Andrew Patrick — OGILVIE

Andrew PatrickOF Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 R/R 6'4" / 195 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.156 / .229 / .233

PA76

HR1

K%36

BB%8

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	45	8	2	0	0	9	19	0	4	1	178	315	222	537	44	308	35	17	264	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	62	51	7	2	0	0	8	24	2	2	0	137	279	176	455	39	250	39	13	228	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	45	36	5	1	0	0	7	17	0	3	0	139	279	167	446	28	238	38	16	218	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	48	6	1	0	0	6	27	0	4	1	125	222	146	368	21	278	50	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	62	54	5	1	0	0	5	33	2	2	0	93	197	111	308	19	219	53	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	45	39	4	1	0	0	4	24	0	3	0	103	186	128	314	26	176	53	9	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	48	6	1	0	0	6	27	0	4	1	125	222	146	368	21	286	50	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	45	8	2	0	0	9	19	0	4	1	178	315	222	537	44	308	35	17	264	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	107	92	9	2	0	0	10	57	2	5	0	98	202	120	321	22	237	53	9	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	107	87	12	3	0	0	15	41	2	5	0	138	279	172	451	34	245	38	14	224	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	48	6	1	0	0	6	27	0	4	1	125	222	146	368	21	278	50	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	107	94	9	2	0	0	10	57	2	5	0	96	202	117	319	21	201	53	9	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	54	48	6	1	0	0	6	27	0	4	1	125	222	146	368	21	278	50	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	107	94	9	2	0	0	10	57	2	5	0	96	202	117	319	21	201	53	9	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	200	181	28	5	1	2	15	72	2	4	1	157	231	235	466	78	240	36	8	216	33	-16	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	131	119	19	3	1	2	10	46	1	3	1	162	236	248	484	85	244	35	8	224	38	-10	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	162	236	245	480	83	244	36	8	223	38	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	238	36	8	223	18	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	101	17	0	17	50	233	0	17	0	168	232	282	514	113	240	36	8	223	18	-48	+3	+0	-4	+14	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	368	328	45	8	1	3	32	157	4	14	2	137	223	195	418	58	244	43	9	195	18	-16	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	79	14	2	5	57	277	7	25	4	136	222	193	416	57	243	43	9	195	18	-50	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Patrick (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	156/229/233	77	240	1	2	36%	8%	33	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36	40	52→50	37	174/253/267	93	285	8	17	39%	6%	50	-2.3	180/259/292	112	314	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/216/249	125	228	14	10	49%	8%	32	-1.4
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	29→32	39→40	51→50	36	156/206/240	84	223	7	14	33%	5%	24	-4.2	165/216/261	96	249	10	15	37%	5%	33	-3.6	148/201/242	94	225	11	16	38%	5%	21	-2.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Ryan Higgins 2024 · A	24	35	42→40	45	36	174/242/277	102	277	9	10	38%	6%	47	-2.5	187/251/284	97	310	9	10	40%	6%	52	-2.2	159/224/238	80	273	9	9	43%	5%	30	-2.0
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	37	40	54→55	39	181/254/271	90	285	8	17	37%	7%	51	-2.3	191/258/279	88	333	7	15	41%	7%	53	-2.1	145/219/197	52	305	3	18	49%	8%	17	-1.1
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2024 · A	23	36→28	42→45	50	38	174/245/277	102	293	10	9	41%	8%	48	-2.5	170/240/279	109	275	11	11	39%	8%	47	-2.5	138/212/244	106	213	11	13	39%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Jose Torres 2024 · AA	24	36→34	42→45	53→55	37	183/238/282	98	269	11	17	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/284	100	283	11	14	37%	6%	47	-2.6	172/225/269	98	261	12	14	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Marcos Estevez 2018 · A	23	34	38→40	53→50	49	166/275/245	79	246	5	10	31%	10%	54	-2.0	186/278/269	83	249	5	9	25%	10%	59	-1.6	114/236/199	85	134	3	11	16%	12%	29	-0.7
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	37	37→40	52→50	40	180/246/249	69	273	5	11	34%	7%	42	-2.9	182/248/290	108	274	12	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	154/224/268	114	224	14	19	37%	7%	36	-1.3
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	36→32	41→40	46→45	37	182/232/275	93	270	9	6	35%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/268	89	276	9	7	37%	6%	40	-3.1	146/198/219	73	225	9	5	38%	5%	14	-3.6
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Josh Richmond 2013 · A	24	34→40	41→45	48→45	36	175/225/277	101	253	8	8	34%	5%	40	-3.1	200/253/324	124	279	11	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	202/257/338	136	275	13	7	30%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Chris Baker 2019 · A	24	37→30	41→40	50→45	33	185/229/281	96	285	9	6	38%	4%	42	-2.9	195/249/283	88	308	8	8	37%	6%	51	-2.3	141/204/184	43	231	6	4	39%	7%	11	-1.0
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	39→36	42→45	50	39	195/248/298	103	266	9	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	194/242/298	104	271	9	11	30%	5%	51	-2.3	178/222/277	99	246	9	12	31%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	199/280/298	99	306	7	12	35%	7%	67	-1.1	165/264/278	113	272	8	12	38%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Beau Philip 2023 · A	24	36→34	42→40	50	37	175/243/270	95	299	11	13	43%	8%	46	-2.6	194/266/294	100	321	10	9	39%	8%	60	-1.6	168/251/259	90	286	9	3	41%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Pat McInerney 2019 · A	24	32	44→45	47→45	42	163/252/279	116	274	12	7	42%	10%	53	-2.1	182/254/296	114	305	12	6	41%	8%	56	-1.9	153/224/266	113	250	13	3	42%	7%	36	-1.7