Jorge Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jorge HernandezC ACL Royals

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP253

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	125	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	108	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	156	34	4	1	1	11	46	14	4	4	218	326	276	602	58	295	25	6	280	76	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	63	48	14	0	0	0	7	14	7	2	1	292	452	292	743		412	22	11	360	130	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	134	33	5	1	0	9	43	6	4	2	246	322	299	621	52	327	28	6	264	65	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	162	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	222	259	296	555	74	286	28	3	242	50	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	160	28	3	1	1	7	67	14	4	4	175	271	225	496	50	266	36	4	223	37	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	63	51	11	0	0	0	4	20	7	2	1	216	355	216	571		331	32	6	259	61	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	134	33	5	1	0	9	43	6	4	2	246	322	299	621	52	355	28	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	162	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	222	259	296	555	74	301	28	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	211	39	3	1	1	11	87	21	6	5	185	292	223	515	38	302	35	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	249	204	48	4	1	1	18	60	21	6	5	235	358	279	637	44	322	24	7	301	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	136	33	5	1	0	9	43	6	4	2	243	322	294	616	51	327	28	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	163	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	221	259	294	553	74	286	28	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	215	39	3	1	1	11	87	21	6	5	181	292	219	511	37	282	35	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	136	33	5	1	0	9	43	6	4	2	243	322	294	616	51	327	28	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	163	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	221	259	294	553	74	286	28	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	215	39	3	1	1	11	87	21	6	5	181	292	219	511	37	282	35	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	KC	—	76	62	6	1	0	0	7	26	6	1	0	97	253	113	366	16	167	34	9	192	16	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	KC	—	76	57	8	2	0	0	12	18	6	1	0	140	347	175	522	35	205	24	16	273	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	KC	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		255	27	9	238	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	KC	—	87	72	7	1	0	0	8	29	6	1	0	97	244	111	355	14	163	33	9	198	20	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	34%	309	279	56	11	1	3	17	76	10	5	2	201	271	280	551	79	261	25	6	256	60	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	48%	409	370	77	15	2	6	24	98	12	6	2	208	278	308	586	100	265	24	6	268	68	-16	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	54%	473	428	91	18	2	8	28	112	14	7	2	213	283	320	603	107	267	24	6	275	72	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	55%	514	463	100	19	2	10	31	121	15	8	3	216	287	330	617	114	268	24	6	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	56%	520	468	102	20	2	10	32	122	15	8	3	218	289	333	623	115	268	23	6	281	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	520	468	102	20	2	10	32	122	15	8	3	218	289	333	623	115	268	23	6	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	467	100	19	2	10	33	122	15	8	3	214	287	328	615	113	268	23	6	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	467	100	19	2	10	33	123	15	8	3	214	287	328	615	113	268	24	6	281	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	466	100	19	2	10	34	124	15	8	3	215	289	328	618	114	267	24	7	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	466	100	19	2	10	34	125	15	7	2	215	289	328	618	114	265	24	7	276	73	-17	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	KC	57%	503	452	95	18	2	9	32	123	14	7	2	210	283	319	602	108	263	24	6	272	70	-18	+1	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	KC	34%	106	96	20	4	1	1	6	26	3	2	1	208	276	302	578	94	259	25	6	230	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	48%	198	179	37	7	1	3	11	48	6	3	1	207	276	307	583	101	262	24	6	242	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	54%	257	233	48	9	1	4	15	61	7	4	1	206	275	305	579	99	264	24	6	249	72	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	55%	285	258	54	10	1	5	17	67	8	5	1	209	279	314	593	105	265	24	6	254	75	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	56%	291	263	56	11	1	5	18	68	8	5	2	213	284	319	603	106	265	23	6	255	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	292	264	56	11	1	5	18	69	8	5	2	212	283	318	601	106	265	24	6	256	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	288	260	54	10	1	5	18	68	8	5	2	208	280	312	591	104	265	24	6	256	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	285	257	54	10	1	5	18	67	8	4	1	210	283	315	598	105	264	24	6	255	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	278	250	53	10	1	5	18	66	8	4	1	212	286	320	606	108	264	24	6	253	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	274	246	52	10	1	5	18	66	8	4	1	211	287	321	608	110	262	24	7	251	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	KC	57%	284	256	53	10	1	5	18	69	8	4	1	207	280	312	593	105	260	24	6	247	70	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2838	2562	537	102	11	48	175	675	80	45	14	210	281	314	595	105	264	24	6	251	71	-89	+3	-4	+51	+61	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	123	23	3	11	40	155	18	10	3	210	281	315	596	106	264	24	6	251	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5913	5311	1132	211	23	99	357	1450	184	92	36	213	286	317	603	104	272	25	6	273	71	-170	+5	-7	+95	+116	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	125	23	3	11	39	159	20	10	4	214	286	320	606	106	273	24	6	273	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,074	53	48	214	282	322	+55	+28	4.0	3.7
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Hernandez (OGILVIE)	20	30	20	45	20	189/258/250	61	255	1	4	25%	5%	47	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Orlando Zapata 2019 · A	20	42	36→30	47→45	39	200/237/267	68	262	2	7	24%	4%	41	-3.0	214/271/271	57	262	2	8	18%	7%	55	-1.9	219/282/245	26	256	0	9	13%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Aramis Ademan 2019 · A	20	38→36	37→30	47→50	40	185/238/254	69	251	5	10	28%	5%	39	-3.1	193/250/277	84	273	6	12	30%	6%	49	-2.4	178/240/264	86	253	6	15	31%	6%	40	-2.2
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	48→40	42	197/246/269	72	251	5	3	23%	5%	46	-2.6	214/269/309	95	283	8	3	26%	6%	64	-1.3	199/285/301	102	280	11	2	31%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→31	36→45	45→30	39	206/265/279	73	298	3	5	30%	5%	55	-1.9	185/251/287	102	313	10	3	41%	6%	53	-2.1	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→40	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	48	-2.5	198/248/267	69	278	4	8	29%	5%	46	-2.6	190/242/254	64	264	4	7	28%	5%	39	-1.6
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	36	38→30	44→45	44	178/240/255	77	234	7	7	26%	7%	41	-3.0	189/265/278	89	233	7	8	21%	8%	56	-1.9	175/246/238	64	210	6	6	19%	8%	39	-1.5
✕Leonardo Ortiz 2017 · A	20	41	34→40	48→30	40	193/235/244	52	251	2	7	23%	4%	35	-3.4	214/269/293	79	266	4	5	20%	5%	60	-1.6	222/279/309	87	262	5	1	16%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Gustavo Omana 2006 · A	20	43	36→30	44→45	41	204/256/271	67	272	2	4	25%	5%	49	-2.4	221/271/283	62	268	3	4	18%	5%	58	-1.7	231/280/279	48	271	3	2	15%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2010 · A	20	42	36→45	49→40	46	200/261/264	65	253	3	6	22%	7%	51	-2.3	232/277/294	62	297	3	6	21%	6%	62	-1.4	268/305/322	54	324	1	3	17%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	41	37→45	53→45	46	193/250/268	75	240	4	9	21%	7%	47	-2.6	229/258/316	87	295	5	8	23%	4%	60	-1.6	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	49	-2.4	216/267/279	63	314	3	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	45	-2.7	205/298/270	65	269	4	12	23%	11%	67	-1.1	199/294/260	61	266	4	15	24%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Alfredo González 2013 · A	21	39	35→30	51→45	39	186/228/249	63	238	2	10	22%	4%	34	-3.5	215/275/289	74	289	5	9	25%	7%	61	-1.5	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	44	-2.8	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	55	-2.0	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	61	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps