Jose Urbina

C ACL D-backs

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Arizona R…	150	.186/.378/.265	1	0	29	—	.117/.284/.158
2026	20	ROKARI	93	.254/.430/.521	4	0	69	—	.167/.301/.346
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBARI	203	.185/.268/.270	2	2	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBARI	57	.196/.279/.295	1	1	60	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBARI	139	.201/.283/.306	2	1	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO95

wRC+86

wOBA79

BB%76

Chase%61

Speed31

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRudy van Heydoorn (age 21) · Franklin Tineo (age 21) · Luis Sanchez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .266 / .268

PA82

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	93	71	18	5	1	4	18	30	4	0	0	254	430	521	951	268	378	32	19	420	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	104	16	4	0	0	11	27	6	1	2	154	273	192	465	38	200	22	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	128	21	4	0	1	9	35	8	1	1	164	262	219	481	55	202	24	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	120	14	3	1	0	18	35	10	0	0	117	284	158	442	42	145	23	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	93	78	13	3	1	3	11	43	4	0	0	167	301	346	647	179	286	46	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	104	16	4	0	0	11	27	6	1	2	154	273	192	465	38	203	22	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	100	24	7	0	0	15	22	6	1	2	240	372	310	682	70	300	18	12	319	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	128	21	4	0	1	9	35	8	1	1	164	262	219	481	55	213	24	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	125	34	6	0	3	12	28	8	1	1	272	372	392	764	120	323	19	8	346	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	120	14	3	1	0	18	35	10	0	0	117	284	158	442	42	161	23	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	113	21	4	1	1	25	27	10	0	0	186	378	265	644	80	230	18	17	315	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	93	78	13	3	1	3	11	43	4	0	0	167	301	346	647	179	312	46	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	93	71	18	5	1	4	18	30	4	0	0	254	430	521	951	268	378	32	19	420	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	123	105	16	4	0	0	11	27	6	1	2	152	273	190	463	38	200	22	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	129	21	4	0	1	9	35	8	1	1	163	262	217	479	54	202	24	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	121	14	3	1	0	18	35	10	0	0	116	284	157	441	41	145	23	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	93	78	13	3	1	3	11	43	4	0	0	167	301	346	647	179	286	46	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	147	129	21	4	0	1	9	35	8	1	1	163	262	217	479	54	202	24	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	150	121	14	3	1	0	18	35	10	0	0	116	284	157	441	41	145	23	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	93	78	13	3	1	3	11	43	4	0	0	167	301	346	647	179	286	46	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	203	180	33	6	1	2	17	60	4	2	1	185	268	270	538	84	261	30	8	249	55	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	166	148	28	5	1	2	14	48	3	2	1	191	273	284	558	93	264	29	8	257	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	287	256	50	9	2	4	24	83	5	3	1	195	277	296	573	100	266	29	8	263	64	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	375	334	66	12	2	6	31	106	7	4	2	199	281	305	586	106	268	28	8	268	68	-14	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	427	380	78	14	3	8	36	120	8	4	2	202	283	312	595	110	270	28	8	272	70	-15	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	458	409	84	15	3	9	38	127	8	5	2	204	285	317	602	113	271	28	8	274	72	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	473	422	86	15	3	9	40	132	8	5	2	203	284	314	599	111	270	28	8	273	71	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	478	427	86	15	3	9	40	134	8	4	2	201	282	310	592	109	269	28	8	270	69	-18	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	474	424	83	15	2	8	39	135	8	3	3	199	279	303	582	105	267	28	8	266	66	-19	-1	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	467	417	82	15	2	8	39	134	8	3	4	195	275	295	571	100	265	29	8	262	63	-20	-1	-2	+8	+10	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	57	51	10	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	196	279	295	573	98	273	30	9	263	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	