Alfredo Guanchez

Alfredo GuanchezSS DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .282 / .287

PA7

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	149	41	5	2	2	34	37	2	23	5	275	416	376	792	101	345	20	18	361	131	+7	+3	—	—	+4	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	160	29	3	1	1	23	55	2	23	5	181	292	231	523	50	256	29	12	251	56	-10	+3	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	160	29	3	1	1	23	55	2	23	5	181	292	231	523	50	262	29	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	149	41	5	2	2	34	37	2	23	5	275	416	376	792	101	345	20	18	361	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	161	29	3	1	1	23	55	2	23	5	180	292	230	522	50	256	29	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	161	29	3	1	1	23	55	2	23	5	180	292	230	522	50	256	29	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		288	29	14	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	125	112	25	4	1	2	11	34	1	3	0	223	298	330	629	107	290	27	9	274	72	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	271	242	53	9	2	4	24	72	3	7	1	219	297	322	620	103	291	27	9	282	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	375	335	75	12	3	7	33	99	4	10	1	224	301	340	641	116	292	26	9	287	80	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	446	399	89	14	3	9	39	117	5	12	2	223	300	341	641	118	293	26	9	290	83	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	489	438	99	16	3	10	43	128	5	13	2	226	302	345	647	119	293	26	9	292	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	514	459	105	17	4	11	45	135	5	14	2	229	305	355	660	126	293	26	9	293	85	-9	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	526	469	106	17	4	11	47	138	5	14	2	226	303	350	653	124	293	26	9	293	85	-10	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	529	471	107	17	4	11	48	140	5	14	2	227	305	350	656	123	293	26	9	292	84	-10	+2	-1	+6	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	524	466	105	17	4	10	48	139	5	12	2	225	304	343	648	118	292	27	9	291	83	-11	+2	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	516	459	101	16	3	10	47	138	5	11	2	220	299	333	633	113	291	27	9	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+6	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	448	97	15	3	9	46	137	5	9	1	217	297	324	620	107	289	27	9	284	79	-13	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.2
2038	32	MLB MLE	—	56%	487	435	92	14	3	8	44	134	5	8	1	211	291	313	604	101	286	28	9	279	75	-14	+1	-4	+5	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	43	39	8	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	205	279	308	587	103	290	28	9	274	72	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	131	118	26	4	1	2	11	35	1	4	0	220	292	322	614	102	291	27	8	282	77	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	203	181	41	7	1	4	18	54	2	5	1	227	303	343	646	116	292	27	9	287	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	247	221	50	8	2	5	22	65	2	7	1	226	302	348	650	122	293	26	9	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	274	245	55	9	2	5	24	72	3	7	1	224	301	339	640	114	293	26	9	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	289	259	58	9	2	6	25	76	3	8	1	224	300	344	643	120	293	26	9	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	291	260	58	9	2	6	26	76	3	8	1	223	301	342	643	119	293	26	9	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	290	259	58	9	2	6	26	77	3	7	1	224	302	344	646	120	293	27	9	292	84	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	280	250	56	9	2	6	25	74	3	7	1	224	302	348	650	124	292	26	9	291	83	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	271	241	53	8	2	5	25	73	3	6	1	220	301	332	633	112	291	27	9	288	81	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	234	52	8	2	5	24	71	3	5	1	222	303	338	640	115	289	27	9	284	79	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	—	56%	274	244	53	8	2	5	25	75	3	4	1	217	298	328	626	111	286	27	9	279	75	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2856	2551	568	89	20	56	255	760	29	69	10	223	301	339	640	116	293	27	9	289	80	-63	+10	-6	+31	+62	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	130	20	5	13	58	173	7	16	2	224	302	343	645	119	294	27	9	289	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5501	4899	1084	171	38	103	499	1468	55	150	23	221	300	335	635	113	292	27	9	287	80	-118	+18	-10	+57	+115	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	127	20	4	12	59	173	6	18	3	219	298	330	628	111	289	27	9	287	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,939	55	71	223	297	337	+31	+21	5.5	4.9
/162	664	12	16	+7.1	+4.7	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Guanchez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	207/282/287	81	288	1	2	28%	9%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	50	-2.3	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	66	-1.1	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	41	195/245/269	75	266	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	236/283/325	89	313	8	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	247/301/337	90	312	4	24	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→47	39→50	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	217/292/295	78	287	5	17	24%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/346	119	306	11	20	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Leody Taveras 2019 · A	20	45→53	38→50	50→55	43	214/256/290	76	271	5	12	23%	5%	53	-2.1	216/266/314	98	293	8	19	27%	6%	63	-1.3	245/296/373	128	305	13	20	23%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	39→49	35→45	53→55	43	185/240/246	61	245	2	14	24%	6%	38	-3.2	206/272/279	73	259	3	20	20%	8%	58	-1.7	251/291/356	104	304	7	26	19%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	51	-2.2	212/289/298	86	289	7	14	27%	8%	69	-0.9	206/278/290	84	292	6	14	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2015 · A	20	40→50	40→60	54→65	34	197/229/289	92	281	7	14	32%	4%	43	-2.8	210/242/330	120	295	11	25	32%	4%	57	-1.8	254/287/434	180	335	19	58	29%	4%	98	+0.7
✕Abraham Almonte 2009 · A	20	40→50	41→55	53→55	44	197/254/300	103	259	9	18	27%	7%	56	-1.9	228/273/323	95	302	6	20	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2018 · A	20	40	35→55	51→50	42	189/256/253	63	271	2	9	29%	6%	47	-2.6	207/272/316	109	294	5	9	29%	8%	66	-1.1	200/270/362	161	281	6	11	29%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Anderson Feliz 2012 · A	20	38→48	39→40	49→50	38	188/240/278	90	279	6	11	34%	6%	46	-2.6	204/262/294	90	321	6	13	35%	7%	57	-1.8	203/265/289	86	328	5	16	37%	8%	55	-0.5
●Danny Santana 2011 · A	20	42→52	39→55	54→55	35	204/238/296	92	280	6	15	29%	4%	48	-2.5	226/262/320	94	303	6	16	26%	4%	62	-1.4	240/285/441	201	301	25	22	29%	5%	97	+0.7
✕Greg Veloz 2008 · A	20	38→48	39→40	54→55	39	185/239/276	90	272	6	18	33%	6%	45	-2.7	211/255/290	79	296	5	16	29%	5%	53	-2.1	217/259/289	72	298	4	17	27%	4%	51	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps