Pablo Arosemena — OGILVIE

Pablo ArosemenaC DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 154 lbs ROK BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.8 · 2032

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .310

PA81

HR1

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.8	$28M	+$27M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.5	$26M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$24M	+$16M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$21M	+$12M
Totals		$24M		$152M	+$128M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	113	97	12	2	1	0	10	22	4	1	0	.124	.234	.165	.399	.041	.156	19	9	.192	5	-12	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	103	86	12	3	1	0	12	36	5	3	2	.140	.282	.198	.479	.058	.240	35	12	.226	31	-8	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	92	77	10	1	0	0	10	39	5	2	0	.130	.272	.143	.415	.013	.263	42	11	.202	13	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	PIT	81	74	16	3	1	1	6	23	1	1	0	.216	.284	.324	.608	.108	.288	28	7	.271	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	PIT	169	151	34	6	1	4	14	46	2	3	1	.225	.299	.358	.657	.132	.290	27	8	.292	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	PIT	302	268	62	11	2	8	27	80	4	6	1	.231	.311	.377	.688	.146	.292	26	9	.303	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	PIT	393	349	81	15	2	11	36	101	5	8	2	.232	.313	.381	.694	.149	.292	26	9	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.8
2030	24	MLB 62%	PIT	456	404	95	17	3	13	43	116	6	10	2	.235	.318	.389	.706	.153	.293	25	9	.317	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.3
2031	25	MLB 80%	PIT	491	433	102	18	3	15	48	124	7	10	2	.236	.322	.395	.717	.159	.293	25	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.6
2032	26	MLB 94%	PIT	512	449	107	19	3	16	51	129	7	11	2	.238	.325	.401	.726	.163	.294	25	10	.322	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	27	MLB	PIT	520	456	108	19	3	16	52	132	7	11	2	.237	.324	.397	.721	.160	.294	25	10	.322	104	+3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	28	MLB	PIT	520	456	108	19	3	16	52	133	7	10	2	.237	.324	.397	.721	.160	.294	26	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2035	29	MLB	PIT	515	451	105	19	3	15	52	133	7	9	1	.233	.322	.388	.710	.155	.293	26	10	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	PIT	507	444	103	18	3	15	51	132	7	7	1	.232	.321	.387	.708	.155	.291	26	10	.315	99	-0	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.2
2037	31	MLB	PIT	479	422	97	17	3	14	48	127	6	5	0	.230	.317	.384	.701	.154	.290	27	10	.311	97	-2	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.9
2038	32	MLB	PIT	447	393	88	16	2	12	45	121	6	3	0	.224	.313	.366	.679	.142	.288	27	10	.307	93	-4	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.4
2039	33	MLB	PIT	407	358	79	14	2	11	41	113	5	1	0	.221	.309	.363	.673	.142	.287	28	10	.301	89	-5	+0	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2040	34	MLB	PIT	354	312	68	12	2	9	35	101	4	0	0	.218	.305	.356	.661	.138	.285	29	10	.295	84	-7	+0	-5	+6	+10	0.5
2041	35	MLB	PIT	296	261	54	9	1	7	29	88	4	0	0	.207	.296	.330	.625	.123	.283	30	10	.287	78	-7	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.1
2042	36	MLB	PIT	238	210	42	7	1	5	23	73	3	0	0	.200	.288	.314	.602	.114	.280	31	10	.278	71	-8	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	PIT	179	158	31	5	1	3	17	57	2	0	0	.196	.282	.297	.580	.101	.276	32	9	.268	64	-7	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7174	6309	1414	250	41	191	702	1926	104	101	18	.224	.312	.368	.680	.143	.289	27	10	.305	91	-71	+13	-38	+128	+203	24.0
/ 162G	—			650	572	128	23	4	17	64	175	9	9	2	.224	.312	.367	.679	.143	.290	27	10	.305	91	-6	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	113	90	16	3	1	0	17	15	4	1	0	.178	.333	.233	.567	.056	.208	13	15	.275	69	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	103	79	18	5	1	1	19	22	5	3	2	.228	.408	.354	.762	.127	.304	21	18	.359	133	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	92	72	15	2	0	0	15	26	5	2	0	.208	.380	.236	.617	.028	.326	28	16	.309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Arosemena (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.208/.280/.310	.102	.288	1	1	29%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Wilin Rosario 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	44→45	37	.209/.253/.314	.105	.295	11	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	.225/.261/.370	.145	.298	17	4	30%	4%	72	-0.2	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A	21	43→53	41→50	48→45	40	.209/.263/.306	.097	.302	8	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	.250/.309/.388	.138	.334	12	4	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.256/.318/.393	.137	.347	12	4	28%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	42→49	38→55	49→30	44	.201/.271/.276	.075	.277	5	5	28%	7%	52	-1.6	.207/.270/.291	.084	.263	6	4	22%	7%	55	-1.4	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	45→50	41→55	49→50	44	.217/.269/.316	.099	.260	8	8	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.228/.265/.309	.081	.295	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.254/.298/.423	.169	.308	18	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
●Travis d'Arnaud 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	47→45	40	.212/.254/.317	.105	.257	11	7	23%	4%	54	-1.4	.218/.262/.349	.131	.265	13	5	23%	5%	67	-0.5	.260/.320/.458	.198	.291	27	1	20%	7%	116	+1.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Thairo Estrada 2016 · A	20	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.264/.302	.090	.275	5	8	24%	5%	55	-1.4	.255/.297/.344	.089	.303	8	9	18%	5%	79	+0.3	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Francisco Cervelli 2007 · A	21	43→53	39→45	50→45	43	.205/.271/.292	.086	.286	6	7	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.237/.314/.327	.090	.313	4	5	24%	7%	83	+0.6	.252/.365/.369	.117	.312	10	4	20%	13%	113	+1.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	43→53	41→55	47→40	43	.211/.267/.303	.093	.260	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.250/.290/.373	.123	.301	13	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A	20	45→53	37→50	51→65	41	.213/.268/.288	.076	.300	4	10	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.183/.255/.284	.101	.259	7	22	30%	8%	47	-1.9	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	43→48	38→55	50→45	43	.200/.271/.286	.086	.293	4	8	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.190/.266/.272	.082	.263	5	6	28%	8%	50	-1.8	.234/.308/.397	.164	.298	19	6	27%	8%	95	+1.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→50	52→50	43	.226/.287/.342	.117	.320	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.206/.274/.311	.105	.300	9	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)