Brett Johnson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | AARI | 122 | .223/.392/.319 | 1 | 9 | 71 | — | .206/.325/.294 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+/A/ROK2 orgs | 323 | .203/.364/.332 | 4 | 15 | 43 | — | .144/.259/.237 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/A+ARI | 148 | .183/.333/.358 | 2 | 3 | 43 | — | .131/.238/.255 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 122 | 94 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 223 | 392 | 319 | 711 | 96 | 299 | 23 | 19 | 334 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 121 | 99 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 172 | 317 | 273 | 589 | 101 | 267 | 31 | 17 | 279 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 167 | 133 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 53 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 226 | 380 | 383 | 763 | 158 | 351 | 32 | 19 | 349 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | — | 35 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 208 | 457 | 292 | 749 | 83 | 357 | 29 | 29 | 371 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 92 | 76 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 348 | 434 | 782 | 224 | 298 | 29 | 17 | 348 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 56 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 136 | 309 | 227 | 536 | 91 | 200 | 27 | 18 | 261 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 122 | 102 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 325 | 294 | 619 | 88 | 284 | 31 | 12 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 121 | 106 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 132 | 233 | 217 | 450 | 85 | 240 | 43 | 12 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 167 | 143 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 154 | 271 | 259 | 530 | 105 | 287 | 43 | 13 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 35 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 138 | 286 | 207 | 493 | 69 | 261 | 40 | 14 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 92 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 160 | 261 | 321 | 582 | 160 | 257 | 37 | 12 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 56 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 83 | 200 | 146 | 346 | 63 | 160 | 38 | 11 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 122 | 102 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 325 | 294 | 619 | 88 | 308 | 31 | 12 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 122 | 94 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 223 | 392 | 319 | 711 | 96 | 299 | 23 | 19 | 334 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 278 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 147 | 262 | 241 | 503 | 94 | 275 | 42 | 12 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 323 | 256 | 52 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 62 | 101 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 203 | 364 | 332 | 697 | 129 | 318 | 31 | 19 | 325 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 148 | 128 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 125 | 238 | 234 | 472 | 109 | 205 | 37 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 148 | 120 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 183 | 333 | 358 | 692 | 175 | 260 | 28 | 18 | 315 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 122 | 103 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 204 | 325 | 291 | 616 | 87 | 284 | 31 | 12 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 277 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 148 | 262 | 242 | 504 | 94 | 267 | 42 | 12 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 148 | 128 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 125 | 238 | 234 | 472 | 109 | 220 | 37 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 148 | 128 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 125 | 238 | 234 | 472 | 109 | 220 | 37 | 12 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 593 | 508 | 78 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 230 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 154 | 269 | 250 | 519 | 96 | 264 | 39 | 12 | 240 | 49 | -36 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +13 | -2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 557 | 84 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 80 | 252 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 151 | 267 | 242 | 509 | 92 | 261 | 39 | 12 | 240 | 49 | -40 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAReno Aces · 92 PAwOBA .340 → .262 (−78)K% 29.3% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.35% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.24% | ÷1.076 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 10.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 8.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 5.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.124 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 103, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .340 → .262; ISO .224 → .174; BABIP .298 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 56 PAwOBA .260 → .183 (−77)K% 26.8% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.79% | ÷0.964 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.86% | ÷1.086 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 11.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 8.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.875 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .260 → .183; ISO .091 → .064; BABIP .200 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 167 PAwOBA .339 → .248 (−91)K% 31.7% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.74% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.96% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 12.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.990 | 16.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.990 | 9.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×0.990 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .339 → .248; ISO .158 → .117; BABIP .351 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 121 PAwOBA .273 → .205 (−68)K% 31.4% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.40% | ÷0.987 | ×1.350 | — | — | 42.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.36% | ÷1.038 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 11.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.39% | ÷0.980 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 15.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .273 → .205; ISO .101 → .079; BABIP .267 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Black · 35 PAwOBA .355 → .241 (−114)K% 28.6% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.030 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.71% | ÷1.001 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 15.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.073 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 15.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 10.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 115, 2B 93, 3B 90, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .241; ISO .083 → .064; BABIP .357 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AVisalia Rawhide · 122 PAwOBA .332 → .273 (−59)K% 23.0% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.95% | ÷1.001 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | — | 12.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.46% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 8.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.062 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .273; ISO .096 → .083; BABIP .299 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).