Santiago Contreras

Santiago ContrerasC ACL Padres

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.083 / .154 / .083

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP251

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	102	21	6	2	2	13	36	8	10	1	206	341	363	704	157	292	29	10	320	103	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	84	15	3	2	0	32	40	8	7	3	179	444	262	705	83	341	32	25	352	124	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	97	29	5	2	1	18	29	7	16	2	299	443	423	865	124	418	23	15	391	150	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	107	14	3	1	2	8	52	8	10	1	131	244	234	478	103	213	42	6	208	27	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	97	10	2	1	0	19	60	8	7	3	103	298	144	443	41	248	48	15	220	35	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	104	20	3	1	1	11	43	7	16	2	192	311	269	581	77	303	35	9	256	59	-6	+2	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	107	14	3	1	2	8	52	8	10	1	131	244	234	478	103	222	42	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	102	21	6	2	2	13	36	8	10	1	206	341	363	704	157	292	29	10	320	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	97	10	2	1	0	19	60	8	7	3	103	298	144	443	41	270	48	15	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	84	15	3	2	0	32	40	8	7	3	179	444	262	705	83	341	32	25	352	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	104	20	3	1	1	11	43	7	16	2	192	311	269	581	77	317	35	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	97	29	5	2	1	18	29	7	16	2	299	443	423	865	124	418	23	15	391	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	108	14	3	1	2	8	52	8	10	1	130	244	231	475	102	213	42	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	98	10	2	1	0	19	60	8	7	3	102	298	143	441	41	248	48	15	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	105	20	3	1	1	11	43	7	16	2	190	311	267	578	76	303	35	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	125	108	14	3	1	2	8	52	8	10	1	130	244	231	475	102	213	42	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	98	10	2	1	0	19	60	8	7	3	102	298	143	441	41	248	48	15	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	124	105	20	3	1	1	11	43	7	16	2	190	311	267	578	76	303	35	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	SD	—	134	107	15	2	1	0	15	42	7	5	2	140	287	178	464	37	224	31	11	220	35	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	SD	—	134	98	19	3	2	0	24	29	7	5	2	194	388	265	653	71	268	22	18	311	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	SD	0%	13	12	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	83	154	83	237		253	31	8	251	56	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	SD	—	147	119	16	2	1	0	16	46	7	5	2	134	275	168	443	34	213	31	11	223	37	-11	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	203	176	33	6	2	2	20	56	5	5	1	188	289	278	567	91	259	28	10	265	65	-8	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	328	285	55	10	2	5	32	89	8	8	2	193	292	295	587	102	262	27	10	274	72	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	412	360	72	13	3	7	40	110	9	10	3	200	296	311	607	111	265	27	10	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	469	409	83	15	3	9	46	124	11	12	3	203	300	320	621	117	266	26	10	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	501	436	89	16	4	9	49	132	11	12	3	204	300	321	622	117	267	26	10	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	519	451	93	17	4	10	51	137	12	13	3	206	304	328	632	122	266	26	10	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	452	93	17	4	10	51	138	12	13	3	206	303	327	630	122	266	27	10	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	451	92	16	4	10	52	139	12	13	3	204	303	324	627	120	265	27	10	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	519	450	91	16	4	10	52	139	12	12	3	202	302	322	624	120	265	27	10	283	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	57%	510	443	88	16	3	9	51	138	11	12	3	199	297	309	606	111	263	27	10	280	76	-15	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	SD	60%	482	420	82	15	3	8	48	132	11	11	3	195	294	302	597	107	261	27	10	276	73	-16	+1	-3	+9	+10	0.2
2038	32	MLB MLE	SD	61%	451	393	75	13	3	7	45	125	10	9	3	191	290	293	583	102	257	28	10	271	69	-16	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	70	61	12	2	1	1	7	19	2	2	0	197	300	311	611	115	256	27	10	246	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	159	139	26	5	1	2	15	43	4	4	1	187	285	281	565	94	260	27	9	256	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	223	194	39	7	2	4	22	60	5	5	1	201	299	320	618	119	262	27	10	262	76	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	260	227	46	8	2	5	25	69	6	6	2	203	298	322	620	119	264	27	10	266	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	281	246	49	9	2	5	27	74	6	7	2	199	294	313	607	114	264	26	10	267	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	292	254	52	9	2	6	29	77	7	7	2	205	303	327	630	122	264	26	10	268	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	251	51	9	2	6	28	76	7	7	2	203	301	327	627	124	263	26	10	268	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	285	249	51	9	2	6	28	76	6	7	2	205	300	329	630	124	263	27	10	267	79	-7	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	277	241	47	8	2	5	28	74	6	7	2	195	295	307	602	112	262	27	10	265	77	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	57%	291	253	50	9	2	5	29	79	7	7	2	198	298	308	606	111	260	27	10	263	76	-8	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	SD	60%	287	250	48	8	2	5	29	79	6	6	2	192	291	300	591	108	258	28	10	259	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	SD	61%	276	240	47	8	2	5	28	77	6	6	2	196	296	308	604	113	255	28	10	254	69	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2989	2605	518	91	22	55	295	803	68	71	20	199	297	314	611	115	263	27	10	263	74	-85	+6	-6	+53	+65	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	113	20	5	12	64	175	15	15	4	200	297	316	613	117	265	27	10	263	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5822	5046	991	178	42	99	576	1618	147	163	39	196	297	307	604	111	266	28	10	277	74	-156	+13	-10	+97	+118	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	111	20	5	11	64	181	16	18	4	197	297	309	606	112	267	28	10	277	74	-19	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,100	54	73	200	295	313	+55	+28	5.6	5.0
/162	664	12	16	+11.9	+6.0	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Contreras (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	29→34	56→61	67	176/280/247	71	253	1	3	29%	10%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Luis Valenzuela 2014 · A	20	41	37→45	53→45	46	193/250/268	75	240	4	9	21%	7%	47	-2.6	229/258/316	87	295	5	8	23%	4%	60	-1.6	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	50	-2.3	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	66	-1.1	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	45	35→40	55→30	46	209/266/267	58	257	2	10	19%	6%	53	-2.1	224/267/299	75	261	3	8	15%	4%	60	-1.6	247/273/328	81	279	3	3	12%	2%	67	-0.4
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	53	-2.1	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	68	-1.0	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→41	39→40	54→50	49	210/298/303	92	292	6	15	28%	10%	74	-0.5	194/266/289	95	271	7	11	29%	9%	59	-1.7	192/278/283	91	261	5	13	26%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→41	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/293	87	291	3	18	27%	8%	64	-1.3	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	45	-2.7	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	51	-2.2	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	62	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps