Byron ChourioCF
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 21
S/R
6'2" / 171 lbs
A
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.4 · 2030
wRC+†31
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .263 / .244
PA227
HR2
SB10
K%34
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
20→20
SPD
50→50
EYE
51↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $4M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 217 | 192 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 5 | 19 | 7 | .260 | .333 | .312 | .646 | .052 | .312 | 18 | 7 | .285 | 76 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 106 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .198 | .311 | .220 | .531 | .022 | .277 | 25 | 12 | .252 | 51 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 366 | 335 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 149 | 2 | 23 | 5 | .149 | .206 | .209 | .415 | .060 | .253 | 41 | 6 | .183 | -2 | -42 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 241 | 209 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 5 | .144 | .257 | .177 | .434 | .033 | .213 | 30 | 12 | .213 | 21 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 41 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | .114 | .225 | .143 | .368 | .029 | .222 | 44 | 12 | .186 | 1 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | 186 | 164 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .171 | .261 | .226 | .486 | .055 | .273 | 35 | 10 | .234 | 38 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | MIN | 227 | 199 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 83 | 2 | 10 | 1 | .161 | .254 | .211 | .466 | .050 | .265 | 37 | 10 | .226 | 31 | -18 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | MIN | 296 | 260 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 86 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .192 | .286 | .281 | .566 | .088 | .265 | 29 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | MIN | 386 | 339 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 109 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .198 | .290 | .301 | .591 | .103 | .268 | 28 | 11 | .272 | 67 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | MIN | 446 | 391 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 123 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .202 | .296 | .312 | .608 | .110 | .270 | 28 | 11 | .280 | 72 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 65% | MIN | 479 | 420 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 131 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .205 | .298 | .321 | .620 | .117 | .271 | 27 | 11 | .284 | 76 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 90% | MIN | 498 | 435 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 136 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .207 | .303 | .322 | .625 | .115 | .271 | 27 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 505 | 439 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 138 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .207 | .304 | .328 | .632 | .121 | .271 | 27 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 504 | 437 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 139 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .206 | .305 | .320 | .625 | .114 | .271 | 28 | 11 | .285 | 76 | -14 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 497 | 433 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 139 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .201 | .300 | .309 | .609 | .109 | .270 | 28 | 11 | .283 | 74 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 488 | 426 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 138 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .200 | .297 | .310 | .607 | .110 | .268 | 28 | 11 | .279 | 72 | -15 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 476 | 415 | 81 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 136 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .195 | .294 | .299 | .593 | .104 | .267 | 29 | 11 | .276 | 69 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 458 | 399 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 134 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .193 | .292 | .293 | .586 | .100 | .265 | 29 | 11 | .271 | 66 | -18 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -0.6 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 429 | 374 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 128 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .190 | .289 | .286 | .575 | .096 | .263 | 30 | 11 | .266 | 62 | -19 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 383 | 334 | 62 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 118 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .186 | .284 | .278 | .563 | .093 | .261 | 31 | 11 | .260 | 57 | -19 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +11 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6961 | 6093 | 1192 | 175 | 36 | 116 | 746 | 2005 | 67 | 175 | 35 | .196 | .290 | .293 | .584 | .098 | .268 | 29 | 11 | .269 | 64 | -286 | +21 | -20 | +25 | +197 | -6.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 111 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 70 | 187 | 6 | 16 | 3 | .195 | .290 | .292 | .582 | .097 | .267 | 29 | 11 | .269 | 64 | -27 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 217 | 183 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 19 | 7 | .344 | .437 | .410 | .846 | .066 | .390 | 12 | 12 | .381 | 150 | +12 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | 106 | 84 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .262 | .415 | .298 | .713 | .036 | .338 | 18 | 19 | .344 | 121 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 366 | 328 | 68 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 104 | 2 | 23 | 5 | .207 | .276 | .277 | .553 | .070 | .289 | 28 | 8 | .251 | 50 | -21 | +3 | — | — | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 241 | 197 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 50 | 3 | 11 | 5 | .193 | .340 | .234 | .574 | .041 | .253 | 21 | 17 | .283 | 75 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Byron Chourio (OGILVIE) | 21 | 30 | 20 | 50 | 60 | .179/.263/.244 | .066 | .277 | 2 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 41 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A |
20 | 39 | 35→30 | 48→55 | 46 | .185/.261/.242 | .057 | .273 | 2 | 15 | 31% | 9% | 39 | -2.5 | .196/.268/.256 | .060 | .273 | 3 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .195/.275/.253 | .057 | .274 | 2 | 17 | 27% | 9% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A |
20 | 40 | 34→30 | 50→55 | 45 | .186/.262/.242 | .056 | .286 | 2 | 15 | 33% | 9% | 39 | -2.5 | .194/.260/.258 | .064 | .316 | 2 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .183/.249/.232 | .049 | .297 | 0 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 27 | -0.8 |
|
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A |
21 | 43 | 33→30 | 46→55 | 51 | .196/.288/.239 | .043 | .279 | 1 | 15 | 28% | 10% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.268/.256 | .055 | .262 | 2 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .183/.242/.211 | .028 | .222 | 0 | 9 | 16% | 7% | 19 | -1.0 |
|
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A |
21 | 41 | 35→30 | 51→55 | 49 | .194/.274/.256 | .062 | .268 | 2 | 15 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.9 | .202/.266/.257 | .055 | .287 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .194/.258/.236 | .042 | .276 | 1 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 32 | -1.3 |
|
✕Yonki Hernandez 2012 · A |
21 | 41 | 36→40 | 53→55 | 47 | .189/.286/.258 | .068 | .280 | 3 | 16 | 30% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .196/.264/.269 | .073 | .314 | 4 | 18 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .179/.228/.215 | .036 | .302 | 3 | 27 | 40% | 6% | 13 | -1.0 |
|
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A |
20 | 42 | 36→40 | 51→60 | 45 | .197/.267/.267 | .070 | .277 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .224/.288/.307 | .083 | .291 | 3 | 18 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .245/.308/.338 | .094 | .307 | 3 | 28 | 20% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A |
21 | 37 | 34→30 | 47→60 | 35 | .176/.225/.227 | .051 | .271 | 2 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 18 | -3.9 | .208/.272/.268 | .060 | .294 | 3 | 19 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .243/.319/.291 | .049 | .314 | 2 | 32 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A |
20 | 43→39 | 36→30 | 51→55 | 45 | .199/.270/.271 | .072 | .296 | 3 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .200/.277/.266 | .066 | .320 | 4 | 12 | 35% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .184/.273/.240 | .056 | .295 | 3 | 15 | 35% | 11% | 40 | -1.2 |
|
✕Rey Bruguera 2013 · A |
21 | 42 | 37→40 | 48→50 | 48 | .198/.277/.270 | .072 | .279 | 4 | 13 | 28% | 9% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.261/.270 | .071 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .175/.236/.226 | .050 | .262 | 4 | 1 | 33% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dreily Guerrero 2012 · A |
21 | 39 | 35→30 | 54→55 | 41 | .182/.244/.247 | .064 | .276 | 2 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 32 | -3.0 | .177/.222/.241 | .064 | .301 | 3 | 9 | 40% | 5% | 20 | -3.8 | .149/.187/.213 | .063 | .267 | 5 | 12 | 44% | 4% | -4 | -1.6 |
|
✕Fernando Garcia 2009 · A |
21 | 40 | 36→30 | 51→55 | 40 | .189/.247/.253 | .064 | .269 | 3 | 16 | 29% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .210/.281/.274 | .064 | .280 | 2 | 19 | 23% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .210/.287/.268 | .058 | .274 | 1 | 22 | 22% | 9% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A |
21 | 41→39 | 35→30 | 45→50 | 49 | .191/.270/.252 | .060 | .271 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .224/.307/.289 | .065 | .304 | 2 | 15 | 24% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .245/.335/.305 | .060 | .327 | 1 | 21 | 22% | 11% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A |
20 | 43 | 35→30 | 48→55 | 53 | .200/.296/.255 | .055 | .285 | 3 | 9 | 28% | 11% | 58 | -1.2 | .211/.275/.275 | .064 | .322 | 3 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .207/.267/.241 | .035 | .325 | 0 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 37 | -0.6 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A |
21 | 41→47 | 36→45 | 45→55 | 44 | .195/.257/.255 | .059 | .270 | 4 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .196/.263/.271 | .075 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A |
21 | 37 | 36→40 | 45→40 | 46 | .174/.265/.241 | .067 | .259 | 4 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .187/.265/.267 | .080 | .304 | 5 | 4 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .184/.258/.270 | .086 | .308 | 5 | 2 | 39% | 8% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 37→30 | 51→60 | 45 | .202/.271/.271 | .070 | .286 | 4 | 11 | 29% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .211/.307/.281 | .070 | .293 | 4 | 26 | 27% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.340/.278 | .049 | .305 | 3 | 35 | 22% | 10% | 80 | +0.1 |
|
✕Adenson Chourio 2006 · A |
20 | 44 | 35→30 | 49→60 | 39 | .200/.261/.261 | .061 | .315 | 3 | 17 | 35% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .232/.300/.281 | .049 | .298 | 1 | 29 | 21% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .253/.325/.287 | .034 | .313 | 1 | 39 | 18% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A |
21 | 41→37 | 36→40 | 50→40 | 38 | .196/.238/.265 | .069 | .286 | 2 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .183/.216/.249 | .066 | .292 | 4 | 3 | 37% | 3% | 20 | -3.8 | .160/.186/.212 | .052 | .262 | 4 | 2 | 40% | 2% | -6 | -3.0 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A |
21 | 41→43 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .198/.258/.273 | .074 | .270 | 5 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .184/.258/.260 | .076 | .274 | 5 | 14 | 32% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .195/.282/.288 | .093 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A |
20 | 38 | 35→30 | 46→50 | 46 | .180/.253/.236 | .057 | .258 | 2 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 33 | -2.9 | .200/.262/.259 | .059 | .273 | 2 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.265/.251 | .051 | .265 | 1 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 39 | -0.9 |