Hancel Almonte — OGILVIE

Hancel AlmonteOF FCL Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 193 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .233 / .234

PA71

HR1

K%40

BB%7

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	143	121	28	5	0	4	14	50	7	1	1	231	343	372	715	140	358	35	10	328	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	145	124	18	5	0	0	14	63	4	6	0	145	254	185	439	40	281	43	10	213	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	143	127	16	2	0	2	9	63	7	1	1	126	224	189	413	63	221	44	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	145	129	9	2	0	0	9	91	4	6	0	70	155	85	240	16	200	63	6	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	143	127	16	2	0	2	9	63	7	1	1	126	224	189	413	63	226	44	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	143	121	28	5	0	4	14	50	7	1	1	231	343	372	715	140	358	35	10	328	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	145	129	9	2	0	0	9	91	4	6	0	70	155	85	240	16	220	63	6	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	145	124	18	5	0	0	14	63	4	6	0	145	254	185	439	40	281	43	10	213	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	143	126	16	2	0	2	9	63	7	1	1	127	224	190	414	63	221	44	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	145	131	9	2	0	0	9	91	4	6	0	69	155	84	239	15	200	63	6	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	145	131	9	2	0	0	9	91	4	6	0	69	155	84	239	15	200	63	6	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	STL	0%	255	233	39	7	1	2	17	103	3	5	1	169	235	236	472	67	288	40	7	219	34	-20	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	STL	34%	118	107	19	3	1	1	8	46	2	2	1	175	242	252	493	76	289	39	7	227	40	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	22	MLB CTX	STL	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	16	1	1	0	176	242	251	494	75	292	39	7	228	40	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	16	1	1	0	162	244	189	433	27	286	39	7	228	9	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	95	16	0	0	48	254	16	16	0	162	245	189	434	27	285	39	7	228	9	-46	+3	+0	-4	+14	-3.4
Career	—	MLE		—	477	428	55	9	1	4	31	229	14	10	2	129	211	182	394	54	256	48	6	182	9	-14	+0	+0	-1	+4	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	74	12	1	5	42	312	19	14	3	127	209	177	386	50	255	48	6	182	9	-48	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hancel Almonte (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	168/233/234	66	288	1	1	40%	7%	34	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕George Feliz 2024 · A	21	35	38→45	50→45	33	163/226/240	77	308	6	14	46%	6%	32	-3.6	177/236/280	103	304	11	9	43%	6%	45	-2.7	159/218/261	102	267	12	7	43%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Spencer Griffin 2018 · A	21	40→37	38→40	50	32	183/238/261	78	328	4	7	43%	5%	41	-3.0	177/243/250	73	327	4	9	43%	8%	40	-3.0	158/225/228	71	301	5	11	46%	7%	27	-2.5
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2023 · A	21	39→36	39→45	48→50	37	180/245/260	80	322	7	11	44%	8%	44	-2.8	192/238/309	117	324	13	13	43%	5%	53	-2.1	185/228/306	121	304	14	15	42%	5%	45	-1.7
✕Elisandro Alcantara 2023 · A	20	37	38→40	50	40	173/255/253	80	288	5	10	38%	8%	47	-2.5	202/267/280	78	292	4	11	30%	7%	57	-1.8	212/269/270	57	274	0	21	21%	6%	52	-0.4
✕Juan De La Rosa 2019 · A	21	37	37→40	48→55	36	181/227/258	77	272	4	10	34%	5%	36	-3.4	189/253/267	78	278	4	12	31%	6%	49	-2.4	161/241/232	71	231	3	20	29%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Kevin Guerrero 2024 · A	20	38	38→40	48→45	38	177/244/249	71	306	6	10	41%	8%	41	-3.0	186/239/258	72	326	5	8	41%	6%	40	-3.0	174/227/237	63	304	3	8	41%	6%	29	-1.7
✕Francisco Garcia 2024 · A	21	36	39→40	43→50	33	175/237/259	84	291	7	5	40%	5%	41	-3.0	177/232/258	81	289	6	5	39%	5%	38	-3.2	143/196/212	69	231	6	4	39%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	32	37→45	47→50	41	158/230/235	77	242	5	8	35%	7%	33	-3.6	168/231/287	119	282	13	4	43%	7%	45	-2.7	134/181/263	129	199	17	0	42%	5%	18	-1.1
✕Jalen Harris 2013 · A	21	36	35→30	51→45	36	171/222/229	59	289	2	8	40%	6%	27	-4.0	196/248/264	68	333	3	7	39%	6%	45	-2.7	191/240/244	53	332	2	5	41%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Kingston Liniak 2021 · A	21	40→26	36→45	48→50	33	190/234/255	65	305	3	9	38%	4%	38	-3.2	175/240/274	99	262	9	10	34%	7%	45	-2.7	147/217/244	97	215	9	11	35%	7%	28	-1.9
✕Sergio Morales 2009 · A	21	39→36	40	53→50	37	187/243/279	91	308	8	12	40%	7%	47	-2.5	192/247/283	91	308	7	13	38%	6%	50	-2.3	173/228/257	84	276	6	16	38%	5%	34	-2.4
✕Jake Vogel 2023 · A	21	41→40	37→40	52→55	39	190/257/267	76	299	3	12	35%	7%	49	-2.4	184/253/255	71	286	4	19	34%	7%	46	-2.6	166/239/224	58	261	4	24	35%	7%	33	-2.2
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	38	191/251/283	92	308	7	10	38%	7%	51	-2.2	170/240/276	106	281	10	11	40%	8%	47	-2.6	142/220/248	106	230	11	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕Robertico Medina 2015 · A	21	32	36→30	48→45	42	154/245/212	57	267	4	8	40%	9%	34	-3.5	165/264/232	67	268	4	7	36%	11%	46	-2.6	134/248/192	58	215	4	7	35%	12%	30	-1.4
✕Travis Mitchell 2009 · A	21	37	36→30	51→50	31	180/217/247	66	297	4	14	40%	4%	29	-3.8	199/231/265	66	321	3	12	37%	4%	38	-3.2	203/216/247	44	315	0	14	35%	1%	24	-1.5
✕Hector Martinez 2018 · A	20	37	37→40	48→50	42	176/262/242	66	284	5	9	37%	8%	47	-2.5	183/257/259	76	345	5	8	44%	8%	49	-2.4	116/197/174	58	254	5	9	52%	8%	7	-1.3
✕Misael Tavarez 2009 · A	21	36	37→30	47→50	32	171/227/243	72	297	5	9	42%	5%	33	-3.6	178/227/261	83	314	6	8	43%	4%	37	-3.3	131/174/209	79	226	6	7	44%	3%	4	-1.7
✕Miguel Eladio 2017 · A	21	36	34→40	50→55	33	175/216/227	52	274	2	11	36%	4%	24	-4.2	202/231/282	80	313	6	5	36%	3%	42	-2.9	200/223/280	81	304	7	2	36%	3%	35	-1.6
✕Amalani Fukofuka 2017 · A	21	41→40	37→40	52→50	33	193/236/263	70	311	4	15	38%	4%	40	-3.1	201/247/282	81	320	6	17	37%	5%	49	-2.4	192/240/272	80	304	7	22	37%	5%	42	-2.1