Michael Baez — OGILVIE

Michael BaezC DSL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .269 / .277

PA5

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	16	11	4	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	364	533	636	1.170	273	375	19	19	476	209	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	129	108	22	7	0	0	15	35	6	0	0	204	333	269	602	65	301	27	12	290	83	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	16	12	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	333	467	583	1.050	250	309	25	12	422	172	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	129	114	15	4	0	0	9	49	6	0	0	132	233	167	399	35	238	38	7	195	18	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	16	12	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	333	467	583	1.050	250	375	25	12	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	16	11	4	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	364	533	636	1.170	273	375	19	19	476	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	129	114	15	4	0	0	9	49	6	0	0	132	233	167	399	35	231	38	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	129	108	22	7	0	0	15	35	6	0	0	204	333	269	602	65	301	27	12	290	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	16	13	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	308	467	538	1.005	231	309	25	12	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	129	113	15	4	0	0	9	49	6	0	0	133	233	168	401	35	238	38	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	16	13	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	308	467	538	1.005	231	309	25	12	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	129	113	15	4	0	0	9	49	6	0	0	133	233	168	401	35	238	38	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		289	40	0	253	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	117	105	22	4	1	2	9	35	2	1	0	210	284	324	608	114	290	30	8	264	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	252	227	48	9	1	4	19	75	4	2	1	211	284	313	597	101	291	30	8	271	70	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	351	315	68	13	2	6	27	102	6	3	1	216	290	327	617	111	292	29	8	276	73	-11	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	411	370	79	15	2	7	31	119	7	4	1	214	287	322	608	108	292	29	8	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	448	404	86	16	2	8	34	130	7	4	2	213	285	322	607	109	292	29	8	280	76	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	466	419	90	17	2	9	36	135	8	4	2	215	289	329	619	115	292	29	8	280	76	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	474	426	91	17	2	9	37	138	8	4	2	214	289	326	615	113	291	29	8	279	75	-14	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	472	424	89	17	2	8	37	139	8	4	1	210	286	316	602	106	291	29	8	277	74	-15	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	466	418	87	16	2	8	37	138	8	3	1	208	285	313	598	105	289	30	8	274	72	-16	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	441	396	82	15	2	7	35	132	7	3	1	207	283	308	591	101	287	30	8	270	69	-16	+0	-3	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	194	275	306	581	111	290	30	8	251	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	122	110	23	4	1	2	9	36	2	1	0	209	281	318	599	109	291	30	7	259	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	185	166	36	7	1	3	14	54	3	2	1	217	290	325	615	108	292	29	8	264	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	225	202	43	8	1	4	17	65	4	2	1	213	287	322	609	109	292	29	8	267	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	249	224	48	9	1	5	19	72	4	2	1	214	287	330	618	116	292	29	8	268	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	256	230	49	9	1	5	20	74	4	2	1	213	287	326	613	113	292	29	8	268	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	259	233	49	9	1	5	20	76	4	2	1	210	284	322	606	112	291	29	8	267	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	252	226	47	9	1	4	20	74	4	2	1	208	284	310	594	102	291	29	8	265	74	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	245	220	45	8	1	4	19	73	4	2	1	205	280	305	584	100	289	30	8	262	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2036	31	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	249	223	46	8	1	4	20	75	4	2	1	206	283	305	588	99	287	30	8	258	69	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2082	1870	393	72	9	37	161	611	34	17	8	210	285	318	602	107	289	29	8	264	72	-67	+0	-4	+37	+45	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	123	22	3	12	50	191	11	5	2	211	285	320	605	110	289	29	8	264	72	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4048	3635	762	143	18	69	313	1198	72	32	12	210	285	316	601	106	290	30	8	274	72	-125	+2	-7	+70	+85	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	122	23	3	11	50	192	12	5	2	209	285	315	600	106	289	30	8	274	72	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,150	37	17	213	284	321	+38	+24	2.8	2.7
