Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 0.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 0.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 159 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 0.8% | 3.86 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 159 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.4% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 0.6% | 3.86 | 1.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 38 | 0 | 49 | 230 | 55 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.4% | 18.5% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 6.61 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 38 | 0 | 49 | 230 | 55 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.9% | 16.1% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 6.61 | 4.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 27 | 0 | 49 | 200 | 51 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 45 | 45 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 18.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.8% | 18.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 106 | 441 | 96 | 65 | 11 | — | — | 21.8% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 5.22 | 5.14 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.8% | 18.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 5.50 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 48 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 49 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | COL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 49 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 15.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 32 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.42 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | COL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 38 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 15.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 5.40 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 108 | 454 | 91 | 72 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.47 | 5.06 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 134 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.47 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 0 | 136 | 593 | 120 | 83 | 14 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 5.03 | 4.43 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 0 | 200 | 872 | 177 | 121 | 20 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 5.03 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Mann (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.88 | 18.8% | 18.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.45 | 20.0% | 4.0% | 172 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.6% | 18.4% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 184 | -0.36 | 3.34 | 334 | 90 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 89 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 21.4% | 22.3% | 2.7% | .278 | 5.16 | 19.4% | 2.8% | 102 | -0.45 | 3.73 | 203 | 89 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 88 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 87 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 87 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 17.8% | 23.0% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.65 | 15.5% | 0.6% | 32 | +0.11 | 4.42 | 113 | 86 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 86 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 85 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.67 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 4.0% | .343 | 10.98 | 17.5% | 0.6% | 14 | +5.31 | 5.32 | 117 | 84 |
| Zane Russell R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 84 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 84 |
| Noah Murdock R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.29 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 130 | -1.43 | 2.48 | 292 | 84 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.09 | 20.8% | 18.8% | 2.5% | .324 | 5.52 | 13.7% | -3.9% | 51 | +0.43 | 3.90 | 178 | 84 |
| Aroni Nina R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.8% | 20.5% | 1.3% | .312 | 3.06 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.94 | 2.68 | 115 | 84 |
| Sal Biasi R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 84 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 4.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 108 | 83 |
| Tanner Duncan R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 123 | 83 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 19.7% | 16.6% | 1.15 | 5.59 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |