Dayson Croes — OGILVIE

Dayson CroesIF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 26 L/R 5'10" / 199 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION223 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .284 / .307

PA148

HR1

K%18

BB%5

BABIP274

ISO80

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A+	5 teams	—	484	432	107	24	4	3	32	91	9	3	4	248	313	343	655	95	304	19	7	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	5 teams	—	484	420	126	28	3	7	44	71	9	3	4	300	378	431	809	131	344	15	9	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	SF	—	223	205	46	8	2	2	9	32	4	6	2	224	271	312	583	88	254	14	4	249	48	-13	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.6
YTD	26	AA	SF	—	223	201	49	9	2	2	13	24	4	6	2	244	303	338	641	95	266	11	6	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.1
ROS	26	AA	SF	2%	148	136	31	6	1	1	8	27	3	3	1	227	284	307	592	80	278	18	5	274	68	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	SF	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						273	33	0	257	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	SF	—	226	208	46	8	2	2	9	33	4	6	2	221	267	308	575	87	251	15	4	249	49	-13	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.6
TOT	26	AA	SF	—	371	341	77	14	3	3	17	59	7	9	3	225	276	310	586	85	262	16	5	259	56	-18	+1	+0	+0	+11	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SF	27%	336	307	71	14	2	3	20	63	6	5	2	231	291	319	611	88	279	19	6	278	71	-11	+0	+0	+0	+10	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	SF	40%	364	333	76	15	2	4	22	70	6	5	2	228	288	321	609	93	279	19	6	281	73	-11	+0	-1	+0	+10	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	SF	27%	90	83	20	4	1	1	5	17	2	1	0	241	300	349	649	108	274	19	6	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	SF	40%	145	133	31	6	1	2	9	28	2	2	1	233	292	338	630	105	275	19	6	265	61	-6	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	238	219	51	10	2	3	14	46	4	3	1	233	291	338	629	105	281	19	6	263	60	-11	+0	-0	+0	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	138	27	5	8	38	126	11	8	3	231	289	333	622	102	278	19	6	263	60	-30	+0	-1	+0	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1332	1208	285	59	9	11	82	251	24	16	9	236	297	327	624	91	287	19	6	281	73	-40	-0	-1	+0	+38	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	138	29	4	5	40	122	12	8	4	234	296	322	618	88	285	19	6	281	73	-20	+0	-0	+0	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	48	43	15	3	1	0	2	5	3	0	0	349	417	465	882	116	395	10	4	396	161	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	83	75	23	2	1	1	5	15	1	0	0	307	358	400	758	93	367	18	6	334	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	25	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	204	173	49	18	1	1	24	30	4	2	1	283	383	416	799	133	336	15	12	357	131	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2025	25	ROK	ACL Giants	—	30	26	8	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	1	308	400	462	862	154	350	17	13	386	154	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	119	103	31	4	0	4	9	16	1	1	2	301	363	456	819	155	318	13	8	347	124	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	240	3	3	233	289	330	+0	+0	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	7	10	233	289	330	+0.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayson Croes (OGILVIE)	26	55	35	45	50	225/276/310	85	262	3	9	16%	5%	56	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕James Rapoport 2011 · AAA	26	52→54	37→40	49→55	50	244/302/319	75	291	4	11	17%	7%	75	-0.0	230/301/300	70	269	5	9	15%	8%	70	-0.3	219/303/259	40	251	4	7	13%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Penuelas 2014 · AAA	26	51	39→30	41→50	45	242/292/334	92	305	6	8	22%	6%	74	-0.1	244/290/314	70	300	5	12	19%	5%	68	-0.5	260/296/306	45	309	3	9	16%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Shawn Pleffner 2016 · AA	26	53→56	38→40	45	45	248/296/329	80	310	5	6	21%	6%	75	-0.0	232/282/314	82	300	5	5	23%	6%	65	-0.7	223/275/291	68	292	3	1	23%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Josh Fellhauer 2014 · AAA	26	54→53	38→40	42→45	48	255/315/338	83	325	5	7	22%	8%	85	+0.7	232/298/315	83	318	4	9	26%	8%	72	-0.2	228/300/301	73	320	2	8	27%	9%	66	-0.3
✕James Cooper 2009 · AA	25	53→57	38→40	46→45	46	248/311/330	82	296	4	9	17%	6%	82	+0.5	234/297/316	82	274	4	8	15%	6%	73	-0.1	227/292/300	74	257	2	3	12%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Sergio Perez 2016 · AAA	26	54	39→40	45→50	44	258/305/346	88	320	6	8	21%	5%	82	+0.5	238/282/312	74	298	4	8	20%	5%	64	-0.8	250/285/320	70	308	4	6	20%	4%	66	-0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2014 · AA	26	50→53	38→40	48→45	44	236/281/324	88	299	3	8	22%	6%	67	-0.5	219/265/306	87	289	5	5	25%	5%	56	-1.3	212/258/289	77	281	4	3	25%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Jamie Johnson 2013 · AAA	26	51→55	36→40	46→50	53	238/306/308	69	287	3	11	17%	9%	74	-0.1	238/313/317	79	282	4	15	16%	10%	79	+0.3	237/322/316	78	280	4	16	15%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Jordan Smith 2016 · AA	26	49→58	39→40	48→50	46	232/284/323	90	291	6	12	22%	6%	68	-0.5	216/267/311	95	285	8	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	206/256/297	91	273	8	15	26%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Forrestt Allday 2017 · AAA	26	49→45	36→30	43→50	48	227/299/291	65	294	3	11	23%	8%	68	-0.5	228/305/287	59	285	4	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	224/307/271	47	280	3	12	19%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Manuel Lopez 2013 · AAA	26	54	37→40	43→45	42	253/295/330	78	316	4	5	21%	5%	75	-0.0	238/284/320	82	316	5	7	25%	5%	67	-0.5	242/292/304	63	326	0	4	24%	6%	64	-0.2
✕Alan Sanchez 2015 · AAA	26	52→58	38→40	47→50	42	249/284/324	75	312	5	12	22%	5%	68	-0.5	244/280/317	73	304	4	12	20%	5%	64	-0.8	255/288/320	65	311	3	12	18%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Mitch Hilligoss 2011 · AA	26	50→59	36→40	44→50	45	237/278/305	68	285	3	8	18%	5%	60	-1.0	227/264/307	80	281	5	6	20%	5%	55	-1.4	222/252/295	73	273	4	4	20%	3%	43	-1.7
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2019 · AAA	27	54→56	37→40	46→50	47	250/313/327	78	326	3	11	23%	7%	82	+0.5	230/297/323	93	314	7	11	27%	8%	75	-0.0	205/283/283	78	279	7	11	27%	9%	57	-0.3
✕Jose Salazar 2010 · AAA	26	51	38→40	44→45	46	240/284/323	84	288	4	10	18%	6%	68	-0.5	233/270/311	78	280	5	8	18%	5%	59	-1.1	234/270/313	79	294	6	4	22%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Alec Keller 2019 · AA	27	56	39→40	48→50	42	266/303/355	89	328	5	8	20%	5%	84	+0.6	257/300/343	86	317	6	11	20%	5%	80	+0.4	261/299/325	63	330	4	12	21%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Val Majewski 2007 · AAA	26	48→53	41→45	46→50	44	228/285/333	105	293	7	11	24%	6%	72	-0.2	239/291/358	119	296	10	11	22%	6%	81	+0.4	227/284/386	159	266	21	7	23%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Hector Hernandez 2009 · AAA	26	51	38→40	46→50	43	242/274/321	79	279	6	9	16%	4%	63	-0.8	252/283/335	83	283	6	8	13%	4%	70	-0.3	269/304/329	60	304	4	3	13%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Perez 2006 · AAA	27	52	39→40	43→40	43	246/293/331	85	301	6	6	20%	5%	74	-0.1	236/276/310	74	298	5	7	22%	4%	61	-1.0	245/274/287	42	308	0	2	20%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2016 · AAA	26	54→61	36→30	43→45	47	253/301/322	69	302	3	7	17%	6%	75	-0.0	233/275/299	66	294	4	6	21%	5%	58	-1.2	227/268/283	56	292	3	5	23%	4%	49	-1.1