Nathan ArcherOF
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 23
L/R
6'0" / 175 lbs
A
HR +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION175 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†17
AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .215 / .218
PA145
HR1
K%43
BB%7
BABIP268
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 86 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 152 | 221 | 177 | 398 | 25 | 261 | 38 | 6 | 185 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 86 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 208 | 291 | 247 | 537 | 39 | 296 | 27 | 8 | 255 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 391 | 361 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 179 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 161 | 217 | 249 | 466 | 89 | 291 | 46 | 6 | 207 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 391 | 343 | 75 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 128 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 219 | 307 | 327 | 634 | 108 | 329 | 33 | 11 | 288 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YTD | 23 | A | CWS | — | 175 | 157 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 99 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 96 | 179 | 166 | 345 | 70 | 241 | 57 | 8 | 168 | -13 | -22 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -2.0 |
| YTD | 23 | A | CWS | — | 175 | 149 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 70 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 161 | 277 | 295 | 573 | 134 | 282 | 40 | 13 | 263 | 59 | -8 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | A | CWS | 0% | 145 | 133 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 150 | 215 | 218 | 433 | 68 | 263 | 43 | 7 | 208 | 17 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CWS | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 264 | — | — | 202 | 13 | — | — | +0 | -0 | — | — | |||
| FULL | 23 | A | CWS | — | 175 | 158 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 99 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 95 | 179 | 165 | 344 | 70 | 237 | 57 | 8 | 168 | -13 | -22 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -2.0 |
| TOT | 23 | A | CWS | — | 320 | 290 | 35 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 161 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 121 | 196 | 190 | 385 | 69 | 256 | 50 | 8 | 186 | 1 | -36 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -3.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 30% | 415 | 378 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 168 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 164 | 233 | 259 | 492 | 95 | 270 | 40 | 7 | 226 | 31 | -32 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +12 | -2.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 44% | 456 | 415 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 178 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 171 | 241 | 277 | 518 | 106 | 273 | 39 | 7 | 236 | 39 | -31 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -2.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 30% | 125 | 114 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 234 | 272 | 506 | 105 | 271 | 41 | 7 | 221 | 27 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 44% | 201 | 182 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 78 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 170 | 241 | 280 | 521 | 110 | 273 | 39 | 7 | 231 | 35 | -15 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | — | 326 | 297 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 129 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 168 | 238 | 276 | 514 | 108 | 268 | 40 | 7 | 227 | 32 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 592 | 100 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 257 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 169 | 239 | 277 | 516 | 108 | 269 | 40 | 7 | 227 | 32 | -50 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | -3.5 | ||
| Career | — | — | 1493 | 1366 | 223 | 42 | 9 | 21 | 104 | 620 | 12 | 51 | 20 | 163 | 229 | 253 | 482 | 90 | 276 | 42 | 7 | 220 | 27 | -124 | +2 | +0 | -9 | +42 | -9.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 595 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 270 | 5 | 22 | 9 | 163 | 228 | 252 | 480 | 89 | 276 | 42 | 7 | 220 | 27 | -54 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | -3.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 86 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 208 | 291 | 247 | 537 | 39 | 296 | 27 | 8 | 255 | 54 | -4 | +2 | — | — | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 391 | 343 | 75 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 128 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 219 | 307 | 327 | 634 | 108 | 329 | 33 | 11 | 288 | 79 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.2 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
| PLAYER · career totals + /162 games | YRS | PA | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | POS | FLD | WAR | JAWS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA | 9 | 1,648 | 31 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 313 | +29 | +56 | 6.4 | 6.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 12 | 0 | +11.9 | +22.4 | 2.6 | pk7: 7 | ||||
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA | 6 | 1,540 | 30 | 47 | 225 | 280 | 350 | +4 | +33 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| /162 | 664 | 13 | 20 | +1.8 | +14.4 | 1.8 | pk7: 4 | ||||
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA | 11 | 2,352 | 34 | 4 | 237 | 273 | 341 | +10 | +21 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 10 | 1 | +3.0 | +5.8 | 0.3 | pk7: 4 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA | 7 | 1,680 | 22 | 6 | 230 | 279 | 335 | +9 | +21 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| /162 | 664 | 9 | 2 | +3.7 | +8.5 | 0.8 | pk7: 2 | ||||
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA | 6 | 1,633 | 40 | 33 | 232 | 299 | 363 | +6 | -14 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| /162 | 664 | 16 | 13 | +2.4 | -5.8 | 0.4 | pk7: 1 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA | 7 | 1,901 | 21 | 39 | 231 | 275 | 323 | +14 | -6 | -1.1 | -1.1 |
| /162 | 664 | 7 | 14 | +4.9 | -2.1 | -0.4 | pk7: -1 | ||||