139	123	25	5	1	2	12	40	3	1	1	201	283	306	589	105	276	29	9	269	64	-6	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	198	176	35	7	1	3	16	56	4	2	1	205	286	315	601	110	278	28	8	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	234	208	44	9	2	4	20	66	4	2	1	208	288	322	611	114	279	28	9	278	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	255	228	48	9	2	5	21	71	4	3	1	210	290	327	617	117	280	28	8	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	260	232	49	10	2	5	22	73	4	2	1	209	289	324	613	116	280	28	8	279	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	261	233	47	9	2	4	22	73	4	2	1	207	287	319	607	113	278	28	8	276	69	-10	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	253	226	46	9	2	4	21	72	4	2	1	204	284	313	597	109	277	28	8	272	66	-10	+0	-1	+5	+5	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	245	219	45	9	2	4	20	70	4	2	2	201	280	305	585	104	274	29	8	267	63	-11	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1902	1696	349	69	14	32	159	538	32	17	9	206	286	320	606	114	280	28	8	274	64	-73	-0	-2	+34	+41	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	120	24	5	11	54	184	11	6	3	207	287	322	609	116	281	28	8	274	64	-25	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4200	3720	720	131	23	68	357	1183	93	36	22	194	281	296	577	102	262	28	8	263	64	-143	-1	-4	+66	+80	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	112	20	4	11	55	183	14	6	3	194	280	300	581	106	262	28	8	263	64	-25	-0	-1	+12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	1,984	34	18	200	278	307	+35	+24	1.3	1.4
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+8.0	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Urbina (OGILVIE)	21	25	20	35	60	184/266/268	84	261	1	1	30%	8%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Matt Kennelly 2010 · A	21	42	37→40	34→40	37	203/244/271	68	288	5	3	30%	5%	45	-2.7	218/270/303	85	284	7	3	24%	6%	62	-1.4	224/280/310	86	279	7	2	21%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Erick Castillo 2014 · A	21	40	37→30	39→30	46	188/246/259	71	222	4	4	17%	6%	44	-2.8	196/238/253	57	243	3	4	20%	4%	38	-3.2	188/246/227	39	232	3	0	20%	4%	34	-0.9
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	37	39→40	42→45	47	184/261/266	82	248	8	7	28%	8%	52	-2.2	202/262/288	86	282	6	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	189/242/263	74	261	4	7	28%	7%	40	-0.7
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/236/271	83	258	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	198/259/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	53	-2.1	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	38→37	40→45	40	50	183/281/271	88	263	8	4	31%	10%	61	-1.5	196/279/313	117	276	13	5	32%	9%	70	-0.9	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Randy César 2016 · A	21	39→49	38→40	40	40	191/243/266	75	268	6	2	30%	6%	44	-2.8	214/255/298	84	323	8	3	34%	5%	55	-1.9	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Jesus Rojas 2007 · A	21	39	36→30	42→45	50	187/263/251	64	235	4	6	21%	8%	49	-2.4	223/284/311	88	288	7	5	23%	8%	70	-0.9	254/309/352	98	317	9	1	22%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Diego Gonzalez 2024 · A	21	43	37→40	41→40	43	203/259/272	68	273	4	6	26%	6%	51	-2.2	192/262/262	70	275	6	4	30%	8%	51	-2.3	164/244/217	52	234	5	2	30%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	37	37→30	46→55	50	177/256/249	71	223	4	9	21%	8%	46	-2.6	192/277/264	72	230	5	17	18%	10%	57	-1.8	176/273/236	60	201	6	25	15%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	33	35→40	45→40	50	160/258/217	57	223	3	5	27%	10%	41	-3.0	176/256/247	71	278	4	4	35%	8%	46	-2.6	168/246/241	74	269	4	2	36%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2024 · A	21	43→42	39→40	44→50	50	203/296/287	84	284	7	7	29%	10%	70	-0.8	197/287/295	98	292	9	10	33%	10%	69	-0.9	186/278/281	95	274	9	12	33%	9%	61	-1.1
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A	21	42	40	37→30	38	206/249/294	88	289	8	2	31%	5%	53	-2.1	199/249/282	83	281	6	4	30%	5%	49	-2.4	155/200/218	63	212	5	0	29%	4%	14	-1.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jose Gil 2008 · A	21	40	41→45	43→45	41	203/247/296	93	260	10	4	26%	5%	52	-2.2	209/248/305	96	272	8	7	26%	4%	55	-2.0	216/264/335	119	264	13	3	23%	5%	65	-0.5

Jose Urbina

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps