Alfonzo MartinezOF FCL Rays
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .276 / .290
PA76
HR1
K%25
BB%7
BABIP265
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.90-0.9WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.3262830
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 177155 22300 17684 141 142244161406 19250 3810 195 7 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 177145 30400 27464 141 207347234581 28300 2615 285 76 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 164145 35334 10507 114 241321386707 145333 306 292 82 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 164139 42435 16337 114 302401482883 180359 2010 389 156 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 189177 30311 6553 76 169210215424 45234 293 189 3 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 189173 41511 10373 76 237290295585 58290 205 265 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKTB — 11494 14301 11338 42 149292213505 64213 2910 232 36 -8 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.6
YTD20 ROKTB — 11487 17401 18238 42 195381276656 80250 2016 320 103 +0 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.3
ROS20 ROKTB 0% 7669 14301 5192 21 203276290566 87259 257 249 49 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
ROS20 MLBTB 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 263 —— 231 35 — — +0 -0 — —
FULL20 ROKTB — 11495 14301 11338 42 147292211503 63210 2910 232 36 -8 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.6
TOT20 ROKTB — 190163 28602 165210 63 172286245531 74236 278 239 41 -13 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBTB 34% 238215 43813 16595 41 200271288560 88264 257 262 59 -11 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.5
202822 MLBTB 48% 355320 681326 24878 62 212284322606 109267 257 272 66 -14 +0 +0 -2 +10 -0.5
202923 MLBTB 54% 433391 841628 301059 72 215286327613 113269 247 278 71 -14 +1 +0 -3 +12 -0.4
203024 MLBTB 59% 485438 941829 3411610 83 215286326613 112271 247 281 74 -14 +0 +0 -3 +14 -0.3
202721 MLBTB 34% 8275 15301 5202 10 200268280548 80267 246 247 47 -5 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
202822 MLBTB 48% 172154 33613 12424 31 214288325613 110271 247 257 55 -9 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.5
202923 MLBTB 54% 235212 45814 16575 41 212283316599 104273 247 264 60 -11 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.5
203024 MLBTB 59% 287259 551015 20696 52 212284317601 104274 247 267 63 -12 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 776701 14827313 5318817 134 211283314597 103268 247 262 59 -36 +1 +0 -5 +22 -1.8
/ 162G— — 650587 12523311 4415714 113 213284319603 106270 247 262 59 -30 +1 +0 -4 +18 -1.5
Career— — 21171910 390671132 14255948 5920 204276301577 97269 267 261 58 -100 +4 +0 -13 +60 -5.0
/ 162G— — 650586 12021310 4417215 186 205278302580 97270 267 261 58 -31 +1 +0 -4 +18 -1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Rays — 177145 30400 27464 141 207347234581 28300 2615 285 76 -5 +2 — — +5 0.3
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 164139 42435 16337 114 302401482883 180359 2010 389 156 +10 +1 — — +5 1.6
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 189173 41511 10373 76 237290295585 58290 205 265 61 -8 -1 — — +5 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
39341516213279319-6+0-1.4-0.7
/1626641111-4.0+0.0-1.0pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alfonzo Martinez (OGILVIE) 20 35 20 45 20 172/286/245 74236 26 27% 8% 41 -0.9 ————————— —————————
✕Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A 		20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
✕Albert Laboy
2007 · A 		20 40→38 38→40 48→45 41 193/236/269 76242 510 22% 5% 34 -2.8 216/262/306 90258 97 19% 5% 55 -1.4 213/261/2988524810618%5%51-0.9
✕Yan Olmo
2011 · A 		20 40 35→30 47→55 37 189/241/246 57258 39 27% 4% 30 -3.1 212/272/282 70280 513 25% 5% 54 -1.4 218/288/2745626962320%5%54-0.5
✕Mikey Edie
2017 · A 		20 43 34→30 50 36 201/262/254 53296 214 31% 4% 42 -2.3 217/267/280 63316 213 30% 4% 50 -1.7 206/255/265592903728%3%37-1.3
✕Jose Bellorin
2011 · A 		20 42 39→40 47→50 42 203/257/285 81265 610 25% 6% 47 -1.9 223/280/308 85271 69 19% 6% 63 -0.8 239/295/3167827661015%6%69-0.2
✕Enger Jimenez
2015 · A 		20 39 40 48→50 38 191/241/288 97267 79 30% 5% 42 -2.3 214/267/304 90282 510 24% 6% 56 -1.3 223/275/3159228551422%5%59-0.5
✕Edwin Ventura
2018 · A 		20 42 35→30 52→55 39 198/239/256 58257 39 24% 4% 31 -3.0 194/248/246 52266 216 26% 6% 33 -2.9 176/234/1982224202725%6%14-1.7
✕Joshual Ramirez
2016 · A 		20 44 36→30 44→50 41 209/258/275 66277 49 25% 5% 45 -2.1 196/245/277 81273 48 28% 5% 40 -2.4 154/194/243892103627%4%7-1.1
✕Erick Gonzalez
2011 · A 		20 38 34→40 43→50 42 182/243/237 55268 27 31% 7% 29 -3.2 210/295/284 74272 310 22% 10% 64 -0.8 214/322/2877326121416%13%74-0.0
✕Raymundo Moreno
2018 · A 		20 43 35→30 46→55 45 202/270/262 60259 210 22% 6% 48 -1.9 202/271/276 74278 38 26% 7% 52 -1.6 149/235/2247421341629%7%23-0.6
✕Pablo Olivares
2018 · A 		20 44→41 36→40 49→50 42 206/276/277 71285 310 27% 6% 55 -1.4 220/288/301 81285 613 24% 6% 66 -0.6 212/286/2897727261422%6%59-0.6
✕James Harris
2014 · A 		20 36→46 36→40 46→50 42 175/238/243 68248 310 29% 6% 29 -3.2 211/272/302 91306 712 31% 7% 58 -1.2 225/287/3159032171430%7%64-0.5
✕Eduardo Urbina
2008 · A 		20 42 37→40 44→50 41 198/260/265 67276 48 28% 6% 44 -2.1 209/279/285 76290 58 28% 7% 57 -1.2 193/274/251582605726%7%47-0.6
✕Miguel Rodriguez
2007 · A 		20 35 37→45 48→45 34 175/223/246 71263 56 34% 4% 23 -3.6 209/264/290 81278 55 25% 5% 52 -1.6 217/275/301852804323%5%58-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba
2022 · A 		19 39 39→45 45→55 38 193/252/278 85266 78 29% 5% 44 -2.1 196/255/289 93278 810 31% 6% 48 -1.9 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
✕Albertson Asigen
2022 · A 		20 43 39→40 53→55 44 205/260/298 92275 56 27% 7% 52 -1.6 224/299/302 78328 517 30% 8% 70 -0.3 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
✕Jose Meza
2023 · A 		20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
✕Yeldrys Molina
2009 · A 		20 43 38→40 48→50 44 206/265/287 82281 49 27% 7% 51 -1.7 194/252/272 78285 48 31% 7% 42 -2.3 139/198/200602030929%6%-1-1.2
✕Jesus Rojas
2006 · A 		20 40 36→40 45 43 191/251/250 59256 37 26% 6% 36 -2.7 224/288/312 88292 75 24% 8% 68 -0.5 236/303/330943009323%8%79+0.1
✕Jimmy Mojica
2019 · A 		19 44 36→40 46→50 40 207/258/276 69268 48 24% 4% 45 -2.1 206/259/283 77272 57 25% 5% 47 -1.9 185/240/257722417525%4%32-0.8