Ivan Brethowr

RF Altoona Curve
Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 250 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ACHC95.169/.274/.2532313—.141/.232/.224
202522A+PIT428.223/.404/.32463063—.177/.315/.254
202623AA/A+/APIT269.185/.317/.3154845—.158/.265/.261
2027PROJMLE24MLBPIT3.171/.281/.2570059-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBPIT62.177/.285/.2721264-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
BB%79
Chase%60
Speed54
ISO23
wOBA19
wRC+19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsJustin Farmer (age 24) · Connor Kokx (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .281 / .257
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%9
BABIP274
ISO88
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9583 14102 8264 30 169274253527 84218 278 252 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 428327 731126 7111328 304 223404324728 101319 2617 348 63 — — — — — —
202623 AAAltoona Curve — 220182 32813 30706 61 176311280591 104264 3214 280 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 3023 6211 482 00 261400565965 304357 2713 411 102 — — — — — —
202623 ABradenton Marauders — 1917 3110 1101 20 176263353616 176429 535 276 -12 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9585 12102 6364 30 141232224455 82192 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 428355 63825 4314928 304 177315254568 76275 3510 262 63 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 220191 29712 22856 61 152260230491 79257 3910 231 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 3026 6211 2102 00 231333500833 269293 337 319 102 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 1917 2010 1141 20 118211235446 118376 745 150 -12 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9585 12102 6364 30 141232224455 82213 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9583 14102 8264 30 169274253527 84218 278 252 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 428355 63825 4314928 304 177315254568 76286 3510 262 63 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWGreensboro Grasshoppers — 428327 731126 7111328 304 223404324728 101319 2617 348 63 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 269234 36923 251099 81 154261248509 94268 419 235 45 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW3 teams — 269222 411134 35889 81 185317315632 131282 3313 294 45 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9585 12102 6364 30 141232224455 82192 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 428354 63825 4314928 304 178315254569 76275 3510 262 63 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 269233 36923 251099 81 155261249510 94269 419 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9585 12102 6364 30 141232224455 82192 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 428354 63825 4314928 304 178315254569 76275 3510 262 63 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 269233 36923 251099 81 155261249510 94269 419 235 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEPIT 2% 319274 47924 3011512 101 172281259540 88273 369 255 59 -16 +2 +0 -3 +7 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXPIT 2% 33 0000 010 00 171281257538 86274 330 255 59 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEPIT 31% 199171 31613 19707 61 177285275560 97275 3510 262 64 -9 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.6
202825 MLB CTXPIT 31% 6254 9201 6222 20 177285272557 95276 3510 261 64 -3 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6254 9201 6222 20 167274259533 93258 3510 261 54 -3 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650566 9421010 6323121 210 166274256530 90258 3610 261 54 -28 +4 +0 -7 +14 -1.7
Career— MLE — 1149981 16528615 10842154 527 168286255541 87273 379 249 54 -16 +1 +0 -4 +8 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650555 931638 6123831 294 168286250537 83272 379 249 54 -30 +3 +0 -7 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAltoona Curve · 220 PAwOBA .275 → .231 (−44)K% 31.8% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.82%÷1.000×1.220——38.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0279.80%
HBP% /PA2.73%—×0.850—×1.0272.38%
Singles /BIP17.86%÷1.000×0.970×1.015×1.02718.06%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.860×1.015×1.0276.41%
Triples /BIP0.89%÷1.000×0.950×1.015×1.0270.88%
Home runs /BIP2.68%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0272.15%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .275 → .231; ISO .104 → .087; BABIP .264 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 30 PAwOBA .401 → .319 (−82)K% 26.7% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷1.000×1.310——34.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9987.98%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.770—×0.9985.12%
Singles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.870—×0.99811.58%
Doubles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.99810.38%
Triples /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9985.66%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9985.85%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .401 → .319; ISO .304 → .266; BABIP .357 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 19 PAwOBA .269 → .150 (−119)K% 52.6% → 71.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA52.63%÷1.000×1.360——71.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9903.60%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.780—×0.9904.06%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.920—×0.99013.01%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.830—×0.99011.74%
Triples /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.910—×0.99012.87%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .269 → .150; ISO .176 → .087; BABIP .429 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 428 PAwOBA .340 → .262 (−79)K% 26.4% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.40%÷0.994×1.310——34.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.12%÷0.980×0.600—×1.0129.99%
HBP% /PA6.54%—×0.770—×1.0125.10%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷0.950×0.870×0.960×1.01222.47%
Doubles /BIP5.14%÷0.998×0.780×0.960×1.0123.90%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.025×0.850×0.960×1.0120.75%
Home runs /BIP2.80%÷1.048×0.880—×1.0122.38%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .340 → .262; ISO .101 → .082; BABIP .319 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 95 PAwOBA .246 → .187 (−58)K% 27.4% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.37%÷0.985×1.360——37.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.42%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0155.86%
HBP% /PA4.21%—×0.780—×1.0153.33%
Singles /BIP19.30%÷0.997×0.920×0.950×1.01517.16%
Doubles /BIP1.75%÷0.986×0.830×0.950×1.0151.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP3.51%÷0.908×0.800—×1.0153.14%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .246 → .187; ISO .084 → .066; BABIP .218 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).