Graysen Tarlow

C Springfield Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AASTL	69	.278/.418/.296	0	0	88	—	.276/.373/.293
2025	24	A+STL	139	.304/.407/.357	1	1	79	—	.252/.341/.294
2026	25	AAASTL	51	.302/.388/.395	0	1	104	—	.295/.367/.386
2026	25	AASTL	135	.212/.331/.372	4	4	56	—	.169/.263/.288
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBSTL	4	.216/.296/.308	0	0	73	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	27	MLBSTL	90	.216/.296/.311	1	1	74	0.1
2029PROJ50% MLB	28	MLBSTL	159	.216/.295/.311	2	2	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

K%93

Z-Con%93

Whiff%87

Speed68

Max EV64

BB%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsAndres Sosa (age 26) · Maverick Handley (age 26) · Jack Dunn (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .296 / .308

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO106

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	59	45	9	3	0	1	11	9	3	0	0	200	390	333	723	133	229	15	19	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	78	13	1	0	0	12	23	0	0	0	167	278	179	457	13	232	25	13	225	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	69	54	15	1	0	0	13	15	0	0	1	278	418	296	714	19	375	22	19	334	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	139	115	35	3	0	1	12	30	8	1	3	304	407	357	764	52	386	22	9	347	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	38	31	5	1	0	0	5	7	1	3	0	161	297	194	491	32	200	18	13	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	51	43	13	4	0	0	5	6	1	1	0	302	388	395	783	93	333	12	10	343	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	135	113	24	6	0	4	16	36	4	4	0	212	331	372	703	159	267	27	12	317	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	59	48	8	2	0	1	8	13	3	0	0	167	322	271	593	104	201	22	14	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	81	11	1	0	0	9	29	0	0	0	136	222	148	370	12	202	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	69	58	16	1	0	0	9	18	0	0	1	276	373	293	666	17	361	26	13	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	139	119	30	2	0	1	8	40	8	1	3	252	341	294	635	42	333	29	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	51	44	13	4	0	0	4	7	1	1	0	295	367	386	754	91	311	14	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	135	118	20	5	0	3	11	44	4	4	0	169	263	288	551	119	228	33	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	59	48	8	2	0	1	8	13	3	0	0	167	322	271	593	104	206	22	14	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	59	45	9	3	0	1	11	9	3	0	0	200	390	333	723	133	229	15	19	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	81	11	1	0	0	9	29	0	0	0	136	222	148	370	12	208	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	78	13	1	0	0	12	23	0	0	0	167	278	179	457	13	232	25	13	225	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	246	210	54	4	0	1	20	69	9	4	4	257	347	290	638	33	363	28	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	246	200	55	5	0	1	30	52	9	4	4	275	393	315	708	40	353	21	12	327	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	162	32	8	0	3	15	51	5	5	0	198	286	302	588	105	259	27	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	186	156	37	10	0	4	21	42	5	5	0	237	346	378	724	141	289	23	11	324	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	59	48	8	2	0	1	8	13	3	0	0	167	322	271	593	104	201	22	14	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	82	11	1	0	0	9	29	0	0	0	134	222	146	369	12	202	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	246	215	54	4	0	1	20	69	9	4	4	251	347	284	631	33	342	28	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	164	32	8	0	3	15	51	5	5	0	195	286	299	584	104	251	27	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	91	82	11	1	0	0	9	29	0	0	0	134	222	146	369	12	202	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	246	215	54	4	0	1	20	69	9	4	4	251	347	284	631	33	342	28	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	164	32	8	0	3	15	51	5	5	0	195	286	299	584	104	251	27	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	2%	236	210	45	9	1	3	20	59	4	4	1	215	295	308	603	94	281	25	8	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	216	296	308	604	93	283	25	0	277	73	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	33%	271	242	53	11	1	4	23	68	4	4	1	215	295	311	606	96	281	25	8	277	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	50%	319	284	60	12	1	4	27	80	5	4	1	215	294	311	605	96	280	25	8	277	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	STL	56%	339	302	65	13	1	5	29	86	5	3	1	214	293	310	602	96	280	25	9	276	73	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	STL	64%	352	315	67	13	1	5	29	89	5	2	1	212	291	307	597	94	278	25	8	273	71	-12	+0	-2	+6	+8	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	33%	90	81	17	4	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	216	296	311	607	95	283	26	9	278	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	50%	159	142	31	6	1	2	13	40	3	2	1	216	295	311	606	95	283	25	8	277	74	-5	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	STL	56%	189	168	37	8	1	2	16	48	3	2	1	215	294	309	603	94	282	