	303	90	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,660	75	57	219	316	326	+76	+40	13.0	10.8
	/162	664	11	8	219	316	326	+10.9	+5.7	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Randy Soto (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	40	60	219/348/291	73	278	1	2	20%	12%	75	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	59	-1.1	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	65	-0.7	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	41	35→30	42→55	43	189/254/246	57	294	2	9	34%	8%	37	-2.7	190/261/247	57	266	3	15	27%	8%	40	-2.4	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9
✕David Gonzalez 2013 · A	19	44→42	34→30	43→45	53	203/277/257	54	247	2	8	18%	9%	50	-1.8	209/266/266	57	263	2	9	20%	7%	46	-2.0	207/258/258	51	259	1	8	20%	6%	37	-1.5
✕Gian Arias 2011 · A	19	42	36→30	45→50	49	199/276/262	63	264	4	8	24%	9%	50	-1.7	205/289/285	80	276	6	11	25%	10%	63	-0.9	177/290/248	71	232	7	16	24%	12%	52	-0.6
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	52	-1.6	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	47	-1.9	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	52	199/288/278	79	258	5	6	23%	10%	60	-1.0	217/293/293	76	279	5	7	22%	9%	66	-0.6	213/293/279	66	269	5	6	21%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	40	35→30	47→50	50	183/282/245	62	276	2	11	31%	11%	50	-1.8	196/292/263	67	281	2	10	27%	11%	59	-1.1	176/302/251	74	254	0	11	26%	13%	59	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	43	-2.2	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	53	-1.5	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Cesar Soto 2010 · A	19	39	34→30	43→45	48	182/276/228	46	263	2	7	29%	9%	43	-2.2	196/276/245	49	273	2	5	26%	9%	46	-2.0	180/267/192	13	244	0	0	24%	10%	26	-1.2
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2011 · A	19	43	35→40	44→55	51	199/277/259	60	259	2	14	22%	9%	50	-1.8	215/291/303	88	271	5	17	21%	9%	67	-0.5	221/293/309	88	277	6	17	21%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Raul Rivas 2016 · A	19	41	35→30	42→50	48	193/254/253	60	241	3	11	20%	7%	38	-2.6	214/256/262	48	282	2	9	23%	5%	40	-2.4	226/261/266	39	305	1	10	25%	4%	40	-1.0
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A	19	41	37→45	42→30	47	194/260/268	74	247	3	4	22%	7%	45	-2.1	214/272/303	89	268	7	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5