Raider TelloSS Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 133 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .280 / .317
PA133
HR2
K%29
BB%6
BABIP313
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.50.60.60.50.30.1+$18M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AClearwater Threshers — 5852 10200 5191 01 192276231507 38303 339 233 37 — — — — — —
202423 AClearwater Threshers — 5851 13200 6131 01 255345294639 39342 2210 301 88 — — — — — —
202524 AClearwater Threshers — 398362 861906 251177 10 238299340639 102332 296 279 72 — — — — — —
202524 AClearwater Threshers — 398354 981908 32937 10 277348398746 121353 238 334 113 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 A+PHI — 187173 40602 12650 10 231281301582 69352 356 266 62 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
YTD25 A+PHI — 187166 46803 18490 10 277346380725 102371 2610 325 107 +1 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.9
ROS25 A+PHI 0% 133123 28502 8391 10 228280317597 89321 296 275 68 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
ROS25 MLBPHI 0% 11 0000 000 00 323 00 270 65 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 A+PHI — 188174 40602 12650 10 230280299578 69349 356 266 62 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
TOT25 A+PHI — 320296 681104 201041 20 230281307588 78335 326 270 65 -13 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBPHI 38% 356326 771516 241033 41 236295344638 107320 297 285 76 -10 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.5
202827 MLBPHI 52% 382350 821617 261093 41 234293346639 111318 297 288 78 -9 +0 +0 +4 +11 0.6
202928 MLBPHI 60% 396361 841617 281124 41 233295341636 108316 287 289 79 -9 +0 -1 +4 +11 0.6
203029 MLBPHI 62% 398362 841617 291134 41 232296340636 108315 287 288 78 -10 +0 -1 +4 +11 0.5
203130 MLBPHI 68% 397362 841617 281144 31 232294340634 108314 297 285 76 -11 +0 -2 +4 +11 0.3
203231 MLBPHI 72% 385351 791516 281113 31 225288325613 100312 297 281 73 -12 +0 -3 +4 +11 0.1
202726 MLBPHI 38% 135124 29602 9391 10 234291331622 97322 297 280 73 -4 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
202827 MLBPHI 52% 199181 43814 14572 20 238299359659 122320 297 283 75 -6 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.3
202928 MLBPHI 60% 236215 511014 17672 21 237299349648 112318 287 284 76 -7 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.2
203029 MLBPHI 62% 245223 521014 18692 21 233296341637 108317 287 283 75 -7 +0 -1 +3 +7 0.2
203130 MLBPHI 68% 270247 581115 19772 21 235295348643 113316 297 281 73 -8 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203231 MLBPHI 72% 279255 591115 20812 20 231292341634 110314 297 277 70 -9 +0 -2 +3 +8 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 13651246 29256524 9739011 113 234295345641 111320 297 281 73 -41 +1 -5 +15 +39 0.9
/ 162G— — 650593 13927211 461865 51 234295342637 108321 297 281 73 -20 +1 -2 +7 +18 0.4
Career— — 29032649 614120648 20183730 247 232293336629 104318 297 283 75 -82 +2 -7 +31 +82 2.7
/ 162G— — 650593 13827111 451877 52 233295337632 105319 297 283 75 -18 +0 -2 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AClearwater Threshers — 5851 13200 6131 01 255345294639 39342 2210 301 88 -1 -0 — — +2 0.0
202524 AClearwater Threshers — 398354 981908 32937 10 277348398746 121353 238 334 113 +6 +0 — — +11 1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,3672412233292342+15+121.61.6
