Jonathan Rivero — OGILVIE

Jonathan RiveroC FCL Pirates

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 191 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP247

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	105	16	1	0	1	22	22	2	0	3	152	310	190	501	38	181	17	17	251	56	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	87	24	4	0	0	9	25	2	2	1	276	357	322	679	46	387	26	9	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	128	23	4	1	1	23	43	3	2	1	180	318	250	568	70	256	28	15	272	70	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	113	14	1	0	1	14	32	2	0	3	124	233	159	392	35	150	24	11	181	9	-14	-1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	90	16	2	0	0	6	36	2	2	1	178	245	200	445	22	298	37	6	208	27	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	156	137	16	2	1	1	14	62	3	2	1	117	214	168	382	51	193	40	9	180	8	-17	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	113	14	1	0	1	14	32	2	0	3	124	233	159	392	35	160	24	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	105	16	1	0	1	22	22	2	0	3	152	310	190	501	38	181	17	17	251	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	90	16	2	0	0	6	36	2	2	1	178	245	200	445	22	296	37	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	87	24	4	0	0	9	25	2	2	1	276	357	322	679	46	387	26	9	316	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	156	137	16	2	1	1	14	62	3	2	1	117	214	168	382	51	197	40	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	156	128	23	4	1	1	23	43	3	2	1	180	318	250	568	70	256	28	15	272	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	114	14	1	0	1	14	32	2	0	3	123	233	158	390	35	150	24	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	90	16	2	0	0	6	36	2	2	1	178	245	200	445	22	298	37	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	156	138	16	2	1	1	14	62	3	2	1	116	214	167	381	51	193	40	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	114	14	1	0	1	14	32	2	0	3	123	233	158	390	35	150	24	11	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	90	16	2	0	0	6	36	2	2	1	178	245	200	445	22	298	37	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	156	138	16	2	1	1	14	62	3	2	1	116	214	167	381	51	193	40	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	PIT	—	116	109	19	4	1	0	7	23	0	0	0	174	224	229	453	55	221	20	6	211	29	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	PIT	—	116	105	27	6	2	0	11	16	0	0	0	257	328	352	680	95	303	14	9	309	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		248	27	9	234	45	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	PIT	—	127	119	20	4	1	0	8	26	0	0	0	168	220	218	439	50	215	20	6	213	30	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	212	192	37	7	1	2	16	51	2	2	1	193	262	271	533	78	255	24	8	252	56	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	335	303	63	12	2	5	26	79	3	4	1	208	277	310	587	102	259	24	8	262	64	-14	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	418	379	80	15	3	7	32	98	4	5	2	211	280	322	601	111	261	23	8	269	68	-16	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	474	429	91	17	3	8	37	110	5	6	2	212	282	322	604	110	263	23	8	273	71	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	505	455	97	18	3	9	40	117	5	7	2	213	284	325	609	112	263	23	8	275	72	-17	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	520	469	100	18	3	10	41	120	5	7	2	213	283	328	612	115	263	23	8	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	468	99	18	3	10	42	121	5	7	2	212	283	327	610	115	263	23	8	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	520	468	98	18	3	9	42	122	5	7	2	209	282	318	600	109	262	23	8	275	72	-17	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	520	468	98	18	3	9	42	123	5	6	2	209	282	318	600	109	261	24	8	273	71	-18	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	513	461	96	17	3	9	42	122	5	6	2	208	281	317	598	108	260	24	8	270	69	-19	+0	-2	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	73	67	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	179	247	254	500	75	253	23	7	243	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	162	147	30	6	1	2	12	38	2	2	1	204	273	299	573	95	257	23	7	253	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	227	205	42	8	1	3	18	53	2	3	1	205	276	298	573	93	259	23	8	259	68	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	263	238	50	9	2	4	21	61	2	3	1	210	280	315	595	105	261	23	8	263	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	283	256	54	10	2	5	22	66	3	4	1	211	281	324	605	113	261	23	8	264	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	292	264	55	10	2	5	23	68	3	4	1	208	279	318	597	110	261	23	8	265	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	260	55	10	2	5	23	67	3	4	1	212	283	323	606	112	261	23	8	265	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	307	276	58	11	2	5	25	72	3	4	1	210	283	319	602	109	260	23	8	264	72	-10	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	291	262	55	10	2	5	24	69	3	4	1	210	284	321	604	111	259	24	8	262	71	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	301	270	56	10	2	5	25	72	3	4	1	207	282	315	597	107	258	24	8	260	69	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2487	2245	467	86	16	40	198	583	25	33	9	208	280	314	594	106	261	23	8	262	66	-88	+3	-2	+44	+54	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	121	22	4	10	52	152	7	9	2	206	279	308	587	102	259	23	8	262	66	-23	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4933	4442	906	163	28	80	395	1196	51	61	23	204	277	307	584	103	259	24	8	265	66	-163	+4	-4	+81	+99	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	120	21	4	11	52	158	7	8	3	205	278	311	589	106	260	24	8	265	66	-23	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,616	44	33	210	278	319	+47	+24	2.6	2.6
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+6.1	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Rivero (OGILVIE)	20	20	20	40	55	186/252/251	65	248	1	1	24%	7%	45	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	45	-2.7	205/298/270	65	269	4	12	23%	11%	67	-1.1	199/294/260	61	266	4	15	24%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	36	38→30	44→45	44	178/240/255	77	234	7	7	26%	7%	41	-3.0	189/265/278	89	233	7	8	21%	8%	56	-1.9	175/246/238	64	210	6	6	19%	8%	39	-1.5
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	199/275/260	61	277	3	4	27%	8%	55	-1.9	215/268/277	62	300	3	6	27%	6%	55	-1.9	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	46	-2.6	188/252/275	87	288	7	6	35%	6%	50	-2.3	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	44	-2.8	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	55	-2.0	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	61	-0.3
✕Richard Paz 2021 · A	20	42	37→30	44→30	47	197/254/269	71	243	4	4	20%	7%	49	-2.4	212/285/302	90	284	7	3	26%	7%	69	-0.9	205/286/285	81	276	7	0	26%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	45	-2.7	189/259/292	103	281	8	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	58	-1.7	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	64	-1.3	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	38	-3.2	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	51	-2.3	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Luis Sierra 2007 · A	20	45	36→40	39→45	50	207/292/280	72	272	3	5	23%	9%	67	-1.1	222/283/317	95	264	8	8	18%	6%	72	-0.7	224/278/323	99	258	10	8	17%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Branden Becker 2018 · A	21	41	35→40	40→30	41	196/240/250	53	255	2	4	23%	5%	38	-3.2	230/272/305	75	318	5	4	28%	5%	63	-1.3	241/280/307	66	332	6	1	28%	4%	63	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps