Bryan Broecker — OGILVIE

Bryan BroeckerC Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION107 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA16

HR0

K%31

BB%12

BABIP281

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	61	50	5	0	0	2	9	23	2	3	0	100	262	220	482	120	120	38	15	240	48	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	17	16	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	312	353	312	665		357	12	6	307	94	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	24	20	4	0	0	0	3	9	0	2	0	200	304	200	504		333	38	12	238	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	180	142	25	5	0	0	32	51	4	9	2	176	343	211	554	35	272	28	18	277	73	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	182	38	8	0	2	43	59	2	1	0	209	366	286	651	77	295	26	19	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	61	54	3	0	0	1	5	33	2	3	0	56	164	111	275	56	104	54	8	153	-10	-8	+1	—	—	+1	-0.6
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	17	16	4	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	294	250	544		294	18	6	232	43	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	24	21	3	0	0	0	2	13	0	2	0	143	217	143	360		289	54	8	175	5	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	180	155	20	4	0	0	19	73	4	9	2	129	242	155	396	26	226	41	11	190	15	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	196	33	6	0	2	29	77	2	1	0	168	282	230	512	61	256	34	13	237	47	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	78	70	7	0	0	1	6	36	2	3	0	100	192	143	335	43	182	46	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	78	66	10	0	0	2	10	25	2	3	0	152	282	242	524	91	205	32	13	254	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	204	176	23	4	0	0	21	86	4	11	2	131	239	153	392	23	250	42	10	188	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	204	162	29	5	0	0	35	60	4	11	2	179	338	210	548	31	279	29	17	272	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	196	33	6	0	2	29	77	2	1	0	168	282	230	512	61	263	34	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	182	38	8	0	2	43	59	2	1	0	209	366	286	651	77	295	26	19	311	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	78	70	7	0	0	1	6	36	2	3	0	100	192	143	335	43	145	46	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	204	177	23	4	0	0	21	86	4	11	2	130	239	153	391	23	233	42	10	188	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	196	33	6	0	2	29	77	2	1	0	168	282	230	512	61	256	34	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	78	70	7	0	0	1	6	36	2	3	0	100	192	143	335	43	145	46	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	204	177	23	4	0	0	21	86	4	11	2	130	239	153	391	23	233	42	10	188	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	229	196	33	6	0	2	29	77	2	1	0	168	282	230	512	61	256	34	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	TB	—	107	92	17	0	0	2	13	39	2	3	0	185	299	250	549	65	294	36	12	256	60	-5	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	TB	—	85	70	16	0	0	3	13	24	2	2	0	229	365	357	722	129	302	28	15	336	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	TB	—	22	16	4	0	0	0	6	6	0	1	0	250	455	250	705		400	27	27	355	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	TB	0%	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		273	31	12	261	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	TB	—	123	106	19	0	0	2	15	44	2	3	0	179	293	236	529	57	283	36	12	257	60	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	30%	288	251	49	8	1	4	32	84	3	5	1	195	294	283	577	88	277	29	11	273	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	44%	350	304	62	11	1	6	39	100	4	6	1	204	303	306	609	102	278	29	11	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	49%	377	328	68	12	1	7	42	107	4	6	1	207	305	314	619	107	279	28	11	281	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	52%	393	341	70	12	1	7	44	111	5	6	1	205	305	308	613	103	279	28	11	281	77	-11	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	51%	395	343	70	12	1	7	44	113	5	6	1	204	304	306	610	102	278	29	11	280	75	-12	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	51%	395	344	69	12	1	6	44	114	4	5	1	201	298	294	592	93	276	29	11	277	73	-13	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	TB	51%	372	324	64	11	1	6	41	108	4	4	1	198	295	293	589	96	274	29	11	273	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	30%	87	76	15	3	0	1	10	25	1	1	0	197	299	276	575	79	285	29	11	270	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	44%	155	135	29	5	1	3	17	44	2	3	0	215	312	333	645	119	286	28	11	276	75	-5	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	49%	185	161	34	6	1	3	20	52	2	3	1	211	306	317	623	106	287	28	11	279	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	52%	202	176	38	7	1	4	22	57	2	3	1	216	310	335	645	119	287	28	11	279	77	-6	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	51%	203	176	37	6	1	4	23	58	2	3	1	210	308	324	632	114	286	29	11	277	75	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	51%	203	176	36	6	1	3	23	58	2	3	0	205	303	301	605	97	284	29	11	274	73	-6	+1	-1	+4	+4	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	TB	51%	192	167	34	6	1	3	21	56	2	2	0	204	300	305	605	102	281	29	11	270	71	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1227	1067	223	39	6	21	136	350	13	18	3	209	306	316	622	107	288	29	11	275	66	-38	+2	-4	+22	+27	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	118	21	3	11	72	185	7	10	2	209	306	315	621	106	288	28	11	275	66	-20	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3097	2691	517	88	7	46	344	941	37	53	9	192	292	281	574	89	274	30	11	266	66	-80	+5	-7	+46	+56	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	108	18	1	10	72	197	8	11	2	191	291	280	571	88	271	30	11	266	66	-20	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,229	20	19	203	298	302	+22	+12	2.0	2.0
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+6.5	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Broecker (OGILVIE)	24	30	30	40	60	188/291/258	70	273	2	4	30%	11%	63	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	195/279/260	65	269	4	4	27%	9%	57	-1.8	202/281/288	86	287	7	4	29%	9%	64	-1.3	198/284/292	94	281	8	1	30%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→38	38→40	42→45	46	188/272/267	79	265	6	8	29%	8%	57	-1.8	177/251/244	67	256	4	8	30%	7%	43	-2.8	152/224/201	49	226	2	6	31%	7%	21	-2.7
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	43	36→40	43→30	46	202/277/267	66	268	4	5	25%	8%	58	-1.7	217/296/304	87	281	6	4	23%	8%	74	-0.6	216/301/298	83	274	6	2	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	55	198/298/270	72	275	3	7	26%	12%	67	-1.1	197/293/273	76	284	5	7	29%	11%	65	-1.2	163/278/221	58	239	5	4	30%	13%	48	-0.7
✕Eric Yang 2022 · A	24	39	39→40	44→40	46	184/282/268	84	271	6	6	31%	9%	61	-1.5	191/268/269	78	288	5	6	33%	8%	55	-1.9	178/263/231	54	280	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	46	36→30	40	48	214/300/271	57	291	4	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	233/317/303	70	321	3	5	26%	8%	81	-0.1	244/334/306	62	340	1	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	49	203/282/267	64	282	2	7	26%	9%	59	-1.6	201/270/283	82	287	6	8	30%	7%	59	-1.7	152/218/211	59	220	7	5	32%	5%	22	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→37	37→40	42→50	47	192/275/270	79	298	4	8	34%	10%	58	-1.7	183/257/264	81	279	5	9	33%	9%	49	-2.4	111/185/156	45	169	2	5	33%	8%	-3	-1.9
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→40	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	42	-2.9	197/247/275	78	277	6	4	29%	5%	47	-2.5	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	41	36→40	43→45	47	193/272/257	64	268	4	6	28%	8%	54	-2.0	218/284/303	85	271	6	8	20%	7%	68	-1.0	224/288/309	84	270	6	8	18%	7%	69	-0.4
✕James Guerrero 2008 · A	24	45→46	39→40	40→45	53	212/297/295	83	256	6	7	19%	9%	72	-0.7	206/290/295	89	269	7	9	24%	10%	70	-0.9	140/254/210	69	188	4	10	25%	12%	36	-0.8
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	39→45	46→45	46	196/260/283	87	248	6	5	23%	7%	55	-2.0	222/288/345	123	257	14	8	19%	6%	80	-0.2	219/286/341	122	248	15	8	18%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2014 · A	24	43	42→40	43→45	47	209/282/314	105	272	9	6	25%	8%	70	-0.8	190/247/286	96	271	9	6	31%	6%	51	-2.3	159/208/244	86	229	9	3	34%	5%	23	-1.5
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	192/269/271	79	282	7	5	32%	8%	56	-1.9	217/307/343	126	285	13	8	26%	10%	87	+0.4	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	210/290/289	79	270	5	9	23%	9%	68	-1.0	210/277/303	93	289	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	184/246/269	85	256	9	5	30%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Richard Mercado 2007 · A	24	40	37→45	45→30	41	195/242/273	78	270	4	5	29%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/296	85	276	6	4	24%	6%	58	-1.7	210/263/287	77	267	6	0	23%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Chris Clare 2019 · A	24	43→45	37→40	46→40	48	202/278/274	72	262	5	5	24%	8%	60	-1.6	197/269/270	73	270	4	7	26%	7%	55	-1.9	153/231/183	30	223	0	3	28%	7%	19	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps