Pablo Arosemena

C DSL CLE Mendoza
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 154 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1294ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL CLE Goryl103.228/.408/.3541339—.129/.282/.188
202519ROKDSL CLE Mendo…92.208/.380/.2360223—.118/.272/.132
202620ROKDSL CLE Mendo…41.286/.487/.4641087—.194/.359/.323
2027PROJMLE21MLBPIT151.200/.286/.27612630.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPIT29.205/.290/.29100680.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBPIT79.209/.294/.30411720.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%96
wOBA87
K%82
wRC+80
ISO77
Chase%75
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsEmilio King (age 21) · Franklin Hernandez (age 21) · Yeison Asencio (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .284 / .274
PA32
HR0
K%29
BB%9
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.30.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Red — 11390 16310 17154 10 178333233567 56208 1315 275 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 10379 18511 19225 32 228408354762 127304 2118 359 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 9272 15200 15265 20 208380236617 28326 2816 309 23 — — — — — —
202620 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 4128 8201 1160 00 286487464951 179304 1527 411 87 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 11395 11210 12194 10 116243158401 42131 1711 188 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10385 11310 13295 32 129282188470 59188 2813 226 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 9276 9100 11325 20 118272132403 13207 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 4131 6101 870 00 194359323682 129195 1720 297 87 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 11395 11210 12194 10 116243158401 42141 1711 188 13 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Red — 11390 16310 17154 10 178333233567 56208 1315 275 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10385 11310 13295 32 129282188470 59196 2813 226 39 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 10379 18511 19225 32 228408354762 127304 2118 359 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 9276 9100 11325 20 118272132403 13205 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 9272 15200 15265 20 208380236617 28326 2816 309 23 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 4131 6101 870 00 194359323682 129200 1720 297 87 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 4128 8201 1160 00 286487464951 179304 1527 411 87 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 11396 11210 12194 10 115243156399 42131 1711 188 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10384 11310 13295 32 131282190472 60188 2813 226 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 9276 9100 11325 20 118272132403 13207 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 4133 6101 870 00 182359303662 121195 1720 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 10384 11310 13295 32 131282190472 60188 2813 226 39 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 9276 9100 11325 20 118272132403 13207 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 4133 6101 870 00 182359303662 121195 1720 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPIT 0% 151133 27511 14443 21 200286276563 76286 299 261 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPIT 34% 8475 16311 8241 10 205291292583 87287 2910 269 68 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202923 MLB MLEPIT 48% 164145 30512 15463 21 209294306600 96288 289 275 72 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203024 MLB MLEPIT 53% 246218 47824 22694 31 213297317614 104290 289 281 76 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203125 MLB MLEPIT 55% 314278 601125 28875 41 216299326626 110290 289 285 79 -8 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.5
203226 MLB MLEPIT 56% 358318 691227 32985 41 218301334634 116290 279 288 81 -8 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.7
203327 MLB MLEPIT 55% 379336 731327 341046 41 217300331631 114289 279 287 80 -9 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.7
203428 MLB MLEPIT 55% 386342 731327 351076 31 215298326624 111288 289 284 78 -10 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.5
203529 MLB MLEPIT 53% 382339 721326 341076 21 212295320614 107287 289 280 76 -11 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.3
203630 MLB MLEPIT 53% 375334 701226 331065 01 209291312603 102284 289 275 73 -12 -0 -2 +7 +8 0.0
202822 MLB CTXPIT 34% 2926 5100 380 00 205290291581 86288 2810 268 68 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202923 MLB CTXPIT 48% 7971 15311 7221 10 209294304597 94289 289 274 72 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203024 MLB CTXPIT 53% 130115 25512 12362 20 213297314611 102290 289 279 76 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203125 MLB CTXPIT 55% 172152 33613 15483 21 215299323622 108291 289 283 79 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203226 MLB CTXPIT 56% 199176 38713 18543 21 217300330630 113290 279 286 81 -4 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.3
203327 MLB CTXPIT 55% 208184 40714 19573 21 216299327626 111290 279 285 80 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203428 MLB CTXPIT 55% 211187 39713 19593 21 214297322620 108289 289 282 78 -5 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.3
203529 MLB CTXPIT 53% 204181 38713 18573 11 212294316611 104287 289 279 76 -6 -0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
203630 MLB CTXPIT 53% 197175 37713 17563 00 209291309599 100285 289 274 73 -6 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14291267 27050822 12839721 125 213296317613 104290 289 281 72 -39 +0 -2 +26 +31 1.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 12323410 5818110 52 214297319616 106291 289 281 72 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 30692700 552981846 28884456 2910 204294305600 101277 289 274 72 -75 +1 -4 +49 +59 3.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 11821410 6117912 62 206296309606 103279 289 274 72 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 41 PAwOBA .423 → .297 (−126)K% 14.6% → 17.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.63%÷1.000×1.220——17.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.83%÷1.000×0.700—×0.98518.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.000×0.680—×0.98515.22%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9855.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9852.10%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .423 → .297; ISO .179 → .109; BABIP .304 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 92 PAwOBA .303 → .202 (−101)K% 28.3% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.26%÷0.981×1.220——35.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.30%÷0.977×0.700—×0.99511.62%
HBP% /PA5.43%—×0.700—×0.9953.79%
Singles /BIP28.26%÷1.003×0.680×0.950×0.99518.11%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷0.970×0.600×0.950×0.9952.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.991×0.600×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.940×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .303 → .202; ISO .028 → .016; BABIP .326 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 103 PAwOBA .351 → .226 (−126)K% 21.4% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.36%÷0.930×1.220——28.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.45%÷1.016×0.700—×1.00812.81%
HBP% /PA4.85%—×0.700—×1.0083.42%
Singles /BIP19.30%÷0.994×0.680×0.951×1.00812.64%
Doubles /BIP8.77%÷0.995×0.600×0.951×1.0085.07%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷1.038×0.600×0.951×1.0080.97%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.366×0.470—×1.0080.61%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .351 → .226; ISO .127 → .064; BABIP .304 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Red · 113 PAwOBA .275 → .188 (−86)K% 13.3% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.27%÷0.984×1.220——16.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.04%÷1.015×0.700—×1.02210.61%
HBP% /PA3.54%—×0.700—×1.0222.53%
Singles /BIP16.00%÷1.060×0.680×0.965×1.02210.13%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷0.987×0.600×0.965×1.0222.40%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷0.900×0.600×0.965×1.0220.88%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷2.400×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 380, 1B 112, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .275 → .188; ISO .056 → .037; BABIP .208 → .131. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).