/162664126+7.1+5.80.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Raider Tello (OGILVIE) 25 45 35 40 30 230/281/307 78335 42 32% 6% 65 +0.0 ————————— —————————
✕D' Vontrey Richardson
2013 · A 		25 47→36 40 44→50 39 223/271/322 98318 610 30% 5% 63 -0.9 242/285/333 91319 617 25% 5% 71 -0.3 250/291/3388832552124%5%71-0.1
✕Joey Reiman
2006 · A 		25 49 40 40→30 42 229/291/322 92334 74 32% 7% 72 -0.2 238/309/325 87346 55 30% 7% 81 +0.4 261/344/332713862030%8%95+0.5
✕Martin Cervenka
2018 · A 		25 47→49 41→45 44→40 40 225/269/322 97306 93 29% 6% 62 -0.9 215/262/331 116298 134 31% 6% 62 -0.9 184/238/30412024715231%6%43-1.0
✕Adam Weisenburger
2014 · AA 		25 43 40 40→30 44 205/284/296 91284 84 29% 7% 63 -0.8 219/300/306 87284 64 23% 8% 72 -0.2 216/301/294782724220%9%67-0.3
✕Eli Wilson
2023 · A 		25 45 40 44→40 39 211/278/304 93323 84 35% 7% 63 -0.9 202/261/323 121269 148 29% 6% 59 -1.1 181/248/30011820914621%7%46-0.7
✕Alsander Womack
2023 · A 		24 48→43 43→40 44→45 47 238/297/340 103293 127 23% 7% 79 +0.3 217/281/301 84281 99 24% 7% 63 -0.9 205/273/275712648824%7%50-0.9
✕Devlin Granberg
2021 · A 		25 45→44 40→45 46→45 42 215/280/307 92291 76 27% 6% 64 -0.8 239/298/388 149291 168 23% 5% 92 +1.2 243/303/40215929018822%5%94+0.8
✕Dan Schwartzbauer
2006 · A 		24 48→50 40 41→45 40 229/275/320 91303 75 26% 5% 64 -0.8 226/272/301 75305 48 26% 5% 57 -1.2 226/272/287603052825%5%52-0.8
✕Jeff Dragicevich
2008 · AA 		25 47→49 43→45 42→40 44 226/295/336 110313 105 29% 8% 78 +0.2 234/307/359 125323 146 29% 9% 89 +0.9 235/317/35812332015229%10%89+0.7
✕Chris Mariscal
2018 · AA 		25 49 40→45 46→45 42 230/290/326 97328 76 31% 7% 72 -0.2 221/276/331 110309 125 31% 6% 68 -0.5 209/265/31910929213432%6%57-0.9
✕Seth Johnston
2008 · A 		25 47→49 43→45 43→40 42 231/275/339 109295 103 25% 5% 69 -0.4 220/266/344 124277 145 25% 5% 67 -0.5 212/257/33812626016425%5%61-0.8
✕Greg Rohan
2011 · A 		25 48→54 39→45 42→30 42 230/273/320 90292 63 23% 5% 63 -0.9 239/287/361 122289 123 21% 5% 80 +0.4 244/295/38013628514119%5%85+0.6
✕Hector Estrella
2009 · A 		24 50→46 40 44→45 44 241/288/332 92294 76 20% 6% 72 -0.2 228/292/319 91285 79 21% 8% 71 -0.3 219/294/3028327161120%9%66-0.5
✕Shea Vucinich
2013 · A 		24 44→47 41→40 45→50 42 211/283/313 102301 810 31% 7% 67 -0.5 195/273/283 88286 611 31% 9% 55 -1.4 164/255/2397424841032%10%34-1.1
✕Matt Koch
2014 · A 		25 43 42→40 41→30 41 208/271/310 103301 93 32% 7% 61 -1.0 208/263/292 84298 76 30% 6% 52 -1.6 191/243/250592755431%6%29-1.3
✕Matt Lawson
2010 · A 		24 47→51 41→45 46→50 38 228/276/324 95315 99 30% 5% 66 -0.6 243/300/359 116318 97 25% 6% 85 +0.7 254/316/3791253229722%6%95+0.7
✕Ramon Santana
2011 · AA 		25 44→52 42→45 44→45 38 208/271/313 105323 87 36% 6% 62 -0.9 206/262/316 110333 86 38% 5% 58 -1.2 187/237/3121243118040%4%42-0.7
✕Ryan Curry
2010 · A 		25 46→48 45 41→45 42 231/272/357 126281 126 23% 5% 72 -0.2 227/266/345 118257 106 16% 4% 67 -0.5 224/262/33811424610513%4%60-0.7
✕Jared Foster
2018 · A 		25 45→47 43→45 45→50 38 224/260/335 111287 109 26% 4% 61 -1.0 207/249/297 90285 89 29% 5% 46 -2.0 139/166/166271934730%3%-25-1.3
✕Jose Leger
2006 · A 		24 50 37→40 43→45 41 232/280/310 78321 48 28% 6% 63 -0.8 223/290/298 75284 37 21% 7% 65 -0.7 214/296/270552610216%8%60-0.3