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+7.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Baez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	197/269/277	80	289	1	1	31%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	36→45	40→50	46→45	31	176/222/262	86	307	8	6	44%	5%	35	-3.4	202/249/314	112	315	12	6	38%	5%	57	-1.8	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2014 · A	21	39→43	38→45	46→40	35	190/229/269	79	293	5	4	36%	5%	38	-3.2	202/237/296	94	277	9	3	29%	4%	48	-2.5	206/242/315	109	264	12	2	27%	4%	53	-1.7
✕Domingo Soriano 2011 · A	21	36	38→45	43→50	32	179/218/255	75	276	5	7	36%	4%	32	-3.7	194/234/273	79	322	5	10	39%	4%	42	-2.9	179/206/255	77	297	5	17	41%	2%	25	-1.1
✕Melky Mesa 2007 · A	20	36→44	40→50	45→55	34	178/225/267	89	288	7	6	39%	5%	37	-3.3	177/227/280	103	300	9	8	42%	5%	42	-2.9	207/264/356	149	293	17	21	34%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	36	40→55	47→50	37	182/225/273	91	248	7	7	29%	4%	38	-3.2	211/244/320	109	279	10	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	221/248/346	125	282	12	9	26%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Dustin Peterson 2015 · A	20	38→48	39→45	42→45	33	189/224/271	82	275	6	3	33%	4%	37	-3.3	215/258/303	88	285	7	4	26%	5%	57	-1.8	231/275/338	107	290	12	2	24%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Davis Tavárez 2019 · A	20	39	35→45	44→40	37	186/230/246	60	265	3	4	30%	4%	34	-3.5	216/267/303	87	289	6	9	26%	6%	61	-1.5	223/261/326	104	316	10	6	32%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	37	-3.3	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	68	-1.0	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	77	-0.1
✕Kyler Burke 2009 · A	21	36→46	37→45	49→45	38	176/237/244	68	281	5	6	37%	7%	37	-3.3	206/270/320	114	284	9	7	29%	7%	67	-1.1	199/266/316	117	271	9	6	28%	7%	63	-1.3
✕Corey Adamson 2013 · A	21	37→47	36→40	41→50	43	180/240/241	62	256	3	8	30%	7%	37	-3.3	221/286/314	93	299	6	16	26%	7%	71	-0.8	229/295/327	98	307	6	19	26%	7%	75	-0.3
✕DJ Gladney 2022 · A	21	38→44	41→50	49→50	27	159/221/251	92	362	10	4	55%	6%	33	-3.6	178/229/306	128	308	15	8	45%	5%	49	-2.4	208/249/355	146	319	19	13	40%	4%	65	-0.9
✕Chuckie Jones 2013 · A	21	39→40	40→45	49→50	29	172/226/259	88	345	7	6	50%	6%	36	-3.3	195/253/307	112	304	12	9	38%	6%	57	-1.8	193/251/307	115	286	13	9	36%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	36	176/216/262	86	249	6	10	32%	5%	32	-3.6	210/275/311	101	320	8	8	34%	8%	66	-1.1	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Andrew Ray 2012 · A	21	36	38→55	50	35	173/229/245	72	298	6	7	42%	6%	34	-3.5	185/216/305	120	289	12	4	39%	4%	42	-2.9	167/192/300	133	257	14	2	41%	3%	30	-1.3
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A	20	33	38→45	43→30	39	167/229/240	73	245	7	3	34%	6%	34	-3.5	200/268/307	107	263	11	4	27%	7%	63	-1.3	189/266/312	123	228	15	1	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Mark Dolenc 2007 · A	22	38→48	35→40	49→55	39	186/231/245	59	262	3	11	30%	5%	34	-3.5	215/268/288	73	322	5	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	225/277/302	76	336	4	21	32%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Aristides Aquino 2014 · A	20	33→41	40→60	41→50	35	172/217/265	93	250	7	6	34%	4%	34	-3.5	202/240/343	141	269	14	10	30%	4%	61	-1.5	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Reginald Lampe 2010 · A	20	41	35→45	43→55	40	191/250/257	66	285	2	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	205/266/299	94	267	7	9	25%	6%	60	-1.6	192/257/286	94	245	8	10	24%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Adanson Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	39→40	47→50	29	162/226/241	79	381	7	6	55%	7%	33	-3.6	196/265/276	80	346	5	9	41%	7%	55	-1.9	195/279/247	53	325	0	10	36%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Micker Adolfo 2017 · A	20	38	40→50	44→45	28	180/221/269	89	326	8	4	46%	4%	36	-3.3	201/256/325	124	343	14	3	43%	5%	63	-1.3	189/251/334	145	313	17	3	43%	6%	61	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps