Calvin Bickerstaff

P Greenville Drive

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ASalem Red Sox	4	0	6	2.84	2.94	33.3%	0.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 0.0% · FIP 2.90
2025	23	MIX2 levels	25	1	50	4.32	2.42	23.7%	8.7%	—	K 19.1% · BB 9.3% · FIP 3.09
2026	24	MIX3 levels	28	0	69	4.33	4.56	18.2%	7.2%	—	K 14.0% · BB 8.3% · FIP 5.05
2027PROJ	25	MLBBOS	67	0	70	5.05	5.05	15.2%	9.3%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBBOS	29	0	30	4.94	4.91	16.7%	9.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBBOS	41	0	43	4.90	4.90	17.2%	9.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsConor Steinbaugh (age 25) · Pedro Echemendia (age 25) · D.J. Carrasco (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%15.2%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.90	—
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.90	—
2024	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.94	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	0.8%	4.32	3.09	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	0.8%	4.32	3.09	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	23.7%	8.7%	15.1%	0.5%	4.32	2.42	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	69	292	53	21	11	0%	2.5	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.8%	4.33	5.05	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	69	292	53	21	11	0%	2.5	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.8%	4.33	5.05	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	69	292	53	21	11	0%	2.5	18.2%	7.2%	11.0%	3.8%	4.33	4.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BOS	67	0	70	296	45	28	9	0%	1.0	15.2%	9.3%	5.9%	3.0%	5.05	5.05	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	67	0	70	296	49	27	9	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.3%	7.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.91	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	66	0	69	291	50	27	9	0%	1.0	17.2%	9.3%	7.9%	3.1%	4.90	4.90	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	67	282	49	27	9	0%	1.0	17.4%	9.5%	7.9%	3.2%	4.92	4.96	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	270	47	26	9	0%	1.0	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	3.3%	5.00	5.07	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	29	0	30	127	21	12	4	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.3%	7.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.91	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	41	0	43	182	31	17	6	0%	1.0	17.2%	9.3%	7.9%	3.1%	4.90	4.90	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	BOS	48	0	50	211	37	20	7	0%	1.0	17.4%	9.5%	7.9%	3.2%	4.92	4.96	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	BOS	50	0	52	220	38	21	7	0%	1.0	17.3%	9.7%	7.6%	3.3%	5.00	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	128	70	24	0%	1.1	17.2%	9.5%	7.7%	3.2%	4.94	4.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	146	80	27	0%	1.1	17.2%	9.5%	7.7%	3.2%	4.94	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		57	1	125	532	90	45	14	2%	2.2	16.9%	8.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.25	4.16	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	2	200	851	143	71	22	2%	2.2	16.9%	8.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.25	4.16	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Calvin Bickerstaff (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	15.2%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.92	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.13	—	—	—
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	93
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	88
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	87
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	87
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	86
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	86
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	86
Junior Lopez R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	15.7%	9.9%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	128	86
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	86
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	85
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	85
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	16.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.60	2.23	174	85
Daniel Blair R 2024 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	17.0%	9.2%	2.8%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	171	85
Brian Bass R 2008 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	11.6%	7.0%	3.1%	.283	4.70	13.5%	3.7%	86	+0.00	4.70	176	84
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	84
Dylan Simmons R 2024 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.4%	1.9%	.295	5.10	12.7%	0.6%	74	+1.25	3.85	125	84
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	84
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Adam Warren R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	19.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.306	3.43	20.5%	13.1%	275	-0.66	2.65	548	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	16.7%	9.4%	1.21	4.96
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Fred Scherman ('69-'76, 1 WAR*)	2.7	77	18.0%*	10.0%*	1.17*	4.29*