Gustavo Marquez — OGILVIE

Gustavo MarquezOF ACL Padres

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .257 / .244

PA79

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	189	149	31	6	0	2	34	50	6	13	5	208	376	289	664	81	299	26	18	322	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	135	34	3	2	1	33	41	7	17	5	252	423	326	749	74	351	23	19	352	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	171	141	32	6	0	0	18	45	8	6	2	227	347	270	617	43	330	26	11	290	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	189	159	20	3	0	1	24	61	6	13	5	126	265	164	428	38	195	32	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	146	24	2	1	1	22	53	7	17	5	164	303	212	515	48	233	30	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	171	148	25	4	0	0	11	63	8	6	2	169	263	196	459	27	269	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	189	159	20	3	0	1	24	61	6	13	5	126	265	164	428	38	196	32	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	189	149	31	6	0	2	34	50	6	13	5	208	376	289	664	81	299	26	18	322	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	146	24	2	1	1	22	53	7	17	5	164	303	212	515	48	247	30	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	135	34	3	2	1	33	41	7	17	5	252	423	326	749	74	351	23	19	352	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	171	148	25	4	0	0	11	63	8	6	2	169	263	196	459	27	291	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	171	141	32	6	0	0	18	45	8	6	2	227	347	270	617	43	330	26	11	290	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	189	157	20	3	0	1	24	61	6	13	5	127	265	166	430	38	195	32	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	147	24	2	1	1	22	53	7	17	5	163	303	211	514	48	233	30	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	171	150	25	4	0	0	11	63	8	6	2	167	263	193	457	27	269	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	178	147	24	2	1	1	22	53	7	17	5	163	303	211	514	48	233	30	12	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	171	150	25	4	0	0	11	63	8	6	2	167	263	193	457	27	269	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	0%	281	254	48	8	2	2	21	85	4	5	1	184	259	246	504	62	267	30	7	235	45	-18	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	34%	114	102	20	3	1	1	9	34	2	2	0	189	264	262	526	73	269	30	8	244	51	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	186	261	258	519	71	265	31	8	241	51	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	200	456	29	261	31	8	241	37	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	100	17	0	0	50	200	17	17	0	172	257	201	458	29	261	31	8	241	37	-38	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	731	627	101	14	2	3	72	235	24	39	12	161	272	204	477	43	250	32	10	223	37	-12	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	90	12	2	3	64	209	21	35	11	161	272	206	478	45	249	32	10	223	37	-40	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Marquez (OGILVIE)	22	30	20	45	40	182/257/244	61	267	0	1	30%	7%	45	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Rigoberto Rangel 2011 · A	22	38	36→40	48→40	41	181/244/244	63	255	3	6	29%	6%	40	-3.1	193/254/262	69	291	4	8	33%	6%	47	-2.5	152/224/198	45	225	3	10	31%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	36	37→30	44→50	40	179/226/242	63	240	5	7	27%	5%	32	-3.7	196/234/267	71	268	4	6	27%	4%	40	-3.0	194/228/257	62	261	4	4	26%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→30	46→45	41	195/255/280	85	272	5	6	29%	6%	52	-2.2	197/255/281	84	276	6	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	43	187/245/256	69	259	5	5	29%	7%	42	-2.9	207/272/286	79	305	4	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	206/279/285	79	309	4	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Jamaal Hawkins 2011 · A	22	38	36→30	49→50	40	181/243/245	65	270	3	9	32%	7%	40	-3.1	196/259/265	69	308	3	10	35%	6%	50	-2.3	187/252/247	60	303	1	12	36%	5%	40	-1.6
✕Frank Hernandez 2024 · A	22	41	36→30	46→50	44	194/256/256	62	258	3	8	25%	6%	47	-2.6	209/264/269	60	314	3	8	32%	6%	52	-2.2	204/258/216	11	318	0	9	33%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	40	35→30	48→45	45	190/263/251	61	263	3	7	27%	8%	49	-2.4	205/257/265	60	293	4	4	29%	5%	49	-2.4	195/246/237	42	274	3	1	29%	5%	35	-1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	36	36→40	43→40	50	171/266/239	68	240	4	3	28%	10%	49	-2.4	182/251/255	73	318	3	5	40%	7%	45	-2.7	165/219/238	73	309	2	4	44%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Joey Paciorek 2011 · A	22	40	36→30	48→50	42	187/255/251	65	278	3	10	32%	7%	46	-2.6	204/259/287	83	296	6	5	31%	6%	55	-2.0	199/252/284	84	281	6	2	30%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Adonis Paula 2016 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	40	191/251/262	71	279	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.6	190/238/261	71	348	5	4	44%	5%	40	-3.0	171/218/228	58	321	5	2	46%	5%	24	-1.3
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Jose Vinicio 2015 · A	22	42→32	35→40	47→55	34	202/235/264	63	292	3	14	31%	3%	40	-3.1	230/256/302	72	303	3	12	24%	3%	55	-1.9	235/253/307	72	306	4	13	24%	2%	52	-1.0
✕Gionti Turner 2023 · A	22	39	37→30	47→55	41	187/253/255	68	257	5	13	28%	6%	46	-2.6	187/247/254	67	290	5	15	35%	5%	43	-2.8	165/225/215	50	268	4	19	38%	5%	23	-1.5
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	38	35→30	45→55	46	182/253/244	62	248	3	7	26%	8%	43	-2.8	183/264/244	61	245	2	11	24%	9%	48	-2.5	175/270/235	60	211	4	16	18%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	32	37→30	51→45	45	156/252/227	71	249	5	9	36%	10%	40	-3.0	180/273/246	66	295	4	6	36%	11%	53	-2.1	136/258/166	30	238	1	3	38%	14%	28	-1.4
✕Braian Fernández 2021 · A	22	43	36→30	47→45	42	203/255/270	67	273	3	9	26%	6%	49	-2.4	198/255/267	69	323	4	6	37%	7%	49	-2.4	172/229/217	45	310	0	2	41%	6%	24	-1.1