Jorge Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jorge HernandezC ACL Royals

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 163 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .265 / .270

PA163

HR1

K%26

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	134	32	4	1	0	9	44	6	4	2	239	315	284	599	45	348	29	6	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	162	36	6	0	3	6	47	2	2	1	222	259	315	574	93	289	27	3	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	249	211	37	4	1	1	11	88	21	6	5	175	284	218	502	43	288	35	4	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	249	204	48	4	1	1	18	60	21	6	5	235	358	279	637	44	322	24	7	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	KC	—	73	60	6	1	0	0	7	26	5	1	0	100	250	117	367	17	176	36	10	185	0	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
YTD	20	ROK	KC	—	73	56	8	2	0	0	11	18	5	1	0	143	333	179	512	36	211	25	15	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	20	ROK	KC	0%	163	148	29	6	1	1	8	42	6	3	1	196	265	270	536	74	256	26	5	237	40	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		254	—	—	210	19	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	KC	—	73	61	6	1	0	0	7	26	5	1	0	98	250	115	365	16	171	36	10	185	0	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
TOT	20	ROK	KC	—	236	208	35	7	1	1	15	68	11	4	1	168	261	226	487	58	243	29	6	221	28	-19	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	309	280	55	11	1	3	17	77	9	5	2	196	265	275	540	79	262	25	6	255	53	-16	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	409	371	77	15	2	6	23	100	12	6	2	208	276	307	583	100	265	24	6	266	62	-18	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.2
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	473	429	91	18	2	8	28	114	13	7	2	212	281	319	600	107	268	24	6	274	68	-17	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	514	464	100	19	2	10	31	123	14	8	3	216	285	330	615	114	269	24	6	278	71	-17	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.7
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	520	469	101	20	2	10	32	124	14	8	3	215	285	330	616	115	269	24	6	280	72	-16	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2032	26	MLB	KC	56%	520	469	101	20	2	10	32	124	14	8	3	215	285	330	616	115	269	24	6	280	73	-16	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2033	27	MLB	KC	55%	520	469	101	20	2	10	32	125	14	8	3	215	285	330	616	115	269	24	6	280	73	-16	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2034	28	MLB	KC	55%	520	468	100	19	2	10	33	125	14	8	3	214	285	327	612	113	268	24	6	279	72	-16	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.7
2035	29	MLB	KC	53%	520	468	100	19	2	10	33	126	14	8	3	214	285	327	612	113	268	24	6	277	71	-17	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.6
2036	30	MLB	KC	57%	520	468	98	19	2	9	33	128	14	7	2	209	282	316	598	107	266	25	6	275	68	-19	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.4
2037	31	MLB	KC	60%	503	452	94	18	2	9	32	125	14	7	2	208	281	316	597	108	264	25	6	271	65	-20	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.1
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	106	96	19	4	0	1	6	26	3	2	1	198	267	271	537	73	259	25	6	230	34	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	198	179	37	7	1	3	11	49	6	3	1	207	276	307	583	101	262	25	6	242	44	-13	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	257	233	48	9	1	4	15	62	7	4	1	206	275	305	579	99	264	24	6	250	49	-15	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	285	258	54	10	1	5	17	68	8	5	1	209	279	314	593	105	266	24	6	254	53	-15	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	291	263	56	11	1	5	18	70	8	5	2	213	284	319	603	106	266	24	6	256	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2032	26	MLB	KC	56%	292	264	57	11	1	6	18	70	8	5	2	216	286	333	620	117	266	24	6	256	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2033	27	MLB	KC	55%	288	260	55	11	1	5	18	69	8	5	2	212	283	319	602	108	266	24	6	256	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2034	28	MLB	KC	55%	285	257	53	10	1	5	18	69	8	4	1	206	279	311	590	105	265	24	6	256	54	-15	+0	-0	+5	+8	-0.2
2035	29	MLB	KC	53%	278	250	52	10	1	5	18	68	8	4	1	208	283	316	599	108	264	24	6	254	52	-15	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.3
2036	30	MLB	KC	57%	297	268	56	11	1	5	19	73	8	4	1	209	281	313	595	104	263	25	6	251	50	-17	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.4
2037	31	MLB	KC	60%	300	270	55	10	1	5	19	75	8	4	1	204	276	304	580	100	261	25	6	247	47	-18	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2877	2599	542	104	10	49	177	699	80	45	14	209	280	313	593	104	265	24	6	252	51	-160	+3	-4	+51	+82	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	23	2	11	40	158	18	10	3	208	279	310	589	102	264	24	6	252	51	-36	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	6065	5462	1152	218	24	100	360	1512	181	95	37	211	282	315	597	104	271	25	6	271	65	-238	+4	-7	+108	+172	4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	124	23	3	11	39	162	19	10	4	212	283	318	601	106	272	25	6	271	65	-25	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	129	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	109	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	156	34	4	1	1	11	46	14	4	4	218	326	276	602	58	295	25	6	280	73	-6	-1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	63	48	14	0	0	0	7	14	7	2	1	292	452	292	743		412	22	11	360	134	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,112	54	48	213	280	321	+56	+28	2.9	2.9
	/162	664	11	10	213	280	321	+11.9	+6.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Hernandez (OGILVIE)	20	30	20	45	20	168/261/226	58	243	1	4	29%	6%	28	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	39	35→40	46→55	38	186/250/240	55	271	3	11	31%	5%	34	-2.8	173/252/259	86	311	6	18	42%	8%	40	-2.4	145/233/240	96	278	8	23	46%	9%	25	-1.4
✕Orlando Zapata 2019 · A	20	42	36→30	47→45	39	200/237/267	68	262	2	7	24%	4%	33	-2.9	214/271/271	57	262	2	8	18%	7%	50	-1.8	219/282/245	26	256	0	9	13%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	40→39	36→40	46→45	39	194/238/261	67	262	3	9	26%	4%	33	-2.9	201/254/280	79	291	6	8	31%	6%	45	-2.1	196/265/280	83	301	7	7	35%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	40	37→45	48→40	43	194/245/264	70	248	5	3	24%	6%	37	-2.7	214/270/309	95	285	8	3	26%	6%	59	-1.1	200/285/311	111	278	12	2	30%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	30	-3.1	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	54	-1.4	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Leonardo Ortiz 2017 · A	20	41	34→40	48→30	40	193/235/244	52	251	2	7	23%	4%	27	-3.3	214/269/293	79	266	4	5	20%	5%	55	-1.4	222/279/309	87	262	5	1	16%	5%	61	-0.3
✕Juan Centeno 2010 · A	20	42	36→45	49→40	46	200/261/264	65	253	3	6	22%	7%	44	-2.1	229/274/289	60	295	3	6	22%	6%	55	-1.4	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Rayneldy Rosario 2019 · A	21	43	34→30	46→55	39	204/235/254	50	254	2	12	21%	3%	28	-3.2	187/231/246	59	265	3	7	29%	5%	25	-3.5	114/161/126	12	178	0	3	34%	5%	-38	-1.6
✕Branden Becker 2018 · A	21	41	35→40	40→30	41	196/240/250	53	255	2	4	23%	5%	30	-3.1	233/275/313	80	323	6	4	28%	5%	62	-0.9	248/286/321	73	344	7	1	29%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Gustavo Omana 2006 · A	20	43	36→30	44→45	41	204/256/271	67	272	2	4	25%	5%	43	-2.2	221/271/283	62	268	3	4	18%	5%	53	-1.5	231/280/279	48	271	3	2	15%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Albert Laboy 2007 · A	20	40→38	38→40	48→45	41	193/236/269	76	242	5	10	22%	5%	34	-2.8	216/262/306	90	258	9	7	19%	5%	55	-1.4	213/261/298	85	248	10	6	18%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Franklin Lopez 2008 · A	19	38	35→30	48→45	38	184/226/245	62	249	2	6	26%	4%	23	-3.6	202/257/262	60	264	2	6	23%	6%	41	-2.3	197/257/233	35	249	0	5	19%	6%	32	-1.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	41	37→45	53→45	46	193/250/268	75	240	4	9	21%	7%	40	-2.4	227/256/313	86	294	5	8	24%	4%	53	-1.5	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Aramis Ademan 2019 · A	20	37→38	38→40	47→50	40	182/235/255	73	247	5	10	28%	5%	30	-3.1	195/251/282	87	275	6	12	30%	6%	44	-2.1	185/244/276	90	262	7	15	30%	6%	37	-1.8