Nathan Archer — OGILVIE

Nathan ArcherOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION175 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†17

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .215 / .218

PA145

HR1

K%43

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	79	12	2	0	0	5	33	2	8	0	152	221	177	398	25	261	38	6	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	77	16	3	0	0	7	23	2	8	0	208	291	247	537	39	296	27	8	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	361	58	10	2	6	25	179	1	20	9	161	217	249	466	89	291	46	6	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	343	75	14	4	5	43	128	1	20	9	219	307	327	634	108	329	33	11	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	CWS	—	175	157	15	2	3	1	14	99	2	8	6	96	179	166	345	70	241	57	8	168	-13	-22	-1	+0	-1	+5	-2.0
YTD	23	A	CWS	—	175	149	24	4	5	2	22	70	2	8	6	161	277	295	573	134	282	40	13	263	59	-8	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
ROS	23	A	CWS	0%	145	133	20	4	1	1	10	62	1	4	2	150	215	218	433	68	263	43	7	208	17	-14	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.1
ROS	23	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	202	13	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	CWS	—	175	158	15	2	3	1	14	99	2	8	6	95	179	165	344	70	237	57	8	168	-13	-22	-1	+0	-1	+5	-2.0
TOT	23	A	CWS	—	320	290	35	6	4	2	24	161	3	12	8	121	196	190	385	69	256	50	8	186	1	-36	-1	+0	-2	+9	-3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	415	378	62	12	3	6	30	168	4	9	4	164	233	259	492	95	270	40	7	226	31	-32	+0	+0	-2	+12	-2.3
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	125	114	19	4	1	2	9	51	1	3	1	167	234	272	506	105	271	41	7	221	27	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	125	115	19	4	1	2	9	51	1	3	1	165	234	270	503	104	270	41	7	221	27	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	98	21	5	10	47	265	5	16	5	164	233	266	498	102	268	41	7	221	27	-54	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.9
Career	—			—	1037	951	152	28	6	13	70	442	8	41	15	160	224	243	466	83	277	43	7	213	21	-92	+2	+0	-6	+29	-6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	96	18	4	8	44	277	5	26	9	161	225	245	470	84	279	43	7	213	21	-58	+2	+0	-4	+18	-4.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	77	16	3	0	0	7	23	2	8	0	208	291	247	537	39	296	27	8	255	54	-4	+2	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	391	343	75	14	4	5	43	128	1	20	9	219	307	327	634	108	329	33	11	288	79	-9	+0	—	—	+11	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	445	6	10	172	233	259	-3	+0	-2.5	-1.2
	/162	664	8	15	172	233	259	-4.0	+0.0	-3.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Archer (OGILVIE)	23	25	30	55	45	121/196/190	69	256	2	12	50%	8%	1	-3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	37	37→30	51→55	41	175/254/241	66	286	5	13	37%	8%	37	-2.7	209/287/298	89	367	7	11	41%	9%	64	-0.8	218/310/312	94	434	9	12	46%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	37→38	37→40	49→45	40	178/241/247	70	276	4	6	35%	7%	31	-3.0	199/256/283	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	46	-2.0	206/267/289	83	328	0	0	34%	8%	49	-0.4
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→37	37→30	52→55	41	188/256/253	65	298	5	19	36%	8%	39	-2.5	203/282/277	74	310	5	19	33%	10%	57	-1.2	200/289/268	68	300	5	21	32%	11%	55	-0.8
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	38	37→40	52→50	40	181/252/250	68	281	4	11	35%	7%	37	-2.6	182/254/282	100	281	10	15	36%	7%	46	-2.0	154/232/257	103	234	12	19	37%	8%	28	-1.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	40→39	39→40	50	43	195/250/284	89	269	6	12	29%	7%	44	-2.1	192/253/298	106	269	10	15	30%	7%	50	-1.8	173/239/278	105	242	10	19	32%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	43	180/256/253	73	280	6	7	36%	8%	40	-2.4	177/250/265	88	356	8	6	48%	8%	41	-2.3	123/208/196	72	272	8	1	53%	9%	4	-2.4
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	180/226/266	86	279	6	7	36%	5%	29	-3.2	191/237/272	81	304	5	9	37%	5%	35	-2.8	184/220/265	81	284	5	8	36%	4%	24	-2.1
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A	22	35	37→30	53→45	40	174/226/247	72	249	5	10	31%	6%	24	-3.5	193/238/263	70	268	5	8	28%	6%	33	-2.9	173/221/224	51	251	4	6	31%	6%	14	-1.5
✕D.J. Davis 2017 · A	23	38→43	37→40	50→55	35	182/235/250	68	300	5	16	39%	6%	29	-3.2	203/256/270	67	329	4	20	37%	6%	43	-2.2	209/259/265	55	329	3	26	35%	5%	39	-1.1
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	35→39	41→45	53→55	36	171/231/266	95	289	9	15	42%	7%	32	-3.0	187/237/283	96	339	7	13	44%	6%	38	-2.6	175/220/271	96	331	5	13	46%	5%	26	-2.8
✕Leosdany Molina 2023 · A	23	40→34	38→40	53→50	37	193/242/267	74	280	6	17	32%	5%	37	-2.7	199/246/281	82	281	9	14	31%	5%	42	-2.3	184/229/246	61	251	10	18	30%	5%	24	-1.9
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A	23	36	39→40	53→45	35	174/230/262	88	292	6	10	40%	6%	30	-3.1	196/243/283	87	297	6	8	34%	5%	40	-2.4	191/233/269	78	279	4	6	32%	5%	30	-1.8
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A	22	38→25	40→45	49→50	38	185/246/272	86	289	8	10	37%	7%	40	-2.4	167/226/268	101	255	10	10	37%	6%	31	-3.0	149/212/266	116	217	14	12	37%	6%	23	-2.4
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	36	36→30	57→55	35	178/218/236	57	272	4	20	35%	5%	17	-4.0	197/250/262	65	326	4	24	38%	6%	38	-2.6	193/254/252	59	326	4	28	39%	7%	34	-1.5
✕Francisco Hernandez 2023 · A	23	38	38→40	50	39	177/250/255	77	308	5	14	41%	8%	37	-2.6	186/242/271	85	308	6	13	39%	6%	37	-2.6	144/180/217	73	248	5	14	42%	4%	-7	-2.1
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	41→36	37→40	47→55	40	192/262/263	71	298	5	14	35%	7%	45	-2.1	200/268/284	84	309	6	17	34%	8%	53	-1.5	188/260/270	82	291	7	24	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	40→45	58→55	39	170/250/267	97	315	6	21	44%	8%	41	-2.3	186/247/292	106	321	8	21	41%	7%	46	-2.0	181/235/307	125	332	9	29	45%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	49→50	39	170/253/281	111	303	12	11	45%	9%	46	-2.0	165/237/285	120	313	13	13	48%	7%	40	-2.4	131/202/256	125	245	14	14	50%	7%	16	-1.5
✕Yuber Rodriguez 2007 · A	23	37→30	36→40	49→50	40	178/240/240	62	276	4	15	35%	7%	29	-3.2	191/242/273	82	305	6	11	37%	6%	38	-2.6	180/227/261	81	289	6	8	38%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Shard Munroe 2019 · A	23	42	42→40	50	42	204/266/305	101	287	9	15	31%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/286	97	296	8	11	36%	8%	49	-1.8	132/219/218	86	212	8	9	39%	10%	16	-1.5