Ivan BrethowrRF
Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 23
R/R
6'6" / 250 lbs
A+
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.3 · 2029
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .297 / .308
PA320
HR6
SB8
K%33
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
30→30
SPD
60→60
EYE
53↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-3M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 95 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .128 | .211 | .209 | .420 | .081 | .191 | 39 | 5 | .186 | 1 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 428 | 356 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 149 | 28 | 30 | 4 | .177 | .312 | .253 | .565 | .076 | .284 | 35 | 10 | .259 | 56 | -21 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +12 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | PIT | 320 | 277 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 104 | 10 | 8 | 2 | .195 | .297 | .303 | .600 | .108 | .286 | 32 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | PIT | 441 | 382 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 138 | 14 | 11 | 2 | .207 | .308 | .332 | .641 | .126 | .287 | 31 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | PIT | 473 | 410 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 144 | 14 | 12 | 2 | .207 | .309 | .334 | .643 | .127 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | PIT | 492 | 427 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 148 | 14 | 12 | 2 | .211 | .311 | .342 | .653 | .131 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | PIT | 498 | 432 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 149 | 14 | 12 | 2 | .211 | .311 | .340 | .651 | .130 | .290 | 30 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | PIT | 498 | 431 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 150 | 14 | 12 | 2 | .209 | .311 | .339 | .650 | .130 | .289 | 30 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +2 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PIT | 491 | 425 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 150 | 14 | 11 | 1 | .209 | .311 | .341 | .653 | .132 | .288 | 31 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +2 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | PIT | 482 | 417 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 148 | 13 | 11 | 1 | .206 | .309 | .331 | .640 | .125 | .287 | 31 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -2 | -5 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | PIT | 469 | 406 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 146 | 13 | 9 | 0 | .204 | .307 | .325 | .632 | .121 | .285 | 31 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +2 | -3 | -5 | +13 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 451 | 391 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 143 | 12 | 9 | 0 | .202 | .304 | .325 | .628 | .123 | .283 | 32 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -12 | +2 | -4 | -5 | +13 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 422 | 366 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 137 | 11 | 8 | 0 | .191 | .294 | .295 | .589 | .104 | .282 | 32 | 10 | .280 | 72 | -13 | +2 | -4 | -5 | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 376 | 326 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 125 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .190 | .292 | .294 | .587 | .104 | .280 | 33 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +11 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5936 | 5132 | 1032 | 179 | 23 | 128 | 581 | 1868 | 185 | 155 | 18 | .201 | .305 | .320 | .625 | .119 | .286 | 31 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -149 | +24 | -20 | -64 | +168 | -4.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 562 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 64 | 205 | 20 | 17 | 2 | .203 | .307 | .324 | .630 | .121 | .289 | 32 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -16 | +3 | -2 | -7 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 95 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .169 | .274 | .253 | .527 | .084 | .218 | 27 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 428 | 327 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 113 | 28 | 30 | 4 | .223 | .404 | .324 | .728 | .101 | .319 | 26 | 17 | .348 | 124 | +12 | +4 | — | — | +12 | 2.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ivan Brethowr (OGILVIE) | 23 | 35 | 30 | 60 | 60 | .195/.297/.308 | .112 | .286 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A |
24 | 39→33 | 44→40 | 54→55 | 51 | .190/.295/.305 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 19 | 36% | 12% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.265/.277 | .091 | .307 | 8 | 19 | 38% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .159/.224/.221 | .061 | .275 | 5 | 22 | 41% | 7% | 15 | -2.3 |
|
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A |
23 | 44 | 42→45 | 54→60 | 45 | .209/.287/.315 | .106 | .311 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.278/.313 | .117 | .292 | 12 | 21 | 34% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .179/.268/.293 | .114 | .262 | 13 | 29 | 34% | 9% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A |
23 | 45→43 | 40→50 | 53→55 | 41 | .214/.276/.312 | .098 | .301 | 7 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.282/.341 | .126 | .287 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 48 | .212/.285/.319 | .107 | .280 | 9 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.289/.323 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .192/.284/.327 | .135 | .243 | 17 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.274 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .208/.307/.328 | .120 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A |
23 | 44→46 | 42→45 | 56→55 | 46 | .208/.289/.317 | .109 | .297 | 9 | 20 | 31% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .210/.272/.325 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .206/.260/.324 | .118 | .278 | 15 | 16 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -0.8 |
|
✕River Town 2023 · A |
24 | 41→38 | 45→40 | 55→50 | 46 | .206/.287/.332 | .126 | .261 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.304/.312 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.313/.285 | .071 | .263 | 6 | 15 | 19% | 10% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A |
23 | 41 | 37→40 | 58→60 | 41 | .196/.260/.271 | .075 | .276 | 4 | 25 | 29% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .231/.298/.298 | .067 | .313 | 3 | 17 | 25% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .242/.313/.293 | .051 | .324 | 2 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A |
23 | 45 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 44 | .221/.289/.340 | .119 | .279 | 12 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .211/.270/.295 | .084 | .282 | 6 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.249/.254 | .059 | .266 | 3 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -0.8 |
|
✕Hudson Haskin 2022 · A |
23 | 48→46 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 41 | .225/.299/.325 | .099 | .312 | 7 | 17 | 28% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .225/.308/.346 | .121 | .313 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .215/.308/.330 | .115 | .308 | 11 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A |
23 | 47 | 37→30 | 52→60 | 42 | .219/.287/.296 | .076 | .318 | 4 | 13 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .226/.311/.291 | .065 | .315 | 3 | 28 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.319/.287 | .055 | .311 | 2 | 37 | 23% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A |
23 | 45 | 36→30 | 55→60 | 49 | .206/.316/.268 | .062 | .286 | 3 | 22 | 26% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.326/.265 | .058 | .286 | 3 | 20 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .188/.332/.220 | .031 | .271 | 2 | 26 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Connor Kokx 2023 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→40 | 48→60 | 49 | .207/.293/.305 | .098 | .273 | 9 | 14 | 26% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.291/.286 | .080 | .292 | 6 | 24 | 29% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .196/.287/.257 | .061 | .289 | 3 | 34 | 30% | 8% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→40 | 57→60 | 40 | .203/.269/.298 | .096 | .321 | 9 | 24 | 38% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.271/.269 | .081 | .305 | 6 | 20 | 37% | 9% | 51 | -1.7 | .098/.228/.122 | .024 | .176 | 0 | 28 | 38% | 12% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA |
23 | 40→38 | 47→50 | 54→55 | 43 | .202/.274/.341 | .139 | .273 | 14 | 17 | 31% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.270/.316 | .124 | .268 | 13 | 17 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .166/.251/.266 | .100 | .225 | 10 | 19 | 29% | 8% | 40 | -1.3 |
|
✕Landon Lassiter 2016 · A |
23 | 49→48 | 40 | 51→50 | 47 | .230/.301/.324 | .094 | .311 | 6 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.277/.288 | .071 | .327 | 4 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .210/.268/.271 | .062 | .324 | 3 | 9 | 34% | 5% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A |
23 | 46 | 42→50 | 55→65 | 43 | .222/.290/.334 | .112 | .306 | 9 | 23 | 29% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.280/.317 | .097 | .306 | 8 | 25 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A |
23 | 39 | 43→45 | 54→40 | 43 | .197/.263/.312 | .116 | .274 | 11 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.249/.305 | .110 | .318 | 11 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .177/.228/.282 | .105 | .298 | 12 | 3 | 43% | 6% | 32 | -1.0 |