Joel Dragoo

OF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+PHI	96	.169/.274/.253	0	2	4	—	.136/.200/.205
2025	22	APHI	194	.177/.297/.226	0	2	15	—	.134/.224/.169
2026	23	A+PHI	278	.178/.351/.243	2	5	27	—	.140/.255/.196
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBPHI	1	.165/.260/.224	0	0	42	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBPHI	82	.173/.266/.248	1	1	49	-0.4
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBPHI	149	.178/.270/.265	2	2	54	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%91

Chase%83

Speed50

Whiff%39

K%28

Z-Con%24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRichard Nunez (age 24) · Connor Justus (age 24) · Dereck Salom (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .260 / .224

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP242

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	96	83	14	5	1	0	11	20	1	2	1	169	274	253	527	84	222	21	11	247	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	194	164	29	8	0	0	27	57	1	2	0	177	297	226	522	49	266	29	14	252	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	214	38	6	1	2	52	80	5	5	3	178	351	243	594	65	261	29	19	287	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	51	13	5	0	0	11	19	3	3	2	255	415	353	768	98	408	29	17	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	96	88	12	4	1	0	6	26	1	2	1	136	200	205	405	68	182	27	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	194	172	23	6	0	0	19	73	1	2	0	134	224	169	393	35	227	38	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	235	33	5	1	2	31	105	5	5	3	140	255	196	450	55	211	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	51	13	5	0	0	11	19	3	3	2	255	415	353	768	98	406	29	17	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	260	35	10	1	0	25	99	2	4	1	135	216	181	397	46	215	34	9	185	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	290	247	43	13	1	0	38	77	2	4	1	174	289	235	524	61	250	27	13	250	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	235	33	5	1	2	31	105	5	5	3	140	255	196	450	55	231	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	214	38	6	1	2	52	80	5	5	3	178	351	243	594	65	261	29	19	287	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	51	13	5	0	0	11	19	3	3	2	255	415	353	768	98	408	29	17	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	261	35	10	1	0	25	99	2	4	1	134	216	180	396	46	212	34	9	185	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	240	33	5	1	2	31	105	5	5	3	138	255	192	446	54	211	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	51	13	5	0	0	11	19	3	3	2	255	415	353	768	98	408	29	17	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	261	35	10	1	0	25	99	2	4	1	134	216	180	396	46	212	34	9	185	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	278	240	33	5	1	2	31	105	5	5	3	138	255	192	446	54	211	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	328	288	47	10	1	1	33	99	4	5	2	165	259	224	483	59	242	30	10	230	42	-23	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	165	260	224	483	59	242	0	0	230	42	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	269	237	41	9	1	2	27	80	3	4	1	172	266	246	511	74	246	30	10	240	49	-16	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	337	296	53	11	1	4	34	99	4	5	2	177	270	262	532	84	248	29	10	248	54	-18	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	82	73	13	3	0	1	8	24	1	1	0	173	266	248	514	75	245	29	10	241	49	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	149	131	24	5	1	2	15	44	2	2	1	178	270	265	535	86	248	30	10	249	54	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	231	204	37	8	1	3	23	68	3	3	1	181	274	275	548	93	254	29	10	246	41	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	104	23	3	8	65	191	8	8	3	181	274	274	547	92	254	29	10	246	41	-37	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1465	1277	208	47	5	9	151	470	20	25	10	163	262	229	490	66	246	32	10	228	41	-51	+1	+0	-5	+18	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	92	21	2	4	67	209	9	11	4	162	261	228	489	65	245	32	10	228	41	-39	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	232	2	4	176	266	257	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	7	10	-4.0	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joel Dragoo (OGILVIE)	24	20	20	40	55	163/257/222	58	242	1	4	30%	10%	42	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→37	38→40	42→45	46	187/272/266	79	264	6	8	29%	8%	56	-1.9	176/250/244	68	255	4	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	151/222/201	49	225	2	6	31%	6%	20	-2.7
✕Dereck Salom 2024 · A	23	41	35→30	42→40	49	193/270/248	55	261	2	4	25%	9%	51	-2.3	202/284/269	67	267	5	7	24%	9%	61	-1.5	188/281/233	46	243	4	7	22%	10%	52	-1.4
✕CJ Rodriguez 2024 · A	24	39	37→30	44→30	45	190/254/259	69	258	5	3	27%	7%	47	-2.5	184/259/237	53	249	3	3	25%	9%	44	-2.8	172/256/197	26	229	1	0	23%	9%	33	-1.1
✕Daniel Torres 2016 · A	24	37	33→30	38→40	45	175/241/219	44	251	1	3	29%	8%	33	-3.6	185/245/240	55	264	3	3	29%	7%	39	-3.1	178/236/224	46	245	4	0	27%	7%	30	-1.9
✕Manuel Ferrer 2009 · A	24	41	34→30	39→40	44	194/263/242	48	270	2	5	28%	7%	47	-2.6	184/247/249	65	292	5	7	36%	7%	42	-2.9	98/152/127	29	180	3	3	46%	6%	-24	-1.8
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	37→38	36→30	47→50	40	180/237/245	65	265	3	10	32%	6%	37	-3.3	163/213/223	60	309	3	8	45%	5%	23	-4.3	103/146/136	34	238	0	5	54%	4%	-25	-4.5
✕Toby Gardenhire 2007 · A	24	38	34→30	37→40	39	184/225/230	46	245	2	4	25%	4%	28	-3.9	215/261/259	44	282	2	5	23%	5%	49	-2.4	234/286/262	28	285	1	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	36→30	39→50	34	186/228/241	55	281	4	5	34%	4%	32	-3.7	206/257/276	70	290	5	6	29%	5%	51	-2.2	200/251/246	46	278	3	3	27%	5%	41	-1.0
✕David Masters 2017 · A	24	35→37	38→45	40	41	173/232/243	70	232	6	4	28%	6%	35	-3.4	189/254/287	98	257	10	2	29%	7%	54	-2.0	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Jay Baum 2017 · A	24	40→39	38→40	45→50	43	196/249/276	80	259	6	11	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/294	92	277	8	11	28%	6%	53	-2.1	170/199/256	86	240	7	12	32%	3%	21	-1.1
✕Jeremy Jirschele 2007 · A	24	39	34→30	45	44	181/257/230	49	255	2	6	28%	7%	42	-2.9	212/275/296	84	276	6	6	24%	7%	63	-1.3	236/290/328	91	281	7	0	18%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	37→30	43→45	38	202/247/268	67	288	5	8	31%	5%	45	-2.7	213/260/289	76	299	4	7	29%	5%	55	-1.9	209/264/268	59	287	2	4	26%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	36	36→40	43→40	50	171/266/239	68	240	4	3	28%	10%	49	-2.4	182/251/255	73	318	3	5	40%	7%	45	-2.7	165/219/238	73	309	2	4	44%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Jose Toussen 2014 · A	24	43	35→30	44→50	44	201/249/257	57	260	2	9	23%	6%	43	-2.8	207/256/275	68	280	3	12	26%	6%	51	-2.3	197/235/235	38	269	0	19	26%	5%	30	-1.1

Joel Dragoo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps