Pablo Arosemena — OGILVIE

Pablo ArosemenaC DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 154 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .167

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%14

BABIP284

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	90	16	3	1	0	17	15	4	1	0	178	333	233	567	56	208	13	15	275	73	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	79	18	5	1	1	19	22	5	3	2	228	408	354	762	127	304	21	18	359	129	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	19	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	72	15	2	0	0	15	26	5	2	0	208	380	236	617	28	326	28	16	309	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	97	12	2	1	0	10	22	4	1	0	124	234	165	399	41	154	19	9	193	17	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	86	13	3	1	1	12	34	5	3	2	151	291	244	535	93	226	33	12	232	43	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	78	10	1	0	0	9	38	5	2	0	128	261	141	402	13	250	41	10	202	23	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	97	12	2	1	0	10	22	4	1	0	124	234	165	399	41	156	19	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	90	16	3	1	0	17	15	4	1	0	178	333	233	567	56	208	13	15	275	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	86	13	3	1	1	12	34	5	3	2	151	291	244	535	93	235	33	12	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	79	18	5	1	1	19	22	5	3	2	228	408	354	762	127	304	21	18	359	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	78	10	1	0	0	9	38	5	2	0	128	261	141	402	13	250	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	72	15	2	0	0	15	26	5	2	0	208	380	236	617	28	326	28	16	309	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	98	12	2	1	0	10	22	4	1	0	122	234	163	397	41	154	19	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	85	13	3	1	1	12	34	5	3	2	153	291	247	538	94	226	33	12	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	78	10	1	0	0	9	38	5	2	0	128	261	141	402	13	250	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	—	113	98	12	2	1	0	10	22	4	1	0	122	234	163	397	41	154	19	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	103	85	13	3	1	1	12	34	5	3	2	153	291	247	538	94	226	33	12	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	92	78	10	1	0	0	9	38	5	2	0	128	261	141	402	13	250	41	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	PIT	—	41	32	8	2	0	1	7	9	0	0	0	250	385	406	791	156	292	22	17	328	108	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	PIT	—	41	28	8	2	0	1	11	6	0	0	0	286	487	464	951	179	304	15	27	411	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		286	29	14	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	PIT	—	48	38	9	2	0	1	8	11	0	0	0	237	370	368	738	132	286	23	17	320	102	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	169	150	32	6	1	3	15	47	2	2	1	213	293	327	620	113	285	28	9	280	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	302	268	59	11	2	6	27	81	4	3	1	220	301	343	644	123	287	27	9	288	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	393	349	76	14	2	8	35	104	6	5	1	218	300	338	638	120	288	26	9	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	456	406	91	17	3	10	41	120	6	5	2	224	305	355	659	131	289	26	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	491	437	99	18	3	12	44	129	7	6	2	227	307	364	671	137	290	26	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	512	454	102	19	3	12	46	135	7	6	2	225	306	359	665	134	289	26	9	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	460	104	19	3	13	48	137	7	6	2	226	309	365	674	139	289	26	9	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	460	104	19	3	13	48	138	7	6	2	226	309	365	674	139	289	27	9	300	89	-7	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	515	455	101	18	3	12	48	138	7	5	2	222	306	354	660	132	288	27	9	298	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	507	448	100	18	3	12	47	137	7	5	1	223	307	357	664	134	287	27	9	296	86	-8	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	479	425	92	16	2	11	44	131	7	4	1	216	300	341	642	125	284	27	9	292	83	-9	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	447	397	84	15	2	9	41	124	6	3	1	212	295	327	623	116	281	28	9	286	80	-11	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	407	362	75	13	2	8	37	115	5	2	1	207	290	320	610	113	276	28	9	279	75	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	354	314	63	10	2	7	32	102	5	1	0	201	285	312	597	111	271	29	9	271	69	-13	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	284	28	9	266	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	146	130	28	5	1	3	13	39	2	2	1	215	297	338	635	123	285	27	9	274	81	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	213	189	41	8	1	4	19	57	3	2	1	217	299	333	632	116	286	27	9	279	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	253	224	50	9	2	5	23	67	4	3	1	223	307	348	655	125	287	26	9	283	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	275	244	55	10	2	6	25	72	4	3	1	225	308	357	664	131	287	26	9	285	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	288	256	56	10	2	6	26	76	4	3	1	219	301	344	644	125	287	26	9	286	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	256	56	10	2	6	26	76	4	3	1	219	301	344	644	125	287	26	9	286	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	253	56	10	2	6	26	76	4	3	1	221	304	348	652	126	286	27	9	285	89	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	275	244	54	10	2	6	25	74	4	3	1	221	304	352	656	131	286	27	9	284	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	267	236	51	9	1	6	25	72	4	2	1	216	302	339	641	123	284	27	9	281	86	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	250	222	47	9	1	5	23	68	3	2	1	212	294	329	623	117	282	27	9	277	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	232	206	44	8	1	5	21	64	3	2	0	214	296	335	631	121	279	28	9	272	80	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2039	33	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	228	202	41	7	1	4	21	64	3	1	0	203	288	307	595	104	274	28	9	266	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	182	161	32	5	1	3	17	52	2	1	0	199	283	298	581	99	269	29	9	258	69	-7	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3240	2875	622	112	19	66	295	873	45	31	10	216	299	337	637	121	285	27	9	279	82	-58	+2	-10	+58	+70	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	124	22	4	13	59	175	9	6	2	215	298	334	632	120	283	27	9	279	82	-12	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6387	5652	1218	219	36	137	585	1734	97	65	21	215	300	340	640	124	283	27	9	289	82	-111	+4	-20	+109	+132	11.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	124	22	4	14	60	176	10	7	2	216	301	341	642	125	284	27	9	289	82	-12	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,320	73	32	220	299	347	+59	+32	8.9	7.7
/162	664	15	6	+11.9	+6.4	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Arosemena (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	205/287/297	92	286	1	1	28%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	42→49	38→50	50→45	43	198/270/283	85	290	4	8	31%	8%	59	-1.7	189/264/270	81	265	5	6	28%	7%	54	-2.0	237/312/394	157	303	18	6	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A	20	41→51	38→45	48→55	43	198/255/280	82	264	5	7	26%	6%	52	-2.2	222/257/325	103	272	10	9	22%	4%	62	-1.4	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	57	-1.8	232/342/321	89	299	6	8	22%	10%	96	+1.0	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→50	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	52	-2.2	204/247/318	114	284	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Kyle Higashioka 2010 · A	20	45→43	40→60	49→45	41	215/267/304	89	290	7	7	28%	6%	61	-1.5	194/244/296	102	239	10	3	23%	6%	52	-2.2	228/274/415	187	269	26	4	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	208/243/347	139	278	17	3	31%	4%	63	-1.4	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A	20	45→54	37→45	51→65	41	212/268/287	75	301	4	10	30%	6%	58	-1.7	182/254/284	102	265	7	22	32%	8%	53	-2.1	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	36	-3.3	243/288/366	124	328	11	16	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Jamie Westbrook 2015 · A	20	45→52	40→50	47→45	41	218/263/313	94	279	7	5	24%	5%	61	-1.5	235/272/347	112	274	11	8	18%	4%	73	-0.6	240/311/368	128	286	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	40→44	42→50	45	38	202/251/306	105	274	10	6	30%	5%	56	-1.9	199/255/338	139	279	14	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps