Jorge Hernandez

C ACL Royals
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1922ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKKC173.291/.341/.3993251—.222/.259/.296
202519A/ROKKC249.235/.358/.2791647—.196/.304/.238
202620ROK/INTL2 orgs95.147/.312/.173028—.097/.253/.113
2027PROJMLE21MLBKC211.199/.259/.2681350-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBKC41.203/.264/.2850157-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBKC96.208/.270/.2991263-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%73
Whiff%69
BB%53
Chase%49
K%39
Speed29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsShane Mardirosian (age 21) · Shane Opitz (age 21) · Branden Becker (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .266
PA61
HR0
K%26
BB%5
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$0.2M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Royals Blue — 152129 40710 14296 42 310403380783 70392 199 354 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Royals — 173158 46803 10352 21 291341399740 108352 206 327 51 — — — — — —
202519 AColumbia Fireflies — 186156 34411 114614 44 218326276602 58295 256 280 42 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Royals — 6348 14000 7147 21 292452292743 412 2211 360 61 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Royals — 7657 8200 12186 10 140347175522 35205 2416 273 14 — — — — — —
202620 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 1918 3000 040 10 167167167333 200 210 143 -17 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 152133 29410 10366 42 218302263565 45274 247 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 173162 36602 6492 21 222259296555 74288 283 244 51 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 186159 30411 86414 44 189287245533 57270 344 230 42 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Royals — 6351 11000 4207 21 216355216571 330 326 258 61 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Royals — 7662 6100 7266 10 97253113366 16169 349 189 14 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 152133 29410 10366 42 218302263565 45293 247 245 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Royals Blue — 152129 40710 14296 42 310403380783 70392 199 354 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 173162 36602 6492 21 222259296555 74301 283 244 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Royals — 173158 46803 10352 21 291341399740 108352 206 327 51 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 249210 41411 128421 65 195305238543 43312 345 237 47 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 249204 48411 186021 65 235358279637 44322 247 301 47 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 9578 8200 9326 20 103247128376 26170 349 189 14 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAW2 teams — 9575 11200 12226 20 147312173485 27204 2313 247 14 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Royals Blue — 152135 29410 10366 42 215302259561 44274 247 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 173163 36602 6492 21 221259294553 74288 283 244 51 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 249214 41411 128421 65 192305234538 42285 345 237 47 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 9580 8200 9326 20 100247125372 25169 349 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Royals — 173163 36602 6492 21 221259294553 74288 283 244 51 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 249214 41411 128421 65 192305234538 42285 345 237 47 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 9580 8200 9326 20 100247125372 25169 349 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEKC 0% 211194 38711 10545 31 199259268527 69267 265 242 50 -13 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEKC 34% 118108 22411 6303 21 205266288554 83269 255 253 57 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202923 MLB MLEKC 48% 198180 38713 11495 31 210272304575 94271 256 261 63 -9 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB MLEKC 53% 281257 551024 16696 51 214276315591 102273 256 268 67 -11 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.1
203125 MLB MLEKC 55% 342311 671226 20848 52 216279323602 107274 256 272 70 -12 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.2
203226 MLB MLEKC 56% 377344 751427 22928 62 218281329610 111275 246 275 73 -12 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.3
203327 MLB MLEKC 55% 392358 771427 23968 62 217280326606 109274 246 274 72 -13 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.3
203428 MLB MLEKC 55% 397362 781427 24988 52 215278321600 106273 256 271 70 -14 +0 -1 +7 +9 0.1
203529 MLB MLEKC 53% 391357 761426 23988 52 212275315590 103272 256 268 67 -15 +0 -1 +7 +8 -0.1
203630 MLB MLEKC 57% 382349 731326 22978 42 209272307579 98270 256 263 64 -16 +0 -2 +7 +8 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXKC 34% 4138 7100 2101 10 203264285549 81267 245 251 57 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXKC 48% 9689 18311 5242 21 208270299569 91269 255 259 63 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
203024 MLB CTXKC 53% 148136 28512 8373 21 212274310584 98271 255 265 67 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
203125 MLB CTXKC 55% 187170 37713 11464 31 214277317595 104272 256 269 70 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203226 MLB CTXKC 56% 210191 41813 12515 31 215279322602 107273 246 272 73 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203327 MLB CTXKC 55% 216196 43814 13535 31 214278320598 105272 256 271 72 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXKC 55% 217197 42813 13545 31 212276315592 103271 256 268 70 -8 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.1
203529 MLB CTXKC 53% 209191 39713 12524 31 210273309583 99270 256 264 67 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
203630 MLB CTXKC 57% 218199 42813 13554 21 207270302572 95268 256 260 64 -9 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15421407 29755822 8938233 228 211274308582 97272 256 266 63 -58 +1 -2 +28 +33 0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 1242339 3816114 93 209273304577 94270 256 266 63 -24 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 36083265 6851201850 20793099 5623 210278304581 94275 266 262 63 -113 +2 -4 +52 +64 0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 1242239 3716818 104 211278304583 94277 266 262 63 -25 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Royals · 76 PAwOBA .268 → .189 (−79)K% 23.7% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.68%÷1.000×1.440——34.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9859.64%
HBP% /PA7.89%—×0.720—×0.9855.60%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.98513.05%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9853.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .268 → .189; ISO .035 → .026; BABIP .205 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 186 PAwOBA .278 → .230 (−49)K% 24.7% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.73%÷0.982×1.360——34.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.91%÷1.006×0.690—×1.0304.18%
HBP% /PA7.53%—×0.780—×1.0306.05%
Singles /BIP25.45%÷1.099×0.920×1.050×1.03023.05%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷0.913×0.830×1.050×1.0303.58%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.937×0.910×1.050×1.0300.96%
Home runs /BIP0.91%÷1.086×0.800—×1.0300.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .278 → .230; ISO .058 → .050; BABIP .295 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Royals · 63 PAwOBA .352 → .258 (−94)K% 22.2% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.985×1.440——32.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷0.971×0.620—×0.9957.06%
HBP% /PA11.11%—×0.720—×0.9957.96%
Singles /BIP41.18%÷1.019×0.820—×0.99532.96%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.975×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.070×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .352 → .258; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .412 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Royals · 173 PAwOBA .322 → .244 (−79)K% 20.2% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.23%÷1.036×1.440——28.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.78%÷1.010×0.620—×1.0083.57%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.720—×1.0080.84%
Singles /BIP28.46%÷1.029×0.820×1.040×1.00823.75%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷0.986×0.720×1.040×1.0084.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.720×1.040×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷0.949×0.780—×1.0082.02%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 96, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .322 → .244; ISO .108 → .082; BABIP .352 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Royals Blue · 152 PAwOBA .350 → .245 (−105)K% 19.1% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.08%÷0.977×1.220——23.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.21%÷1.010×0.700—×1.0086.43%
HBP% /PA3.95%—×0.700—×1.0082.78%
Singles /BIP32.00%÷0.990×0.680×1.050×1.00823.26%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷1.078×0.600×1.050×1.0084.12%
Triples /BIP1.00%÷1.149×0.600×1.050×1.0080.55%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.903×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .350 → .245; ISO .070 → .041; BABIP .392 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .