Michael Baez — OGILVIE

Michael BaezC DSL Braves

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .270 / .280

PA67

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	16	12	4	0	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	333	467	583	1.050	250	429	31	12	455	206	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	16	11	4	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	364	533	636	1.170	273	375	19	19	476	223	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	129	113	16	4	0	0	10	48	6	0	0	142	248	177	425	35	246	37	8	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	129	108	22	7	0	0	15	35	6	0	0	204	333	269	602	65	301	27	12	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	—	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	289	31	7	255	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	117	105	23	4	1	2	9	35	2	1	0	219	293	333	626	114	290	30	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	252	227	48	9	1	4	19	74	4	2	1	211	284	313	597	101	292	29	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	351	315	68	13	2	6	27	102	6	3	1	216	290	327	617	111	293	29	8	277	71	-12	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	411	370	80	15	2	8	31	119	7	4	1	216	289	332	622	116	293	29	8	280	73	-13	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.7
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	448	404	86	16	2	8	34	129	7	4	2	213	285	322	607	109	293	29	8	281	73	-14	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	194	275	306	581	111	290	30	8	253	52	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	122	110	23	4	1	2	9	36	2	1	0	209	281	318	599	109	292	30	7	260	57	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	185	166	36	7	1	3	14	54	3	2	1	217	290	325	615	108	293	29	8	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	225	202	43	8	1	4	17	65	4	2	1	213	287	322	609	109	293	29	8	268	63	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	249	224	48	9	1	5	19	72	4	2	1	214	287	330	618	116	293	29	8	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	821	738	157	29	4	15	62	239	14	7	3	213	286	324	610	111	291	29	8	266	62	-36	+0	+0	+15	+23	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	124	23	3	12	49	189	11	6	2	212	285	324	609	111	290	29	8	266	62	-28	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1791	1607	337	63	8	30	137	533	34	15	5	210	286	315	601	105	292	30	8	272	67	-67	+1	+0	+32	+51	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	123	23	3	11	50	193	12	5	2	211	286	317	604	106	293	30	8	272	67	-24	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	16	11	4	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	364	533	636	1.170	273	375	19	19	476	223	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	129	108	22	7	0	0	15	35	6	0	0	204	333	269	602	65	301	27	12	290	80	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	889	15	8	214	285	323	+16	+12	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	11	6	214	285	323	+11.9	+9.0	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Baez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	198/270/280	82	289	1	1	31%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Kevin Ahrens 2010 · A	21	41→46	38→45	47→40	41	198/251/277	80	281	5	3	30%	6%	43	-2.2	198/257/302	104	262	10	3	27%	7%	53	-1.5	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2007 · A	21	40	36→45	45→50	36	190/231/257	67	286	3	5	34%	5%	28	-3.2	196/248/279	83	269	7	5	28%	6%	42	-2.3	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Gavin LaValley 2016 · A	21	43	38→50	48→40	40	204/261/280	75	297	5	4	32%	6%	48	-1.9	212/261/333	121	291	13	2	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/253/340	137	270	17	1	31%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Brendon Davis 2019 · A	22	42→44	39→50	43→50	38	198/256/282	85	307	6	5	36%	6%	46	-2.0	200/260/307	107	300	10	6	35%	6%	55	-1.4	198/270/373	176	251	22	9	30%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/244/258	78	284	5	4	36%	7%	36	-2.7	197/237/317	120	282	14	3	34%	4%	48	-1.9	227/249/361	134	309	15	1	31%	2%	60	-0.5