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons | 2 | 646 | 9 | 15 | 172 | 235 | 266 | -4 | +0 | -3.4 | -1.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 9 | 15 | -4.0 | +0.0 | -3.5 | pk7: 0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nathan Archer (OGILVIE) | 23 | 25 | 30 | 55 | 45 | 121/196/190 | 69 | 256 | 2 | 12 | 50% | 8% | 1 | -3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A |
22 | 37 | 37→30 | 51→55 | 41 | 175/254/241 | 66 | 286 | 5 | 13 | 37% | 8% | 37 | -2.7 | 209/287/298 | 89 | 367 | 7 | 11 | 41% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | 218/310/312 | 94 | 434 | 9 | 12 | 46% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A |
23 | 40→37 | 37→30 | 52→55 | 41 | 188/256/253 | 65 | 298 | 5 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 39 | -2.5 | 203/282/277 | 74 | 310 | 5 | 19 | 33% | 10% | 57 | -1.2 | 200/289/268 | 68 | 300 | 5 | 21 | 32% | 11% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A |
23 | 37→38 | 37→40 | 49→45 | 40 | 178/241/247 | 70 | 276 | 4 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -3.0 | 199/256/283 | 84 | 308 | 4 | 6 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | 206/267/289 | 83 | 328 | 0 | 0 | 34% | 8% | 49 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A |
23 | 40→39 | 39→40 | 50 | 43 | 195/250/284 | 89 | 269 | 6 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | 192/253/298 | 106 | 269 | 10 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | 173/239/278 | 105 | 242 | 10 | 19 | 32% | 7% | 37 | -1.0 |
|
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A |
24 | 38 | 37→40 | 52→50 | 40 | 181/252/250 | 68 | 281 | 4 | 11 | 35% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | 182/254/282 | 100 | 281 | 10 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | 154/232/257 | 103 | 234 | 12 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A |
23 | 37→30 | 38→40 | 45 | 43 | 180/256/253 | 73 | 280 | 6 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 40 | -2.4 | 177/250/265 | 88 | 356 | 8 | 6 | 48% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | 123/208/196 | 72 | 272 | 8 | 1 | 53% | 9% | 4 | -2.4 |
|
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A |
23 | 36 | 39→40 | 48→45 | 35 | 180/226/266 | 86 | 279 | 6 | 7 | 36% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | 191/237/272 | 81 | 304 | 5 | 9 | 37% | 5% | 35 | -2.8 | 184/220/265 | 81 | 284 | 5 | 8 | 36% | 4% | 24 | -2.1 |
|
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A |
22 | 35 | 37→30 | 53→45 | 40 | 174/226/247 | 72 | 249 | 5 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 24 | -3.5 | 193/238/263 | 70 | 268 | 5 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | 173/221/224 | 51 | 251 | 4 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 14 | -1.5 |
|
✕D.J. Davis 2017 · A |
23 | 38→43 | 37→40 | 50→55 | 35 | 182/235/250 | 68 | 300 | 5 | 16 | 39% | 6% | 29 | -3.2 | 203/256/270 | 67 | 329 | 4 | 20 | 37% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | 209/259/265 | 55 | 329 | 3 | 26 | 35% | 5% | 39 | -1.1 |
|
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A |
23 | 35→39 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 36 | 171/231/266 | 95 | 289 | 9 | 15 | 42% | 7% | 32 | -3.0 | 187/237/283 | 96 | 339 | 7 | 13 | 44% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | 175/220/271 | 96 | 331 | 5 | 13 | 46% | 5% | 26 | -2.8 |
|
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A |
24 | 41→36 | 37→40 | 47→55 | 40 | 192/262/263 | 71 | 298 | 5 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | 200/268/284 | 84 | 309 | 6 | 17 | 34% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | 188/260/270 | 82 | 291 | 7 | 24 | 35% | 8% | 43 | -1.4 |
|
✕Leosdany Molina 2023 · A |
23 | 40→34 | 38→40 | 53→50 | 37 | 193/242/267 | 74 | 280 | 6 | 17 | 32% | 5% | 37 | -2.7 | 199/246/281 | 82 | 281 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | 184/229/246 | 61 | 251 | 10 | 18 | 30% | 5% | 24 | -1.9 |
|
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A |
23 | 36 | 39→40 | 53→45 | 35 | 174/230/262 | 88 | 292 | 6 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 30 | -3.1 | 196/243/283 | 87 | 297 | 6 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | 191/233/269 | 78 | 279 | 4 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 30 | -1.8 |
|
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A |
22 | 38→25 | 40→45 | 49→50 | 38 | 185/246/272 | 86 | 289 | 8 | 10 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | 167/226/268 | 101 | 255 | 10 | 10 | 37% | 6% | 31 | -3.0 | 149/212/266 | 116 | 217 | 14 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 23 | -2.4 |
|
✕Shard Munroe 2019 · A |
23 | 42 | 42→40 | 50 | 42 | 204/266/305 | 101 | 287 | 9 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | 189/259/286 | 97 | 296 | 8 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | 132/219/218 | 86 | 212 | 8 | 9 | 39% | 10% | 16 | -1.5 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2022 · A |
24 | 41→34 | 41→40 | 47→50 | 37 | 196/254/296 | 100 | 301 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | 192/258/299 | 107 | 270 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | 175/246/282 | 108 | 237 | 10 | 16 | 29% | 6% | 42 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris Ellison 2012 · A |
23 | 40→42 | 41→40 | 47→50 | 39 | 196/252/292 | 97 | 292 | 8 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | 201/250/278 | 77 | 281 | 5 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | 199/246/272 | 73 | 268 | 5 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 38 | -2.7 |
|
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A |
23 | 36 | 36→30 | 57→55 | 35 | 178/218/236 | 57 | 272 | 4 | 20 | 35% | 5% | 17 | -4.0 | 197/250/262 | 65 | 326 | 4 | 24 | 38% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | 193/254/252 | 59 | 326 | 4 | 28 | 39% | 7% | 34 | -1.5 |
|
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A |
23 | 35 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 39 | 170/253/281 | 111 | 303 | 12 | 11 | 45% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | 165/237/285 | 120 | 313 | 13 | 13 | 48% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | 131/202/256 | 125 | 245 | 14 | 14 | 50% | 7% | 16 | -1.5 |
|
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A |
23 | 38→39 | 43→40 | 56→50 | 41 | 190/253/302 | 112 | 258 | 10 | 16 | 30% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | 197/258/287 | 90 | 287 | 6 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | 184/247/255 | 71 | 278 | 4 | 19 | 33% | 6% | 34 | -1.9 |