Sebastian De Andrade

C ACL Mariners
Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2305ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKSEA100.200/.306/.2591123—.157/.235/.202
202519ROKSEA186.260/.380/.3251051—.200/.283/.248
202620A/ROKSEA117.228/.333/.3373128—.163/.248/.239
2027PROJMLE21MLBSEA227.188/.260/.2592349-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSEA45.192/.265/.2731155-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBSEA102.196/.269/.2861160-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO54
Chase%28
wRC+24
BB%21
Z-Con%18
wOBA17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsMatt Kennelly (age 21) · Rudy van Heydoorn (age 21) · Franklin Tineo (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .258 / .257
PA72
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Mariners — 138119 32502 13284 01 269360361722 92330 209 328 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Mariners — 10085 17201 12221 10 200306259565 59250 2212 264 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Mariners — 186154 40701 27433 01 260380325705 65348 2315 328 51 — — — — — —
202620 AInland Empire 66ers — 3629 6200 592 11 207361276637 69300 2514 310 49 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Mariners — 8172 17003 9260 01 236321361682 125326 3211 311 19 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 138123 23301 9344 01 187265236500 49233 257 225 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10089 14101 8321 10 157235202437 45218 328 202 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 186165 33501 16623 01 200283248531 48302 339 244 51 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 3630 6200 4122 11 200333267600 67275 3311 241 49 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 8175 11002 6370 01 147210227437 80262 467 197 19 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 138123 23301 9344 01 187265236500 49244 257 225 38 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 138119 32502 13284 01 269360361722 92330 209 328 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10089 14101 8321 10 157235202437 45224 328 202 23 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 10085 17201 12221 10 200306259565 59250 2212 264 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 186165 33501 16623 01 200283248531 48308 339 244 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 186154 40701 27433 01 260380325705 65348 2315 328 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 117106 17202 9502 12 160239236475 75278 438 211 29 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAW2 teams — 117101 23203 14352 12 228333337670 109317 3012 311 29 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 138124 23301 9344 01 185265234499 48233 257 225 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10091 14101 8321 10 154235198432 44218 328 202 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 186165 33501 16623 01 200283248531 48302 339 244 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 117105 17202 9502 12 162239238477 76266 438 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10091 14101 8321 10 154235198432 44218 328 202 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 186165 33501 16623 01 200283248531 48302 339 244 51 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLE2 teams — 117105 17202 9502 12 162239238477 76266 438 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESEA 0% 227205 39712 18712 31 188260259520 72273 318 240 49 -14 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESEA 34% 131119 24412 10401 11 193266276543 83275 318 249 55 -7 -0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB MLESEA 48% 211190 37613 17642 21 198271290561 92277 308 257 60 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.2
203024 MLB MLESEA 53% 295266 53915 24873 31 202275301576 98278 298 263 64 -13 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.1
203125 MLB MLESEA 55% 350315 651126 281024 41 205278308586 104279 298 267 67 -14 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.0
203226 MLB MLESEA 56% 382344 711227 311104 42 207280314594 107280 298 270 69 -14 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.1
203327 MLB MLESEA 55% 396357 741327 321154 42 206279311591 106279 298 269 68 -15 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.1
203428 MLB MLESEA 55% 398359 741327 321164 32 204277307584 103278 298 266 66 -16 -0 -1 +7 +9 -0.1
203529 MLB MLESEA 58% 392353 711226 321164 32 201274300575 99276 308 262 63 -17 -0 -1 +7 +8 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXSEA 34% 4541 8101 4140 10 192265273538 81273 319 247 55 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXSEA 48% 10292 17301 8311 10 196269286555 90274 308 255 60 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXSEA 53% 156141 28512 12462 21 200273297570 96276 298 260 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXSEA 55% 192173 35613 15562 21 203276304581 101277 298 265 67 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXSEA 56% 213192 40714 17622 21 205278310588 105277 298 268 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXSEA 55% 218196 40714 18632 21 204277307585 103277 298 266 68 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
203428 MLB CTXSEA 55% 218196 40714 18642 21 202275302578 100276 298 263 66 -9 +0 -0 +4 +5 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXSEA 58% 227205 41714 18672 21 200273296569 97274 308 260 63 -10 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13711236 24943623 11040313 146 201274302576 100277 298 263 60 -56 +0 -1 +24 +30 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 11820311 521916 73 201273302575 101276 298 263 60 -27 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 31682851 568931349 25495137 2716 199273293566 93278 308 257 60 -110 +0 -2 +47 +57 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 11719310 521958 63 200274294568 94279 308 257 60 -27 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Mariners · 81 PAwOBA .303 → .197 (−106)K% 32.1% → 46.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.10%÷1.000×1.440——46.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.85%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP30.43%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99524.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP6.52%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9955.06%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .197; ISO .125 → .080; BABIP .326 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 36 PAwOBA .303 → .241 (−61)K% 25.0% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.360——34.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.87%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.780—×1.0304.46%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.920—×1.03018.95%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0308.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .303 → .241; ISO .069 → .055; BABIP .300 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Mariners · 186 PAwOBA .322 → .244 (−79)K% 23.1% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.12%÷0.999×1.440——33.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.98%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.74%
HBP% /PA1.61%—×0.720—×1.0081.17%
Singles /BIP28.83%÷0.942×0.820×1.029×1.00826.03%
Doubles /BIP6.31%÷1.046×0.720×1.029×1.0084.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×1.029×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.90%÷0.886×0.780—×1.0080.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .322 → .244; ISO .065 → .047; BABIP .348 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 100 PAwOBA .263 → .202 (−62)K% 22.0% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.00%÷0.981×1.440——32.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.00%÷0.966×0.620—×1.0227.88%
HBP% /PA1.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.74%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷0.962×0.820×1.018×1.02219.72%
Doubles /BIP3.17%÷0.970×0.720×1.018×1.0222.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×1.018×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷0.863×0.780—×1.0221.47%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .263 → .202; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mariners · 138 PAwOBA .324 → .225 (−99)K% 20.3% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.29%÷1.020×1.220——24.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.42%÷1.005×0.700—×1.0226.71%
HBP% /PA2.90%—×0.700—×1.0222.07%
Singles /BIP27.47%÷0.978×0.680×1.044×1.02220.39%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷1.092×0.600×1.044×1.0223.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.049×0.600×1.044×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.20%÷1.034×0.470—×1.0221.02%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 110, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .324 → .225; ISO .092 → .049; BABIP .330 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).