Jonathan Rivero — OGILVIE

Jonathan RiveroC FCL Pirates

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 191 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .243 / .203

PA70

HR0

K%26

BB%7

BABIP239

ISO31

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	113	14	1	0	1	14	32	2	0	3	124	233	159	392	35	160	24	11	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	105	16	1	0	1	22	22	2	0	3	152	310	190	501	38	181	17	17	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	90	16	2	0	0	6	35	2	2	1	178	245	200	445	22	291	36	6	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	87	24	4	0	0	9	25	2	2	1	276	357	322	679	46	387	26	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	137	16	2	1	1	14	61	3	2	1	117	214	168	382	51	195	39	9	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	128	23	4	1	1	23	43	3	2	1	180	318	250	568	70	256	28	15	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	PIT	—	105	99	18	4	1	0	6	23	0	0	0	182	229	242	471	61	237	22	6	206	16	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
YTD	20	ROK	PIT	—	105	96	25	6	1	0	9	16	0	0	0	260	324	344	668	83	312	15	9	304	91	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
ROS	20	ROK	PIT	0%	70	64	11	2	0	0	5	18	1	1	0	172	243	203	446	31	252	26	7	235	38	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		251	—	—	228	33	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	PIT	—	105	100	18	4	1	0	6	23	0	0	0	180	229	240	469	60	234	22	6	206	16	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
TOT	20	ROK	PIT	—	175	163	29	6	1	0	11	41	1	1	0	178	234	227	461	49	238	23	6	218	25	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	PIT	34%	223	202	40	8	1	2	17	55	2	3	1	198	267	277	544	79	257	25	8	250	50	-13	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	PIT	48%	343	311	64	12	2	5	26	83	3	4	1	206	274	305	579	100	261	24	8	261	58	-16	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	PIT	54%	423	384	80	15	2	7	32	102	4	5	2	208	276	312	589	104	263	24	8	268	63	-18	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.2
2030	24	MLB	PIT	55%	477	432	91	17	3	8	37	114	5	6	2	211	281	319	600	109	265	24	8	272	66	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.4
2031	25	MLB	PIT	56%	508	459	97	18	3	9	39	121	5	7	2	211	280	322	603	111	265	24	8	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.6
2032	26	MLB	PIT	56%	520	469	100	18	3	10	41	124	5	7	2	213	283	328	612	115	265	24	8	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2033	27	MLB	PIT	55%	520	469	100	18	3	10	41	125	5	7	2	213	283	328	612	115	265	24	8	275	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2027	21	MLB	PIT	34%	77	70	14	3	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	200	273	286	558	86	256	25	8	243	44	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	PIT	48%	166	150	31	6	1	2	13	40	2	2	1	207	279	300	579	93	259	24	8	253	52	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	PIT	54%	229	207	43	8	1	4	18	55	2	3	1	208	278	314	592	106	262	24	8	260	57	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB	PIT	55%	264	239	50	9	1	5	20	63	3	3	1	209	279	318	597	109	264	24	8	264	60	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2031	25	MLB	PIT	56%	284	257	54	10	2	5	22	68	3	4	1	210	280	323	603	113	264	24	8	265	61	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2032	26	MLB	PIT	56%	292	264	55	10	2	5	23	70	3	4	1	208	279	318	597	110	264	24	8	266	62	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2033	27	MLB	PIT	55%	288	260	55	10	2	5	23	69	3	4	1	212	283	323	606	112	263	24	8	266	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1600	1448	302	56	9	27	125	384	17	21	6	209	279	316	595	107	264	24	8	262	59	-74	+2	+0	+29	+45	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	123	23	4	11	51	156	7	9	2	209	280	318	598	109	265	24	8	262	59	-30	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3469	3130	629	113	18	53	272	870	37	44	17	201	273	299	572	98	259	25	8	260	57	-169	+2	+0	+62	+98	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	117	21	3	10	51	163	7	8	3	200	272	297	569	97	257	25	8	260	57	-32	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	105	16	1	0	1	22	22	2	0	3	152	310	190	501	38	181	17	17	251	50	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	98	87	24	4	0	0	9	25	2	2	1	276	357	322	679	46	387	26	9	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	156	128	23	4	1	1	23	43	3	2	1	180	318	250	568	70	256	28	15	272	67	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,738	28	22	209	276	314	+31	+20	0.9	1.1
	/162	664	11	9	209	276	314	+11.9	+7.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Rivero (OGILVIE)	20	20	20	40	55	178/234/227	49	238	0	1	23%	6%	25	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	39	-2.5	188/251/276	88	288	7	6	35%	6%	43	-2.2	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Richard Paz 2021 · A	20	42	37→30	44→30	47	197/254/269	71	243	4	4	20%	7%	42	-2.3	212/285/296	84	288	6	3	27%	7%	63	-0.8	205/287/279	74	281	6	0	27%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Branden Becker 2018 · A	21	41	35→40	40→30	41	196/240/250	53	255	2	4	23%	5%	30	-3.1	233/275/313	80	323	6	4	28%	5%	62	-0.9	248/286/321	73	344	7	1	29%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	40	37→45	48→40	43	194/245/264	70	248	5	3	24%	6%	37	-2.7	214/270/309	95	285	8	3	26%	6%	59	-1.1	200/285/311	111	278	12	2	30%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Kleininger Teran 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	43→45	52	208/281/264	56	258	2	5	19%	9%	53	-1.5	228/279/297	69	279	2	4	18%	6%	59	-1.1	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	30	-3.1	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	44	-2.1	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	39	35→40	46→55	38	186/250/240	55	271	3	11	31%	5%	34	-2.8	173/252/259	86	311	6	18	42%	8%	40	-2.4	145/233/240	96	278	8	23	46%	9%	25	-1.4
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	44→45	43	178/237/256	79	233	7	7	26%	6%	33	-2.9	188/262/276	88	233	8	8	22%	8%	49	-1.8	171/242/237	67	204	7	6	19%	8%	29	-1.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3