Jan Luis Reyes

OF ACL Cubs
Age 21 L/L 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519ROKCHC175.232/.318/.31102124—.169/.231/.219
202620A/ROKCHC221.191/.265/.29121012—.146/.197/.225
2027PROJMLE21MLBCHC331.189/.244/.2632743-0.6
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCHC60.197/.254/.2851149-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed62
Whiff%48
Chase%46
Z-Con%33
K%12
ISO8
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJaden Rudd (age 21) · Rashad Crawford (age 21) · Roberto Reyes (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 128 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .242 / .260
PA128
HR1
K%30
BB%6
ISO73
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 ROKACL Cubs — 175151 35630 20350 212 232318311629 79297 2011 286 24 — — — — — —
202620 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 8379 11110 4280 11 139181177358 38216 345 167 -29 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Cubs — 138120 27722 15211 95 225316367683 142255 1511 305 36 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 175160 27420 13520 212 169231219450 50238 307 203 24 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 8380 9110 3380 11 113145150295 37209 464 126 -29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 138126 21512 9301 95 167228270498 103205 227 221 36 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 175160 27420 13520 212 169231219450 50245 307 203 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 175151 35630 20350 212 232318311629 79297 2011 286 24 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 221206 31622 12681 106 150201228429 78212 315 185 12 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAW2 teams — 221199 38832 19491 106 191265291556 101242 229 253 12 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 175160 27420 13520 212 169231219450 50238 307 203 24 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 221206 31622 12681 106 150201228429 78207 315 185 12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 175160 27420 13520 212 169231219450 50238 307 203 24 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 221206 31622 12681 106 150201228429 78207 315 185 12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECHC 0% 331306 581132 201012 72 189244263507 73271 316 231 43 -23 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECHC 34% 174160 31612 11521 41 195251280531 85273 306 241 49 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.7
202822 MLB CTXCHC 34% 6056 12211 4180 10 197254285538 88277 307 244 49 -4 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6056 12211 4180 10 214267339606 125297 307 244 30 -4 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 131221111 431950 110 216268343610 127299 307 244 30 -39 +2 +0 -4 +14 -2.7
Career— MLE — 698644 1112065 442113 3810 172229245474 73245 306 212 30 -19 +1 +0 -2 +7 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650600 1041965 411963 359 173230250480 77245 306 212 30 -41 +1 +0 -4 +14 -3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Cubs · 138 PAwOBA .299 → .221 (−78)K% 15.2% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.22%÷1.000×1.440——21.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.87%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9856.64%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.720—×0.9850.51%
Singles /BIP16.16%÷1.000×0.820×1.044×0.98513.63%
Doubles /BIP7.07%÷1.000×0.720×1.044×0.9855.23%
Triples /BIP2.02%÷1.000×0.720×1.044×0.9851.50%
Home runs /BIP2.02%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.55%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .299 → .221; ISO .142 → .105; BABIP .255 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 83 PAwOBA .163 → .126 (−36)K% 33.7% → 45.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.73%÷1.000×1.360——45.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.82%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0153.38%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.920×1.048×1.01517.26%
Doubles /BIP1.96%÷1.000×0.830×1.048×1.0151.73%
Triples /BIP1.96%÷1.000×0.910×1.048×1.0151.90%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .163 → .126; ISO .038 → .029; BABIP .216 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Cubs · 175 PAwOBA .282 → .203 (−80)K% 20.0% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.969×1.440——29.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.43%÷0.983×0.620—×0.9957.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷1.004×0.820×1.019×0.99518.57%
Doubles /BIP5.17%÷0.973×0.720×1.019×0.9953.88%
Triples /BIP2.59%÷1.089×0.720×1.019×0.9951.73%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.868×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 118, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .282 → .203; ISO .079 → .054; BABIP .297 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).