Zack Austin prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Zack Austin P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152144vR 136

ERA6.28

FIP6.28

K%20.0%

BB%23.1%

K-BB%-3.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	56	19	10	0	0%	1.3	24.7%	23.1%	1.5%	0.0%	2.02	3.95	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	56	19	10	0	0%	1.3	24.7%	23.1%	1.5%	0.0%	2.02	3.95	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	13	56	19	10	0	0%	1.3	33.9%	17.9%	16.1%	0.0%	2.02	2.50	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	30	172	31	44	0	0%	1.4	13.0%	30.7%	-17.8%	0.0%	7.80	5.90	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	30	172	31	44	0	0%	1.4	13.0%	30.7%	-17.8%	0.0%	7.80	5.90	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	30	172	31	44	0	0%	1.4	18.0%	25.6%	-7.6%	0.0%	7.80	5.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.0%	23.1%	-3.0%	2.9%	6.28	6.28	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	26	0	27	114	24	25	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	21.6%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.07	6.06	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	11	0	12	51	10	11	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	21.6%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.07	6.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	11	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	21.6%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.07	5.68	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	191	17	0%	1.1	20.7%	21.6%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.07	5.68	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		31	0	43	228	36	66	0	0%	1.4	15.8%	28.9%	-13.0%	0.0%	6.02	5.42	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	1052	167	304	0	0%	1.4	15.8%	28.9%	-13.0%	0.0%	6.02	5.42	-3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Austin (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.28	20.0%	23.1%	2.9%	—	6.06	20.7%	-0.9%	27	-0.22	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	84
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	83
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	83
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	82
Yennier Cano R 2019 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	17.6%	20.2%	3.2%	.219	3.89	23.6%	12.1%	128	-2.05	2.43	381	80
Pedro Strop R 2010 · 5.63 FIP	25	SU	5.63	18.3%	18.3%	3.2%	.417	3.15	23.1%	12.1%	146	-2.48	2.25	494	79
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	79
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	79
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	78
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	78
Chris Mauloni R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	19.0%	23.7%	2.6%	.247	5.42	16.2%	7.1%	37	-0.52	4.82	129	78
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	78
Stevie Branche R 2022 · 6.19 FIP	25	SU	6.19	21.2%	20.6%	4.1%	.308	4.69	23.1%	4.6%	69	-1.50	3.23	162	78
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	78
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	78
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	77
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	77
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	77
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	77
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	77