Jonathan Rivero

C FCL Pirates
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 191 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Pirates G…98.276/.357/.3220219—.167/.235/.189
202519ROKPIT156.180/.318/.250127—.117/.214/.168
202620ROKPIT116.257/.328/.3520027—.174/.224/.229
2027PROJMLE21MLBPIT226.186/.252/.2541344-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPIT38.191/.258/.2700050-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%86
Whiff%86
Z-Con%74
ISO38
wRC+30
wOBA20
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsFranklin Tineo (age 21) · Raudelis Martinez (age 20) · Willy Diaz (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .250 / .251
PA61
HR0
K%28
BB%7
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 131105 16101 22222 03 152310190501 38181 1717 251 4 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 9887 24400 9252 21 276357322679 46387 269 316 19 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Pirates — 156128 23411 23433 21 180318250568 70256 2815 272 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Pirates — 116105 27620 11160 00 257328352680 95303 149 309 27 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 131112 11100 15272 03 98217107324 9125 2111 174 4 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 9890 15200 6302 21 167235189424 22246 316 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 156137 16211 14623 21 117214168382 51192 409 179 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 116109 19410 7230 00 174224229453 55226 206 208 27 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 131112 11100 15272 03 98217107324 9128 2111 174 4 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Pirates Black — 131105 16101 22222 03 152310190501 38181 1717 251 4 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 9890 15200 6302 21 167235189424 22250 316 196 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Pirates Gold — 9887 24400 9252 21 276357322679 46387 269 316 19 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 156137 16211 14623 21 117214168382 51197 409 179 7 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 156128 23411 23433 21 180318250568 70256 2815 272 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 116109 19410 7230 00 174224229453 55221 206 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 116105 27620 11160 00 257328352680 95303 149 309 27 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 131113 11100 15272 03 97217106323 9125 2111 174 4 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 9890 15200 6302 21 167235189424 22246 316 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 156138 16211 14623 21 116214167381 51192 409 179 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 116108 19410 7230 00 176224231456 56226 206 208 27 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 9890 15200 6302 21 167235189424 22246 316 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 156138 16211 14623 21 116214167381 51192 409 179 7 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 116108 19410 7230 00 176224231456 56226 206 208 27 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPIT 0% 226206 39721 16632 31 186252254506 68256 287 233 44 -15 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPIT 34% 112102 19311 8301 10 191258271529 79259 277 243 50 -7 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXPIT 34% 3835 6100 3100 00 191258270528 79260 268 242 50 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3835 6100 3100 00 171237200437 29240 268 242 22 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 1031700 511710 00 172237200437 28241 268 242 22 -38 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 674606 901432 541899 65 149229191420 43210 288 201 22 -11 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 871432 521829 65 149229193423 45210 288 201 22 -40 +2 +0 +12 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 116 PAwOBA .301 → .208 (−93)K% 13.8% → 19.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.79%÷1.000×1.440——19.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.48%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9855.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP21.35%÷1.000×0.820×0.955×0.98516.46%
Doubles /BIP6.74%÷1.000×0.720×0.955×0.9854.57%
Triples /BIP2.25%÷1.000×0.720×0.955×0.9851.52%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .301 → .208; ISO .095 → .062; BABIP .303 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 156 PAwOBA .270 → .179 (−91)K% 27.6% → 39.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.56%÷1.006×1.440——39.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.74%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9959.11%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.720—×0.9951.38%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.022×0.820×0.983×0.99515.71%
Doubles /BIP4.71%÷1.119×0.720×0.983×0.9952.96%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷0.950×0.720×0.983×0.9950.87%
Home runs /BIP1.18%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.91%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .270 → .179; ISO .070 → .045; BABIP .256 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 98 PAwOBA .309 → .196 (−112)K% 25.5% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.51%÷1.011×1.220——30.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.18%÷0.971×0.700—×0.9956.59%
HBP% /PA2.04%—×0.700—×0.9951.42%
Singles /BIP32.26%÷1.024×0.680×0.990×0.99521.10%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷1.084×0.600×0.990×0.9953.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.600×0.990×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.847×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .309 → .196; ISO .046 → .024; BABIP .387 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 131 PAwOBA .248 → .174 (−74)K% 16.8% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.79%÷1.000×1.220——20.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.79%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00811.84%
HBP% /PA1.53%—×0.700—×1.0081.08%
Singles /BIP16.87%÷1.000×0.680×1.025×1.00811.85%
Doubles /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.600×1.025×1.0080.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.025×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.57%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .248 → .174; ISO .038 → .020; BABIP .181 → .125. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).