Sebastian De AndradeC ACL Mariners
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION103 act + 71 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .254 / .262
PA71
HR1
K%30
BB%7
BABIP256
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -13.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: -1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.80.80.80.8+$29M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mariners 138124 26301 8394 01 210279258537 48291 286 245 46
202317 ROKDSL Mariners 138119 32502 13284 01 269360361722 92330 209 328 109
202418 ROKACL Mariners 10089 14101 8331 10 157235202437 45228 338 206 16
202418 ROKACL Mariners 10085 17201 12221 10 200306259565 59250 2212 264 60
202519 ROKACL Mariners 186165 35501 16623 01 212293261554 48327 339 251 50
202519 ROKACL Mariners 186154 40701 27433 01 260380325705 65348 2315 328 109
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKSEA 10393 15201 8442 12 161243215458 54292 438 211 20 -9 -1 +0 +2 +3 -0.5
YTD20 ROKSEA 10389 21202 12312 12 236340326666 90339 3012 310 96 -1 -1 +0 +2 +3 0.4
ROS20 ROKSEA 0% 7165 12201 5211 11 185254262515 77275 307 246 46 -4 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS20 MLBSEA 0% 01 0000 000 00 273 234 38 +0 +0
FULL20 ROKSEA 10394 15201 8442 12 160243213455 53286 438 211 20 -9 -1 +0 +2 +3 -0.5
TOT20 ROKSEA 174158 27402 13653 23 171247234481 63275 377 225 31 -14 -1 +0 +3 +5 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBSEA 34% 261236 47813 20743 31 199270280550 81278 288 261 58 -13 +0 +0 +5 +7 -0.0
202822 MLBSEA 48% 372334 701226 301035 42 210285311596 102280 288 270 65 -15 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.2
202923 MLBSEA 54% 445400 861528 361216 52 215290323612 108282 278 276 69 -15 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.5
203024 MLBSEA 55% 493444 951729 401336 52 214288322610 108283 278 279 72 -16 +0 +0 +9 +14 0.8
203125 MLBSEA 56% 520466 10017210 421407 53 215289324613 109283 278 281 73 -16 -0 +0 +9 +15 0.8
203226 MLBSEA 56% 520465 10017210 431407 53 215291325616 110283 278 281 73 -16 -0 +0 +9 +15 0.8
203327 MLBSEA 60% 520465 10017210 431407 53 215291325616 110283 278 281 73 -16 -0 +0 +9 +15 0.8
202721 MLBSEA 34% 9082 16301 7261 10 195267268535 73276 298 249 49 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202822 MLBSEA 48% 180162 34613 14502 21 210281315596 105278 288 258 56 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
202923 MLBSEA 54% 241217 46814 19663 31 212285313598 101279 278 264 60 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203024 MLBSEA 55% 273246 52915 22743 31 211284317601 106281 278 268 63 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.1
203125 MLBSEA 56% 291261 571016 24784 31 218294333627 115281 278 269 64 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203226 MLBSEA 56% 292262 571016 24794 31 218293332625 115280 278 269 64 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203327 MLBSEA 60% 310277 591016 26844 32 213290321611 108280 278 269 64 -13 -0 +0 +6 +9 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 16771508 32156631 13645721 187 213287320607 107282 278 266 62 -73 +1 +0 +30 +48 0.6
/ 162G 650584 12422212 531778 73 212287318605 106281 278 266 62 -28 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.2
Career 36263253 6851141360 291100650 3419 211285309594 98283 288 272 66 -138 -1 +0 +65 +103 2.9
/ 162G 650583 12220211 521809 63 209284307591 98280 288 272 66 -25 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mariners 138119 32502 13284 01 269360361722 92330 209 328 109 +1 -0 +4 0.5
202418 ROKACL Mariners 10085 17201 12221 10 200306259565 59250 2212 264 60 -4 +0 +3 -0.1
202519 ROKACL Mariners 186154 40701 27433 01 260380325705 65348 2315 328 109 +2 -0 +5 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,8523320214285320+33+202.12.2
/162664127+11.9+7.20.8pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sebastian De Andrade (OGILVIE) 20 35 20 35 55 171/247/234 63275 22 37% 7% 31 -0.7
Juan Heredia
2012 · A
20 45 35→30 38→50 52 207/291/269 62274 26 23% 10% 59 -1.1 202/293/262 60264 211 21% 10% 58 -1.2 188/302/2445624801521%12%55-0.6
Victor Moscote
2014 · A
20 40 37→30 40→45 37 194/243/263 69285 45 32% 5% 36 -2.7 209/262/265 56278 25 24% 6% 44 -2.1 209/266/252432682321%6%40-0.8
Christopher Tamarez
2014 · A
20 42 38→45 36→40 41 203/248/281 78264 63 25% 5% 43 -2.2 202/244/257 55288 35 29% 5% 33 -2.9 184/216/19172630329%4%0-1.7
Franklin Tineo
2016 · A
21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
Marco Hernandez
2018 · A
20 45 36→40 38→45 47 209/275/278 70242 36 15% 6% 54 -1.4 219/287/300 81266 57 18% 7% 65 -0.7 186/281/263762348322%9%51-0.3
Juan Fernandez
2019 · A
20 42→52 38→40 39→50 43 202/259/282 81260 54 24% 6% 48 -1.9 205/262/300 95269 85 26% 6% 54 -1.4 239/301/3329329710922%6%74-0.0
Anneury Peguero
2007 · A
20 43 35→30 44→50 48 201/266/259 58253 27 20% 7% 45 -2.1 211/289/268 57271 312 21% 9% 57 -1.2 205/293/2433826021620%10%50-0.6
Juan Zabala
2019 · A
20 39 34→40 43→50 49 181/263/236 55238 17 23% 8% 39 -2.5 188/251/276 88288 76 35% 6% 43 -2.2 203/266/29188284101630%7%50-0.7
Simon Vasquez
2008 · A
20 45 34→40 41→50 43 212/268/264 52276 13 23% 6% 46 -2.0 222/288/295 73279 36 20% 7% 63 -0.8 231/301/308772813617%7%71-0.1
Miguel Arrendell
2008 · A
20 39 36→30 39→50 49 183/257/243 60229 45 21% 8% 37 -2.6 205/297/270 65270 412 23% 11% 62 -0.9 199/293/2596126741524%11%55-0.6
David Hernandez
2007 · A
20 43 35→40 44→55 46 200/269/256 56264 26 24% 7% 46 -2.0 224/284/297 73278 411 19% 7% 62 -0.9 227/289/2946727731418%7%60-0.4
Maurizo Buda
2012 · A
20 40 37→40 38→40 42 189/263/261 72271 54 30% 7% 45 -2.1 205/282/282 77293 54 29% 8% 58 -1.2 192/282/254622764129%9%51-0.7
Luis Reynoso
2015 · A
20 41 37→30 43→50 39 194/249/260 66291 47 33% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/244 53335 35 41% 6% 32 -3.0 171/227/194233141243%6%9-1.2
Erick Castillo
2013 · A
20 40 36→30 41→30 48 187/259/253 66225 24 17% 6% 41 -2.3 199/246/265 66241 34 18% 5% 37 -2.6 192/250/234432394020%4%29-0.9
Marco Guzman
2015 · A
20 41 39→45 44→50 48 196/264/281 85246 67 22% 8% 50 -1.7 217/263/307 90264 57 19% 6% 55 -1.4 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Luis Cruz
2012 · A
19 39 35→40 43→45 42 186/235/238 52254 25 27% 6% 25 -3.5 220/272/314 94275 95 22% 5% 61 -1.0 227/272/301753026326%4%56-0.5
Antoni Lugo
2008 · A
20 41 35→45 42→45 42 194/253/249 55247 37 22% 5% 37 -2.6 198/255/294 96240 105 22% 6% 50 -1.7 191/251/30611522015221%6%48-0.6
Enlly Morales
2010 · A
20 48 38→40 38→40 47 228/284/315 87267 55 16% 6% 67 -0.5 217/263/283 66280 35 22% 5% 49 -1.8 208/241/241332780324%3%26-0.7
Joshual Ramirez
2016 · A
20 44 36→30 44→50 41 209/258/275 66277 49 25% 5% 45 -2.1 196/245/277 81273 48 28% 5% 40 -2.4 154/194/243892103627%4%7-1.1
Diego Gonzalez
2023 · A
20 45 35→40 40 43 213/266/272 59285 27 25% 6% 47 -1.9 195/264/266 71276 55 29% 8% 46 -2.0 164/246/220562336230%8%26-0.9