Miguel Perez — OGILVIE

Miguel PerezOF DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .295 / .286

PA59

HR1

K%30

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	78	15	4	0	1	16	34	5	8	0	192	364	282	646	90	318	34	16	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	71	18	5	0	1	23	24	5	8	0	254	465	366	831	113	362	24	23	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	ARI	—	59	52	10	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	192	288	288	577	96	290	31	10	272	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	118	103	22	4	1	2	12	34	2	3	0	214	308	330	638	117	291	29	10	280	73	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	263	230	49	10	1	4	26	75	5	6	1	213	307	317	624	104	293	29	10	286	77	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	367	321	69	14	2	6	36	103	7	8	1	215	308	327	635	112	294	28	10	290	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	438	384	83	16	2	8	43	122	8	9	1	216	308	331	639	115	294	28	10	293	82	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	480	421	91	18	2	9	47	134	9	10	2	216	308	333	641	116	295	28	10	294	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.3
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	505	441	96	19	3	9	50	141	9	11	2	218	310	336	646	118	294	28	10	295	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.4
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	516	450	99	19	3	10	52	144	9	11	2	220	313	342	655	122	294	28	10	295	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.4
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	41	36	8	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	222	317	361	678	139	294	29	10	269	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	ARI	48%	127	111	24	5	1	2	13	36	2	3	0	216	310	333	643	117	295	28	10	275	69	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	199	173	38	8	1	3	20	56	4	4	1	220	315	329	644	110	296	28	10	279	72	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	243	213	46	9	1	4	24	68	4	5	1	216	307	324	631	108	297	28	10	282	74	-7	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	269	235	51	10	1	5	27	75	5	6	1	217	311	332	643	115	297	28	10	283	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	284	249	54	11	1	5	28	79	5	6	1	217	309	329	638	112	297	28	10	284	76	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2033	27	MLB	ARI	55%	285	249	54	11	1	5	29	80	5	6	1	217	311	329	640	112	297	28	10	284	76	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1448	1266	275	56	6	25	145	406	26	31	5	217	310	330	641	113	297	28	10	282	74	-43	+4	+0	-9	+41	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	123	25	3	11	65	182	12	14	2	217	310	329	639	113	296	28	10	282	74	-19	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2846	2480	534	106	14	50	288	805	55	67	9	215	311	330	641	115	295	28	10	292	82	-59	+10	+0	-17	+81	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	121	24	3	11	66	184	13	15	2	214	310	325	635	111	294	28	10	292	82	-14	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	71	18	5	0	1	23	24	5	8	0	254	465	366	831	113	362	24	23	391	157	+6	+2	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,507	26	32	217	306	332	-9	+0	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	14	217	306	332	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Perez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	199/295/286	87	290	1	1	30%	10%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→46	39→55	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	56	-1.3	215/291/294	79	285	6	17	24%	8%	66	-0.6	226/298/350	124	305	12	20	28%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	43	38→40	49→55	44	200/281/273	73	300	6	17	33%	8%	56	-1.3	202/260/281	79	348	6	8	41%	6%	48	-1.9	177/223/243	65	328	7	2	46%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	48	-1.9	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	68	-0.5	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→47	40→45	55	45	208/281/305	97	297	6	12	30%	8%	63	-0.8	204/278/297	93	338	7	16	38%	8%	60	-1.0	209/280/331	122	329	12	24	37%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	45	40→45	52→50	42	210/275/309	99	310	7	12	33%	7%	62	-0.9	192/263/287	95	292	7	14	34%	8%	52	-1.6	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	56	-1.3	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	46	-2.0	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	59	-1.1	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	62	-0.9	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.2	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Manuel Hilario 2012 · A	20	41	39→45	53→55	49	191/292/282	91	255	5	18	25%	9%	64	-0.8	206/275/300	94	272	6	17	25%	7%	60	-1.0	200/260/292	93	259	6	20	24%	6%	49	-0.6
●Jordy Lara 2010 · A	19	40→50	40→50	48→40	51	190/286/284	94	270	6	9	30%	11%	62	-0.9	177/249/292	115	259	12	5	34%	8%	47	-1.9	235/283/381	147	297	15	1	25%	5%	81	+0.4