Hunter Mann — OGILVIE

Hunter Mann P Spokane Indians

Age 24 RHP 6'7" / 225 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%18.8%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%-0.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.0	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-3.23	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.0	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-3.23	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.0	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	0.8%	3.86	3.03	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	0.8%	3.86	3.03	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	31.4%	8.8%	22.6%	0.6%	3.86	1.89	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	18.5%	-0.1%	3.3%	6.61	5.68	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	18.5%	-0.1%	3.3%	6.61	5.68	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	23.9%	16.1%	7.8%	2.6%	6.61	4.71	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	41	0	71	295	79	28	5	0%	1.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.1%	4.33	3.87	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	41	0	71	295	79	28	5	0%	1.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.1%	4.33	3.87	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	COL	31	0	58	234	61	24	4	0%	1.9	26.1%	10.3%	15.8%	1.7%	4.06	3.14	—
2026	24	AA RAW	COL	10	0	13	61	18	4	1	0%	1.3	29.5%	6.6%	23.0%	1.6%	5.54	2.34	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	5	22	4	4	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	18.9%	-0.1%	3.0%	5.92	5.92	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	76	317	83	32	6	—	—	26.2%	10.1%	16.1%	1.8%	4.44	4.01	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	67	0	70	296	58	49	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	16.7%	3.0%	3.0%	5.64	5.56	-0.8
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	67	0	70	296	60	48	9	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.1%	4.0%	3.0%	5.48	5.44	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	59	46	9	0%	1.0	20.3%	15.8%	4.5%	3.0%	5.42	5.42	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	57	45	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	15.8%	4.4%	3.1%	5.45	5.48	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	54	43	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.0%	4.0%	3.3%	5.55	5.61	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	29	0	30	127	25	21	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	16.7%	3.0%	3.0%	5.64	5.56	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	45	0	47	198	40	32	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.1%	4.0%	3.0%	5.48	5.44	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	50	0	53	224	45	35	7	0%	1.1	20.3%	15.8%	4.5%	3.0%	5.42	5.42	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	53	0	56	236	48	37	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	15.8%	4.4%	3.1%	5.45	5.48	-0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	53	0	56	236	47	38	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.0%	4.0%	3.3%	5.55	5.61	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		231	0	242	1023	205	164	31	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.0%	4.1%	3.1%	5.50	5.12	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	135	26	0%	1.1	20.1%	16.0%	4.1%	3.1%	5.50	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		111	0	158	688	142	92	15	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.3%	7.4%	2.2%	4.90	4.24	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	871	180	116	19	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.3%	7.4%	2.2%	4.90	4.24	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Mann (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	18.8%	18.9%	3.0%	—	5.47	20.0%	3.8%	209	-0.45	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	89
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	89
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	88
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	87
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	84
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	84
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	84
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	83
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	83
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	83
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	83
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	83
Miguel Rosario R 2017 · 4.83 FIP	24	SU	4.83	16.4%	18.6%	1.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	197	83
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	82
Yunior Montero R 2017 · 5.21 FIP	24	SU	5.21	21.3%	17.6%	3.1%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	127	82
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	66	19.9%	16.5%	1.18	5.57
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77