Gregori Arias — OGILVIE

Gregori AriasSS DSL Miami

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 53 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .262 / .254

PA53

HR1

K%34

BB%9

BABIP247

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	229	190	27	4	2	1	29	96	8	23	7	142	282	200	482	58	280	42	13	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	229	172	39	8	3	2	47	69	8	23	7	227	414	343	757	116	366	30	21	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	80	69	6	1	0	1	8	39	2	8	0	87	203	145	347	58	172	49	10	152	-25	-11	+2	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	80	64	8	1	0	1	13	27	2	8	0	125	291	188	479	62	194	34	16	242	43	-5	+2	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	19	ROK	MIA	0%	53	47	8	1	0	1	5	18	1	2	0	169	262	254	516	85	253	34	9	233	37	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		249	—	—	219	26	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIA	—	80	70	6	1	0	1	8	39	2	8	0	86	203	143	345	57	167	49	10	152	-25	-11	+2	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
TOT	19	ROK	MIA	—	133	116	14	2	0	2	13	57	3	10	0	120	227	189	416	69	209	43	10	185	-1	-15	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	131	115	20	3	1	2	13	43	2	4	1	174	269	270	539	96	259	33	10	246	47	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	45	40	7	1	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	175	267	275	542	100	254	33	9	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	45	41	7	1	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	171	267	268	535	98	240	33	9	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	100	14	0	14	58	217	14	14	0	169	265	264	528	95	238	33	9	232	36	-47	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	413	352	55	8	3	4	47	157	11	29	8	156	275	230	505	74	265	38	11	231	35	-31	+3	+0	+4	+12	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	87	13	5	6	74	247	17	46	13	157	276	231	507	74	267	38	11	231	35	-48	+4	+0	+7	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	229	172	39	8	3	2	47	69	8	23	7	227	414	343	757	116	366	30	21	356	130	+8	+2	—	—	+6	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gregori Arias (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	31→36	60→65	68	120/227/189	69	209	2	10	43%	10%	-1	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	51→50	53	176/275/255	79	250	5	16	29%	11%	50	-1.8	207/278/291	84	314	6	15	33%	8%	58	-1.2	179/234/283	104	312	10	11	44%	6%	35	-1.1
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2019 · A	19	42	37→45	54→55	47	200/268/276	76	260	3	17	23%	8%	50	-1.8	206/264/297	91	320	6	15	35%	7%	53	-1.5	174/237/279	105	309	10	15	44%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Miguel Tamares 2023 · A	18	40	39→40	56→60	48	187/282/273	86	283	6	24	33%	10%	56	-1.3	178/267/248	70	298	4	19	38%	9%	44	-2.1	126/238/152	25	234	0	24	40%	10%	7	-1.2
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Gabriel Ovalle 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	57→60	41	173/225/241	68	239	1	15	27%	6%	22	-3.7	188/252/246	58	261	1	15	26%	7%	35	-2.8	179/270/216	37	224	0	32	18%	9%	34	-0.9
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	50	-1.8	213/265/278	65	272	2	17	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/263/268	56	267	2	18	20%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	41	40	50	44	196/275/291	95	281	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.2	186/272/258	72	273	3	11	30%	7%	49	-1.8	173/260/240	67	252	3	12	30%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Fausto Natera 2008 · A	19	40	35→30	50	48	185/276/246	61	268	2	10	29%	9%	47	-1.9	209/276/266	57	274	1	14	22%	7%	51	-1.7	210/270/259	49	268	1	17	20%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→45	37→45	53→50	47	193/272/275	82	278	3	12	29%	9%	52	-1.6	202/256/315	113	303	9	14	34%	6%	55	-1.4	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Flemin Bautista 2019 · A	19	41	41→50	54→50	45	197/273/295	98	296	8	13	34%	9%	58	-1.2	186/254/296	110	300	10	10	38%	8%	50	-1.8	151/223/258	106	245	11	7	40%	8%	26	-1.2
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2021 · A	19	39→32	35→45	49→50	49	184/269/244	60	270	2	7	30%	10%	43	-2.2	193/268/302	109	302	10	11	36%	9%	58	-1.2	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Alberto Figuereo 2019 · A	19	45	35→30	61→60	47	209/277/273	64	266	1	25	21%	7%	53	-1.5	205/263/266	61	283	2	14	26%	6%	45	-2.1	195/238/226	31	268	0	9	26%	4%	20	-0.7
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Eduardo Lopez 2021 · A	19	43	36→40	53→50	49	199/271/272	73	262	2	14	23%	8%	50	-1.7	189/261/268	79	302	6	10	36%	8%	46	-2.0	164/237/270	106	244	11	11	35%	8%	34	-1.1
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→30	50→55	50	200/288/273	73	290	4	15	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/274/273	69	318	3	13	33%	8%	52	-1.6	181/264/239	58	298	2	15	36%	10%	36	-1.2