Belfi Rivera — OGILVIE

Belfi RiveraOF DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .260 / .249

PA94

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	179	33	6	1	1	28	64	2	7	2	184	301	246	547	61	274	30	13	258	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	123	28	4	0	0	26	34	0	14	4	228	362	260	623	33	311	23	17	300	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	90	27	4	2	0	17	25	0	8	2	300	411	389	800	89	409	23	15	357	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	186	18	3	0	0	21	80	2	7	2	97	196	113	309	16	170	38	10	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	131	20	3	0	0	18	42	0	14	4	153	255	176	431	23	216	28	12	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	95	19	3	1	0	12	30	0	8	2	200	290	253	542	53	280	27	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	186	18	3	0	0	21	80	2	7	2	97	196	113	309	16	165	38	10	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	179	33	6	1	1	28	64	2	7	2	184	301	246	547	61	274	30	13	258	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	131	20	3	0	0	18	42	0	14	4	153	255	176	431	23	222	28	12	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	123	28	4	0	0	26	34	0	14	4	228	362	260	623	33	311	23	17	300	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	95	19	3	1	0	12	30	0	8	2	200	290	253	542	53	288	27	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	90	27	4	2	0	17	25	0	8	2	300	411	389	800	89	409	23	15	357	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	188	18	3	0	0	21	80	2	7	2	96	196	112	308	16	170	38	10	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	131	20	3	0	0	18	42	0	14	4	153	255	176	431	23	216	28	12	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	97	19	3	1	0	12	30	0	8	2	196	290	247	537	52	280	27	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	213	188	18	3	0	0	21	80	2	7	2	96	196	112	308	16	170	38	10	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	150	131	20	3	0	0	18	42	0	14	4	153	255	176	431	23	216	28	12	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	110	97	19	3	1	0	12	30	0	8	2	196	290	247	537	52	280	27	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	220	198	36	6	1	1	18	63	2	5	1	188	262	252	514	64	265	29	8	239	48	-14	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	180	162	31	5	1	2	15	51	1	4	1	194	269	271	540	77	268	28	8	249	55	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	62	57	11	2	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	200	274	283	557	83	277	27	8	256	55	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	62	57	11	2	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	193	258	281	539	88	256	27	8	256	32	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	115	21	0	10	52	178	0	10	0	192	257	278	535	85	256	27	8	256	32	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	747	659	105	17	3	3	74	230	4	35	9	159	248	208	456	49	236	31	10	215	32	-16	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	92	15	3	3	64	200	3	30	8	161	248	213	461	52	237	31	10	215	32	-37	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Belfi Rivera (OGILVIE)	20	30	20	60	60	186/260/249	64	265	1	2	29%	8%	48	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Yeniel Laboy 2024 · A	20	43	37→30	52→45	47	200/283/268	68	287	5	8	29%	9%	61	-1.5	199/274/263	64	285	4	7	29%	8%	55	-1.9	166/248/183	18	241	0	3	28%	9%	26	-1.3
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Junior Amarante 2015 · A	20	39	33→30	55	45	184/252/228	44	256	1	18	27%	7%	39	-3.1	198/256/252	54	281	2	13	28%	6%	46	-2.6	173/227/195	22	249	0	14	29%	4%	19	-1.2
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Roberto Reyes 2009 · A	20	34	35→40	51→55	43	163/239/224	61	248	2	8	32%	8%	34	-3.5	180/249/255	75	280	4	11	34%	7%	45	-2.7	171/238/241	71	254	5	10	33%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	40	36→40	51→50	48	189/267/252	64	257	3	15	26%	9%	51	-2.3	202/263/272	70	293	3	12	30%	7%	53	-2.1	206/248/291	84	301	9	11	33%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Henry Ramos 2024 · A	19	33→43	36→40	55	44	163/232/226	64	231	3	15	29%	7%	32	-3.7	191/254/260	69	282	4	16	31%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/273	72	289	5	18	30%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Dan Arcila 2010 · A	20	33	34→40	53→50	45	159/241/211	52	247	1	15	33%	9%	32	-3.7	181/238/292	111	250	11	8	31%	6%	49	-2.4	160/212/308	147	198	17	3	29%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Nelson Molina 2015 · A	20	39	34→40	51→40	44	183/229/229	47	226	2	12	20%	5%	30	-3.8	216/262/277	61	266	3	7	19%	5%	53	-2.1	228/270/291	63	280	4	5	19%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	34	34→30	50→45	42	166/230/220	54	234	2	8	28%	6%	29	-3.8	176/252/233	57	250	2	8	28%	8%	40	-3.0	156/242/202	46	220	1	8	27%	9%	29	-1.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	40	35→30	46→50	47	189/255/250	61	251	3	12	25%	8%	45	-2.7	198/260/264	66	294	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/248/237	57	271	2	9	32%	8%	36	-1.1
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Jesus Loya 2012 · A	20	42	35→40	51→50	46	198/258/258	60	251	3	13	22%	6%	48	-2.5	224/266/287	63	281	2	11	20%	5%	57	-1.8	243/289/294	51	313	1	11	21%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	40→42	38→40	52→50	42	191/253/269	78	273	5	15	30%	7%	49	-2.4	208/250/277	69	309	3	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	204/247/267	63	301	2	11	31%	5%	42	-1.5