Simon Miller
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 107
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
K%24.5%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 51 | 208 | 64 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 0.9% | 1.94 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 51 | 208 | 64 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.8% | 10.1% | 20.7% | 1.0% | 1.94 | 2.34 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 44 | 0 | 51 | 228 | 64 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 3.71 | 5.08 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 44 | 0 | 51 | 228 | 64 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 3.9% | 3.71 | 4.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 6 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | — | — | — | — | 4.66 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 72 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 80 | 336 | 83 | 38 | 11 | — | — | 24.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.15 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 73 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 72 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 79 | 38 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 100 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 84 | 0 | 113 | 480 | 112 | 53 | 14 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 2.96 | 4.15 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 0 | 200 | 852 | 199 | 94 | 25 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 2.96 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Simon Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.64 | 24.8% | 13.0% | 139 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 91 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 88 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 88 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 87 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.66 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 139 | +0.40 | 3.45 | 289 | 86 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 86 |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 86 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 86 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.81 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.69 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.88 | 3.16 | 253 | 86 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 86 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.78 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.57 | 2.30 | 208 | 85 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 85 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 85 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 84 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.81 | 22.8% | 12.3% | 3.8% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 152 | 84 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.29 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .273 | 5.94 | 12.7% | 1.6% | 128 | +1.65 | 3.99 | 293 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 24.7% | 11.9% | 1.24 | 4.67 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |