Miguel Perez — OGILVIE

Miguel PerezOF DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .293 / .283

PA5

HR0

K%30

BB%10

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	71	18	5	0	1	23	24	5	8	0	254	465	366	831	113	362	24	23	391	151	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	79	15	4	0	1	15	34	5	8	0	190	354	278	632	89	286	34	15	282	77	-3	+2	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	79	15	4	0	1	15	34	5	8	0	190	354	278	632	89	311	34	15	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	71	18	5	0	1	23	24	5	8	0	254	465	366	831	113	362	24	23	391	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	80	15	4	0	1	15	34	5	8	0	188	354	275	629	88	286	34	15	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	100	80	15	4	0	1	15	34	5	8	0	188	354	275	629	88	286	34	15	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		290	40	0	270	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	118	103	22	4	1	2	12	34	2	3	0	214	308	330	638	117	291	29	10	278	75	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	263	230	49	10	1	4	26	75	5	6	1	213	307	317	624	104	292	29	10	285	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	367	322	70	14	2	6	35	103	7	8	1	217	308	329	637	112	293	28	10	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	438	385	83	16	2	8	42	123	8	9	1	216	306	330	636	114	294	28	10	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	480	422	92	18	2	9	46	134	9	10	2	218	308	334	642	116	294	28	10	293	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	505	442	97	19	3	9	49	141	9	11	2	219	310	337	647	118	294	28	10	293	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	516	451	99	19	3	10	51	145	9	11	2	220	311	341	653	122	294	28	10	293	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	519	454	97	19	2	9	51	146	9	11	2	214	305	324	629	110	293	28	10	292	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	514	449	96	19	2	9	51	146	9	10	1	214	306	325	632	111	292	28	10	290	83	-11	+2	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	41	36	8	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	222	317	361	678	139	298	29	10	268	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	127	112	24	5	1	2	12	36	2	3	0	214	302	330	632	116	299	28	9	275	79	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	199	174	38	8	1	3	19	56	4	4	1	218	310	328	637	109	300	28	10	279	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	243	214	47	10	1	4	23	68	4	5	1	220	307	332	639	112	300	28	9	282	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	269	236	53	11	2	5	26	75	5	6	1	225	315	352	666	127	300	28	10	283	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	284	249	55	11	2	5	28	79	5	6	1	221	312	341	653	120	300	28	10	283	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	250	55	11	2	5	28	80	5	6	1	220	311	340	651	120	300	28	10	283	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	250	55	11	2	5	28	80	5	6	1	220	311	340	651	120	299	28	10	282	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	275	241	53	11	1	5	27	78	5	5	1	220	311	336	647	116	298	28	10	280	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2008	1762	388	80	12	35	195	564	36	42	7	220	311	339	649	119	301	28	10	281	83	-40	+6	-1	-12	+44	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	125	26	4	11	63	183	12	14	2	219	310	337	647	118	301	28	10	281	83	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3825	3342	721	142	18	67	378	1083	72	87	12	216	309	329	638	113	296	28	10	291	83	-75	+11	-2	-22	+81	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	122	24	3	11	64	184	12	15	2	215	307	326	633	111	294	28	10	291	83	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,066	36	43	217	305	331	-12	+0	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Perez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	199/293/283	85	290	1	1	30%	10%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→47	39→50	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	217/292/295	78	287	5	17	24%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/346	119	306	11	20	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	43	38→40	49→55	44	200/281/273	73	300	6	17	33%	8%	61	-1.5	202/260/282	80	343	6	8	40%	6%	54	-2.0	175/223/243	68	314	7	2	44%	5%	29	-1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	54	-2.0	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	72	-0.7	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	45	40→45	52→50	42	210/275/309	99	310	7	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	192/263/287	95	292	7	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	61	-1.5	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	53	-2.1	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	9	-1.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	40	53→55	44	206/261/303	97	274	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	224/297/299	75	327	4	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→51	40→45	55	45	208/281/305	97	297	6	12	30%	8%	68	-1.0	210/283/305	95	343	7	16	37%	8%	69	-0.9	215/296/306	91	327	7	21	33%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	59	-1.7	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	75	-0.5	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	75	-0.1
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	66	-1.1	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	55	-0.8
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	42→49	38→50	50→45	43	198/270/283	85	290	4	8	31%	8%	59	-1.7	189/264/270	81	265	5	6	28%	7%	54	-2.0	237/312/394	157	303	18	6	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps