Byron Chourio — OGILVIE

Byron ChourioCF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 S/R 6'2" / 171 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION329 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP271

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	217	183	63	9	0	1	25	27	5	19	7	344	437	410	846	66	390	12	12	381	144	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	106	84	22	3	0	0	20	19	2	4	2	262	415	298	713	36	338	18	19	344	119	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	328	68	7	5	2	29	104	2	23	5	207	276	277	553	70	289	28	8	251	56	-19	+3	—	—	+8	-0.9
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	197	38	3	1	1	41	50	3	11	5	193	340	234	574	41	253	21	17	283	78	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	192	50	6	0	1	16	38	5	19	7	260	333	307	641	47	302	18	7	285	79	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	106	91	18	2	0	0	13	27	2	4	2	198	311	220	531	22	278	25	12	251	56	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	335	51	6	4	2	22	149	2	23	5	152	209	212	421	60	242	41	6	184	11	-39	+3	—	—	+8	-2.9
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	209	31	3	1	1	29	71	3	11	5	148	261	187	448	38	217	29	12	214	31	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	192	50	6	0	1	16	38	5	19	7	260	333	307	641	47	312	18	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	217	183	63	9	0	1	25	27	5	19	7	344	437	410	846	66	390	12	12	381	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	106	91	18	2	0	0	13	27	2	4	2	198	311	220	531	22	281	25	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	106	84	22	3	0	0	20	19	2	4	2	262	415	298	713	36	338	18	19	344	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	335	51	6	4	2	22	149	2	23	5	152	209	212	421	60	258	41	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	328	68	7	5	2	29	104	2	23	5	207	276	277	553	70	289	28	8	251	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	209	31	3	1	1	29	71	3	11	5	148	261	187	448	38	219	29	12	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	197	38	3	1	1	41	50	3	11	5	193	340	234	574	41	253	21	17	283	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	217	194	50	6	0	1	16	38	5	19	7	258	333	304	637	46	302	18	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	106	90	18	2	0	0	13	27	2	4	2	200	311	222	534	22	278	25	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	339	51	6	4	2	22	149	2	23	5	150	209	209	418	59	242	41	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	207	31	3	1	1	29	71	3	11	5	150	261	188	450	39	217	29	12	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	106	90	18	2	0	0	13	27	2	4	2	200	311	222	534	22	278	25	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	366	339	51	6	4	2	22	149	2	23	5	150	209	209	418	59	242	41	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	241	207	31	3	1	1	29	71	3	11	5	150	261	188	450	39	217	29	12	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	MIN	—	329	284	66	9	2	8	35	105	6	34	4	232	329	363	692	130	335	32	11	304	92	-3	+5	+0	+1	+7	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIN	—	235	193	55	7	1	7	33	55	4	22	4	285	395	440	835	155	364	23	14	372	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIN	—	94	76	23	4	1	3	14	20	2	12	0	303	424	500	924	197	370	21	15	402	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	MIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		270	30	10	259	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	MIN	—	339	293	67	9	2	8	36	108	6	35	4	229	325	355	680	126	330	32	11	303	91	-4	+5	+0	+1	+7	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	355	312	62	9	2	6	35	107	5	16	3	199	290	298	588	99	272	30	10	265	66	-14	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	428	377	75	11	2	8	43	125	5	19	3	199	289	302	592	103	274	29	10	276	73	-14	+3	+0	+2	+9	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	475	418	86	13	2	10	48	136	6	21	4	206	297	318	615	112	276	29	10	282	77	-13	+3	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	498	439	91	14	2	11	50	141	6	22	4	207	297	323	620	116	276	28	10	285	79	-12	+3	+0	+2	+11	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	510	446	93	14	2	12	52	144	7	22	4	209	301	330	631	121	276	28	10	287	80	-12	+3	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	512	447	94	14	2	12	53	145	7	23	4	210	304	331	635	121	276	28	10	287	80	-12	+3	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	509	444	92	14	2	11	53	145	7	21	4	207	302	322	624	115	276	28	10	286	80	-12	+3	-1	+2	+11	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	500	438	90	13	2	11	52	143	6	19	3	205	298	320	618	114	275	29	10	284	78	-13	+3	-1	+2	+11	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	491	431	88	13	2	11	51	142	6	17	3	204	297	320	617	116	274	29	10	282	77	-14	+2	-2	+2	+11	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	122	107	21	3	1	2	12	37	2	5	1	196	289	299	588	103	272	30	10	256	66	-5	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	207	181	36	5	1	4	21	60	3	9	2	199	293	304	597	105	274	29	10	267	73	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	250	220	45	7	1	5	25	71	3	11	2	205	294	314	608	109	276	28	10	273	77	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	290	255	53	8	1	7	29	82	4	13	2	208	299	329	628	122	276	28	10	276	79	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	292	256	53	8	1	7	30	82	4	13	2	207	300	328	628	121	276	28	10	277	80	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	286	251	53	8	1	7	29	81	4	13	2	211	303	335	637	124	276	28	10	277	80	-7	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	281	246	51	8	1	6	29	80	4	12	2	207	301	321	622	114	276	28	10	277	80	-7	+2	-0	+1	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	268	235	48	7	1	6	28	77	3	10	2	204	297	319	616	115	275	29	10	275	78	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	259	227	47	7	1	6	27	75	3	9	2	207	300	326	626	119	274	29	10	272	77	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2255	1978	407	61	9	50	230	645	30	95	17	206	298	322	620	116	276	29	10	274	70	-60	+12	-2	+8	+49	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	118	18	3	14	66	186	9	27	5	207	299	323	622	116	279	29	10	274	70	-17	+4	-1	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5218	4588	922	132	23	96	518	1516	67	238	51	201	291	303	594	102	275	29	10	272	70	-117	+23	-4	+15	+93	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	115	16	3	12	65	189	8	30	6	201	292	302	594	101	275	29	10	272	70	-18	+4	-1	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,528	51	103	201	290	311	+9	+15	1.1	1.7
/162	664	13	27	+2.4	+3.9	0.3	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Byron Chourio (OGILVIE)	21	30	20	50	60	187/280/273	86	270	4	17	31%	10%	62	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	45	-2.7	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	51	-2.2	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	52	197/290/240	43	280	1	14	27%	10%	57	-1.8	202/267/260	58	263	3	9	22%	8%	51	-2.2	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	28	-1.0
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A	21	41	35→30	51→55	49	194/273/255	61	268	2	16	27%	9%	53	-2.1	200/264/256	56	287	2	10	28%	7%	49	-2.4	192/256/235	43	276	1	9	28%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	44	-2.8	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	50	-2.3	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	36	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	50	-2.3	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	66	-1.1	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Yonki Hernandez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	53→55	47	189/286/258	68	278	3	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	197/263/272	75	318	4	18	36%	7%	53	-2.1	179/228/215	36	302	3	27	40%	6%	23	-1.0
✕Fernando Garcia 2009 · A	21	39	36→30	51→55	40	188/245/251	63	268	3	17	30%	6%	41	-3.0	208/277/273	65	280	2	18	24%	8%	59	-1.7	208/284/267	59	276	1	22	23%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Montecino 2011 · A	21	43	33→30	51→55	50	199/285/243	44	271	1	20	25%	9%	56	-1.9	204/291/268	64	279	3	16	25%	10%	63	-1.3	166/290/201	35	220	0	27	21%	14%	49	-0.4
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	76	-0.4	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	48	196/255/237	41	245	1	14	20%	7%	42	-2.9	237/286/279	42	293	1	10	18%	6%	61	-1.5	240/292/258	18	289	0	11	16%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	38	-3.2	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	51	-2.3	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	39→46	36→40	52→60	46	187/255/254	67	246	3	17	24%	7%	46	-2.6	216/281/304	88	287	5	23	25%	7%	67	-1.1	218/285/302	85	288	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	51	-2.2	212/289/298	86	289	7	14	27%	8%	69	-0.9	206/278/290	84	292	6	14	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Jorky Infante 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	48→50	48	200/261/253	54	248	3	12	20%	7%	48	-2.5	208/265/266	58	260	2	11	19%	6%	52	-2.2	207/263/247	39	252	0	12	16%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	25	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps