Stephen Quigley — OGILVIE

Stephen Quigley P Dayton Dragons

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 183 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%19.0%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	6.54	—
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	6.54	—
2024	24	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	2	1	5	27	5	2	2	50%	2.7	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	7.4%	6.75	7.22	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	4.37	2.82	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	13.0%	6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	4.37	2.82	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	23	97	18	5	0	0%	1.9	18.6%	5.2%	13.4%	0.0%	4.37	2.17	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	1	51	246	45	27	9	3%	1.6	13.8%	12.8%	0.9%	4.5%	6.35	6.02	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	1	51	246	45	27	9	3%	1.6	13.8%	12.8%	0.9%	4.5%	6.35	6.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	CIN	29	1	47	224	40	25	8	3%	1.6	17.9%	11.2%	6.7%	3.6%	5.89	4.97	—
2026	26	AA RAW	CIN	2	0	4	22	5	2	1	0%	1.9	22.7%	9.1%	13.6%	4.5%	12.27	4.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	47	0	49	208	40	16	6	0%	1.0	19.4%	7.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.40	4.41	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	45	0	48	201	40	16	6	0%	1.1	19.6%	7.9%	11.7%	3.0%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	17	0	18	76	15	6	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	7.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.40	4.41	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27	0	28	118	23	9	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	7.9%	11.7%	3.0%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	0	46	195	38	15	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	7.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.43	4.08	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	65	26	0%	1.1	19.6%	7.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.43	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		45	2	79	370	51	40	13	4%	1.8	13.9%	10.8%	3.1%	3.5%	5.81	5.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	5	200	937	130	101	33	4%	1.8	13.9%	10.8%	3.1%	3.5%	5.81	5.22	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stephen Quigley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	19.0%	7.4%	2.9%	—	4.45	19.5%	11.7%	97	+0.07	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	84
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	82
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	81
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	81
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	20.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.313	4.86	14.1%	5.8%	66	+1.46	2.89	237	81
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	80
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	80
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	80
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	80
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	80
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	80
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	80
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	79
Rob Griswold R 2023 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	16.6%	6.2%	2.0%	.303	4.68	10.7%	4.3%	100	+1.11	3.57	203	79
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	36	19.5%	7.8%	1.14	4.42
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43