Bryan Broecker

C Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2160ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/ATB204.179/.338/.21001117—.126/.244/.149
202523A+TB229.209/.366/.2862140—.162/.269/.222
202624AA/A+TB110.225/.373/.3263352—.177/.282/.270
2027PROJMLE25MLBTB200.192/.291/.27623650.1
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBTB46.197/.295/.28811690.0
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBTB81.199/.295/.29111690.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%79
Chase%75
wRC+47
wOBA46
Whiff%44
Speed44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsQuincy McAfee (age 25) · Adam Weisenburger (age 25) · Nick Quintana (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .289 / .274
PA91
HR1
K%29
BB%11
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.00.0272829
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ACharleston RiverDogs — 6150 5002 9232 30 100262220482 120120 3815 240 -8 — — — — — —
202321 ROKFCL Rays — 1716 5000 120 00 312353312665 357 126 307 40 — — — — — —
202422 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 2420 4000 390 20 200304200504 333 3812 238 2 — — — — — —
202422 ACharleston RiverDogs — 180142 25500 32514 92 176343211554 35272 2818 277 19 — — — — — —
202523 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 229182 38802 43592 10 209366286651 77295 2619 311 40 — — — — — —
202624 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 2519 4000 670 10 211400211611 333 2824 312 55 — — — — — —
202624 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 8570 16003 13242 20 229365357722 129302 2815 336 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 6153 3001 6322 30 57180113294 57103 5210 157 -8 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 1716 4000 130 00 250294250544 290 186 228 40 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 2421 3000 2120 20 143217143360 277 508 171 2 — — — — — —
202422 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 180153 19400 21704 92 124247150398 26222 3912 196 19 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 229198 32602 27762 10 162269222491 61243 3312 228 40 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 2521 4000 490 10 190320190510 310 3616 249 55 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 8575 13003 8312 20 173271293564 120250 369 243 51 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 7869 7001 7352 30 101205145350 43182 459 172 3 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW2 teams — 7866 10002 10252 30 152282242524 91205 3213 254 3 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 204174 22400 23834 112 126244149393 23237 4111 193 17 — — — — — —
202422 A RAW2 teams — 204162 29500 35604 112 179338210548 31279 2917 272 17 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 229198 32602 27762 10 162269222491 61248 3312 228 40 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWBowling Green Hot Rods — 229182 38802 43592 10 209366286651 77295 2619 311 40 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 11096 17003 12402 30 177282271553 94264 3611 244 52 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAW2 teams — 11089 20003 19312 30 225373326699 101309 2817 330 52 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 7869 7001 7352 30 101205145350 43144 459 172 3 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 204175 22400 23834 112 126244149392 23228 4111 193 17 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 229198 32602 27762 10 162269222491 61243 3312 228 40 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 11095 17003 12402 30 179282274556 95264 3611 244 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLE2 teams — 204175 22400 23834 112 126244149392 23228 4111 193 17 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 229198 32602 27762 10 162269222491 61243 3312 228 40 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 11095 17003 12402 30 179282274556 95264 3611 244 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLETB 0% 200174 33612 22582 31 192291276567 84269 2911 264 65 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLETB 30% 153133 27512 17442 31 196293288581 92270 2911 270 69 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.1
202927 MLB MLETB 42% 194169 34613 21552 31 197294291585 94271 2811 271 69 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202826 MLB CTXTB 30% 4641 8101 5130 10 197295288583 91274 2811 270 69 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202927 MLB CTXTB 42% 8171 14301 9231 10 199295291587 92274 2811 272 69 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 127112 22402 14361 20 196291286577 89270 2811 271 46 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 11220010 721845 100 195291283573 87269 2811 271 46 -24 +2 +0 +12 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 1059919 15424212 11735915 264 168272237509 70257 3411 236 46 -17 +1 +0 +8 +9 0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 941517 722209 162 167271234505 67256 3411 236 46 -25 +1 +0 +12 +14 0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 85 PAwOBA .328 → .243 (−85)K% 28.2% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.24%÷1.000×1.310——36.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.29%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9889.07%
HBP% /PA2.35%—×0.770—×0.9881.79%
Singles /BIP28.26%÷1.000×0.870×0.969×0.98823.55%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780×0.969×0.9880.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.969×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP6.52%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9885.67%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .328 → .243; ISO .129 → .108; BABIP .302 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 25 PAwOBA .306 → .249 (−58)K% 28.0% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷1.000×1.220——34.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.00%÷1.000×0.680—×1.01216.52%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01231.03%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .306 → .249; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 229 PAwOBA .306 → .228 (−78)K% 25.8% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.76%÷1.023×1.310——32.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.78%÷0.965×0.600—×0.99811.65%
HBP% /PA0.87%—×0.770—×0.9980.67%
Singles /BIP22.76%÷1.005×0.870×0.986×0.99819.40%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷1.066×0.780×0.986×0.9984.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.996×0.850×0.986×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP1.63%÷0.930×0.880—×0.9981.53%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .306 → .228; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .295 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 180 PAwOBA .273 → .196 (−77)K% 28.3% → 39.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.33%÷0.985×1.360——39.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.78%÷1.047×0.690——11.72%
HBP% /PA2.22%—×0.780——1.73%
Singles /BIP21.98%÷1.071×0.920×0.960—18.13%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷1.017×0.830×0.960—4.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.910×0.960—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.824×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .273 → .196; ISO .035 → .026; BABIP .272 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 24 PAwOBA .243 → .171 (−72)K% 37.5% → 51.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷0.956×1.310——51.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.972×0.600—×1.0127.81%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP36.36%÷1.047×0.870—×1.01230.57%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.898×0.780—×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.015×0.880—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .243 → .171; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 61 PAwOBA .234 → .157 (−77)K% 37.7% → 52.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.70%÷0.985×1.360——52.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.75%÷1.035×0.690—×1.0159.98%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.780—×1.0152.60%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷1.071×0.920—×1.0159.69%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.830—×1.0150.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.938×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP7.41%÷1.075×0.800—×1.0155.59%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .234 → .157; ISO .120 → .072; BABIP .120 → .103. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Rays · 17 PAwOBA .299 → .228 (−71)K% 11.8% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷0.999×1.440——16.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷0.948×0.620—×0.9853.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP35.71%÷0.996×0.820—×0.98528.97%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.911×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .299 → .228; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).