Cullen Large
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 514 | .256/.343/.381 | 5 | 5 | 60 | — | .196/.269/.294 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAATOR | 463 | .256/.345/.385 | 8 | 3 | 61 | — | .208/.277/.299 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAATOR | 468 | .238/.328/.365 | 7 | 7 | 63 | — | .211/.277/.307 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 112 | 95 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 414 | 568 | 983 | 253 | 342 | 16 | 12 | 426 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 99 | 94 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 273 | 330 | 603 | 96 | 349 | 31 | 1 | 271 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 344 | 294 | 79 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 91 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 269 | 366 | 408 | 774 | 139 | 368 | 26 | 11 | 345 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 71 | 61 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 329 | 328 | 656 | 98 | 265 | 17 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 463 | 403 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 102 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 256 | 345 | 385 | 730 | 129 | 319 | 22 | 11 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 468 | 411 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 127 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 238 | 328 | 365 | 693 | 127 | 326 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 112 | 99 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 253 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 192 | 288 | 22 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 99 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 242 | 287 | 530 | 85 | 338 | 38 | 1 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 344 | 304 | 59 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 134 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 194 | 277 | 296 | 573 | 102 | 314 | 39 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 463 | 418 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 208 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 91 | 276 | 27 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 468 | 427 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 150 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 277 | 307 | 584 | 96 | 309 | 32 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 112 | 99 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 253 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 192 | 296 | 22 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 112 | 95 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 414 | 568 | 983 | 253 | 342 | 16 | 12 | 426 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 514 | 462 | 90 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 199 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 195 | 268 | 288 | 556 | 93 | 327 | 39 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 514 | 449 | 115 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 134 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 256 | 343 | 381 | 723 | 125 | 348 | 26 | 9 | 325 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 463 | 418 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 208 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 91 | 282 | 27 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 463 | 403 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 102 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 256 | 345 | 385 | 730 | 129 | 319 | 22 | 11 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 468 | 427 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 150 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 277 | 307 | 584 | 96 | 310 | 32 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 468 | 411 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 127 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 238 | 328 | 365 | 693 | 127 | 326 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 112 | 99 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 253 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 192 | 288 | 22 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 514 | 463 | 90 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 199 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 194 | 268 | 287 | 555 | 93 | 319 | 39 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 463 | 420 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 207 | 277 | 298 | 575 | 90 | 276 | 27 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 468 | 426 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 150 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 211 | 277 | 308 | 584 | 96 | 309 | 32 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1557 | 1406 | 292 | 70 | 10 | 17 | 110 | 501 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 208 | 278 | 308 | 586 | 100 | 305 | 32 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -68 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +34 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 121 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 209 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 206 | 276 | 305 | 581 | 99 | 302 | 32 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -28 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 468 PAwOBA .307 → .262 (−45)K% 27.1% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.14% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.04% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.960 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 6.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.149 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷0.951 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .307 → .262; ISO .127 → .102; BABIP .326 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAABuffalo Bisons · 463 PAwOBA .323 → .259 (−64)K% 22.0% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.80% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.071 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.31% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.033 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .323 → .259; ISO .129 → .098; BABIP .319 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 344 PAwOBA .340 → .255 (−86)K% 26.5% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.45% | ÷0.966 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.05% | ÷0.993 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 10.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.194 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 93, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .340 → .255; ISO .139 → .100; BABIP .368 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 99 PAwOBA .264 → .232 (−32)K% 31.3% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.31% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.01% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 0.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 3.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 24.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.064 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 5.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 105, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .264 → .232; ISO .096 → .087; BABIP .349 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ALansing Lugnuts · 112 PAwOBA .418 → .330 (−89)K% 16.1% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.78% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | — | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.69% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | — | 9.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.034 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.02% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .418 → .330; ISO .253 → .194; BABIP .342 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .