Alfonzo Martinez

Alfonzo MartinezOF FCL Rays

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .258 / .273

PA100

HR1

K%26

BB%6

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	177	145	30	4	0	0	27	46	4	14	1	207	347	234	581	28	300	26	15	285	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	139	42	4	3	5	16	33	7	11	4	302	401	482	883	180	359	20	10	389	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	189	173	41	5	1	1	10	37	3	7	6	237	290	295	585	58	290	20	5	265	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	119	91	18	4	0	1	19	23	8	4	2	198	381	275	656	77	250	19	16	320	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	177	153	20	2	0	0	19	57	4	14	1	131	244	144	388	13	205	32	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	144	28	3	2	2	11	41	7	11	4	194	284	285	569	90	240	25	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	189	177	31	3	1	1	6	54	3	7	6	175	215	220	435	45	229	29	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	119	98	15	3	0	1	12	33	8	4	2	153	297	214	511	61	205	28	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	177	153	20	2	0	0	19	57	4	14	1	131	244	144	388	13	206	32	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	177	145	30	4	0	0	27	46	4	14	1	207	347	234	581	28	300	26	15	285	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	144	28	3	2	2	11	41	7	11	4	194	284	285	569	90	252	25	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	139	42	4	3	5	16	33	7	11	4	302	401	482	883	180	359	20	10	389	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	189	177	31	3	1	1	6	54	3	7	6	175	215	220	435	45	240	29	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	189	173	41	5	1	1	10	37	3	7	6	237	290	295	585	58	290	20	5	265	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	119	98	15	3	0	1	12	33	8	4	2	153	297	214	511	61	215	28	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	119	91	18	4	0	1	19	23	8	4	2	198	381	275	656	77	250	19	16	320	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	177	152	20	2	0	0	19	57	4	14	1	132	244	145	389	13	205	32	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	145	28	3	2	2	11	41	7	11	4	193	284	283	567	90	240	25	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	189	178	31	3	1	1	6	54	3	7	6	174	215	219	434	45	229	29	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	119	98	15	3	0	1	12	33	8	4	2	153	297	214	511	61	205	28	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	164	145	28	3	2	2	11	41	7	11	4	193	284	283	567	90	240	25	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	189	178	31	3	1	1	6	54	3	7	6	174	215	219	434	45	229	29	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	119	98	15	3	0	1	12	33	8	4	2	153	297	214	511	61	205	28	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	229	210	43	7	2	2	13	60	4	4	1	200	260	275	535	75	268	26	6	244	52	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	182	166	34	6	1	2	11	47	3	3	1	205	266	292	558	87	270	26	6	254	58	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	63	58	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	208	268	293	561	86	274	25	6	255	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	58	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	207	270	293	563	86	268	25	6	255	38	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	124	21	0	10	41	165	10	10	0	207	269	293	562	85	270	25	6	255	38	-32	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	931	830	147	20	5	7	65	258	27	41	15	177	259	239	498	61	244	28	7	225	38	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	102	14	3	5	45	180	19	29	10	176	258	237	495	60	242	28	7	225	38	-34	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfonzo Martinez (OGILVIE)	21	35	20	45	20	198/258/273	74	268	1	2	26%	6%	52	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	39	34→30	48→50	47	184/267/235	52	236	2	9	21%	7%	48	-2.5	201/297/256	55	242	2	11	17%	6%	65	-1.2	189/306/222	32	222	0	15	13%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	38	39→30	46→50	37	187/233/269	82	257	6	5	29%	4%	40	-3.0	193/240/271	78	304	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	142/192/178	36	239	0	6	38%	6%	1	-1.0
✕Jose Benjamin 2017 · A	21	40	36→40	45→50	43	189/255/258	70	249	3	11	24%	6%	47	-2.5	211/257/304	93	276	6	9	25%	4%	58	-1.7	218/247/334	116	269	7	9	22%	2%	59	-0.5
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A	21	41	37→40	47→50	45	193/274/263	70	260	4	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	195/286/282	87	246	6	11	22%	8%	66	-1.1	154/271/243	89	182	6	15	18%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Anyesber Sivira 2021 · A	21	44	37→30	46→55	41	207/282/279	72	279	5	7	26%	6%	63	-1.4	218/283/318	100	309	9	7	31%	6%	72	-0.7	224/291/332	108	326	13	3	33%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	43	36→40	47→50	42	205/256/271	67	266	3	8	23%	5%	49	-2.4	199/262/284	85	281	8	6	30%	6%	56	-1.9	174/243/265	91	222	11	4	26%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	43	187/245/256	69	259	5	5	29%	7%	42	-2.9	207/272/286	79	305	4	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	206/279/285	79	309	4	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Orlando Sandoval 2007 · A	21	37	38→40	46→50	36	181/230/261	81	267	5	9	33%	5%	38	-3.2	199/233/277	78	317	5	8	37%	3%	42	-2.9	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	37	37→30	47→50	44	181/246/248	67	236	5	9	25%	7%	42	-2.9	186/227/255	69	255	5	6	28%	4%	34	-3.5	181/213/238	56	245	3	4	27%	3%	23	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	43	37→30	43→45	41	206/253/279	74	271	4	5	25%	5%	51	-2.3	193/250/276	83	271	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	183/252/261	78	263	7	10	31%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2024 · A	21	43	40	47→55	41	208/265/304	96	287	7	9	29%	6%	61	-1.5	202/256/294	92	268	6	14	26%	5%	55	-1.9	190/244/281	91	247	7	18	25%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	41	34→30	47→50	45	192/264/243	51	254	2	10	24%	7%	47	-2.5	202/258/260	58	290	3	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	204/258/216	11	318	0	9	33%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Franklin Hernandez 2008 · A	21	39→36	36→45	47→40	38	186/238/255	69	277	4	6	33%	5%	39	-3.1	194/233/283	89	290	6	4	33%	4%	44	-2.8	183/219/273	90	269	6	2	33%	3%	33	-1.7
✕Blayberg Diaz 2024 · A	21	40	37→30	49→40	39	197/242/260	63	267	5	6	28%	5%	42	-2.9	204/255/261	57	286	2	4	28%	5%	47	-2.5	198/253/243	45	280	1	2	27%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Will Verdung 2024 · A	21	45→40	38→30	45→50	40	211/271/287	76	321	6	9	34%	7%	59	-1.6	202/278/262	60	280	3	10	26%	9%	57	-1.8	198/276/253	55	267	3	11	25%	9%	53	-1.3