25	8	276	73	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	STL	64%	226	202	44	9	1	3	19	57	3	1	1	213	291	306	598	93	280	25	8	274	71	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	664	593	129	27	3	8	56	168	10	6	3	218	296	314	610	96	288	25	8	276	70	-22	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	126	26	3	8	55	164	10	6	3	217	296	314	610	97	287	25	8	276	70	-21	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2064	1823	389	72	5	26	177	535	39	26	9	213	297	301	598	88	283	26	9	272	70	-48	+1	-4	+26	+32	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	123	23	2	8	56	168	12	8	3	214	298	303	601	89	285	26	9	272	70	-21	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Paul Richards'32-'46 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	15	15	218*	296*	337*	+29	+0	2.3	2.5
/162	664	6	6	+11.9	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	668	9	7	215	290	310	+12	+8	0.8	0.8
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+8.0	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Graysen Tarlow (OGILVIE)	26	39	35	47	49	213/293/306	93	281	3	4	25%	8%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Sosa 2024 · AA	26	42	40	49→45	46	201/294/296	96	278	7	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	204/287/299	95	305	8	7	33%	8%	70	-0.9	164/264/245	81	266	7	2	37%	8%	47	-0.9
✕Maverick Handley 2024 · AAA	26	42	42→40	50	47	203/297/306	103	287	10	13	31%	9%	75	-0.5	206/294/291	85	286	6	10	27%	9%	70	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48	37→40	46→55	47	227/293/298	71	300	4	12	24%	8%	70	-0.8	217/308/298	81	279	7	21	23%	10%	77	-0.3	209/313/285	76	260	8	26	21%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Kramer Robertson 2021 · AAA	26	44→50	41→40	45→55	51	213/298/311	98	259	8	13	20%	9%	76	-0.4	210/303/310	100	271	9	19	24%	10%	78	-0.3	197/300/279	83	260	7	22	25%	10%	68	-0.9
✕Zach Humphreys 2024 · AAA	26	47	42→40	49→50	49	223/298/331	108	297	9	15	26%	9%	80	-0.1	207/280/293	86	281	6	15	26%	8%	65	-1.2	193/271/261	68	265	3	15	26%	9%	52	-0.8
✕Adam Weisenburger 2015 · AAA	26	46	40	41→30	48	222/297/315	93	281	7	4	23%	8%	76	-0.4	215/296/301	86	276	6	6	22%	8%	73	-0.6	195/285/264	68	245	3	3	19%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Wynston Sawyer 2018 · AA	26	46	42→45	43→45	46	223/292/333	110	287	9	6	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/288/323	104	298	8	5	28%	6%	75	-0.5	204/281/297	93	284	7	0	28%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Alfredo González 2018 · AA	26	45	38→40	44→45	46	216/277/289	73	276	6	7	23%	7%	62	-1.4	208/268/284	76	286	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.7	198/261/257	59	282	4	2	29%	7%	46	-1.0
✕Dominic Miroglio 2021 · AA	26	47	40→45	46→40	45	227/281/322	95	274	7	6	20%	6%	72	-0.7	213/278/344	131	268	13	5	24%	7%	76	-0.4	202/268/341	140	248	14	2	24%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2015 · AA	26	47→44	43→45	47→50	44	230/286/347	117	294	9	10	24%	6%	79	-0.2	224/283/315	91	318	7	9	30%	7%	70	-0.8	211/278/284	72	314	6	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2011 · AAA	25	42	40	50	46	204/282/299	95	268	8	9	25%	7%	68	-1.0	218/266/316	98	278	11	13	25%	5%	64	-1.3	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Nick Trzesniak 2007 · AAA	26	47	42→45	49→50	44	229/280/333	104	290	9	10	24%	6%	73	-0.6	221/269/330	109	296	11	7	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/250/304	96	284	11	0	30%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Nevin Ashley 2011 · AAA	26	44→50	40→45	46→45	43	212/279/301	90	285	7	7	27%	7%	66	-1.1	225/290/337	112	291	10	6	25%	6%	78	-0.3	223/291/337	115	286	11	4	25%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jan Vázquez 2017 · AA	26	45	38→40	46→45	44	213/286/294	81	285	5	10	25%	7%	68	-1.0	223/297/326	103	298	9	7	27%	7%	79	-0.2	219/299/320	101	294	10	3	27%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Nick Meyer 2023 · AAA	26	47	41→40	50	49	225/300/320	95	287	9	17	24%	9%	78	-0.3	215/285/313	98	281	11	14	26%	8%	71	-0.8	186/258/249	63	242	10	12	26%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Brian Friday 2012 · AAA	26	47→52	40→45	47→50	47	224/292/327	103	290	7	12	24%	8%	76	-0.4	207/272/301	94	268	7	14	24%	7%	63	-1.4	178/245/249	70	229	4	16	22%	7%	39	-1.7
✕Humberto Sosa 2012 · AAA	26	48	42→45	48→45	47	231/286/335	103	278	9	5	20%	7%	76	-0.4	224/274/351	127	271	14	7	22%	6%	76	-0.4	216/265/337	121	259	14	4	22%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	198/278/307	109	265	11	4	28%	9%	68	-1.0	206/297/296	90	291	7	5	29%	10%	72	-0.7	185/302/243	58	271	3	0	28%	13%	60	-0.8
✕Dan Butler 2013 · AAA	26	43→39	43→45	47→40	47	212/282/326	114	259	10	3	22%	7%	73	-0.6	210/272/324	114	263	11	3	23%	7%	69	-0.9	206/274/297	91	259	8	0	22%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Phil Avlas 2008 · AA	25	45	40	43→45	49	216/278/303	86	261	8	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	225/274/309	84	274	6	9	19%	6%	65	-1.2	244/281/313	69	290	4	8	17%	5%	68	-0.4

Graysen Tarlow

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps