Yensy Bello

P Modesto Nuts

Age 24 LHP 5'10" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKSEA	15	26	3.51	1.35	35.1%	9.9%	—	K 23.9% · BB 12.4% · FIP 2.65
2024	21	MIX2 levels	14	14	2.51	2.12	25.4%	9.5%	—	K 17.9% · BB 8.8% · FIP 2.70
2025	22	AModesto Nuts	34	52	5.57	3.62	18.9%	12.7%	—	K 14.0% · BB 15.0% · FIP 4.59
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	64	67	6.02	6.02	13.9%	16.8%	-1.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	28	29	5.73	5.66	15.8%	15.2%	-0.4
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	43	45	5.56	5.51	16.8%	14.7%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control30Command25

CompsChris Nunn (age 24) · Chris Reed (age 25) · Trevor Seidenberger (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131139vR 147

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%13.9%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%-2.9%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	0	12	58	17	15	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	32.3%	-12.4%	2.4%	7.71	6.82	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	0	12	58	17	15	1	0%	1.0	29.3%	25.9%	3.4%	1.7%	7.71	5.16	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	0	26	111	39	11	0	0%	1.7	23.9%	12.4%	11.5%	0.0%	3.51	2.65	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	0	26	111	39	11	0	0%	1.7	35.1%	9.9%	25.2%	0.0%	3.51	1.35	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	8.8%	9.1%	0.0%	2.51	2.70	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	8.8%	9.1%	0.0%	2.51	2.70	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.5%	15.9%	0.0%	2.51	2.12	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	15.0%	-1.0%	1.4%	5.57	4.59	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	15.0%	-1.0%	1.4%	5.57	4.59	—
2025	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	18.9%	12.7%	6.1%	0.8%	5.57	3.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	64	0	67	283	39	47	8	0%	1.0	13.9%	16.8%	-2.9%	2.9%	6.02	6.02	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	45	44	8	0%	1.0	15.8%	15.2%	0.6%	2.9%	5.73	5.66	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	48	42	8	0%	1.0	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.51	-0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	64	0	67	283	49	41	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	14.5%	2.6%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	47	40	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	14.5%	2.7%	3.0%	5.51	5.54	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	28	0	29	122	19	19	4	0%	1.0	15.8%	15.2%	0.6%	2.9%	5.73	5.66	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	43	0	45	190	32	28	5	0%	1.0	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.51	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	50	0	52	220	38	32	6	0%	1.0	17.2%	14.5%	2.6%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	52	0	55	232	40	34	7	0%	1.1	17.2%	14.5%	2.7%	3.0%	5.51	5.54	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	762	129	112	23	0%	1.0	16.9%	14.7%	2.2%	3.0%	5.55	5.16	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	124	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	14.7%	2.2%	3.0%	5.55	5.16	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		75	0	103	476	83	75	5	0%	1.4	17.5%	15.7%	1.8%	1.0%	4.88	4.16	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	0	200	921	161	144	9	0%	1.4	17.5%	15.7%	1.8%	1.0%	4.88	4.16	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yensy Bello (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	13.9%	16.8%	2.9%	—	5.55	16.6%	1.8%	203	-0.47	—	—	—
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	90
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	88
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	85
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	85
Jeff Wallace L 2000 · 5.61 FIP	24	SU	5.61	14.6%	17.8%	2.7%	.308	4.73	16.9%	0.5%	50	-0.88	2.51	137	82
Jaime Cerda L 2003 · 5.18 FIP	24	SU	5.18	13.2%	13.2%	2.8%	.275	3.92	17.2%	5.0%	65	-1.26	3.10	123	82
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	81
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	81
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	80
Jordan Minch L 2017 · 6.88 FIP	24	SU	6.88	13.7%	17.6%	4.9%	.262	5.04	15.9%	4.4%	121	-1.84	3.64	255	79
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	79
Jordan Norberto L 2010 · 6.32 FIP	23	SU	6.32	16.0%	22.3%	3.2%	.236	3.89	21.7%	12.3%	52	-2.43	3.89	117	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	78
Josh D. Smith L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	11.5%	17.1%	1.8%	.258	3.94	19.9%	8.2%	222	-1.34	3.17	335	78
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	78
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	78
Ryne Slack L 2016 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	15.2%	13.6%	2.6%	.247	5.03	15.6%	2.9%	93	+0.08	4.07	212	77
Garvin Alston L 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	14.4%	15.5%	2.7%	.328	4.17	16.9%	5.5%	160	-1.18	3.98	232	77
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	77
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	16.2%	15.1%	1.13	5.66
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*