Brett JohnsonOF
Reno Aces
Age 26
L/R
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .273 / .308
PA170
HR3
K%36
BB%10
MLB%10%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-11M | $-22M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 122 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 1 | .208 | .333 | .297 | .630 | .089 | .308 | 30 | 13 | .278 | 71 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | 3 teams | 323 | 278 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 138 | 3 | 15 | 3 | .147 | .262 | .241 | .503 | .094 | .277 | 43 | 12 | .231 | 35 | -24 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 148 | 129 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .124 | .231 | .233 | .464 | .109 | .211 | 39 | 11 | .208 | 18 | -14 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 170 | 150 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .187 | .274 | .300 | .574 | .113 | .289 | 36 | 10 | .267 | 62 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | ARI | 262 | 233 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 91 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .193 | .277 | .313 | .590 | .120 | .289 | 35 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | ARI | 314 | 278 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 106 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .198 | .283 | .327 | .610 | .129 | .289 | 34 | 10 | .275 | 69 | -11 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | ARI | 335 | 296 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 112 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .199 | .286 | .324 | .610 | .125 | .289 | 33 | 10 | .276 | 69 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | ARI | 350 | 310 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 118 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .197 | .282 | .319 | .602 | .123 | .287 | 34 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -13 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 73% | ARI | 341 | 302 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 116 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .195 | .281 | .318 | .599 | .123 | .286 | 34 | 10 | .270 | 65 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 90% | ARI | 325 | 289 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 112 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .273 | .304 | .578 | .114 | .284 | 34 | 10 | .266 | 61 | -14 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 298 | 265 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .274 | .298 | .572 | .109 | .282 | 35 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -14 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 256 | 228 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .264 | .276 | .540 | .096 | .280 | 36 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -14 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +7 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3244 | 2859 | 531 | 116 | 21 | 56 | 330 | 1146 | 27 | 53 | 13 | .186 | .276 | .300 | .576 | .114 | .284 | 35 | 10 | .263 | 59 | -150 | +5 | -20 | -19 | +92 | -9.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 66 | 230 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .185 | .274 | .297 | .571 | .112 | .284 | 35 | 10 | .263 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -1.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 122 | 94 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 1 | .223 | .392 | .319 | .711 | .096 | .299 | 23 | 19 | .334 | 114 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 121 | 99 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .172 | .317 | .273 | .589 | .101 | .267 | 31 | 17 | .279 | 72 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 167 | 133 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 53 | 2 | 6 | 2 | .226 | .380 | .383 | .763 | .158 | .351 | 32 | 19 | .349 | 125 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 35 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .208 | .457 | .292 | .749 | .083 | .357 | 29 | 29 | .371 | 142 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 92 | 76 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .211 | .348 | .434 | .782 | .224 | .298 | 29 | 17 | .348 | 125 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 56 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .136 | .309 | .227 | .536 | .091 | .200 | 27 | 18 | .261 | 58 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brett Johnson (OGILVIE) | 26 | — | — | — | — | .189/.273/.308 | .119 | .289 | 3 | 3 | 36% | 10% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 45→55 | 45 | .202/.287/.319 | .117 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .224/.301/.331 | .107 | .295 | 10 | 18 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.306/.325 | .095 | .290 | 9 | 25 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→41 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .190/.265/.290 | .099 | .310 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.282/.312 | .121 | .320 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.277/.309 | .133 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 41% | 11% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA |
26 | 37→43 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.308 | .120 | .276 | 12 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.254/.290 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .160/.216/.252 | .092 | .300 | 0 | 4 | 44% | 7% | 17 | -0.7 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Drew Vettleson 2017 · AA |
26 | 37→47 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 33 | .189/.226/.300 | .111 | .290 | 12 | 10 | 38% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .193/.233/.301 | .108 | .315 | 12 | 13 | 41% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .136/.157/.214 | .079 | .232 | 12 | 21 | 47% | 2% | -17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brett Jackson 2015 · MLB |
26 | 37→47 | 43→50 | 50→55 | 36 | .176/.246/.291 | .115 | .314 | 11 | 15 | 44% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .192/.259/.291 | .099 | .311 | 10 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .172/.253/.245 | .073 | .258 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2018 · AA |
26 | 37→39 | 44→60 | 54→50 | 47 | .185/.270/.300 | .115 | .260 | 11 | 14 | 32% | 10% | 59 | -1.1 | .215/.279/.390 | .175 | .287 | 21 | 14 | 31% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Greg Deichmann 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→46 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 37 | .185/.244/.308 | .124 | .294 | 14 | 15 | 40% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.272/.330 | .121 | .313 | 12 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.262/.329 | .130 | .294 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA |
26 | 37→47 | 47→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .190/.255/.321 | .132 | .294 | 15 | 18 | 39% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .210/.278/.319 | .109 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.279/.311 | .102 | .289 | 9 | 16 | 29% | 7% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Bruce Caldwell 2018 · AAA |
26 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 46→40 | 42 | .201/.269/.312 | .111 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.265/.317 | .113 | .300 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.255/.304 | .109 | .279 | 11 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jared Mitchell 2015 · AAA |
26 | 41→44 | 47→50 | 51→55 | 41 | .197/.276/.331 | .134 | .321 | 14 | 16 | 40% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.264/.304 | .108 | .333 | 11 | 17 | 41% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.225/.235 | .077 | .290 | 6 | 20 | 45% | 8% | 18 | -2.3 |
|
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA |
26 | 43 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 49 | .208/.295/.324 | .116 | .301 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .202/.286/.331 | .129 | .342 | 13 | 12 | 41% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .185/.274/.320 | .135 | .321 | 13 | 13 | 43% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brandon Wagner 2021 · AA |
25 | 38→46 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 41 | .186/.271/.295 | .109 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .190/.271/.284 | .094 | .349 | 10 | 7 | 44% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .139/.241/.201 | .062 | .279 | 9 | 3 | 48% | 11% | 20 | -1.2 |
|
✕Gosuke Katoh 2021 · AAA |
26 | 45→49 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 44 | .218/.283/.319 | .101 | .312 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .219/.281/.335 | .116 | .299 | 11 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.275/.325 | .115 | .283 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA |
25 | 37→41 | 48→50 | 47→40 | 41 | .188/.271/.327 | .138 | .287 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .206/.299/.338 | .132 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.311/.326 | .126 | .298 | 15 | 2 | 34% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA |
25 | 43→44 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .214/.258/.334 | .120 | .292 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .222/.274/.341 | .119 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.282/.338 | .114 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |