Stefan Raeth

P Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+SEA	42	0	45	3.77	3.94	18.4%	10.0%	—	K 14.2% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.51
2025	24	MIX2 levels	43	2	57	3.14	3.43	27.4%	5.8%	—	K 21.4% · BB 6.5% · FIP 4.60
2026	25	AASEA	16	0	21	5.06	4.83	17.4%	10.9%	—	K 14.1% · BB 12.0% · FIP 5.57
2027PROJ	26	MLBSEA	19	0	20	4.85	4.85	18.5%	9.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBSEA	18	0	19	4.82	4.83	19.0%	9.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBSEA	28	0	29	4.84	4.88	19.2%	9.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJosh Zeid (age 26) · Jon Leicester (age 25) · Casey Fien (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%18.5%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%9.2%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	7	0	8	35	7	5	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	2.9%	5.62	4.79	—
2022	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	7	0	8	35	7	5	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	2.9%	5.62	4.85	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	40	0	49	222	54	29	3	0%	1.2	18.0%	15.4%	2.6%	2.0%	3.70	4.62	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	40	0	49	222	54	29	3	0%	1.2	24.3%	13.1%	11.3%	1.4%	3.70	3.47	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	45	201	37	20	4	0%	1.1	14.2%	11.4%	2.7%	2.1%	3.77	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	42	0	45	201	37	20	4	0%	1.1	14.2%	11.4%	2.7%	2.1%	3.77	4.51	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	42	0	45	201	37	20	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.0%	8.5%	2.0%	3.77	3.94	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	2	57	226	62	13	8	5%	1.3	21.4%	6.5%	15.0%	4.5%	3.14	4.60	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	2	57	226	62	13	8	5%	1.3	21.4%	6.5%	15.0%	4.5%	3.14	4.60	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	2	57	226	62	13	8	5%	1.3	27.4%	5.8%	21.7%	3.5%	3.14	3.43	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	16	0	21	92	16	10	3	0%	1.3	14.1%	12.0%	2.1%	3.9%	5.06	5.57	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	16	0	21	92	16	10	3	0%	1.3	14.1%	12.0%	2.1%	3.9%	5.06	5.57	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	16	0	21	92	16	10	3	0%	1.3	17.4%	10.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.06	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	19	0	20	84	16	8	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.3%	9.2%	3.2%	4.85	4.85	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	48	0	51	214	41	20	7	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.3%	9.6%	3.2%	4.82	4.83	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	SEA	47	0	49	208	40	20	7	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.5%	9.7%	3.3%	4.84	4.88	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	18	0	19	80	15	8	3	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.3%	9.6%	3.2%	4.82	4.83	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SEA	28	0	29	122	23	12	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.5%	9.7%	3.3%	4.84	4.88	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	0	48	205	39	19	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	3.3%	4.83	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	78	29	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	3.3%	4.83	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		148	2	181	776	137	88	24	1%	1.2	17.6%	11.3%	6.3%	3.0%	3.79	4.71	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	2	200	859	152	97	26	1%	1.2	17.6%	11.3%	6.3%	3.0%	3.79	4.71	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stefan Raeth (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	18.5%	9.3%	3.2%	—	4.85	19.1%	9.6%	100	+0.00	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	93
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	88
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	88
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	88
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	86
Greg Burke R 2009 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	16.2%	8.8%	2.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	86
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	86
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	86
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	86
Zach Bryant R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	26	SU	4.85	18.0%	9.6%	3.7%	.313	4.87	16.1%	5.0%	106	+0.02	4.51	215	86
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	85
Ross Wolf R 2010 · 3.95 FIP	27	SU	3.95	16.1%	8.9%	2.0%	.268	4.37	10.1%	3.3%	48	+0.42	3.43	179	85
Woo-Suk Go R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	17.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.359	4.16	21.5%	10.2%	64	-0.64	3.57	116	85
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	85
Greg Aquino R 2004 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	17.7%	10.2%	2.7%	.196	4.57	22.3%	12.7%	94	+0.18	4.10	154	84
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	84
Ryan Middendorf R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	19.1%	9.0%	4.0%	.293	4.41	12.7%	-1.1%	34	-0.43	1.27	164	84
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	84
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	19.0%	9.4%	1.26	4.83
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*