Kaleb Corbett

P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ATB	29	0	41	5.23	2.93	24.3%	10.3%	—	K 18.0% · BB 12.1% · FIP 3.78
2026	24	A+TB	29	5	64	5.65	5.94	16.6%	11.0%	—	K 12.8% · BB 12.6% · FIP 7.01
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	67	0	70	6.03	6.03	13.4%	13.8%	-1.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTB	29	0	30	5.81	5.78	15.2%	13.3%	-0.4
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	41	0	43	5.71	5.71	15.8%	13.1%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control35Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsClate Schmidt (age 25) · Stephen Johnson (age 25) · Jarod Wright (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 131

ERA6.03

FIP6.03

K%13.4%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%-0.4%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	1.2%	5.23	3.78	—
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	1.2%	5.23	3.78	—
2025	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	10.3%	14.1%	1.1%	5.23	2.93	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	12.8%	12.6%	0.2%	6.2%	5.65	7.01	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	12.8%	12.6%	0.2%	6.2%	5.65	7.01	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	16.6%	11.0%	5.7%	4.9%	5.65	5.94	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	67	0	70	296	40	41	10	0%	1.0	13.4%	13.8%	-0.4%	3.5%	6.03	6.03	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	67	0	70	296	45	39	10	0%	1.0	15.2%	13.3%	1.9%	3.5%	5.81	5.78	-0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	66	0	69	291	46	38	10	0%	1.0	15.8%	13.1%	2.8%	3.5%	5.71	5.71	-0.9
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	64	0	67	282	45	37	10	0%	1.0	16.1%	13.0%	3.1%	3.6%	5.69	5.73	-0.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	61	0	64	270	43	35	10	0%	1.0	16.0%	13.2%	2.9%	3.7%	5.75	5.82	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	29	0	30	127	19	17	4	0%	1.0	15.2%	13.3%	1.9%	3.5%	5.81	5.78	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	41	0	43	182	29	24	6	0%	1.0	15.8%	13.1%	2.8%	3.5%	5.71	5.71	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	48	0	50	211	34	27	8	0%	1.0	16.1%	13.0%	3.1%	3.6%	5.69	5.73	-0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	50	0	52	220	35	29	8	0%	1.0	16.0%	13.2%	2.9%	3.7%	5.75	5.82	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	118	97	26	0%	1.1	15.9%	13.1%	2.7%	3.6%	5.73	5.38	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	110	30	0%	1.1	15.9%	13.1%	2.7%	3.6%	5.73	5.38	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		58	5	105	468	69	58	20	9%	1.8	14.8%	12.4%	2.4%	4.2%	5.49	5.73	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	10	200	891	132	111	38	9%	1.8	14.8%	12.4%	2.4%	4.2%	5.49	5.73	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kaleb Corbett (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	13.4%	13.8%	3.5%	—	5.74	15.7%	2.6%	206	-0.29	—	—	—
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	86
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	86
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	85
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	85
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	83
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	82
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	82
Andrew Gross R 2022 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	13.7%	10.6%	5.0%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	2.44	116	81
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	80
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	80
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	80
Michael Mertz R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	24	SU	5.18	16.1%	13.9%	3.0%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	133	80
Aaron Cohn R 2023 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	11.1%	10.7%	4.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	5.72	106	79
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	79
Will Geerdes R 2024 · 5.57 FIP	24	SU	5.57	16.3%	12.2%	4.2%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	121	79
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	79
Wuilder Rodriguez R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SU	5.25	11.1%	10.4%	3.2%	.320	4.12	9.2%	1.0%	18	-1.13	3.03	249	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	15.3%	13.3%	1.37	5.80
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*