Raul Garayzar

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 229 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	AARI	36	1	80	5.20	4.49	18.8%	8.4%	—	K 13.9% · BB 10.0% · FIP 5.52
2027PROJ	24	MLBARI	53	0	56	5.12	5.12	16.3%	9.9%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBARI	30	0	31	4.95	4.89	18.1%	9.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBARI	46	0	48	4.84	4.79	19.2%	9.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsConor Steinbaugh (age 25) · David Reid-Foley (age 24) · Jack Jasiak (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%16.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%6.4%

Proj IP56

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	—
2026	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.3%	5.20	4.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	ARI	53	0	56	236	39	23	8	0%	1.1	16.3%	9.9%	6.4%	3.2%	5.12	5.12	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	69	0	73	307	56	29	10	0%	1.1	18.1%	9.4%	8.7%	3.2%	4.95	4.89	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	69	0	73	307	59	29	10	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.2%	4.84	4.79	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	68	0	72	302	58	29	10	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.5%	9.9%	3.2%	4.81	4.80	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	293	57	28	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.6%	9.7%	3.3%	4.85	4.88	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	280	53	28	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.8%	9.3%	3.5%	4.94	5.01	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	59	0	62	263	49	27	10	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.6%	3.7%	5.09	5.19	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	31	131	24	12	4	0%	1.0	18.1%	9.4%	8.7%	3.2%	4.95	4.89	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	46	0	48	203	39	19	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	3.2%	4.84	4.79	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52	0	55	232	45	22	7	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.5%	9.9%	3.2%	4.81	4.80	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55	0	58	245	47	24	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.6%	9.7%	3.3%	4.85	4.88	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	55	0	58	245	47	24	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.8%	9.3%	3.5%	4.94	5.01	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	44	24	9	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.6%	3.7%	5.09	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		292	0	307	1295	247	125	43	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.7%	9.4%	3.3%	4.91	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	82	28	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.7%	9.4%	3.3%	4.91	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		36	1	80	367	51	37	16	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	3	200	921	128	92	39	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raul Garayzar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	16.3%	9.9%	3.2%	—	4.83	18.9%	9.4%	217	-0.29	—	—	—
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	92
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	89
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	88
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	87
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	86
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.42	16.0%	0.0%	133	+1.40	3.59	281	86
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	86
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	86
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	86
Josh Uhen R 2016 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.303	4.02	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.07	3.17	185	86
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	85
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	85
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	85
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	85
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	85
Jarod Wright R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	24	SU	5.22	17.3%	9.4%	4.3%	.214	5.16	12.9%	1.4%	117	-0.06	4.46	170	84
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	84
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	67	18.7%	9.7%	1.28	4.93
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Cliff Politte ('06)	2.1	51	19.3%	9.6%	1.23	4.40
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*