Alfredo Guanchez

Alfredo GuanchezSS DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .283 / .285

PA83

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$20M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	158	27	3	1	1	25	56	2	23	5	171	292	222	513	51	250	30	13	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	149	41	5	2	2	34	37	2	23	5	275	416	376	792	101	345	20	18	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	—	—	83	75	16	2	1	1	7	23	1	2	0	213	289	307	596	93	288	28	8	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	—	34%	125	112	24	4	1	2	11	34	1	3	0	214	290	321	612	107	290	27	9	274	68	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB	—	48%	271	242	53	9	2	4	24	73	3	7	1	219	297	322	620	103	291	27	9	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	23	MLB	—	54%	375	334	75	12	3	7	34	100	4	10	1	225	304	341	645	117	292	27	9	287	78	-9	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2030	24	MLB	—	55%	446	398	88	14	3	8	40	118	5	12	2	221	300	332	632	111	293	26	9	290	80	-10	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2031	25	MLB	—	56%	489	437	98	16	3	10	44	129	5	13	2	224	302	343	646	119	293	26	9	292	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.1
2032	26	MLB	—	56%	514	457	103	17	4	10	47	136	5	14	2	225	305	346	650	120	293	26	9	293	83	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2033	27	MLB	—	55%	526	468	106	17	4	11	48	139	5	14	2	226	305	350	656	124	293	26	9	293	83	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2034	28	MLB	—	55%	529	470	106	17	4	11	49	141	5	14	2	226	305	349	654	123	293	27	9	292	82	-11	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2035	29	MLB	—	53%	524	465	103	17	3	10	49	141	5	12	2	222	303	335	638	114	292	27	9	291	81	-11	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2036	30	MLB	—	57%	516	458	101	16	3	10	48	140	5	11	2	221	301	334	635	114	291	27	9	288	79	-12	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.7
2027	21	MLB	—	34%	43	39	8	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	205	279	308	587	103	290	28	9	274	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB	—	48%	131	117	25	4	1	2	12	35	1	4	0	214	292	316	609	103	291	27	9	282	74	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	—	54%	203	181	41	7	1	4	18	54	2	5	1	227	303	343	646	116	292	27	9	287	78	-5	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2030	24	MLB	—	55%	247	221	50	8	2	5	22	65	2	7	1	226	302	348	650	122	293	26	9	290	80	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2031	25	MLB	—	56%	274	244	55	9	2	5	25	72	3	7	1	225	305	340	645	115	293	26	9	292	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB	—	56%	289	258	58	9	2	6	26	76	3	8	1	225	303	345	648	120	293	26	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	—	55%	291	259	58	9	2	6	27	77	3	8	1	224	304	344	648	120	293	26	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	—	55%	290	258	58	9	2	6	27	77	3	7	1	225	306	345	651	120	293	27	9	292	82	-6	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB	—	53%	280	249	55	9	2	5	26	75	3	7	1	221	302	333	635	112	292	27	9	291	81	-6	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	—	57%	294	262	58	9	2	6	27	80	3	6	1	221	301	340	641	118	291	27	9	288	79	-7	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2342	2088	466	74	16	46	214	623	23	60	8	223	302	340	642	117	294	27	9	290	80	-52	+9	-2	+25	+66	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	130	21	4	13	59	173	6	17	2	224	302	341	643	117	295	27	9	290	80	-14	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	4586	4074	900	144	32	85	426	1230	46	135	21	221	302	335	636	114	293	27	9	288	78	-112	+19	-4	+49	+130	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	128	20	5	12	60	174	7	19	3	222	303	336	639	114	294	27	9	288	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	188	149	41	5	2	2	34	37	2	23	5	275	416	376	792	101	345	20	18	361	135	+7	+3	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,426	46	62	223	299	338	+26	+18	4.8	4.5
	/162	664	12	17	223	299	338	+7.1	+4.9	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Guanchez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	205/283/285	80	288	1	2	28%	9%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	54	-1.4	200/264/255	55	278	2	13	27%	8%	43	-2.2	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	42→48	40→45	50	44	204/268/288	84	276	8	14	28%	7%	53	-1.5	209/274/318	109	301	10	11	32%	7%	64	-0.8	222/301/333	110	309	10	11	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	40→48	39→40	56→60	43	193/255/276	83	270	6	20	30%	7%	45	-2.1	209/276/279	70	304	4	22	30%	7%	54	-1.4	189/253/276	87	274	8	24	32%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	43	-2.2	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	62	-0.9	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	39→49	36→40	52→60	46	186/254/253	67	244	3	17	24%	7%	38	-2.6	222/285/312	90	295	5	23	25%	7%	66	-0.6	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	40→42	36→45	52→50	40	194/244/260	66	269	4	14	28%	6%	35	-2.8	207/246/297	90	277	7	12	27%	4%	45	-2.1	199/247/312	113	276	11	10	31%	5%	47	-1.2
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→45	37→45	53→50	47	193/272/275	82	278	3	12	29%	9%	52	-1.6	202/256/315	113	303	9	14	34%	6%	55	-1.4	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	44→46	37→45	50→55	45	209/273/283	74	281	5	13	26%	7%	54	-1.4	222/267/297	75	295	4	18	24%	6%	54	-1.4	211/274/331	120	275	10	12	26%	8%	63	-0.5