Liam Rocha — OGILVIE

Liam Rocha P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%22.7%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%11.8%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	2	0	2	7	1	0	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.89	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	2	0	2	7	1	0	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	10	5	29	138	31	16	3	50%	2.9	15.3%	14.5%	0.8%	3.4%	4.30	5.52	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	10	5	29	138	31	16	3	50%	2.9	15.3%	14.5%	0.8%	3.4%	4.30	5.52	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	10	5	29	138	31	16	3	50%	2.9	22.5%	11.6%	10.9%	2.2%	4.30	3.95	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	11	56	17	12	1	0%	0.9	30.4%	21.4%	8.9%	1.8%	6.35	4.23	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	11	56	17	12	1	0%	0.9	30.4%	21.4%	8.9%	1.8%	6.35	4.23	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	11	56	17	12	1	0%	0.9	30.4%	21.4%	8.9%	1.8%	6.35	4.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	17	0	18	76	17	8	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.9%	11.8%	3.0%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.7%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.54	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.7%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.7%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.16	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.7%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.16	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		24	5	43	201	39	32	6	21%	1.8	19.4%	15.9%	3.5%	2.8%	4.64	5.04	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	23	200	942	183	150	27	21%	1.8	19.4%	15.9%	3.5%	2.8%	4.64	5.04	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Liam Rocha (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	22.7%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.54	23.0%	12.3%	20	-0.05	—	—	—
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	86
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	84
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	81
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	80
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	80
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	79
Jonathan Albaladejo R 2008 · 3.46 FIP	25	SU	3.46	22.4%	10.3%	1.7%	.368	5.02	14.0%	3.8%	46	+1.56	2.30	173	79
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	79
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	78
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	78
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	78
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	78
Miguel Sánchez R 2019 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.3%	9.0%	2.2%	.305	4.59	19.1%	9.7%	83	+0.94	2.54	309	78
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	78
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	78
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	78
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	78
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	78