J.D. Gonzalez

C Charleston RiverDogs

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 182 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ATB	104	.173/.221/.184	0	0	-9	—	.150/.183/.160
2025	19	INTLGigantes de C…	41	.139/.225/.139	0	0	8	—
2026	20	A+TB	98	.209/.284/.314	2	2	27	—	.169/.221/.258
2026	20	ATB	229	.252/.289/.304	1	5	40	—	.226/.253/.272
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTB	437	.182/.225/.234	3	6	28	-1.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	129	.190/.235/.255	1	2	37	-0.4
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTB	216	.196/.244/.274	3	4	44	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed36

Z-Con%28

ISO27

BB%26

wOBA13

wRC+13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsShane Mardirosian (age 21) · Jean Walters (age 21) · Logan Moore (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .223 / .232

PA320

HR2

K%34

BB%5

ISO52

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		600	59	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	288	242	39	6	0	1	34	95	4	1	0	161	275	198	473	37	248	33	12	227	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	24	20	2	1	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	100	250	150	400	50	167	33	17	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	104	98	17	1	0	0	6	27	0	0	0	173	221	184	405	10	239	26	6	192	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	41	36	5	0	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	139	225	139	364		217	32	7	179	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	98	86	18	3	0	2	9	32	0	2	0	209	284	314	598	105	302	33	9	266	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	229	214	54	8	0	1	11	40	0	5	1	252	289	304	593	51	303	17	5	265	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	288	253	30	4	0	1	23	131	4	1	0	119	204	146	350	28	214	45	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	104	100	15	1	0	0	4	37	0	0	0	150	183	160	343	10	231	36	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	98	89	15	2	0	2	6	42	0	2	0	169	221	258	479	90	276	43	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	229	217	49	7	0	1	8	55	0	5	1	226	253	272	525	46	285	24	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		600	59	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		600	59	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	312	275	33	5	0	1	25	142	4	1	0	120	204	149	353	29	230	46	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	312	262	41	7	0	1	38	103	4	1	0	156	273	195	468	38	242	33	12	226	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	137	20	1	0	0	6	51	1	0	0	146	188	153	341	7	233	35	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	145	134	22	1	0	0	9	40	1	0	0	164	222	172	394	7	234	28	6	188	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	327	307	64	9	0	2	13	96	0	7	1	208	241	257	498	49	292	29	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	327	300	72	11	0	3	20	72	0	7	1	240	287	307	594	67	303	22	6	265	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	312	280	33	5	0	1	25	142	4	1	0	118	204	146	350	29	214	46	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	137	20	1	0	0	6	51	1	0	0	146	188	153	341	7	231	35	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	327	311	64	9	0	2	13	96	0	7	1	206	241	254	495	48	282	29	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	312	280	33	5	0	1	25	142	4	1	0	118	204	146	350	29	214	46	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	137	20	1	0	0	6	51	1	0	0	146	188	153	341	7	231	35	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	327	311	64	9	0	2	13	96	0	7	1	206	241	254	495	48	282	29	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	437	411	75	12	1	3	22	148	1	6	1	182	225	234	459	52	272	34	5	210	28	-37	+1	+0	+8	+9	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	375	352	66	10	1	4	19	124	1	6	1	188	234	255	488	67	274	33	5	222	37	-28	+1	+0	+7	+8	-1.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	446	417	81	13	1	6	24	143	2	8	1	194	242	274	516	80	276	32	5	234	44	-30	+1	+0	+8	+10	-1.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	493	460	92	15	1	8	28	155	2	9	2	199	248	288	536	89	278	31	6	242	50	-29	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	519	482	97	16	1	9	30	161	2	10	2	202	253	298	551	95	279	31	6	248	54	-28	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	520	481	99	16	1	10	31	159	3	10	2	204	257	304	560	99	279	31	6	252	57	-27	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	482	98	16	1	10	31	160	2	9	2	203	256	301	556	98	279	31	6	251	56	-27	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	129	121	23	4	0	1	7	43	0	2	0	190	235	255	491	65	278	33	5	223	37	-10	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	216	201	39	6	0	3	12	69	1	4	1	196	244	274	518	78	280	32	6	235	44	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	260	242	48	7	1	4	15	82	1	5	1	201	250	288	538	87	281	32	6	243	50	-15	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	284	264	54	8	1	5	17	88	1	5	1	204	255	297	552	93	282	31	6	249	54	-15	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	289	269	56	9	1	5	17	88	1	5	1	206	258	303	562	97	283	30	6	253	57	-15	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	286	266	55	9	1	5	17	88	1	5	1	205	257	301	558	95	282	31	6	252	56	-15	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1464	1363	275	43	4	23	85	458	5	26	5	202	251	290	541	88	284	31	6	245	41	-85	+3	+0	+26	+32	-2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	122	19	2	10	38	203	2	12	2	202	251	289	540	88	284	31	6	245	41	-38	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3994	3708	707	110	6	52	225	1309	18	64	12	191	240	266	506	75	276	33	6	228	41	-197	+7	+0	+57	+69	-6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	115	18	1	8	37	213	3	10	2	191	241	264	505	73	277	33	6	228	41	-40	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,784	27	31	197	244	281	+32	+16	-2.5	-1.3
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+6.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Doc Powers'01-'09 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,908 PA	2.9	1,908	3	25	207*	250*	310*	+31	+0	-2.8	-1.7
/162	664	1	9	+10.9	+0.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.D. Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	33→38	32→37	46→51	41	180/223/232	52	272	2	4	34%	5%	28	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Jean Walters 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	48→45	38	192/235/244	52	279	2	8	31%	5%	35	-3.4	210/250/284	74	285	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	214/261/301	87	283	6	5	26%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Logan Moore 2012 · A	21	41	38→40	48→30	36	200/237/272	72	290	6	5	32%	4%	42	-2.9	181/239/255	74	266	5	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Kevin Torres 2011 · A	21	44	36→40	47→40	39	210/255/278	68	298	3	6	30%	5%	51	-2.3	221/271/305	84	289	6	4	24%	5%	63	-1.3	209/257/288	79	271	6	3	24%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Alejandro Juvier 2017 · A	21	41→43	35→30	52→45	35	193/233/250	57	296	2	8	34%	4%	35	-3.4	202/244/264	62	313	4	5	35%	4%	43	-2.8	195/237/245	50	302	4	3	35%	4%	33	-2.0
✕Connor Oliver 2015 · A	21	44→45	37→40	48→50	40	207/260/285	78	290	4	10	29%	6%	55	-2.0	189/244/266	77	280	4	11	32%	6%	44	-2.8	147/205/208	61	220	2	11	32%	7%	13	-2.4
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	32→42	39→45	49→40	36	166/219/248	82	252	6	6	36%	6%	31	-3.7	210/258/309	99	293	9	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	215/263/317	102	288	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.0
✕David Berres 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	47→45	36	175/233/223	47	285	2	10	37%	6%	30	-3.8	207/278/263	56	287	3	7	26%	8%	57	-1.8	214/294/252	38	291	3	6	25%	10%	57	-1.0
✕Trace Loehr 2016 · A	21	43→49	35→40	50	42	205/256/265	61	280	2	8	27%	6%	48	-2.5	212/244/290	78	286	3	10	25%	4%	49	-2.4	222/264/295	73	300	4	9	26%	5%	55	-1.2
✕Ricardo Cespedes 2019 · A	21	44	37→30	51→45	37	212/248/282	70	288	4	10	28%	4%	49	-2.4	198/242/282	84	302	6	11	34%	5%	47	-2.6	151/186/215	64	240	3	14	37%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Rashad Crawford 2015 · A	21	41→45	35→40	54→55	40	190/251/253	64	295	2	12	34%	7%	44	-2.8	211/257/293	82	303	5	16	30%	5%	55	-2.0	199/253/282	83	279	5	17	29%	6%	48	-1.7
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Ciuffo 2015 · A	20	38→45	38→40	46→40	37	189/230/260	71	270	6	4	32%	5%	37	-3.3	213/241/278	65	286	3	3	26%	4%	45	-2.7	212/258/323	112	292	9	2	30%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Garrison Lassiter 2011 · A	21	42	36→30	48→40	38	194/253/256	62	310	4	6	37%	6%	45	-2.7	207/258/276	69	347	4	7	39%	6%	51	-2.2	233/286/286	53	372	2	3	35%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→37	36→40	48→40	38	199/243/272	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	45	-2.7	180/213/244	64	299	4	3	39%	3%	26	-4.0	158/184/209	52	268	4	2	41%	2%	5	-3.0
✕Jose Dilone 2022 · A	21	38	34→30	49→55	41	181/245/232	51	269	2	11	32%	6%	37	-3.3	190/270/266	76	332	6	12	40%	9%	55	-1.9	164/264/234	70	298	7	17	42%	11%	43	-0.6
✕Sean McCraw 2006 · A	20	42	37→30	48→30	39	199/263/265	66	299	5	5	33%	6%	52	-2.2	213/291/299	86	302	8	4	29%	9%	70	-0.8	208/295/283	75	292	7	3	28%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8

J.D. Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps