Raider TelloSS
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 25
R/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
A+
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.5 · 2028
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .276 / .327
PA312
HR6
SB5
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
35→35
SPD
40→40
EYE
45↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-5M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .212 | .293 | .250 | .543 | .038 | .333 | 33 | 9 | .235 | 38 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 398 | 362 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 123 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .235 | .297 | .334 | .631 | .099 | .336 | 31 | 6 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 55 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .160 | .236 | .220 | .456 | .060 | .233 | 35 | 9 | .197 | 9 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | 257 | 234 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 76 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .209 | .275 | .321 | .595 | .111 | .285 | 30 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | PHI | 312 | 284 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 95 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .201 | .268 | .303 | .571 | .102 | .277 | 30 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | PHI | 341 | 308 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 86 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .218 | .287 | .331 | .618 | .114 | .274 | 25 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | PHI | 372 | 336 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .217 | .287 | .333 | .621 | .116 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 37% | PHI | 390 | 352 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .287 | .330 | .616 | .114 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | PHI | 394 | 355 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 100 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .214 | .286 | .327 | .613 | .113 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | PHI | 394 | 355 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 101 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .214 | .286 | .327 | .613 | .113 | .275 | 26 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | PHI | 384 | 346 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 100 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .211 | .283 | .324 | .607 | .113 | .273 | 26 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 83% | PHI | 368 | 332 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .211 | .282 | .319 | .601 | .108 | .272 | 27 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 340 | 306 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 93 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .206 | .279 | .307 | .586 | .101 | .270 | 27 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 297 | 269 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .271 | .301 | .572 | .100 | .268 | 28 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -14 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3993 | 3607 | 773 | 143 | 10 | 76 | 308 | 1071 | 46 | 40 | 6 | .214 | .285 | .323 | .607 | .108 | .281 | 27 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -140 | +6 | -20 | +43 | +113 | 0.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 126 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 174 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .215 | .284 | .322 | .606 | .107 | .282 | 27 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -23 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 58 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .255 | .345 | .294 | .639 | .039 | .342 | 22 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 398 | 354 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 93 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .277 | .348 | .398 | .746 | .121 | .353 | 23 | 8 | .334 | 113 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Raider Tello (OGILVIE) | 25 | 45 | 35 | 40 | 30 | .214/.276/.327 | .114 | .289 | 6 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Matt Koch 2014 · A |
25 | 44 | 42→40 | 41→30 | 41 | .214/.276/.322 | .108 | .305 | 10 | 3 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.268/.296 | .085 | .300 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .191/.249/.248 | .057 | .274 | 4 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 31 | -1.3 |
|
✕Zach Wright 2015 · A |
25 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 42 | .212/.278/.325 | .113 | .296 | 13 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .201/.275/.315 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .152/.251/.261 | .109 | .214 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 39 | -0.8 |
|
✕Shane Hoelscher 2017 · A |
25 | 46→49 | 45 | 46→45 | 40 | .228/.279/.351 | .124 | .299 | 12 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .219/.266/.322 | .103 | .299 | 10 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .209/.252/.288 | .079 | .280 | 8 | 2 | 27% | 5% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Javi Herrera 2006 · AA |
25 | 43 | 42→40 | 43→45 | 38 | .210/.263/.314 | .104 | .278 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.282/.308 | .094 | .270 | 8 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.294/.282 | .082 | .251 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Avelino Asprilla 2006 · A |
25 | 45→44 | 45 | 43→45 | 39 | .224/.267/.346 | .122 | .289 | 14 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .212/.253/.316 | .104 | .273 | 9 | 8 | 25% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.237/.293 | .094 | .253 | 8 | 8 | 24% | 3% | 37 | -2.1 |
|
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2013 · A |
25 | 47→40 | 39→40 | 44→50 | 39 | .221/.271/.316 | .095 | .316 | 6 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .240/.281/.330 | .090 | .317 | 6 | 16 | 25% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .245/.284/.333 | .088 | .317 | 6 | 21 | 24% | 4% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Martin Cervenka 2018 · A |
25 | 46→48 | 40→45 | 44→40 | 40 | .220/.265/.313 | .092 | .299 | 8 | 3 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .220/.267/.338 | .118 | .297 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .191/.245/.313 | .122 | .251 | 15 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ryan Curry 2010 · A |
25 | 45→47 | 45 | 41→45 | 41 | .227/.267/.351 | .124 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.263/.342 | .117 | .256 | 11 | 6 | 17% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .221/.259/.334 | .113 | .244 | 10 | 5 | 14% | 4% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chuckie Robinson 2019 · A |
24 | 42→52 | 45 | 44→45 | 39 | .213/.255/.334 | .121 | .274 | 13 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.245/.298 | .103 | .282 | 11 | 8 | 33% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .236/.288/.362 | .127 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A |
25 | 40 | 41→40 | 44→45 | 43 | .198/.262/.299 | .100 | .269 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.246/.291 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .147/.198/.242 | .094 | .211 | 11 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 8 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Barnes 2012 · A |
25 | 46→51 | 41→45 | 41→45 | 43 | .221/.274/.325 | .105 | .292 | 7 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .205/.261/.287 | .082 | .285 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .152/.218/.170 | .017 | .225 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 7% | 1 | -1.4 |
|
✕Luis De Los Santos 2022 · A |
24 | 43→49 | 46→45 | 41→45 | 35 | .215/.256/.347 | .131 | .293 | 13 | 6 | 31% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .223/.277/.345 | .122 | .302 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.284/.338 | .119 | .295 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 41→45 | 39 | .198/.247/.307 | .109 | .266 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.268/.298 | .095 | .268 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.275/.281 | .083 | .259 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A |
25 | 40→41 | 47→45 | 39→30 | 41 | .205/.282/.334 | .129 | .262 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .210/.295/.321 | .111 | .301 | 12 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .195/.289/.293 | .098 | .285 | 11 | 0 | 32% | 10% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA |
25 | 43 | 40 | 41→30 | 45 | .208/.285/.299 | .091 | .281 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .280 | 6 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.296/.290 | .078 | .266 | 5 | 2 | 20% | 8% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Seth Johnston 2008 · A |
25 | 47→49 | 43→45 | 43→40 | 42 | .231/.276/.340 | .109 | .292 | 10 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.265/.340 | .121 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.253/.331 | .124 | .255 | 16 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 57 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jeremie Tice 2012 · A |
25 | 45→47 | 44→50 | 44→30 | 39 | .222/.276/.344 | .122 | .308 | 11 | 3 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .222/.281/.382 | .160 | .306 | 18 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .210/.269/.414 | .204 | .275 | 26 | 0 | 33% | 5% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A |
25 | 44→43 | 41→45 | 45 | 42 | .213/.276/.310 | .097 | .280 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .240/.299/.386 | .146 | .295 | 15 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .247/.308/.403 | .156 | .299 | 17 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A |
25 | 42 | 43→40 | 46→30 | 42 | .209/.265/.315 | .107 | .284 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.266/.293 | .093 | .314 | 7 | 8 | 36% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .190/.269/.257 | .067 | .328 | 0 | 0 | 38% | 9% | 44 | -0.4 |
|
✕Eli Wilson 2023 · A |
25 | 44 | 41→45 | 44→40 | 40 | .209/.280/.310 | .100 | .316 | 9 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.262/.324 | .121 | .267 | 14 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .190/.253/.325 | .135 | .215 | 16 | 6 | 20% | 7% | 53 | -0.5 |