Jose PastranoSS Lynchburg Hillcats
Age 23 S/R 5'9" / 145 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 128 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .279 / .274
PA128
HR1
K%29
BB%10
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.3+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT34
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE66
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Indians 124111 18510 11421 22 162244225469 63257 349 220 27
202118 ROKACL Indians 124102 23820 20281 22 225358343701 118307 2316 322 105
202219 ROKACL Guardians 7968 12011 9282 42 176291250541 74282 3511 249 49
202219 ROKACL Guardians 7962 15011 15202 42 242405323728 81341 2519 347 124
202320 ALynchburg Hillcats 176158 26511 15441 21 165241228469 63219 259 206 16
202320 ALynchburg Hillcats 176147 27511 25301 21 184305252556 68222 1714 264 60
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 227194 28401 26751 95 144249180429 36218 3311 211 20
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 227175 33401 45511 95 189357229586 40248 2220 285 76
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBCLE 128113 22411 13371 21 195283274558 80269 2910 259 56 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBCLE 30% 160142 28512 16451 31 197283289572 92273 2810 269 64 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
202825 MLBCLE 44% 267236 47914 27742 62 199287297583 97275 2810 276 69 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.2
202926 MLBCLE 51% 340300 631226 34943 72 210297323620 113276 2810 279 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203027 MLBCLE 52% 381336 701327 391053 83 208296321618 113276 2810 281 73 -12 +0 +0 +4 +11 0.4
203128 MLBCLE 53% 404356 741427 411114 93 208297317614 110276 2710 280 72 -13 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.3
202724 MLBCLE 30% 4843 9201 5140 10 209292326617 116273 2910 263 60 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202825 MLBCLE 44% 118104 22412 12331 21 212299327626 115275 2810 270 64 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202926 MLBCLE 51% 172151 32613 17472 41 212300325625 113276 2710 273 67 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203027 MLBCLE 52% 200176 37714 20552 41 210298330628 119277 2810 274 68 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203128 MLBCLE 53% 215189 39714 22592 51 206296317613 111276 2710 273 67 -8 +1 -0 +2 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 753663 13926414 762087 164 210298324622 115281 2810 272 67 -28 +2 -0 +8 +21 0.2
/ 162G 650572 11922312 661806 143 208297320617 112279 2810 272 67 -25 +2 -0 +7 +18 0.2
Career 22862014 388711230 23165519 5222 193282285566 92266 2910 261 58 -109 +2 -1 +24 +65 -2.0
/ 162G 650573 1102039 661865 156 192281284566 92264 2910 261 58 -31 +1 -0 +7 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Indians 124102 23820 20281 22 225358343701 118307 2316 322 105 +1 -0 +4 0.4
202219 ROKACL Guardians 7962 15011 15202 42 242405323728 81341 2519 347 124 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202320 ALynchburg Hillcats 176147 27511 25301 21 184305252556 68222 1714 264 60 -8 +0 +5 -0.3
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 227175 33401 45511 95 189357229586 40248 2220 285 76 -6 -0 +6 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
38811519205290311+9+90.50.6
/1626641114+7.1+6.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Pastrano (OGILVIE) 23 29→34 32→37 51→56 66 190/279/274 84269 12 29% 10% 56 -0.3
Michael Papierski
2019 · A
23 38→44 39→45 47→40 54 184/290/266 83249 76 27% 12% 59 -1.1 192/281/280 88271 94 30% 10% 59 -1.1 204/292/30910526111025%10%68-0.3
Austin Elkins
2014 · A
23 43→41 40 49→50 53 207/296/306 99256 713 21% 10% 71 -0.3 215/295/304 89278 610 23% 9% 69 -0.4 208/296/270622733623%9%57-0.5
Oliver Dominguez
2012 · A
23 40 40 52→45 48 194/269/288 94262 815 28% 9% 54 -1.4 194/256/291 97283 88 32% 7% 49 -1.8 176/234/268922607334%7%31-1.1
Gerard Hall
2011 · A
23 41→39 37→40 49→50 44 195/254/270 74274 412 29% 7% 42 -2.3 214/267/300 86306 410 29% 6% 55 -1.4 225/274/314903240829%6%59-0.6
Frainyer Chavez
2022 · A
23 43→47 35→40 46→50 47 199/275/254 55281 311 28% 9% 48 -1.9 207/271/278 71290 513 28% 8% 52 -1.6 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
Arquímedes Gamboa
2021 · AA
23 38→44 36→40 51→50 45 179/255/247 68273 415 33% 9% 37 -2.6 199/279/294 95294 814 32% 10% 59 -1.1 198/284/2909229881533%10%58-0.7
Noah Campbell
2022 · A
23 46→45 39→45 53→50 46 215/296/301 86315 714 31% 9% 69 -0.4 215/295/318 103336 811 35% 9% 73 -0.1 209/298/3181093427837%10%70-0.2
Hayden Cantrelle
2022 · AA
23 34 40→45 54→60 55 161/294/251 90257 724 35% 14% 59 -1.1 189/306/294 105299 820 35% 12% 73 -0.1 189/308/29911030092135%12%73-0.1
Trei Cruz
2022 · A
24 36→46 39→45 52→50 52 171/280/262 92279 614 37% 13% 54 -1.4 188/268/301 113284 1111 34% 10% 57 -1.2 223/300/348125306121029%9%81+0.3
Nolan Fontana
2014 · A
23 42→43 39→40 52→50 58 198/312/287 89285 614 30% 14% 73 -0.1 204/300/291 87305 49 30% 12% 69 -0.4 184/288/308124252111229%12%68-0.2
Roberto Caro
2017 · A
23 44→38 36→40 53→60 41 200/265/275 75310 313 34% 7% 48 -1.9 209/279/288 79315 323 31% 8% 58 -1.2 205/279/2827730023230%8%55-0.8
Marcus Littlewood
2015 · A
23 41 41→45 49→45 46 201/266/303 102266 85 27% 8% 56 -1.3 214/272/330 116284 115 27% 7% 66 -0.6 212/266/32811628012328%7%60-0.5
Elih Marrero
2021 · A
24 43 39→40 49→55 44 209/265/293 84274 67 25% 7% 53 -1.5 210/281/284 74303 421 29% 8% 58 -1.2 201/279/2636229632730%9%50-0.6
Kawika Emsley-Pai
2013 · A
24 43 36→30 46→40 53 198/292/268 70276 37 27% 11% 59 -1.1 195/288/272 77280 67 29% 11% 59 -1.1 161/272/222602346430%12%39-0.7
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
J.T. Arruda
2022 · A
24 39→41 38→40 54→55 42 186/251/269 83279 513 33% 8% 41 -2.3 201/275/292 91299 620 32% 9% 58 -1.2 205/267/2979328192329%7%52-0.8
Levi Michael
2014 · A
23 39→49 37→45 55 49 187/266/263 76252 413 26% 9% 46 -2.0 219/285/303 84294 416 25% 7% 64 -0.8 226/293/341115319101130%5%75+0.0
Terry Serrano
2009 · A
22 41 36→30 51→55 45 194/254/257 63262 315 26% 7% 39 -2.5 209/290/282 73320 315 32% 10% 61 -1.0 204/311/2686432722133%13%64-0.4
Carlos Ramirez
2012 · A
23 42 38→40 47→45 48 203/268/279 77249 68 21% 8% 51 -1.7 196/265/268 72265 68 26% 8% 47 -1.9 143/229/152102090628%9%1-1.2
Christian Cairo
2023 · A
22 39→46 38→40 53→60 49 182/289/262 80287 616 35% 11% 58 -1.2 202/293/281 79297 523 30% 10% 63 -0.8 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4