Angel Liranzo

P FCL Phillies

Age 20 LHP 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.1 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	APHI	1	0	2	3.86	5.24	18.2%	27.3%	—	K 18.2% · BB 27.3% · FIP 5.02
2025	18	MIX2 levels	17	14	74	3.87	4.22	17.9%	8.5%	—	K 12.4% · BB 10.4% · FIP 5.49
2026	19	MIX2 levels	15	11	49	7.03	5.07	22.7%	12.2%	—	K 16.0% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.98
2027PROJ	20	MLBPHI	6	6	30	5.83	5.83	13.1%	13.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPHI	7	7	35	5.67	5.59	15.2%	12.7%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBPHI	10	10	54	5.39	5.27	17.1%	11.7%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control45Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 97%

CompsWilgenis Alvarado (age 19) · Carlos Meza (age 20) · Gabriel Agostini (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.83

FIP5.83

K%13.1%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	4	30	107	30	8	0	40%	3.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.7%	0.0%	0.89	2.67	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	4	30	107	30	8	0	40%	3.0	28.0%	7.5%	20.6%	0.0%	0.89	1.91	—
2024	17	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.02	—
2024	17	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.02	—
2024	17	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.24	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	12.4%	10.4%	2.0%	3.9%	3.87	5.49	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	12.4%	10.4%	2.0%	3.9%	3.87	5.49	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	17.9%	8.5%	9.4%	2.7%	3.87	4.22	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	16.0%	14.4%	1.6%	4.4%	7.03	5.98	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	16.0%	14.4%	1.6%	4.4%	7.03	5.98	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	22.7%	12.2%	10.5%	3.8%	7.03	5.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PHI	6	6	30	127	17	17	4	100%	5.0	13.1%	13.8%	-0.6%	3.1%	5.83	5.83	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	70	296	45	37	9	100%	5.0	15.2%	12.7%	2.6%	3.0%	5.55	5.47	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	74	311	53	36	9	100%	5.3	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.0%	5.27	5.15	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	76	323	59	36	9	100%	5.5	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	2.9%	5.07	4.96	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	78	331	63	36	10	100%	5.6	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	2.9%	4.93	4.84	+0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	79	335	65	36	10	100%	5.7	19.3%	10.7%	8.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.79	+0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	79	335	65	36	10	100%	6.1	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	2.9%	4.79	4.76	+0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	78	330	64	35	10	100%	6.0	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	+0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	76	320	62	35	10	100%	5.8	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.0%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	PHI	12	12	72	306	59	34	10	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.95	5.02	-0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	68	288	54	33	10	100%	6.2	18.8%	11.4%	7.4%	3.4%	5.10	5.19	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	35	148	23	19	5	100%	5.0	15.2%	12.7%	2.6%	3.3%	5.67	5.59	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	54	228	39	27	7	100%	5.4	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.2%	5.39	5.27	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	65	274	50	31	9	100%	5.4	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	3.2%	5.19	5.08	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	70	296	56	32	9	100%	5.8	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	3.1%	5.05	4.96	+0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	73	308	60	33	10	100%	6.1	19.3%	10.7%	8.7%	3.1%	4.96	4.91	+0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	74	312	61	33	10	100%	6.2	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	3.1%	4.91	4.88	+0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	74	312	61	33	10	100%	6.2	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.92	4.92	+0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	72	304	59	33	10	100%	6.0	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.3%	4.97	5.01	+0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	69	291	56	32	10	100%	5.8	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.4%	5.08	5.15	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	PHI	11	11	65	274	52	31	10	100%	5.9	18.8%	11.4%	7.4%	3.6%	5.24	5.33	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	113	649	2742	515	303	89	100%	5.7	18.8%	11.0%	7.7%	3.2%	5.09	4.69	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	159	93	27	100%	5.7	18.8%	11.0%	7.7%	3.2%	5.09	4.69	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		43	29	156	686	101	82	23	67%	3.6	14.8%	11.9%	2.9%	3.4%	4.28	5.22	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	37	200	881	130	105	30	67%	3.6	14.8%	11.9%	2.9%	3.4%	4.28	5.22	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Liranzo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.83	13.1%	13.8%	3.1%	—	5.19	16.9%	5.1%	220	-0.64	—	—	—
Wilgenis Alvarado L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	19	SP-	4.88	10.5%	11.0%	2.3%	.289	5.43	14.8%	-3.3%	80	+0.55	4.70	122	86
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	84
Gabriel Agostini L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	13.5%	12.4%	2.9%	.246	5.63	9.5%	-16.8%	12	+0.49	1.97	122	84
Colin Schmid L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SP-	4.81	11.8%	9.7%	2.7%	.298	4.10	15.2%	5.7%	125	-0.71	3.24	191	84
Salvador Montano L 2015 · 5.23 FIP	21	SP-	5.23	11.5%	15.9%	2.0%	.301	4.65	21.3%	-0.0%	71	-0.58	4.44	116	83
Gregory Reinoso L 2016 · 5.11 FIP	20	SP-	5.11	12.3%	15.6%	1.9%	.299	6.70	11.3%	-7.8%	29	+1.59	4.18	105	81
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	80
Jared Tobey L 2018 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	11.9%	15.1%	2.5%	.289	4.05	22.3%	10.4%	97	-1.34	3.99	158	80
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	78
Juan Pablo Lopez L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	18	SP-	5.05	8.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	115	78
Josue Arias L 2024 · 6.86 FIP	19	SP	6.86	13.8%	28.1%	2.5%	.250	7.30	9.3%	-30.1%	13	+0.44	4.73	114	78
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	77
Maikel Sepulveda L 2017 · 4.78 FIP	20	SW	4.78	10.5%	11.5%	2.0%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	125	77
Wander Cabrera L 2018 · 6.97 FIP	20	SP-	6.97	11.9%	16.7%	5.0%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	135	77
Mike Gosling L 2004 · 5.85 FIP	23	SP-	5.85	12.5%	10.7%	4.5%	.259	4.56	14.4%	2.7%	65	-1.29	4.44	116	77
Lucas Gilbreath L 2017 · 5.60 FIP	21	SP	5.60	11.5%	17.8%	2.2%	.281	4.37	16.9%	7.4%	260	-1.23	3.17	431	77
Max Roberts L 2017 · 4.79 FIP	20	SP-	4.79	10.7%	9.9%	2.5%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	173	77
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	77
Dennis Herrera L 2019 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	14.8%	16.0%	2.0%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	124	76
Luis Cesar L 2024 · 6.24 FIP	20	SP	6.24	13.2%	19.8%	3.2%	.163	5.28	15.6%	-9.7%	44	-0.96	4.84	131	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.9	71	18.4%	11.2%	1.17	5.04
Dan Miceli ('06)	3.5	64	20.6%	10.1%	1.19	4.48
Scott Eyre ('09)	3.2	59	18.6%	11.5%	1.15	4.23
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*
Ed Farmer ('71-'83, -2 WAR*)	3.1	69	21.3%*	12.2%*	1.03*	4.71*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*