Moises Valdez

OF ACL Padres

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Padres Go…	243	.309/.408/.422	1	26	46	—	.195/.279/.265
2026	20	ROKSD	170	.268/.341/.396	2	7	48	—	.194/.251/.265
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSD	280	.213/.274/.296	2	6	62	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSD	75	.214/.276/.307	1	2	68	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed81

K%63

ISO56

Whiff%50

Z-Con%49

wRC+35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCharcer Burks (age 21) · Frank Frias (age 21) · Terrell Alliman (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .272 / .294

PA142

HR1

K%26

BB%6

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	170	149	40	9	2	2	13	32	4	7	1	268	341	396	737	128	328	19	8	326	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	105	19	1	1	0	13	38	1	4	6	181	277	210	487	29	274	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	106	15	3	0	1	15	36	1	3	1	142	254	198	452	57	188	29	12	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	215	42	6	3	1	18	46	7	26	5	195	279	265	544	70	237	19	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	170	155	30	6	1	1	8	46	4	7	1	194	251	265	516	71	267	27	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	105	19	1	1	0	13	38	1	4	6	181	277	210	487	29	284	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	106	15	3	0	1	15	36	1	3	1	142	254	198	452	57	200	29	12	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	215	42	6	3	1	18	46	7	26	5	195	279	265	544	70	244	19	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	170	155	30	6	1	1	8	46	4	7	1	194	251	265	516	71	266	27	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	170	149	40	9	2	2	13	32	4	7	1	268	341	396	737	128	328	19	8	326	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	104	19	1	1	0	13	38	1	4	6	183	277	212	489	29	274	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	109	15	3	0	1	15	36	1	3	1	138	254	193	447	55	188	29	12	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	216	42	6	3	1	18	46	7	26	5	194	279	264	543	69	237	19	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	170	156	30	6	1	1	8	46	4	7	1	192	251	263	514	71	267	27	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	109	15	3	0	1	15	36	1	3	1	138	254	193	447	55	188	29	12	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	216	42	6	3	1	18	46	7	26	5	194	279	264	543	69	237	19	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	170	156	30	6	1	1	8	46	4	7	1	192	251	263	514	71	267	27	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	280	257	54	10	2	2	18	73	3	6	1	213	274	296	570	83	286	26	6	259	62	-13	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	218	199	44	8	2	3	14	56	3	5	1	218	279	313	592	95	288	26	6	268	68	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	75	69	16	3	1	1	5	19	1	2	0	214	276	307	583	93	282	25	7	264	68	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	75	69	16	3	1	1	5	19	1	2	0	232	293	348	641	116	306	25	7	264	49	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	139	26	9	9	43	165	9	17	0	232	294	351	645	119	307	25	7	264	49	-25	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1018	910	177	29	8	7	77	259	18	48	15	195	271	267	538	73	262	25	8	241	49	-15	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	113	19	5	4	49	165	11	31	10	194	270	265	535	71	263	25	8	241	49	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	217	2	5	216	274	303	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	6	14	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Valdez (OGILVIE)	21	55	25	60	40	211/272/294	82	286	1	3	26%	6%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Charcer Burks 2016 · A	21	44→48	37→40	53→50	44	209/266/280	71	281	4	17	26%	7%	55	-1.9	208/279/306	98	289	8	15	28%	8%	67	-1.1	202/280/301	98	284	8	14	29%	8%	65	-1.1
✕Frank Frias 2015 · A	21	47	36→30	54→55	46	218/286/285	67	294	3	19	25%	8%	65	-1.2	221/290/320	99	339	8	10	34%	8%	74	-0.5	209/299/341	132	351	14	5	40%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Terrell Alliman 2010 · A	21	49	36→30	50	44	230/277/308	79	300	2	11	23%	6%	65	-1.2	206/256/284	78	295	6	8	30%	6%	53	-2.1	188/232/262	75	275	10	3	34%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	43	35→40	56→55	50	201/277/262	60	263	2	12	23%	9%	56	-1.9	215/296/295	80	325	5	20	32%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Calten Daal 2015 · A	21	52→55	35→30	52→50	39	246/275/305	59	316	3	11	23%	4%	63	-1.3	250/286/300	50	325	3	15	23%	4%	66	-1.1	262/291/292	30	339	1	15	22%	3%	63	-0.6
✕Dom Abbadessa 2019 · A	21	50	36→40	51→55	39	236/282/308	72	302	3	15	22%	4%	68	-1.0	211/271/287	76	313	3	11	31%	6%	59	-1.6	145/231/201	56	253	0	9	38%	8%	23	-0.8
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	214/282/275	61	301	3	14	28%	8%	61	-1.5	199/286/241	42	276	1	19	25%	10%	55	-1.9	188/280/217	29	261	1	22	25%	10%	46	-2.1
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/270/314	97	294	8	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	225/283/314	89	299	5	34	25%	7%	70	-0.9	229/287/320	92	301	5	42	24%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Dyan Jorge 2024 · A	21	50→52	38→30	51→60	47	238/293/323	85	295	5	15	21%	7%	75	-0.5	226/281/280	54	314	2	24	27%	7%	61	-1.5	223/282/264	41	312	1	31	27%	7%	55	-1.6
✕Johnni Turbo 2010 · A	21	43→51	38→40	55	36	207/240/290	83	290	4	15	30%	4%	47	-2.5	221/257/304	83	315	5	17	30%	4%	57	-1.8	250/280/336	86	301	6	19	18%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Tyler Hill 2017 · A	21	44→48	35→40	51→55	45	209/270/270	61	274	3	12	24%	7%	55	-2.0	222/278/294	72	273	5	20	20%	6%	63	-1.3	212/274/282	70	261	7	21	20%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Evan Crawford 2010 · A	21	45→55	36→40	56→55	39	211/258/278	67	304	3	16	30%	6%	51	-2.2	233/275/316	83	328	3	18	28%	4%	67	-1.1	241/284/326	85	338	3	21	28%	4%	68	-0.9
✕Glynn Davis 2013 · A	21	47→56	34→40	53→55	45	219/281/272	53	305	2	20	27%	7%	59	-1.6	228/278/293	65	313	2	18	26%	6%	62	-1.4	240/283/315	75	321	4	18	25%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Nate Nankil 2024 · A	21	42→51	37→40	50→45	43	198/250/270	72	264	4	7	26%	6%	47	-2.5	225/294/314	89	290	7	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/293/305	83	282	7	5	22%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Joseph Monge 2016 · A	21	44→51	38→40	53→50	37	210/252/291	81	293	4	16	29%	4%	53	-2.1	226/272/318	92	323	6	14	31%	4%	66	-1.1	231/277/321	91	333	7	15	31%	4%	66	-0.7
✕Onil Perez 2024 · A	21	48	37→40	55	47	227/281/308	80	278	4	16	19%	6%	68	-1.0	216/286/290	74	269	4	16	20%	8%	66	-1.1	204/282/270	67	252	4	16	19%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Jorma Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	47→52	36→30	52→50	48	220/285/290	70	280	3	12	22%	7%	65	-1.2	213/252/275	62	305	3	9	29%	4%	49	-2.4	214/248/265	51	307	2	8	30%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Victor Acosta 2017 · A	21	45→48	39→40	52→45	42	214/272/302	88	293	6	11	28%	6%	63	-1.4	233/275/338	105	274	8	6	18%	5%	72	-0.7	232/276/329	97	265	7	5	15%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Kurt Mertins 2007 · A	21	51→55	36→40	56→55	42	238/281/307	69	311	3	20	24%	5%	67	-1.1	227/280/303	76	308	3	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	238/285/323	85	316	3	14	24%	5%	70	-0.7

Moises Valdez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps