Roberto Valencia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 185 | .308/.346/.391 | 1 | 4 | 89 | — | .301/.324/.376 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 100 | .258/.273/.289 | 1 | 3 | 40 | — | .245/.253/.276 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAAPiratas de Ca… | 113 | .270/.330/.390 | 2 | 1 | 67 | — | .252/.294/.340 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 408 | 373 | 116 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 311 | 351 | 357 | 708 | 46 | 336 | 8 | 5 | 312 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 281 | 261 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 333 | 360 | 383 | 743 | 50 | 360 | 7 | 3 | 325 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 49 | -81 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 326 | 306 | 92 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 301 | 327 | 373 | 700 | 72 | 335 | 12 | 3 | 307 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 223 | 198 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 217 | 276 | 268 | 543 | 51 | 253 | 14 | 5 | 242 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 306 | 279 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 313 | 348 | 661 | 72 | 307 | 10 | 4 | 287 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 185 | 170 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 247 | 293 | 312 | 605 | 65 | 267 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 185 | 169 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 308 | 346 | 391 | 737 | 83 | 340 | 11 | 5 | 321 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 100 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 273 | 289 | 561 | 31 | 276 | 9 | 2 | 252 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 113 | 100 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 330 | 390 | 720 | 120 | 294 | 12 | 6 | 313 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 408 | 380 | 123 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 324 | 351 | 368 | 719 | 45 | 342 | 9 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 281 | 264 | 91 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 345 | 364 | 402 | 765 | 57 | 364 | 8 | 2 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 326 | 309 | 95 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 307 | 327 | 366 | 693 | 58 | 340 | 14 | 2 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 223 | 202 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 228 | 271 | 277 | 548 | 50 | 257 | 17 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 306 | 285 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 310 | 354 | 664 | 67 | 313 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 185 | 173 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 276 | 289 | 565 | 46 | 259 | 12 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 185 | 173 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 301 | 324 | 376 | 700 | 75 | 328 | 12 | 3 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 100 | 98 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 245 | 253 | 276 | 528 | 31 | 269 | 11 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 113 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 294 | 340 | 633 | 87 | 268 | 13 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 408 | 380 | 123 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 324 | 351 | 368 | 719 | 45 | 356 | 9 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 408 | 373 | 116 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 311 | 351 | 357 | 708 | 46 | 336 | 8 | 5 | 312 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 276 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 348 | 371 | 402 | 773 | 54 | 381 | 8 | 2 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 296 | 274 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 318 | 346 | 365 | 711 | 47 | 344 | 7 | 3 | 311 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 326 | 309 | 95 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 307 | 327 | 366 | 693 | 58 | 351 | 14 | 2 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 326 | 306 | 92 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 301 | 327 | 373 | 700 | 72 | 335 | 12 | 3 | 307 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 223 | 202 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 228 | 271 | 277 | 548 | 50 | 273 | 17 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 223 | 198 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 217 | 276 | 268 | 543 | 51 | 253 | 14 | 5 | 242 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 306 | 285 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 310 | 354 | 664 | 67 | 323 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 306 | 279 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 313 | 348 | 661 | 72 | 307 | 10 | 4 | 287 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 185 | 173 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 276 | 289 | 565 | 46 | 272 | 12 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 185 | 170 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 247 | 293 | 312 | 605 | 65 | 267 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 185 | 173 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 301 | 324 | 376 | 700 | 75 | 338 | 12 | 3 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 185 | 169 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 308 | 346 | 391 | 737 | 83 | 340 | 11 | 5 | 321 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 100 | 98 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 245 | 253 | 276 | 528 | 31 | 267 | 11 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 100 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 273 | 289 | 561 | 31 | 276 | 9 | 2 | 252 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 113 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 294 | 340 | 633 | 87 | 287 | 13 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 113 | 100 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 330 | 390 | 720 | 120 | 294 | 12 | 6 | 313 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 408 | 389 | 123 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 316 | 351 | 360 | 711 | 44 | 342 | 9 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 284 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 338 | 371 | 391 | 761 | 53 | 364 | 8 | 2 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 326 | 314 | 95 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 303 | 327 | 360 | 687 | 57 | 340 | 14 | 2 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 223 | 209 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 220 | 271 | 268 | 539 | 48 | 257 | 17 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 306 | 294 | 82 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 279 | 310 | 344 | 653 | 65 | 313 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 185 | 175 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 276 | 286 | 562 | 46 | 259 | 12 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 185 | 177 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 294 | 324 | 367 | 691 | 73 | 328 | 12 | 3 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 100 | 99 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 253 | 273 | 525 | 30 | 269 | 11 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 113 | 106 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 294 | 330 | 624 | 85 | 268 | 13 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2142 | 1999 | 586 | 60 | 14 | 8 | 58 | 247 | 19 | 31 | 21 | 293 | 319 | 349 | 669 | 56 | 330 | 12 | 3 | 285 | 79 | -53 | -2 | +0 | -23 | +46 | -3.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 177 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 75 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 292 | 319 | 344 | 663 | 53 | 328 | 12 | 3 | 285 | 79 | -16 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 113 PAwOBA .302 → .267 (−35)K% 11.5% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.31% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×0.982 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×0.982 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.263 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .302 → .267; ISO .120 → .090; BABIP .294 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 100 PAwOBA .245 → .227 (−18)K% 9.0% → 11.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.00% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 1.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.132 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 98, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .245 → .227; ISO .031 → .019; BABIP .276 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 185 PAwOBA .314 → .300 (−14)K% 10.8% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.32% | ÷1.132 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 26.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .300; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .340 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 185 PAwOBA .262 → .246 (−16)K% 10.3% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.27% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.78% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 23.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 1.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×1.018 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .262 → .246; ISO .065 → .050; BABIP .267 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 306 PAwOBA .276 → .289 (+14)K% 9.8% → 10.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.29% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 1.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 25.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .276 → .289; ISO .072 → .072; BABIP .307 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 223 PAwOBA .235 → .232 (−3)K% 14.3% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.35% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.93% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.08% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 21.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.22% | ÷1.027 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.331 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.33% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .235 → .232; ISO .051 → .042; BABIP .253 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 326 PAwOBA .301 → .297 (−4)K% 12.3% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.27% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.37% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.95% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 30.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.307 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.63% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 113, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .301 → .297; ISO .072 → .057; BABIP .335 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 281 PAwOBA .316 → .323 (+7)K% 6.8% → 8.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.76% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.20% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.23% | ÷1.014 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 32.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .323; ISO .050 → .054; BABIP .360 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).