Ivan Brethowr — OGILVIE

Ivan BrethowrRF Altoona Curve

Age 23 R/R 6'6" / 250 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION269 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP268

ISO79

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	83	14	1	0	2	8	26	4	3	0	169	274	253	527	84	218	27	8	252	57	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	327	73	11	2	6	71	113	28	30	4	223	404	324	728	101	319	26	17	348	121	+11	+4	—	—	+9	2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	86	11	1	0	2	5	38	4	3	0	128	211	209	420	81	194	40	5	186	12	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	351	64	8	2	5	47	152	28	30	4	182	326	259	586	77	287	36	11	266	66	-17	+4	—	—	+9	-0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	86	11	1	0	2	5	38	4	3	0	128	211	209	420	81	196	40	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	83	14	1	0	2	8	26	4	3	0	169	274	253	527	84	218	27	8	252	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	351	64	8	2	5	47	152	28	30	4	182	326	259	586	77	301	36	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	327	73	11	2	6	71	113	28	30	4	223	404	324	728	101	319	26	17	348	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	86	11	1	0	2	5	38	4	3	0	128	211	209	420	81	194	40	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	350	64	8	2	5	47	152	28	30	4	183	326	260	586	77	287	36	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	86	11	1	0	2	5	38	4	3	0	128	211	209	420	81	194	40	5	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	350	64	8	2	5	47	152	28	30	4	183	326	260	586	77	287	36	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	PIT	—	269	235	35	9	2	3	24	110	9	8	1	149	254	243	496	94	260	41	9	228	41	-19	+1	+0	-3	+6	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	PIT	—	19	17	3	1	1	0	1	10	1	2	0	176	263	353	616	176	429	53	5	276	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	PIT	—	30	23	6	2	1	1	4	8	2	0	0	261	400	565	965	304	357	27	13	411	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	PIT	—	220	182	32	8	1	3	30	70	6	6	1	176	311	280	591	104	264	32	14	280	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	PIT	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	33	11	251	56	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	PIT	—	278	243	36	9	2	3	25	113	9	8	1	148	253	239	491	91	258	41	9	229	41	-19	+1	+0	-3	+6	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	31%	451	390	68	13	2	7	43	159	15	13	2	174	281	272	553	97	271	35	10	263	64	-19	+2	+0	-5	+10	-1.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	31%	140	121	21	4	1	2	13	49	5	4	1	174	281	273	553	99	269	35	9	235	64	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	140	121	21	4	1	2	13	49	5	4	1	174	281	273	553	99	268	35	9	235	60	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	98	19	5	9	60	228	23	19	5	174	281	274	555	100	270	35	9	235	60	-28	+2	+0	-7	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	983	835	144	22	4	14	96	352	47	46	6	172	293	259	552	86	275	36	10	257	60	-20	+2	+0	-5	+10	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	96	15	3	9	63	233	31	30	4	174	294	261	555	87	278	36	10	257	60	-28	+3	+0	-7	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Brethowr (OGILVIE)	23	35	30	60	60	164/276/248	84	269	4	10	37%	10%	56	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	75	-0.5	206/321/265	59	291	3	20	28%	8%	77	-0.3	182/323/214	31	272	2	26	28%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2014 · A	23	43	36→30	51→60	41	201/255/265	64	288	3	17	30%	6%	48	-2.5	209/261/286	77	285	5	10	27%	6%	55	-1.9	198/248/261	62	248	4	8	21%	4%	45	-0.5
✕Drew Swift 2022 · A	23	43→50	39→30	56→55	48	195/291/281	86	319	6	23	37%	11%	67	-1.1	211/281/276	65	323	3	19	32%	8%	61	-1.5	211/287/262	52	322	1	18	32%	9%	57	-1.3
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→33	44→40	54→55	51	186/293/300	113	289	12	20	36%	12%	73	-0.6	188/264/278	90	313	8	18	39%	9%	56	-1.9	158/223/219	62	275	5	22	41%	7%	24	-2.3
✕Kyle Gaedele 2013 · A	23	44→43	39→45	54→50	43	207/275/302	95	309	5	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	202/265/330	128	303	12	15	35%	7%	68	-1.0	196/263/337	141	300	14	16	37%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	207/286/310	104	309	10	15	34%	9%	71	-0.8	194/277/309	115	290	12	22	35%	9%	68	-1.0	178/266/288	110	261	13	29	34%	9%	58	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	43	41→40	58→60	40	200/268/296	96	321	9	25	38%	8%	61	-1.5	190/273/273	83	305	6	19	36%	9%	58	-1.7	99/228/124	25	174	0	28	37%	12%	10	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→40	51→60	41	196/255/271	75	298	4	15	34%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/254	62	301	4	21	35%	7%	47	-2.5	179/239/282	103	263	10	30	34%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Anfernee Grier 2019 · A	23	43→44	39→40	52→55	40	203/263/286	83	299	6	16	32%	6%	56	-1.9	190/251/288	98	320	9	19	40%	7%	53	-2.1	157/224/250	92	273	10	26	43%	7%	33	-2.5
✕Richard Nunez 2018 · A	23	42	36→30	49→55	48	197/274/261	64	266	3	12	26%	9%	55	-1.9	200/270/286	86	282	5	7	28%	8%	59	-1.6	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	44→33	39→40	56→55	48	204/291/294	90	301	5	21	31%	10%	70	-0.9	186/272/268	82	284	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	164/254/234	71	252	5	20	34%	9%	40	-1.3
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	41	36→30	52→55	44	193/280/256	63	253	4	19	24%	6%	57	-1.8	212/285/291	79	294	6	12	28%	6%	67	-1.1	214/282/293	79	299	8	5	29%	4%	63	-0.2
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	54→55	49	197/291/275	78	286	4	18	30%	10%	65	-1.2	186/271/266	80	330	6	12	41%	9%	56	-1.9	150/245/215	65	294	6	12	46%	9%	32	-2.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Connor Kokx 2023 · A	23	42	41→40	48→60	48	203/291/301	98	272	9	14	27%	9%	72	-0.7	205/289/282	77	288	5	24	28%	8%	66	-1.1	195/285/255	60	281	3	34	29%	8%	56	-0.8