Raider Tello

SS Reading Fightin Phils
Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423APHI58.255/.345/.2940041—.208/.276/.245
202524APHI398.277/.348/.3988164—.230/.287/.323
202625AA/A+PHI318.297/.363/.3894175—.261/.306/.333
2027PROJMLE26MLBPHI3.221/.272/.3010061-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBPHI44.222/.274/.3041062-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wOBA67
wRC+64
Z-Con%44
Whiff%42
Chase%39
BB%35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsJonathan Hee (age 26) · Colton Plaia (age 26) · Alberto Concepcion (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .272 / .301
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP319
ISO83
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202423 AClearwater Threshers — 5851 13200 6131 01 255345294639 39342 2210 301 41 — — — — — —
202524 AClearwater Threshers — 398354 981908 32937 10 277348398746 121353 238 334 64 — — — — — —
202625 AAReading Fightin Phils — 168149 46803 15481 01 309376423799 114430 299 354 96 — — — — — —
202625 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws — 150134 38601 14370 10 284349351700 67381 259 317 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202423 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 5853 11200 4181 01 208276245521 38299 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 398365 841606 221197 10 230287323610 93312 306 263 64 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 168154 44702 10591 01 286333370703 84425 356 310 96 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 150141 33501 8480 10 234275291566 57334 325 245 52 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 5853 11200 4181 01 208276245521 38314 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202423 A RAWClearwater Threshers — 5851 13200 6131 01 255345294639 39342 2210 301 41 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 398365 841606 221197 10 230287323610 93322 306 263 64 — — — — — —
202524 A RAWClearwater Threshers — 398354 981908 32937 10 277348398746 121353 238 334 64 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 318294 761203 191071 11 259306330636 71390 346 279 75 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW2 teams — 318283 841404 29851 11 297363389752 92406 279 336 75 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 5853 11200 4181 01 208276245521 38299 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 398366 841606 221197 10 230287322609 93312 306 263 64 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 318295 761203 191071 11 258306329635 71382 346 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 5853 11200 4181 01 208276245521 38299 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 398366 841606 221197 10 230287322609 93312 306 263 64 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 318295 761203 191071 11 258306329635 71382 346 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEPHI 2% 368341 751314 221172 21 221272299570 78319 326 258 61 -17 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXPHI 2% 33 0000 010 00 221272301574 80319 330 260 61 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEPHI 27% 163151 33602 10511 10 221273302575 81317 316 260 62 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXPHI 27% 4441 10201 3140 00 222274304578 83317 327 262 62 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4441 10201 3140 00 244295366661 122346 327 262 65 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650606 14830015 442070 00 244295368663 124346 327 262 65 -29 +0 +0 +7 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 10921007 23642013 6434411 42 234287315602 80339 326 265 65 -14 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 1412508 382057 21 235289317606 82341 326 265 65 -30 +1 +0 +7 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 168 PAwOBA .348 → .310 (−38)K% 28.6% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.220——34.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.93%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9986.24%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.850—×0.9980.50%
Singles /BIP34.65%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×0.99835.22%
Doubles /BIP7.92%÷1.000×0.860×1.050×0.9987.14%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.97%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9982.31%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .348 → .310; ISO .114 → .093; BABIP .430 → .425. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 150 PAwOBA .312 → .245 (−66)K% 24.7% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.67%÷1.000×1.310——32.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.33%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9785.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP31.96%÷1.000×0.870×1.050×0.97828.55%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷1.000×0.780×1.050×0.9784.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.050×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP1.03%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9780.89%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .312 → .245; ISO .067 → .053; BABIP .381 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AClearwater Threshers · 398 PAwOBA .327 → .263 (−63)K% 23.4% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.37%÷1.065×1.360——29.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.04%÷0.975×0.690—×0.9805.58%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.780—×0.9801.34%
Singles /BIP27.20%÷1.030×0.920×1.028×0.98024.48%
Doubles /BIP7.28%÷0.975×0.830×1.028×0.9806.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.923×0.910×1.028×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP3.07%÷1.083×0.800—×0.9802.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .327 → .263; ISO .121 → .092; BABIP .353 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AClearwater Threshers · 58 PAwOBA .294 → .229 (−65)K% 22.4% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.41%÷0.982×1.360——31.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷0.973×0.690—×0.9907.27%
HBP% /PA1.72%—×0.780—×0.9901.33%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷1.042×0.920—×0.99025.30%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.938×0.830—×0.9904.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.132×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.115×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .294 → .229; ISO .039 → .032; BABIP .342 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).