Nathan Archer — OGILVIE

Nathan ArcherOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 150 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .242 / .250

PA150

HR1

K%35

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	77	16	3	0	0	7	23	2	8	0	208	291	247	537	39	296	27	8	255	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	343	75	14	4	5	43	128	1	20	9	219	307	327	634	108	329	33	11	288	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	169	26	6	5	2	25	75	2	8	6	154	270	284	554	130	255	38	13	254	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	79	12	2	0	0	5	32	2	8	0	152	221	177	398	25	260	37	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	357	57	10	3	4	29	172	1	20	9	160	225	238	463	78	282	44	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	177	18	4	4	1	17	102	2	8	6	102	189	186	375	85	213	51	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	79	12	2	0	0	5	32	2	8	0	152	221	177	398	25	255	37	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	77	16	3	0	0	7	23	2	8	0	208	291	247	537	39	296	27	8	255	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	357	57	10	3	4	29	172	1	20	9	160	225	238	463	78	288	44	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	343	75	14	4	5	43	128	1	20	9	219	307	327	634	108	329	33	11	288	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	177	18	4	4	1	17	102	2	8	6	102	189	186	375	85	224	51	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	169	26	6	5	2	25	75	2	8	6	154	270	284	554	130	255	38	13	254	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	79	12	2	0	0	5	32	2	8	0	152	221	177	398	25	260	37	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	358	57	10	3	4	29	172	1	20	9	159	225	237	462	78	282	44	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	178	18	4	4	1	17	102	2	8	6	101	189	185	374	84	213	51	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	79	12	2	0	0	5	32	2	8	0	152	221	177	398	25	260	37	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	358	57	10	3	4	29	172	1	20	9	159	225	237	462	78	282	44	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	199	178	18	4	4	1	17	102	2	8	6	101	189	185	374	84	213	51	9	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	249	226	38	8	1	2	19	88	2	5	2	173	244	252	496	79	267	35	8	229	41	-17	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	215	194	35	7	1	3	17	74	2	5	2	179	250	269	519	90	269	34	8	238	47	-14	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	65	59	10	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	1	180	250	271	521	91	270	34	8	239	47	-4	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	65	59	10	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	1	169	246	254	500	85	250	34	8	239	28	-4	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	100	20	0	10	50	220	10	10	10	169	246	254	500	85	250	34	8	239	28	-41	-2	+0	-4	+14	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1041	944	145	28	9	9	79	433	8	44	18	154	225	231	456	77	267	42	8	210	28	-24	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	91	17	6	6	49	270	5	27	11	154	225	234	459	80	268	42	8	210	28	-43	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	215	2	5	176	243	259	-1	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	7	14	-4.0	+0.0	-3.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Archer (OGILVIE)	24	25	30	55	45	172/242/250	78	267	1	3	35%	8%	41	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	37	37→40	52→50	40	180/246/249	69	273	5	11	34%	7%	42	-2.9	182/248/290	108	274	12	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	154/224/268	114	224	14	19	37%	7%	36	-1.3
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	40→35	37→40	47→55	39	189/258/258	69	293	5	14	35%	7%	49	-2.4	196/259/277	81	299	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	181/245/260	78	275	6	24	34%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→36	37→30	52→55	40	187/254/256	69	298	5	19	36%	8%	46	-2.6	197/276/266	69	301	4	19	32%	9%	57	-1.8	190/279/248	58	286	3	21	31%	11%	52	-1.3
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jeff Gelalich 2015 · A	24	41→44	38→40	51→55	41	198/258/273	75	290	5	13	32%	7%	51	-2.2	197/261/269	72	341	4	16	40%	7%	51	-2.2	187/254/247	60	349	2	19	43%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	43→34	39→40	56→55	47	200/283/291	91	291	6	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	186/272/268	82	283	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	166/256/236	71	255	5	20	33%	9%	42	-1.2
✕Luke Reynolds 2019 · A	24	43→35	37→40	50→30	42	199/264/277	78	306	4	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	193/256/287	94	320	8	4	39%	7%	54	-2.0	171/237/262	91	285	9	1	41%	7%	40	-2.1
✕Julian Escobedo 2022 · A	24	40→38	41→40	47→50	37	194/252/293	99	300	8	13	36%	6%	54	-2.0	196/263/297	101	271	8	14	29%	6%	59	-1.6	184/256/283	99	244	8	16	27%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Brett Johnson 2024 · A	24	40	39→40	53→50	48	180/281/272	92	310	6	15	39%	12%	61	-1.5	189/278/294	105	311	7	11	37%	10%	65	-1.2	136/245/260	124	222	5	9	37%	12%	43	-0.7
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	38→41	37→40	49→45	41	183/247/255	72	284	4	6	35%	7%	43	-2.8	200/256/284	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	53	-2.1	197/255/277	80	316	0	0	35%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2024 · A	24	40	41→40	47→50	36	197/241/294	98	295	8	12	35%	5%	49	-2.4	212/255/305	93	294	9	10	30%	5%	57	-1.8	205/242/273	69	270	10	8	28%	4%	43	-1.2
✕Jarod Rine 2006 · A	24	39→36	37→40	51→55	39	191/243/257	66	271	4	17	30%	6%	42	-2.9	189/253/265	76	264	5	16	28%	7%	48	-2.5	165/237/235	70	228	4	19	27%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	41→40	38→40	50	47	198/266/278	81	265	6	6	26%	8%	56	-1.9	196/263/276	80	281	5	10	30%	8%	54	-2.0	189/256/255	66	261	3	12	26%	8%	45	-2.3
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A	24	35→40	39→45	51→50	40	173/237/256	83	269	6	6	36%	8%	40	-3.1	183/260/276	93	303	9	9	39%	8%	54	-2.0	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Robbie Thorburn 2019 · A	24	40	36→40	51→50	41	191/249/254	63	279	3	11	31%	7%	44	-2.8	198/238/279	81	302	7	10	35%	4%	45	-2.7	184/217/257	73	278	7	11	36%	3%	28	-2.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps