Sam Robertson

SS St. Lucie Mets

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ANYM	68	.172/.294/.172	0	9	7	—	.133/.235/.133
2026	22	ANYM	166	.252/.388/.304	0	24	58	—	.203/.309/.245
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBNYM	276	.167/.254/.235	2	9	42	-0.4
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBNYM	68	.168/.255/.242	1	2	47	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed92

BB%68

Z-Con%67

Chase%56

Whiff%42

Max EV41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMax Ferguson (age 23) · Terrance Gore (age 23) · Tyler Tolbert (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .252 / .233

PA156

HR1

SB5

K%31

BB%9

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED78

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	58	10	0	0	0	9	27	1	9	1	172	294	172	467		323	40	13	236	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	135	34	5	1	0	27	46	3	24	5	252	388	304	692	52	378	28	16	328	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	60	8	0	0	0	7	35	1	9	1	133	235	133	369		308	51	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	143	29	4	1	0	19	63	3	24	5	203	309	245	554	42	345	38	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	60	8	0	0	0	7	35	1	9	1	133	235	133	369		320	51	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	58	10	0	0	0	9	27	1	9	1	172	294	172	467		323	40	13	236	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	143	29	4	1	0	19	63	3	24	5	203	309	245	554	42	358	38	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	135	34	5	1	0	27	46	3	24	5	252	388	304	692	52	378	28	16	328	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	60	8	0	0	0	7	35	1	9	1	133	235	133	369		308	51	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	143	29	4	1	0	19	63	3	24	5	203	309	245	554	42	345	38	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	60	8	0	0	0	7	35	1	9	1	133	235	133	369		308	51	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	166	143	29	4	1	0	19	63	3	24	5	203	309	245	554	42	345	38	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	276	245	40	7	1	2	26	86	3	9	2	167	254	235	489	68	243	31	9	230	42	-19	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	30%	225	200	34	6	1	2	21	69	2	7	1	173	259	249	509	76	247	31	9	238	47	-14	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	30%	68	61	10	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	168	255	242	497	74	239	31	9	233	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	61	10	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	164	250	246	496	82	231	31	9	233	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	96	19	0	10	57	201	10	19	0	165	251	249	499	84	231	31	9	233	44	-41	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	615	541	94	14	3	3	62	216	8	45	8	174	268	227	496	54	280	35	10	234	44	-25	+2	+0	+4	+8	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	99	15	3	3	66	228	8	48	8	173	268	226	493	52	279	35	10	234	44	-43	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	224	2	7	169	254	240	+2	+3	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	6	21	+7.1	+8.9	-1.6	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3
#6Skeeter Webb'38-'48 * career totals — 11 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	3	33	210*	251*	293*	+18	+0	-7.6	-5.7
/162	664	1	9	+5.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Robertson (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	28→33	73→78	64	165/252/233	67	243	1	5	31%	9%	42	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→35	39→40	64→60	50	175/275/264	90	264	6	32	33%	11%	57	-1.8	180/260/270	90	269	8	28	33%	9%	53	-2.1	177/253/266	89	250	10	28	31%	9%	46	-1.7
✕Terrance Gore 2014 · A	23	44→42	33→30	62→70	45	203/282/239	36	289	1	34	28%	8%	53	-2.1	216/274/254	38	302	1	48	27%	6%	53	-2.1	194/257/241	47	277	1	52	28%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	38→48	39→45	67→65	43	180/267/270	90	293	6	37	37%	9%	55	-1.9	204/263/301	97	291	6	38	30%	6%	59	-1.6	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	47	185/274/255	70	288	2	24	33%	10%	55	-2.0	207/297/291	84	313	5	17	32%	9%	71	-0.8	199/309/261	62	300	4	23	31%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	203/264/279	76	291	2	27	29%	7%	55	-2.0	217/280/291	74	327	4	27	32%	7%	63	-1.3	224/290/283	58	344	4	45	33%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	43	38→40	63→60	47	201/252/288	86	235	4	27	16%	6%	52	-2.2	236/266/309	73	293	2	23	19%	4%	61	-1.5	267/287/325	58	333	0	29	19%	2%	68	-0.4
✕Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. 2024 · A	23	40→39	38→40	57→60	41	192/257/274	83	287	5	20	33%	7%	51	-2.2	194/250/269	75	290	5	28	33%	6%	47	-2.5	190/245/259	69	282	5	35	33%	6%	41	-2.0
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Jacob Zanon 2018 · A	23	45→36	38→40	58→55	44	210/271/294	83	286	4	26	26%	7%	61	-1.5	190/245/265	75	271	4	18	29%	6%	45	-2.7	173/227/238	65	248	4	17	30%	6%	30	-2.3
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	35→34	38→40	60	34	171/222/248	76	288	6	33	41%	6%	32	-3.7	183/240/267	84	320	8	32	42%	7%	43	-2.8	164/226/240	76	293	8	45	44%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Andrew Means 2010 · A	23	43→45	40→30	59→55	37	212/256/301	89	279	7	20	26%	4%	57	-1.8	214/251/283	69	292	5	21	27%	3%	50	-2.3	213/250/272	59	288	4	24	27%	3%	44	-1.6
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	180/221/239	59	277	4	20	36%	5%	28	-3.9	199/250/264	65	325	4	24	37%	6%	46	-2.6	197/255/255	58	327	4	28	38%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	41→40	37→40	60	50	192/272/272	80	251	2	20	23%	9%	57	-1.8	203/271/276	73	310	2	18	32%	8%	57	-1.8	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	199/267/295	96	319	9	25	38%	8%	60	-1.6	188/270/271	83	301	6	19	36%	9%	57	-1.8	95/220/120	24	167	0	28	37%	11%	5	-1.2
✕Nick Hill 2018 · A	23	42	35→30	58→55	36	191/258/260	69	304	2	18	35%	5%	49	-2.4	202/263/269	67	378	3	14	44%	5%	53	-2.1	188/247/230	42	401	2	20	50%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Todd Hankins 2014 · A	23	38→48	39→40	57→55	40	185/252/270	85	283	6	27	35%	7%	49	-2.4	204/254/296	92	297	7	21	32%	5%	55	-2.0	200/245/278	78	291	6	22	32%	5%	44	-1.7

Sam Robertson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps