Camden Janik

C Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1701ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	APIT	150	.266/.385/.323	0	2	66	—	.229/.318/.275
2026	24	AA/A+PIT	198	.272/.413/.348	3	2	75	—	.230/.332/.301
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBPIT	1	.211/.294/.292	0	0	69	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBPIT	51	.213/.296/.301	1	1	72	0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBPIT	87	.214/.296/.303	1	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%92

Z-Con%91

Whiff%87

BB%82

wOBA74

wRC+69

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsForrestt Allday (age 25) · Onix Vega (age 25) · Adam Weisenburger (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .294 / .292

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	124	33	5	1	0	21	25	3	2	1	266	385	323	708	56	330	17	14	329	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	32	28	6	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	214	312	250	562	36	286	22	6	271	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	166	130	37	0	1	3	26	25	8	2	1	285	433	369	802	85	327	15	16	372	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	131	30	4	1	0	14	34	3	2	1	229	318	275	592	46	298	23	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	32	29	6	1	0	0	1	9	2	0	0	207	281	241	523	34	275	28	3	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	166	141	33	0	1	3	15	33	8	2	1	234	341	312	654	78	266	20	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	131	30	4	1	0	14	34	3	2	1	229	318	275	592	46	306	23	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	124	33	5	1	0	21	25	3	2	1	266	385	323	708	56	330	17	14	329	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	198	170	39	1	1	3	16	41	10	2	1	229	332	300	632	71	281	21	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	198	158	43	1	1	3	28	32	10	2	1	272	413	348	761	76	320	16	14	356	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	132	30	4	1	0	14	34	3	2	1	227	318	273	590	45	298	23	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	198	170	39	1	1	3	16	41	10	2	1	229	332	300	632	71	267	21	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	150	132	30	4	1	0	14	34	3	2	1	227	318	273	590	45	298	23	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	198	170	39	1	1	3	16	41	10	2	1	229	332	300	632	71	267	21	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	248	220	45	8	1	2	21	61	5	4	1	211	294	292	587	81	278	25	8	271	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	211	294	292	586	81	279	0	0	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	167	148	32	6	1	2	14	41	3	3	1	213	296	302	599	89	278	25	8	275	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	PIT	42%	209	185	40	7	1	3	18	51	4	3	1	214	297	305	601	91	278	24	9	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	239	212	45	8	1	3	21	59	4	3	1	214	296	305	601	92	278	25	9	276	73	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	251	224	48	9	1	3	21	62	4	2	1	213	294	304	598	91	277	25	8	274	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	213	296	301	597	87	279	24	8	275	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	PIT	42%	87	78	16	3	0	1	7	21	2	1	0	214	296	303	600	89	279	24	8	275	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	114	101	22	4	1	1	10	28	2	1	0	214	296	304	599	90	279	25	9	275	73	-4	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	124	110	23	4	1	1	11	31	2	1	0	213	294	302	596	90	278	25	9	274	72	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	376	335	71	13	2	4	32	92	7	4	0	212	294	299	593	87	278	24	9	275	72	-12	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	122	22	3	7	55	159	12	7	0	211	292	295	587	85	276	24	8	275	72	-21	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1332	1175	256	39	7	15	114	317	30	17	7	218	303	301	605	83	283	24	9	274	72	-33	+1	-2	+18	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	124	19	3	7	56	155	15	8	3	216	303	297	599	80	282	24	9	274	72	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 166 PAwOBA .366 → .288 (−78)K% 15.1% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.06%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	19.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.06%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.988	8.93%
HBP% /PA	4.82%	—	×0.770	—	×0.988	3.67%
Singles /BIP	31.43%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.950	×0.988	25.66%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.950	×0.988	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.950	×0.988	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	2.48%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .366 → .288; ISO .085 → .078; BABIP .327 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAltoona Curve · 32 PAwOBA .265 → .233 (−32)K% 21.9% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.88%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.43%
HBP% /PA	6.25%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	5.38%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.012	23.37%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.860	—	×1.012	4.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.950	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .265 → .233; ISO .036 → .030; BABIP .286 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 150 PAwOBA .324 → .266 (−57)K% 16.7% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	22.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.00%	÷1.052	×0.690	—	×0.990	9.09%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.54%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷0.993	×0.920	×1.012	×0.990	25.30%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷1.084	×0.830	×1.012	×0.990	3.87%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷0.952	×0.910	×1.012	×0.990	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.932	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .324 → .266; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .330 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Jeff Torborg'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,525 PA	2.3	1,525	8	3	214*	271*	292*	+27	+0	0.2	0.7
/162	664	3	1	+11.8	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Gary Bennett'95-'08 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,876 PA	2.8	1,876	22	6	232*	290*	317*	+33	+0	0.1	0.5
/162	664	8	2	+11.8	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	376	5	4	214	293	306	+7	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	8	+11.9	+14.1	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camden Janik (OGILVIE)	25	45	20	40	55	209/292/290	81	278	1	2	25%	9%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	48→47	36→30	40→50	49	223/304/286	63	299	4	9	25%	8%	72	-0.7	231/306/289	58	289	3	12	19%	8%	74	-0.6	233/310/282	49	287	2	13	18%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Onix Vega 2024 · AAA	25	44	37→30	46→45	48	208/284/280	72	270	5	6	24%	8%	63	-1.3	200/267/277	77	255	6	7	23%	8%	56	-1.9	180/257/208	28	230	3	8	22%	9%	34	-0.9
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA	25	44	40	40→30	45	210/287/300	90	281	7	4	26%	7%	70	-0.9	217/296/302	85	276	6	4	22%	8%	73	-0.6	211/294/286	74	262	4	2	19%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Phil Avlas 2008 · AA	25	45	40	43→45	49	216/278/303	86	261	8	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	225/274/309	84	274	6	9	19%	6%	65	-1.2	244/281/313	69	290	4	8	17%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Zach Vincej 2016 · AA	25	47→52	37→40	43→50	48	223/283/294	71	276	5	10	20%	7%	65	-1.2	228/274/310	82	279	5	8	19%	5%	65	-1.2	226/269/307	81	274	5	7	19%	4%	59	-1.2
✕Jorge Flores 2017 · AA	25	48→56	36→30	41→50	46	226/278/290	63	273	3	10	18%	6%	62	-1.4	219/278/300	81	269	7	10	20%	6%	65	-1.2	233/310/303	70	284	7	11	19%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Taylor Krick 2013 · AA	25	50	35→30	37→40	48	229/316/289	59	315	2	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	231/309/313	82	319	5	7	27%	8%	80	-0.1	239/322/312	73	335	4	4	27%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Matt Cline 2012 · AA	26	49→56	36→30	43→50	49	230/303/298	68	282	3	9	18%	7%	74	-0.5	206/266/284	78	256	6	8	21%	6%	57	-1.8	135/182/168	33	161	3	0	18%	5%	-4	-1.3
✕Jonathan Diaz 2010 · AAA	25	43→48	35→30	40→50	58	198/303/259	61	245	3	6	19%	11%	67	-1.1	217/299/282	65	270	3	9	19%	9%	70	-0.9	218/299/268	51	275	3	14	20%	9%	64	-1.0
✕Jonathan Esqueda 2009 · AAA	24	46	40→30	41→45	45	221/281/309	88	281	8	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	228/282/333	105	293	9	11	24%	6%	74	-0.5	243/287/324	82	312	5	11	23%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48	37→40	46→55	47	227/293/298	71	300	4	12	24%	8%	70	-0.8	217/308/298	81	279	7	21	23%	10%	77	-0.3	209/313/285	76	260	8	26	21%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Ryan Leahy 2006 · AA	25	47	37→30	41→45	48	219/282/293	73	256	5	7	16%	6%	65	-1.2	208/265/260	52	252	3	5	17%	6%	51	-2.3	195/247/225	31	236	1	3	17%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Mike Nickeas 2008 · AA	25	44	37→40	40	47	208/280/283	76	265	5	4	22%	7%	63	-1.4	208/274/284	76	266	5	4	22%	8%	60	-1.6	221/287/299	77	265	6	1	18%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Jon Schemmel 2008 · AAA	25	51	36→30	44→45	52	238/321/305	67	286	4	6	17%	8%	83	+0.1	219/292/301	82	283	6	7	23%	8%	71	-0.8	180/258/235	54	241	4	3	25%	9%	40	-0.7
✕Shane McGuire 2024 · AA	25	45	37→40	46→45	51	213/299/287	74	286	5	6	25%	10%	71	-0.8	213/295/299	86	282	8	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	208/294/289	82	271	8	9	24%	10%	66	-0.5
✕Alfredo González 2018 · AA	26	45	38→40	44→45	46	216/277/289	73	276	6	7	23%	7%	62	-1.4	208/268/284	76	286	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.7	198/261/257	59	282	4	2	29%	7%	46	-1.0
✕Travis Harrison 2017 · AA	24	44→50	38→40	42→45	46	207/286/293	86	290	5	9	28%	8%	68	-1.0	189/274/282	93	286	6	9	33%	8%	61	-1.5	139/245/223	84	222	4	5	35%	9%	36	-1.8
✕Josh Asanovich 2008 · AA	25	49→53	39→40	45	47	232/289/319	87	280	6	9	19%	7%	73	-0.6	221/297/311	90	268	7	6	19%	9%	75	-0.5	209/306/284	75	249	6	0	17%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Kyle Knudson 2014 · AA	26	48	37→30	41→30	46	227/295/297	70	300	4	3	24%	7%	71	-0.8	216/266/290	74	291	4	5	26%	5%	57	-1.8	200/235/254	54	275	0	0	26%	3%	36	-1.5
✕Stephen McGee 2016 · AAA	25	43	37→40	41→30	47	203/281/274	71	284	4	3	28%	9%	61	-1.5	197/280/292	95	289	8	4	32%	9%	65	-1.2	171/267/265	94	258	9	1	34%	11%	52	-0.7

Camden Janik

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps