Facundo VelásquezOF Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 20 S/R 6'2" / 179 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†37
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .261 / .277
PA76
HR1
K%37
BB%9
BABIP277
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: -0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -1.50-1.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.7-0.92627
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cardinals 175155 12112 171023 40 77183135318 58196 5810 162 -18
202317 ROKDSL Cardinals 175146 27424 26663 40 185320322642 137303 3815 300 87
202418 ROKDSL Cardinals 196170 24422 161007 53 141244224467 82310 518 219 26
202418 ROKDSL Cardinals 196158 42746 28687 53 266399475874 209414 3514 384 152
202519 ROKFCL Cardinals 191167 17410 221062 126 102215138352 36279 5512 174 -9
202519 ROKFCL Cardinals 191152 28720 37732 126 184351257607 72354 3819 297 85
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ASTL 115102 10222 13690 33 98200216416 118258 6011 185 0 -13 -1 +0 -1 +3 -1.1
YTD20 ASTL 11596 16433 19480 33 167304365669 198289 4217 304 90 -1 -1 +0 -1 +3 0.1
ROS20 ASTL 0% 7668 12211 7281 21 175261277538 102262 379 234 37 -5 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.4
ROS20 MLBSTL 0% 01 0000 000 00 261 227 32 +0 -0
FULL20 ASTL 115103 10222 13690 33 97200214414 117250 6011 185 0 -13 -1 +0 -1 +3 -1.1
TOT20 ASTL 191170 22433 20971 54 129224240465 111269 5110 205 15 -18 -1 +0 -1 +5 -1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBSTL 34% 265234 42924 26913 52 179270286556 107265 3410 250 49 -15 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.9
202721 MLBSTL 34% 9181 14311 9311 21 173264272535 99265 3410 242 44 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 9182 14311 9311 21 171264268532 98260 3410 242 44 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
/ 162G 650586 992177 642217 147 169262265526 96257 3410 242 44 -41 +0 +0 -4 +18 -2.7
Career 903794 1072079 8842716 2812 135235211446 77270 4710 209 18 -84 +1 +0 -5 +26 -6.4
/ 162G 650572 761456 6330712 209 133234206440 73267 4710 209 18 -60 +0 +0 -4 +18 -4.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cardinals 175146 27424 26663 40 185320322642 137303 3815 300 87 -2 +1 +5 0.3
202418 ROKDSL Cardinals 196158 42746 28687 53 266399475874 209414 3514 384 152 +11 -0 +6 1.7
202519 ROKFCL Cardinals 191152 28720 37732 126 184351257607 72354 3819 297 85 -3 +0 +5 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
126925182266265-2+0-1.0-0.5
/162664612-4.0+0.0-2.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Facundo Velásquez (OGILVIE) 20 20 20 55 60 129/224/240 111269 35 51% 10% 15 -1.5
Alfredo Angarita
2017 · A
20 40 36→30 50→55 52 189/279/255 65254 316 25% 10% 50 -1.7 201/269/258 57287 212 28% 8% 46 -2.0 194/260/2384428211129%7%33-1.1
Edwin Mateo
2019 · A
20 40 37→40 52→55 48 192/265/260 67249 415 23% 8% 45 -2.1 213/290/299 86290 714 27% 8% 66 -0.6 208/281/2918329361429%7%57-0.5
Chris Torres
2018 · A
20 43→37 36→30 51→55 44 200/268/273 72300 314 32% 8% 49 -1.8 199/278/264 65331 312 36% 10% 52 -1.6 180/271/2355530131537%11%38-1.3
Varonex Cuevas
2012 · A
20 37 34→30 45→50 46 176/250/229 54252 29 29% 9% 30 -3.1 202/263/262 60274 212 25% 7% 44 -2.1 200/265/2515126511523%8%39-0.9
Jaden Rudd
2023 · A
20 40→36 40→30 50 49 191/283/285 94262 712 28% 10% 60 -1.0 181/291/247 66292 314 35% 10% 56 -1.3 157/284/2075026621636%11%41-1.2
Jansy Infante
2006 · A
20 38 34→30 49→50 41 184/230/237 53251 29 27% 6% 23 -3.6 208/245/272 64260 49 20% 5% 38 -2.6 235/261/2865228151218%3%44-0.7
Noah Miller
2023 · A
20 40→42 37→40 51→50 47 186/277/258 72293 413 34% 10% 51 -1.7 197/259/270 73271 58 27% 7% 45 -2.1 213/260/298852677322%6%50-1.3
Yonki Hernandez
2011 · A
20 40 37→40 49→55 47 184/285/247 64286 513 34% 10% 53 -1.5 192/272/262 70296 418 33% 8% 49 -1.8 184/265/2435928022432%8%39-0.8
Samuel Ortiz
2017 · A
20 40 36→30 50 48 189/261/255 66246 38 23% 8% 43 -2.2 203/264/282 79302 66 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/246/236532807535%8%33-0.6
Herson Perez
2017 · A
20 42 36→30 48→55 42 195/256/262 66287 313 31% 7% 41 -2.3 207/271/259 52276 214 23% 7% 46 -2.0 232/287/2582628702018%6%49-0.7
Fausto Natera
2008 · A
19 40 35→30 50 48 185/276/246 61268 210 29% 9% 47 -1.9 209/276/266 57274 114 22% 7% 51 -1.7 210/270/2594926811720%6%44-1.0
Jorky Infante
2010 · A
19 41 37→30 51→50 43 198/254/268 70273 49 28% 7% 42 -2.3 205/265/260 55256 312 20% 7% 44 -2.1 201/262/2383824521418%7%36-0.9
Kendy Moya
2018 · A
19 40 35→30 47→50 50 183/282/245 62276 211 31% 11% 50 -1.8 196/292/263 67281 210 27% 11% 59 -1.1 176/302/2517425401126%13%59-0.4
Kelvin Alarcon
2019 · A
20 43 35→30 48→55 51 200/292/258 58284 38 28% 11% 57 -1.2 209/271/272 63327 38 34% 7% 50 -1.7 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
Estarlin De Los Santos
2007 · A
20 41→40 36→40 53→55 41 194/255/261 68274 313 29% 6% 41 -2.3 211/260/280 69297 317 28% 5% 47 -1.9 219/264/2897030521927%4%47-0.9
Pedro Ruiz
2011 · A
19 40 35→30 48→50 53 183/285/242 59262 29 28% 11% 50 -1.7 208/288/265 57311 211 30% 10% 56 -1.3 206/282/2585231621132%9%48-0.9
Terry Serrano
2007 · A
20 39 35→30 49→55 46 184/261/240 56270 216 30% 9% 38 -2.6 196/268/257 61275 315 27% 8% 45 -2.1 193/272/2515827421728%9%44-0.9
Dreily Guerrero
2011 · A
20 41 35→30 54→55 45 192/260/256 64277 216 29% 8% 42 -2.3 179/231/240 61294 210 37% 6% 24 -3.5 142/181/2056325941145%4%-8-1.5
Fernando Garcia
2008 · A
20 41 37→30 49→55 45 194/277/266 71276 46 29% 8% 53 -1.5 202/268/266 64278 219 26% 7% 47 -1.9 199/266/2565727112325%7%41-1.0
Nerwilian Cedeño
2021 · A
19 39→32 35→45 49→50 49 184/269/244 60270 27 30% 10% 43 -2.2 193/268/302 109302 1011 36% 9% 58 -1.2 173/244/282109262121237%8%40-1.4