Santiago Contreras

Santiago ContrerasC DSL Padres Gold

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 155 lbs ROK HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.7 · 2033

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .286 / .312

PA104

HR2

K%31

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

30↗35

SPD

59↗64

EYE

62↗67

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.6	$25M	+$24M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.6	$26M	+$25M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.4	$25M	+$20M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.1	$23M	+$16M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.8	$20M	+$12M
Totals		$23M		$145M	+$122M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	125	107	14	3	1	2	8	52	8	10	1	.131	.244	.234	.478	.103	.222	42	6	.209	18	-12	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	126	97	10	2	1	0	19	63	8	7	3	.103	.298	.144	.443	.041	.294	50	15	.211	20	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	124	105	19	3	1	1	10	44	7	16	2	.181	.295	.257	.552	.076	.300	35	8	.241	43	-8	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	SD	104	91	19	3	1	2	10	32	2	2	1	.209	.301	.330	.631	.121	.282	31	10	.276	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	SD	190	166	34	6	1	4	19	55	3	5	1	.205	.298	.325	.623	.120	.284	29	10	.292	81	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	SD	318	278	61	11	2	8	32	89	5	9	2	.219	.311	.360	.671	.140	.286	28	10	.301	88	-4	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	SD	406	355	78	14	2	11	42	111	6	11	2	.220	.313	.363	.676	.144	.286	27	10	.308	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.8
2030	24	MLB 62%	SD	465	406	92	17	3	13	49	125	7	13	3	.227	.320	.379	.700	.153	.287	27	11	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2031	25	MLB 80%	SD	498	433	98	18	3	14	54	133	8	14	3	.226	.323	.379	.702	.152	.288	27	11	.315	99	-0	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.5
2032	26	MLB 94%	SD	517	447	101	18	3	15	57	138	8	14	3	.226	.324	.380	.705	.154	.288	27	11	.317	101	+0	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2033	27	MLB	SD	520	449	101	18	3	15	58	139	8	14	3	.225	.324	.379	.703	.154	.288	27	11	.317	101	+0	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2034	28	MLB	SD	520	449	101	18	3	15	58	140	8	13	2	.225	.324	.379	.703	.154	.288	27	11	.316	100	-0	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2035	29	MLB	SD	519	448	100	18	3	15	58	141	8	13	2	.223	.323	.377	.700	.154	.287	27	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2036	30	MLB	SD	510	440	97	17	3	14	57	141	8	13	2	.220	.321	.368	.689	.148	.285	28	11	.311	96	-2	+2	-2	+9	+14	2.1
2037	31	MLB	SD	482	418	90	16	2	13	54	135	7	11	1	.215	.315	.356	.672	.141	.284	28	11	.307	93	-4	+2	-3	+9	+14	1.8
2038	32	MLB	SD	451	390	84	15	2	12	51	129	7	10	0	.215	.317	.356	.673	.141	.282	29	11	.302	89	-5	+2	-4	+8	+13	1.4
2039	33	MLB	SD	410	355	74	13	2	10	46	120	6	9	0	.208	.310	.341	.650	.132	.280	29	11	.297	85	-7	+2	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2040	34	MLB	SD	356	308	63	11	2	8	40	107	5	8	0	.205	.306	.331	.637	.127	.279	30	11	.290	80	-8	+2	-5	+6	+10	0.5
2041	35	MLB	SD	298	259	52	9	1	7	33	93	4	7	0	.201	.301	.324	.625	.124	.276	31	11	.283	75	-9	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.1
2042	36	MLB	SD	239	208	40	7	1	5	26	77	3	6	0	.192	.291	.308	.599	.115	.273	32	11	.274	68	-9	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	SD	181	158	29	5	1	3	19	60	2	4	0	.184	.279	.285	.564	.101	.269	33	10	.264	61	-8	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7359	6367	1357	242	41	187	800	2124	128	209	31	.213	.313	.352	.665	.139	.286	29	11	.300	88	-99	+29	-38	+131	+209	23.6
/ 162G	—			650	562	120	21	4	17	71	188	11	18	3	.214	.313	.356	.669	.142	.286	29	11	.300	88	-9	+2	-3	+12	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	125	102	21	6	2	2	13	36	8	10	1	.206	.341	.363	.704	.157	.292	29	10	.320	103	+0	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	126	84	15	3	2	0	32	40	8	7	3	.179	.444	.262	.705	.083	.341	32	25	.352	127	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	124	97	29	5	2	1	18	29	7	16	2	.299	.443	.423	.865	.124	.418	23	15	.391	157	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Contreras (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	30→35	59→64	67	.200/.286/.312	.112	.282	2	2	31%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	44→41	46→45	56→50	44	.216/.282/.359	.144	.289	11	14	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.202/.260/.328	.126	.278	12	15	30%	6%	61	-1.0	.186/.241/.303	.118	.255	13	15	32%	6%	43	-1.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	46	41→55	56→55	44	.219/.278/.321	.102	.303	8	21	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.206/.279/.299	.093	.299	8	19	31%	9%	61	-1.0	.205/.299/.385	.179	.274	22	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	.212/.298/.304	.091	.296	6	15	28%	9%	71	-0.3	.198/.270/.293	.095	.273	7	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.181/.255/.273	.092	.248	7	10	28%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Marcelo Mayer 2023 · A	20	47→46	48→50	55→50	44	.224/.297/.372	.148	.336	15	13	36%	9%	88	+0.9	.223/.279/.372	.149	.303	16	12	30%	7%	80	+0.4	.225/.274/.376	.152	.287	18	10	28%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	45→47	43→45	57→60	53	.214/.313/.328	.115	.295	9	20	28%	11%	84	+0.6	.215/.314/.338	.123	.272	13	32	24%	11%	87	+0.8	.209/.308/.338	.130	.260	14	40	24%	11%	81	+0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→32	41→55	59→50	42	.208/.262/.314	.106	.276	8	21	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.196/.243/.346	.150	.273	17	9	34%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	40	.206/.263/.293	.087	.303	7	13	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.215/.257/.315	.100	.316	7	12	32%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.249/.305	.095	.301	6	14	31%	5%	45	-1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)