Juan Brown

3B ACL Reds

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	161	.257/.369/.375	3	0	25	—	.149/.250/.199
2026	19	ROKCIN	217	.211/.363/.322	4	2	36	—	.148/.264/.224
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCIN	327	.190/.263/.274	4	4	53	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCIN	89	.197/.271/.293	1	1	59	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO47

BB%45

K%27

Speed27

Chase%24

wOBA23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAnthony Rodriguez (age 20) · Anderson De Los Santos (age 20) · Jose Cordoba (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 186 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .261 / .271

PA186

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	217	171	36	5	1	4	32	58	9	2	3	211	363	322	685	111	283	27	15	317	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	34	9	1	1	0	3	15	2	4	0	265	359	353	712	88	389	38	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	141	21	4	0	1	12	60	7	0	2	149	250	199	449	50	233	37	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	217	183	27	3	1	3	20	84	9	2	3	148	264	224	488	77	221	39	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	34	9	1	1	0	3	15	2	4	0	265	359	353	712	88	474	38	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	141	21	4	0	1	12	60	7	0	2	149	250	199	449	50	247	37	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	217	183	27	3	1	3	20	84	9	2	3	148	264	224	488	77	240	39	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	217	171	36	5	1	4	32	58	9	2	3	211	363	322	685	111	283	27	15	317	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	34	9	1	1	0	3	15	2	4	0	265	359	353	712	88	389	38	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	141	21	4	0	1	12	60	7	0	2	149	250	199	449	50	233	37	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	217	186	27	3	1	3	20	84	9	2	3	145	264	220	485	75	221	39	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	34	9	1	1	0	3	15	2	4	0	265	359	353	712	88	389	38	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	141	21	4	0	1	12	60	7	0	2	149	250	199	449	50	233	37	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	217	186	27	3	1	3	20	84	9	2	3	145	264	220	485	75	221	39	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	327	295	56	9	2	4	24	98	5	4	1	190	263	274	537	84	267	30	7	247	53	-18	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	260	235	47	8	2	4	19	77	4	3	1	195	270	289	558	93	270	30	7	256	59	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	89	80	16	3	1	1	7	26	2	1	0	197	271	293	564	97	270	29	8	258	59	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	89	80	16	3	1	1	7	26	2	1	0	200	281	300	581	100	283	29	8	258	46	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	116	22	7	7	51	190	15	7	0	199	280	296	576	98	282	29	8	258	46	-32	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	863	760	135	21	5	10	68	292	25	11	7	178	267	258	525	80	269	34	8	236	46	-23	+0	+0	+2	+10	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	103	16	4	8	51	220	19	8	5	180	269	264	533	84	272	34	8	236	46	-33	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	275	3	3	193	263	280	+1	+0	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+1.2	-1.3	pk7: 0
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#3Hector Torres'68-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	18	7	215*	262*	312*	+16	+3	-2.1	-0.9
/162	664	6	2	+5.7	+1.2	-0.7	pk7: 0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2
#6Jim Mason'71-'79 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	12	2	204*	262*	306*	+18	-14	-4.1	-2.9
/162	664	5	1	+6.7	-5.3	-1.6	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Brown (OGILVIE)	20	30	30	35	40	188/261/271	83	267	2	2	30%	7%	53	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	35	37→30	39→45	40	171/236/242	71	239	4	3	29%	6%	36	-3.3	159/247/221	62	227	4	5	29%	9%	38	-3.2	120/231/166	46	169	3	4	28%	10%	18	-1.7
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Maurizo Buda 2012 · A	20	37	36→30	38→40	45	175/255/237	62	237	3	4	26%	7%	43	-2.8	192/273/259	67	261	3	4	26%	9%	55	-2.0	166/267/215	49	225	2	1	24%	10%	43	-1.2
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	39	40	40→30	35	195/234/282	87	285	8	3	34%	4%	44	-2.8	200/246/284	84	282	7	3	30%	5%	49	-2.4	189/236/264	76	258	7	0	28%	5%	39	-1.0
✕Jose Rivera 2010 · A	20	40	35→40	39→45	44	189/246/244	56	252	2	6	25%	6%	40	-3.1	189/229/246	57	244	3	5	23%	4%	33	-3.6	193/239/260	66	266	2	4	27%	4%	38	-0.9
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	37	36→30	40→45	40	180/234/240	60	249	3	5	28%	6%	34	-3.5	194/250/246	52	252	2	5	22%	6%	42	-2.9	190/250/229	39	240	1	3	20%	6%	36	-1.1
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	42→50	44	171/242/229	57	249	2	8	30%	8%	36	-3.4	167/248/235	68	217	4	9	23%	9%	40	-3.0	144/237/212	69	178	5	11	21%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	39	36→40	36→40	42	188/236/254	66	240	4	3	23%	5%	38	-3.2	191/234/243	52	261	2	5	26%	5%	34	-3.5	158/193/164	6	212	0	3	24%	4%	-2	-2.0
✕Elvis Rijo 2024 · A	20	39	35→30	39→45	44	183/256/237	54	245	2	5	25%	7%	43	-2.8	185/260/245	60	268	2	6	30%	6%	47	-2.6	173/262/211	38	243	0	6	26%	4%	38	-1.1
✕Francisco Garcia 2023 · A	20	34	37→40	43→50	35	169/231/239	70	269	5	6	37%	5%	34	-3.5	176/235/259	83	289	7	5	39%	5%	40	-3.1	143/196/212	69	231	6	4	39%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Gabriel Lino 2013 · A	20	39	42→40	42→30	40	192/251/295	103	271	9	4	32%	6%	55	-2.0	197/247/290	93	302	8	3	35%	5%	51	-2.3	206/255/293	86	293	6	0	30%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	42	36→40	42→40	41	200/260/264	63	257	4	6	23%	5%	51	-2.3	200/251/277	77	285	6	5	30%	5%	49	-2.4	146/187/213	67	206	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Juan Montes 2015 · A	20	38	35→30	38→55	47	182/261/242	60	245	3	5	25%	8%	47	-2.6	175/257/238	63	221	4	12	22%	6%	45	-2.7	161/251/205	44	203	3	21	21%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	40	36→30	43→50	40	191/247/255	64	283	4	7	33%	6%	42	-2.9	194/249/248	54	333	3	5	40%	6%	42	-2.9	179/237/204	25	317	1	2	41%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	37	34→30	44→45	43	175/249/228	53	281	2	7	36%	9%	38	-3.2	183/251/238	55	283	2	8	33%	8%	41	-3.0	157/234/187	30	233	0	8	30%	8%	21	-1.0
✕Dale Burdick 2016 · A	20	36	38→45	43→50	43	172/261/250	78	270	6	4	36%	8%	49	-2.4	178/251/271	93	308	7	7	41%	8%	49	-2.4	152/230/247	95	273	6	9	43%	8%	33	-1.2

Juan Brown

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps