Nathan ArcherOF
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 23
L/R
6'0" / 175 lbs
A
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .289
PA320
HR6
SB7
K%38
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
30→30
SPD
55→55
EYE
44↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $0.9M | $-31M | -$31M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$31M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$31M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 86 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 0 | .152 | .221 | .177 | .398 | .025 | .261 | 38 | 6 | .184 | -1 | -10 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 391 | 359 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 180 | 1 | 20 | 9 | .156 | .217 | .228 | .445 | .072 | .292 | 46 | 7 | .203 | 14 | -38 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -3.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 36 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .156 | .250 | .250 | .500 | .094 | .312 | 44 | 11 | .233 | 37 | -3 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CWS | 284 | 258 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 110 | 2 | 6 | 2 | .182 | .252 | .291 | .542 | .109 | .286 | 39 | 8 | .246 | 46 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | CWS | 320 | 290 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 126 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .179 | .252 | .286 | .538 | .107 | .294 | 39 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | CWS | 415 | 372 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 139 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .194 | .272 | .317 | .589 | .124 | .277 | 33 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -18 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | CWS | 455 | 407 | 80 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 147 | 4 | 10 | 4 | .197 | .277 | .322 | .598 | .125 | .279 | 32 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | CWS | 478 | 427 | 86 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 153 | 4 | 11 | 4 | .201 | .282 | .335 | .617 | .133 | .280 | 32 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -16 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 62% | CWS | 488 | 436 | 88 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 155 | 4 | 11 | 4 | .202 | .282 | .333 | .615 | .131 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -16 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 80% | CWS | 489 | 436 | 87 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 156 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .200 | .282 | .330 | .612 | .131 | .280 | 32 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -16 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 483 | 430 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 156 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .198 | .281 | .326 | .607 | .128 | .279 | 32 | 10 | .275 | 69 | -17 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 475 | 423 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 155 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .194 | .278 | .314 | .592 | .121 | .278 | 33 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -18 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +13 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 463 | 412 | 80 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 153 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .194 | .278 | .318 | .596 | .124 | .276 | 33 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -19 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +13 | -1.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 445 | 397 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 149 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .191 | .274 | .310 | .584 | .118 | .274 | 33 | 9 | .264 | 60 | -20 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -1.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 416 | 371 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 142 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .186 | .269 | .299 | .568 | .113 | .273 | 34 | 9 | .258 | 56 | -21 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +12 | -1.5 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 371 | 331 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 130 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .178 | .261 | .278 | .539 | .100 | .271 | 35 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -21 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5739 | 5138 | 979 | 180 | 39 | 115 | 517 | 1958 | 45 | 132 | 42 | .191 | .270 | .308 | .578 | .117 | .280 | 34 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -264 | +10 | -20 | -34 | +163 | -14.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 59 | 222 | 5 | 15 | 5 | .189 | .269 | .304 | .573 | .115 | .277 | 34 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -1.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 86 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 0 | .208 | .291 | .247 | .537 | .039 | .296 | 27 | 8 | .255 | 54 | -4 | +2 | — | — | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 391 | 343 | 75 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 128 | 1 | 20 | 9 | .219 | .307 | .327 | .634 | .108 | .329 | 33 | 11 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nathan Archer (OGILVIE) | 23 | 25 | 30 | 55 | 45 | .182/.250/.289 | .107 | .285 | 6 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 47 | -1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A |
23 | 35→30 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 36 | .178/.225/.274 | .096 | .274 | 9 | 13 | 38% | 6% | 31 | -3.0 | .215/.262/.336 | .121 | .370 | 12 | 12 | 42% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.254/.349 | .137 | .373 | 14 | 14 | 45% | 4% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A |
23 | 39→41 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .192/.266/.307 | .115 | .289 | 11 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.286/.346 | .132 | .318 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .211/.286/.358 | .146 | .306 | 16 | 10 | 34% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A |
24 | 40→36 | 39→40 | 50 | 34 | .190/.239/.277 | .088 | .307 | 6 | 10 | 39% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .202/.251/.294 | .092 | .326 | 8 | 6 | 38% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .218/.269/.313 | .095 | .333 | 8 | 3 | 35% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A |
23 | 39→35 | 38→30 | 52→55 | 39 | .186/.249/.258 | .071 | .290 | 6 | 19 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .195/.273/.264 | .069 | .298 | 5 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .188/.276/.247 | .059 | .286 | 4 | 21 | 32% | 11% | 45 | -1.2 |
|
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A |
23 | 39→32 | 41→50 | 52→55 | 38 | .182/.249/.280 | .098 | .312 | 9 | 15 | 42% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .202/.266/.350 | .148 | .304 | 19 | 21 | 38% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.253/.344 | .156 | .267 | 22 | 25 | 37% | 8% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕River Town 2022 · A |
23 | 44→38 | 37→40 | 53→50 | 43 | .207/.282/.284 | .077 | .293 | 3 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.296/.319 | .108 | .266 | 10 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .206/.299/.306 | .100 | .254 | 9 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A |
23 | 38→29 | 44→45 | 53→50 | 35 | .192/.244/.301 | .109 | .296 | 13 | 13 | 39% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.238/.303 | .108 | .274 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .188/.229/.295 | .108 | .250 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 37 | -1.5 |
|
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 41 | .189/.248/.285 | .096 | .268 | 9 | 16 | 32% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .197/.260/.311 | .114 | .269 | 10 | 17 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .193/.260/.305 | .112 | .262 | 10 | 19 | 29% | 7% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A |
22 | 40→33 | 41→45 | 50 | 44 | .196/.269/.293 | .097 | .285 | 8 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.266/.324 | .122 | .299 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.298 | .118 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A |
23 | 39→34 | 44→45 | 50 | 45 | .197/.277/.309 | .111 | .273 | 12 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.266/.304 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.255/.299 | .117 | .273 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2013 · A |
23 | 39→37 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .187/.275/.304 | .117 | .294 | 11 | 10 | 37% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .180/.248/.290 | .110 | .299 | 11 | 10 | 41% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .166/.220/.264 | .098 | .274 | 10 | 10 | 42% | 6% | 25 | -2.2 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A |
24 | 40→29 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .197/.258/.305 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .182/.252/.277 | .095 | .281 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Travis Swaggerty 2021 · A |
23 | 43→45 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 44 | .206/.271/.299 | .093 | .295 | 8 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .214/.279/.329 | .115 | .301 | 10 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.277/.321 | .112 | .309 | 8 | 20 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A |
22 | 38 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 39 | .187/.254/.288 | .101 | .287 | 10 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .193/.256/.289 | .096 | .301 | 8 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .160/.230/.252 | .091 | .253 | 7 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 25 | -1.2 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 41→45 | 44→55 | 45 | .195/.271/.299 | .104 | .290 | 8 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.292/.304 | .112 | .255 | 10 | 14 | 26% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA |
23 | 40→43 | 42→50 | 50 | 42 | .194/.271/.297 | .103 | .298 | 9 | 12 | 36% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.279/.332 | .130 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .195/.272/.328 | .134 | .276 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
✕Je'Von Ward 2023 · A |
23 | 45→36 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 37 | .211/.259/.304 | .093 | .324 | 7 | 11 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.264/.310 | .111 | .316 | 11 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .184/.265/.301 | .116 | .283 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 10% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 38 | .174/.253/.288 | .114 | .306 | 12 | 10 | 44% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .167/.238/.288 | .121 | .312 | 13 | 12 | 47% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .136/.206/.264 | .128 | .253 | 14 | 14 | 49% | 7% | 19 | -1.4 |
|
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A |
23 | 36→40 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 37 | .178/.235/.280 | .102 | .290 | 10 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .190/.242/.287 | .097 | .329 | 7 | 14 | 41% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.234/.279 | .095 | .329 | 5 | 13 | 43% | 6% | 33 | -2.4 |