Byron Chourio — OGILVIE

Byron ChourioCF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 S/R 6'2" / 171 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .267 / .274

PA132

HR2

SB6

K%33

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	217	192	50	7	0	1	16	38	5	19	7	260	333	312	646	52	312	18	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	217	183	63	9	0	1	25	27	5	19	7	344	437	410	846	66	390	12	12	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	106	91	18	2	0	0	13	26	2	4	2	198	311	220	531	22	277	25	12	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	106	84	22	3	0	0	20	19	2	4	2	262	415	298	713	36	338	18	19	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	334	46	5	4	2	23	150	2	23	5	138	198	195	392	57	234	41	6	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	328	68	7	5	2	29	104	2	23	5	207	276	277	553	70	289	28	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	210	30	2	1	1	28	72	3	11	5	143	253	176	429	33	212	30	12	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	197	38	3	1	1	41	50	3	11	5	193	340	234	574	41	253	21	17	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	MIN	—	198	174	36	4	1	5	19	71	4	17	3	207	299	328	627	121	313	36	10	280	72	-6	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
YTD	21	A	MIN	—	198	165	45	5	1	6	26	50	4	17	3	273	381	424	805	152	355	25	13	361	134	+8	+2	+0	+1	+6	1.7
ROS	21	A	MIN	0%	132	117	21	3	1	2	12	43	2	6	1	179	267	274	541	94	250	33	9	237	39	-9	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		250	—	—	227	32	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	MIN	—	198	175	36	4	1	5	19	71	4	17	3	206	299	326	625	120	310	36	10	280	72	-6	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
TOT	21	A	MIN	—	330	291	57	7	2	7	31	114	6	23	4	196	287	306	592	110	291	35	9	263	59	-15	+3	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	34%	341	302	54	7	2	5	32	106	4	12	3	179	266	265	531	86	256	31	9	251	50	-19	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	MIN	48%	418	370	70	10	2	8	40	126	5	14	3	189	277	292	569	103	260	30	10	262	59	-20	+2	+0	+1	+12	-0.5
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	468	414	81	12	2	10	45	138	6	16	4	196	284	307	591	111	263	29	10	269	64	-19	+2	+0	+2	+13	-0.3
2030	25	MLB	MIN	58%	493	437	85	12	2	11	47	144	6	17	4	195	282	307	588	112	264	29	10	272	66	-19	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
2031	26	MLB	MIN	61%	507	446	88	13	2	11	49	148	7	18	4	197	287	309	596	112	264	29	10	273	67	-19	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
2027	22	MLB	MIN	34%	117	103	20	3	1	2	11	36	2	4	1	194	284	301	585	107	256	31	9	241	43	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	MIN	48%	203	179	34	5	1	4	19	61	3	7	2	190	279	296	575	106	260	30	9	253	51	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	247	218	42	6	1	5	24	73	3	9	2	193	282	298	580	106	263	30	10	259	57	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2030	25	MLB	MIN	58%	287	253	49	7	1	6	28	84	4	10	2	194	284	300	585	107	264	29	10	263	59	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2031	26	MLB	MIN	61%	311	274	54	8	1	7	30	91	4	11	3	197	286	310	596	113	264	29	10	264	60	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1165	1028	199	29	5	24	112	345	16	41	10	194	283	302	585	108	263	30	10	258	56	-58	+4	+0	+4	+33	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	111	16	3	13	62	192	9	23	6	193	282	300	582	106	263	30	10	258	56	-32	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3289	2913	543	73	16	51	305	991	42	140	38	186	273	275	548	89	260	30	9	252	51	-182	+13	+0	+12	+93	-6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	107	14	3	10	60	196	8	28	8	186	271	273	544	87	259	30	9	252	51	-36	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	217	183	63	9	0	1	25	27	5	19	7	344	437	410	846	66	390	12	12	381	150	+12	+1	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	106	84	22	3	0	0	20	19	2	4	2	262	415	298	713	36	338	18	19	344	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	328	68	7	5	2	29	104	2	23	5	207	276	277	553	70	289	28	8	251	50	-21	+3	—	—	+10	-0.8
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	197	38	3	1	1	41	50	3	11	5	193	340	234	574	41	253	21	17	283	75	-7	+0	—	—	+7	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,426	25	48	187	272	286	+5	+10	-2.2	-1.1
	/162	664	12	22	187	272	286	+2.4	+4.7	-1.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Byron Chourio (OGILVIE)	21	30	20	50	60	196/287/306	110	291	7	23	35%	9%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Terry Serrano 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	46→55	49	191/267/245	53	257	2	13	25%	9%	42	-2.3	202/275/269	67	295	3	16	29%	9%	51	-1.7	195/275/262	67	298	2	22	32%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A	21	41	35→30	51→55	49	194/273/255	61	268	2	16	27%	9%	47	-1.9	202/266/258	56	293	2	10	29%	7%	44	-2.1	195/259/238	43	283	1	9	29%	7%	33	-1.3
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Fernando Garcia 2009 · A	21	39	36→30	51→55	40	188/245/251	63	268	3	17	30%	6%	33	-2.9	208/276/272	64	281	2	18	24%	8%	52	-1.6	207/282/266	58	276	1	22	23%	8%	50	-0.8
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	30	-3.1	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	44	-2.1	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	45	-2.1	213/290/299	86	290	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	208/281/291	83	293	6	14	29%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Jose Montecino 2011 · A	21	43	33→30	51→55	50	199/285/243	44	271	1	20	25%	9%	50	-1.7	204/291/268	64	279	3	16	25%	10%	59	-1.1	166/290/201	35	220	0	27	21%	14%	42	-0.4
✕Dreily Guerrero 2012 · A	21	38	35→30	54→55	40	180/239/245	66	276	2	13	34%	7%	30	-3.1	178/224/242	64	308	3	9	41%	5%	22	-3.7	150/190/213	63	273	5	12	45%	5%	-2	-1.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Jorky Infante 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	48→50	48	200/261/253	54	248	3	12	20%	7%	41	-2.3	208/265/266	58	260	2	11	19%	6%	46	-2.0	207/263/247	39	252	0	12	16%	6%	40	-1.1
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Willis Figueroa 2017 · A	22	40	33→30	49→50	52	185/282/230	46	247	1	15	23%	10%	46	-2.0	227/312/287	60	301	2	12	23%	9%	72	-0.2	284/379/322	38	370	0	16	20%	11%	106	+0.6
✕Rockny Martinez 2013 · A	21	39	35→30	50	38	184/241/238	54	259	2	10	29%	5%	29	-3.2	210/259/268	58	278	2	11	24%	5%	43	-2.2	227/267/259	32	287	0	14	20%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Milkar Perez 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	44→40	52	181/283/230	49	284	2	4	33%	12%	46	-2.0	212/292/292	80	316	5	3	31%	9%	65	-0.7	211/289/292	82	309	5	2	31%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	39→49	36→40	52→60	46	186/254/253	67	244	3	17	24%	7%	38	-2.6	222/285/312	90	295	5	23	25%	7%	66	-0.6	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Ted Obregon 2011 · A	21	35	37→30	51→55	39	177/228/245	68	253	6	17	32%	6%	24	-3.5	196/239/256	60	297	4	16	33%	5%	31	-3.0	188/220/208	20	294	0	23	35%	4%	6	-1.8
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	43	-2.2	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	62	-0.9	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Rey Bruguera 2012 · A	20	41	36→40	44→50	49	191/275/255	63	271	4	13	28%	9%	49	-1.8	201/267/276	75	289	5	10	30%	7%	50	-1.8	192/253/260	69	277	5	8	30%	7%	36	-0.8