Dayson Croes

IF Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 199 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202525AAA/AA/A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs484.300/.378/.4317394—.259/.325/.365
202626AAA/AA/ROKSF421.268/.332/.36131069—.248/.296/.331
2027PROJMLE27MLBSF3.243/.295/.3250077-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBSF60.242/.294/.3240177-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
K%95
Whiff%93
Z-Con%92
Speed38
Max EV31
BB%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsCarlos Penuelas (age 27) · Kevin Kaczmarski (age 27) · Alec Keller (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .295 / .325
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP290
ISO84
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202525 AAASacramento River Cats — 4843 15310 253 00 349417465882 116395 104 396 124 — — — — — —
202525 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 8375 23211 5151 00 307358400758 93367 186 334 87 — — — — — —
202525 A+Eugene Emeralds — 204173 491811 24304 21 283383416799 133336 1512 357 80 — — — — — —
202525 ROKACL Giants — 3026 8101 450 01 308400462862 154350 1713 386 56 — — — — — —
202525 INTLCaneros de los Mochis — 119103 31404 9161 12 301363456819 155318 138 347 121 — — — — — —
202626 AAASacramento River Cats — 8775 21501 593 22 280349387736 107299 106 319 80 — — — — — —
202626 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 307278 771432 21384 64 277337371707 94314 127 316 75 — — — — — —
202626 ROKACL Giants — 2724 3100 241 20 125222167389 42150 157 193 -28 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202525 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 4844 14310 163 00 318375432807 114365 122 351 124 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 8376 23211 4181 00 303346395740 92349 225 297 87 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 204180 421411 17384 21 233313339652 106284 198 287 80 — — — — — —
202525 ROK MLEACL Giants — 3028 6101 270 01 214267357624 143251 237 251 56 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 8777 20401 3113 22 260313351664 91269 133 287 80 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 307285 741232 14464 64 260304344647 84298 155 279 75 — — — — — —
202626 ROK MLEACL Giants — 2725 2100 161 20 80148120268 40111 224 127 -28 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE5 teams — 484432 1122643 32919 34 259323359682 100319 197 295 86 — — — — — —
202525 A+ RAW5 teams — 484420 1262837 44719 34 300378431809 131344 159 356 86 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 421386 951732 19638 106 246295321617 75287 155 271 69 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAW3 teams — 421377 1012033 28518 106 268332361692 93301 127 309 69 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE5 teams — 484440 1122643 32919 34 255323352676 98307 197 295 86 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 421391 951732 19638 106 243295317613 74280 155 271 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202525 A+ MLE5 teams — 484440 1122643 32919 34 255323352676 98307 197 295 86 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 421391 951732 19638 106 243295317613 74280 155 271 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLESF 2% 380351 871732 19647 53 247298329627 83293 175 283 77 -10 -0 +0 +0 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXSF 2% 33 1000 010 00 243295325619 81290 330 280 77 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLESF 27% 222205 521022 11394 32 245297328625 84292 185 282 77 -6 -0 -1 +0 +5 -0.2
202828 MLB CTXSF 27% 6056 13300 3101 10 242294324617 82289 175 279 77 -2 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6056 13300 3101 10 232283286569 54283 175 279 78 -2 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1403200 3210811 110 231282283565 53281 175 279 78 -18 +2 -2 +0 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 12821166 29460108 7021924 1813 252308341649 89302 175 283 78 -10 -0 -1 +0 +8 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 1493054 3511112 97 252307340647 88301 175 283 78 -18 -0 -1 +0 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 307 PAwOBA .309 → .279 (−30)K% 12.4% → 15.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.38%÷1.000×1.220——15.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.84%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9784.68%
HBP% /PA1.30%—×0.850—×0.9781.08%
Singles /BIP24.17%÷1.000×0.970×1.027×0.97823.54%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷1.000×0.860×1.027×0.9785.04%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷1.000×0.950×1.027×0.9781.19%
Home runs /BIP0.83%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9780.64%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .309 → .279; ISO .094 → .082; BABIP .314 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 87 PAwOBA .318 → .287 (−32)K% 10.3% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.34%÷1.000×1.200——12.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.75%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0033.98%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.940—×1.0033.25%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.000×0.930×0.995×1.00321.09%
Doubles /BIP7.58%÷1.000×0.830×0.995×1.0036.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.995×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0031.06%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .318 → .287; ISO .107 → .088; BABIP .299 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Giants · 27 PAwOBA .189 → .127 (−62)K% 14.8% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.81%÷1.000×1.440——21.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9404.32%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.720—×0.9402.51%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9407.71%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9403.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .189 → .127; ISO .042 → .027; BABIP .150 → .111. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 204 PAwOBA .350 → .287 (−63)K% 14.7% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.71%÷1.070×1.350——18.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.950×0.710—×0.9688.51%
HBP% /PA1.96%—×0.810—×0.9681.54%
Singles /BIP20.28%÷1.011×0.910×1.019×0.96818.01%
Doubles /BIP12.59%÷1.048×0.830×1.019×0.9689.83%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷0.909×0.820×1.019×0.9680.62%
Home runs /BIP0.70%÷0.980×0.830—×0.9680.57%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .350 → .287; ISO .133 → .108; BABIP .336 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 83 PAwOBA .329 → .297 (−32)K% 18.1% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.07%÷1.018×1.220——21.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.02%÷0.962×0.700—×0.9884.33%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.850—×0.9881.01%
Singles /BIP31.67%÷1.004×0.970×1.019×0.98830.80%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷0.992×0.860×1.019×0.9882.91%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.150×0.950×1.019×0.9881.39%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.183×0.780—×0.9881.09%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .329 → .297; ISO .093 → .072; BABIP .367 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 48 PAwOBA .386 → .351 (−35)K% 10.4% → 12.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.42%÷1.010×1.200——12.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.17%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0182.90%
HBP% /PA6.25%—×0.940—×1.0185.98%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷1.030×0.930—×1.01826.61%
Doubles /BIP7.89%÷0.959×0.830—×1.0186.95%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0182.89%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.938×0.700—×1.0180.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .386 → .351; ISO .116 → .112; BABIP .395 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Giants · 30 PAwOBA .376 → .251 (−125)K% 16.7% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.045×1.440——22.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.070×0.620—×0.9407.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.042×0.820—×0.94021.14%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9403.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.128×0.780—×0.9403.10%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 108, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 109, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .376 → .251; ISO .154 → .101; BABIP .350 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .